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Revision as of 09:55, 21 September 2021 by Political Studier (talk | contribs)(diff) ← Previous revision | Latest revision (diff) | Newer revision → (diff) Election for Governor of FloridaSee also: 2022 United States gubernatorial elections
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The 2022 Florida gubernatorial election will take place on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Florida, alongside an election to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives and other state and local elections. Incumbent Republican governor Ron DeSantis will be seeking a second term.
Republican primary
Candidates
Declared
- Ron DeSantis, incumbent governor
- John Joseph Mercadante, Republican National Committee official and candidate for governor in 2018
Potential
Endorsements
Ron DeSantis- Executive Branch Officials
- Donald Trump, 45th President of the United States (2017–2021)
- U.S. Senators
- Rick Scott, U.S. Senator from Florida (2019–present); 45th Governor of Florida (2011–2019)
- Organizations
Democratic primary
Candidates
Declared
- Charlie Crist, U.S. representative and former Republican governor of Florida
- David Nelson Freeman, businessman
- Nikki Fried, Florida commissioner of agriculture
- Ivan Graham, dentist
- Jonathan Karns, businessman
- Amaro Lionheart, filmmaker
- Alex Lundmark, real estate agent and candidate for governor in 2018
- Timothy Mosley, charity founder
- Robert Lee Willis
-
U.S. Representative
Charlie Crist
from
Pinellas County -
Florida Agriculture Commissioner
Nikki Fried
from
Broward County
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Publicly expressing interest
- Annette Taddeo, state senator and nominee for lieutenant governor in 2014
Potential
- Dave Aronberg, Palm Beach County state attorney and former state senator
- Jane Castor, mayor of Tampa
- Buddy Dyer, mayor of Orlando
- Dan Gelber, mayor of Miami Beach and former state house minority leader
- Gwen Graham, former U.S. representative and candidate for governor in 2018
- Rick Kriseman, mayor of St. Petersburg
- Philip Levine, former mayor of Miami Beach and candidate for governor in 2018
Withdrawn
- Richard Dembinsky, engineer and candidate for state senate in 2016
Declined
- Lauren Book, state senator
- Randolph Bracy, state senator (running for Florida's 10th congressional district)
- Val Demings, U.S. representative (running for U.S. Senate)
- Anna Eskamani, state representative
- Andrew Gillum, former mayor of Tallahassee and nominee for governor in 2018
- Rebekah Jones, former Florida Department of Health analyst (endorsed Fried)
- Al Lawson, U.S. representative (endorsed Crist)
- Stephanie Murphy, U.S. representative (running for reelection)
- Jason Pizzo, state senator
- Sean Shaw, state representative and nominee for attorney general in 2018 (endorsed Crist)
Endorsements
Charlie Crist- U.S. Representatives
- Kathy Castor, U.S. representative from FL-14 (2007–present)
- Al Lawson, U.S. representative from FL-5 (2017–present)
- State legislators
- Christopher Benjamin, state representative
- Tracie Davis, state representative
- Ben Diamond, state representative
- Joe Geller, state representative
- Audrey Gibson, state senator and former Senate minority leader
- Michael Gottlieb, state representative
- Michael Grieco, state representative
- Dianne Hart, state representative
- Yvonne Hayes Hinson, state representative
- Travaris McCurdy, state representative
- Felicia Robinson, state representative
- Sean Shaw, former state representative and nominee for Florida Attorney General in 2018
- Susan Valdes, state representative
- Notable individuals
- Alcee Hastings II, son of former U.S. representative Alcee Hastings
- Notable individuals
- Rebekah Jones, former Florida Department of Health analyst
Polling
 | Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. Updates on reimplementing the Graph extension, which will be known as the Chart extension, can be found on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Charlie Crist |
Nikki Fried |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D) | August 10–11, 2021 | 274 (LV) | ± 5.9% | 33% | 36% | – | 31% |
| Susquehanna Polling & Research (R) | August 4–10, 2021 | 245 (RV) | ± 6.3% | 38% | 27% | 5% | 30% |
| Political Matrix (R) | June 9–11, 2021 | 660 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 41% | 31% | – | 29% |
| St. Pete Polls | May 24–26, 2021 | 2,752 (RV) | ± 1.9% | 55% | 22% | 11% | 12% |
| Victory Insights (R) | May 4, 2021 | 232 (RV) | ± 7.0% | 53% | 30% | 17% | – |
| SEA Polling (D) | April 15–20, 2021 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 28% | 26% | 13% | 34% |
Independent and third party candidates
Independent Party
Declared
- Gizmo Wexler, IT administrator
Independent candidates
Declared
- Kyle "KC" Gibson, pastor and candidate for governor in 2018
- Frank Hughes Jr., education consultant
Publicly expressing interest
- David Jolly, former U.S. representative
Withdrawn
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Lean R | September 15, 2021 |
| Inside Elections | Battleground | September 15, 2021 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | Likely R | September 15, 2021 |
Polling
- Ron DeSantis vs. Charlie Crist
- Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Ron DeSantis (R) |
Charlie Crist (D) |
Other |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Clear Politics | August 2–10, 2021 | August 19, 2021 | 45.0% | 44.0% | 11.0% | DeSantis +1.0 |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Ron DeSantis (R) |
Charlie Crist (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Political Matrix/The Listener Group (R) | September 11–12, 2021 | 1,144 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 45% | 55% | – | – |
| The Political Matrix/The Listener Group (R) | September 3–5, 2021 | 1,144 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 45% | 55% | – | – |
| RMG Research | August 21–28, 2021 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 45% | 38% | – | – |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | August 20–24, 2021 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 45% | 36% | 5% | 9% |
| 977 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 48% | 38% | 5% | 8% | ||
| The Political Matrix/The Listener Group (R) | August 14–18, 2021 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 43% | 57% | – | – |
| Change Research (D) | August 14–17, 2021 | 1,585 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 49% | 45% | – | 6% |
| Susquehanna Polling & Research (R) | August 4–10, 2021 | 700 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 46% | 43% | 3% | 7% |
| Cherry Communications (R) | July 26 – August 4, 2021 | 610 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 43% | – | 6% |
| St. Pete Polls | August 2–3, 2021 | 3,952 (LV) | ± 1.6% | 44% | 45% | – | 11% |
| The Political Matrix/The Listener Group (R) | June 21, 2021 | 716 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 55% | 45% | – | – |
| Cherry Communications (R) | April 30 – May 8, 2021 | 602 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 41% | – | 8% |
| Victory Insights (R) | May 4, 2021 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 53% | 47% | – | – |
| Mason-Dixon | February 24–28, 2021 | 625 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 52% | 41% | – | 7% |
- Ron DeSantis vs. Nikki Fried
- Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Ron DeSantis (R) |
Nikki Fried (D) |
Other |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Clear Politics | August 2–10, 2021 | August 19, 2021 | 47.5% | 41.0% | 11.5% | DeSantis +6.5 |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Ron DeSantis (R) |
Nikki Fried (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Political Matrix/The Listener Group (R) | September 3–5, 2021 | 1,144 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 52% | 48% | – | – |
| RMG Research | August 21–28, 2021 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 41% | 38% | – | – |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | August 20–24, 2021 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 45% | 36% | 4% | 11% |
| 977 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 48% | 38% | 3% | 10% | ||
| The Political Matrix/The Listener Group (R) | August 14–18, 2021 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 46% | 54% | – | – |
| Change Research (D) | August 14–17, 2021 | 1,585 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 49% | 44% | – | 7% |
| Susquehanna Polling & Research (R) | August 4–10, 2021 | 700 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 50% | 40% | 2% | 7% |
| Cherry Communications (R) | July 26 – August 4, 2021 | 610 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 42% | – | – |
| St. Pete Polls | August 2–3, 2021 | 3,952 (LV) | ± 1.6% | 45% | 42% | – | 13% |
| The Political Matrix/The Listener Group (R) | June 21, 2021 | 716 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 61% | 39% | – | – |
| Cherry Communications (R) | April 30 – May 8, 2021 | 602 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 39% | – | 10% |
| Victory Insights (R) | May 4, 2021 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 53% | 47% | – | – |
| St. Pete Polls | March 22–24, 2021 | 1,923 (LV) | ± 2.2% | 45% | 45% | – | 10% |
| Mason-Dixon | February 24–28, 2021 | 625 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 42% | – | 7% |
|
Hypothetical polling | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Notes
- ^ Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - 17% for Val Demings
- 13% for Annette Taddeo
- Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- Partisan clients
- Poll sponsored by Taddeo's campaign committee
- ^ This poll was sponsored by Future Majority
- Poll sponsored by the Defend Students Action Fund
References
- "Gov. DeSantis says he wears criticism from the news media on COVID 'as a badge of honor'". Florida Phoenix. Retrieved February 4, 2021.
- "Candidate Tracking system - Florida Division of Elections - Department of State". Florida Department of State. Retrieved January 28, 2021.
{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link) - Levin, Jonathan (April 7, 2021). "Miami Mayor Tries to Build a Tech Mecca, One Tweet at a Time". Bloomberg Businessweek. Retrieved April 25, 2021.
- Chris Perkins (April 29, 2021). "Trump-DeSantis ticket in 2024? Trump says he'd consider it". Sun Sentinel.
- Gancarski, A. G. (May 17, 2021). "Endorsement? Rick Scott says Ron DeSantis will 'continue to lead the party' into 2022". Florida Politics. Retrieved May 25, 2021.
- Axelrod, Tal (May 13, 2021). "Club for Growth endorses DeSantis reelection bid". The Hill. Retrieved May 25, 2021.
- Greenwood, Max (May 4, 2021). "Crist launches bid for Florida governor, seeking to recapture his old job". The Hill. Retrieved May 4, 2021.
- "Candidate Tracking system - Florida Division of Elections - Department of State". Florida Department of State. Retrieved February 12, 2021.
{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link) - Ritchie, Bruce (June 1, 2021). "Florida's Nikki Fried jumps into 2022 race to challenge DeSantis". Politico. Retrieved June 1, 2021.
{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link) - "Candidate Tracking system - Florida Division of Elections - Department of State". Florida Department of State. June 17, 2021. Retrieved June 17, 2021.
{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link) - "Candidate Tracking system - Florida Division of Elections - Department of State". Florida Department of State. Retrieved March 4, 2021.
{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link) - "Candidate Tracking system - Florida Division of Elections - Department of State". Florida Department of State. Retrieved January 11, 2021.
- "Candidate Tracking system - Florida Division of Elections - Department of State". Florida Department of State. Retrieved December 30, 2020.
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{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link) - "Candidate Tracking system - Florida Division of Elections - Department of State". Florida Department of State. Retrieved July 2, 2021.
{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link) - Fineout, Gary (February 4, 2021). "Florida Democrats can agree on one thing: DeSantis must go". POLITICO. Retrieved February 6, 2021.
{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link) - Nichol, Ryan (May 26, 2021). "Annette Taddeo weighing 2022 run for Governor". Florida Politics. Retrieved May 27, 2021.
{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link) - Wilson, Drew (January 27, 2021). "Florida Influencer Poll: All sorts of predictions for 2022". Florida Politics. Retrieved February 15, 2021.
{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link) - ^ Contorno, Steve (July 19, 2020). "As Ron DeSantis slips in Florida polls, Democratic challengers for governor are starting to emerge". Tampa Bay Times. Retrieved July 19, 2020.
{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link) - Call, James (October 30, 2019). "Gwen 'unplugged': Graham talks like a candidate who is running, but it's unclear for what race". Tallahassee Democrat. Retrieved July 12, 2020.
{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link) - "Candidate Tracking system - Florida Division of Elections - Department of State". Florida Department of State. Retrieved February 12, 2021.
{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link) - Smiley, David (November 10, 2020). "Florida's 2022 elections are already shaping up. Here's who is (and may be) running". Miami Herald. Retrieved November 20, 2020.
- Fineout, Gary (April 21, 2021). "Book wins backing as Senate Democratic leader, will forgo statewide run in 2022". Politico. Retrieved April 25, 2021.
{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link) - Rohrer, Gray (February 23, 2021). "Sen. Randolph Bracy of Orlando considering run for governor". Orlando Sentinel. Retrieved February 23, 2021.
{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link) - Paschall-Brown, Gail (March 24, 2021). "Does Sen. Randolph Bracy have his sights on a 2022 run for governor?". WESH. Retrieved March 29, 2021.
{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link) - Lemongello, Steven (May 26, 2021). "Ex-State Attorney Aramis Ayala, Sen. Randolph Bracy to run for Congress in Val Demings' district". Orlando Sentinel. Retrieved May 27, 2021.
{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link) - DeFede, Jim (March 28, 2021). "Facing South Florida: 1-On-1 With US Rep. Val Demings". CBS Miami. Retrieved March 29, 2021.
{{cite news}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link) - Beavers, Olivia (April 23, 2021). "Demings 'seriously considering' challenging DeSantis or Rubio". POLITICO. Retrieved April 23, 2021.
{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link) - Greenwood, Max (June 9, 2021). "Florida Rep. Val Demings officially enters Senate race against Rubio". The Hill. Retrieved June 9, 2021.
{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link) - Gancarski, A. G. (July 31, 2020). "Governor Eskamani? Progressive lawmaker not ruling it out". Florida Politics. Retrieved May 6, 2021.
{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link) - Downey, Renzo (May 6, 2021). "Anna Eskamani won't run for Florida Governor in 2022". Florida Politics. Retrieved May 6, 2021.
- "Democratic star ex-mayor Andrew Gillum to enter rehab". BBC News. BBC. March 16, 2020. Retrieved July 31, 2020.
{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link) - Bowden, Jorn (March 15, 2020). "Gillum to seek treatment, withdraw from public life". The Hill. Retrieved July 31, 2020.
{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link) - Hayes, Kelly (May 5, 2021). "Rebekah Jones hints at potential congressional run in FL CD-13". Florida Politics. Retrieved May 20, 2021.
{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link) - Gancarski, A. G. (February 3, 2021). "Al Lawson eyeing run for Florida Governor?". Florida Politics. Retrieved February 3, 2021.
{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link) - Call, James (February 2, 2021). "'Not on my radar': Congressman Al Lawson deflates Florida gubernatorial trial balloon". Tallahassee Democrat. Retrieved February 3, 2021.
{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link) - Caputo, Marc (May 24, 2021). "Florida Rep. Stephanie Murphy will not challenge Rubio for Senate". Politico. Retrieved May 24, 2021.
{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link) - Downey, Renzo (February 22, 2021). "Jason Pizzo shoots down 2022 gubernatorial rumors". Florida Politics. Retrieved February 23, 2021.
{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link) - Fineout, Gary; Dixon, Matt (May 26, 2021). "Demings is taking on Rubio. Now Florida's other big 2022 races are jumbled". Politico. Retrieved May 27, 2021.
{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link) - Contorno, Steve (May 24, 2021). "Kathy Castor endorses Charlie Crist in Democratic primary for Florida governor". Tampa Bay Times. Retrieved May 24, 2021.
- Call, James (July 23, 2021). "'Big Al' has Charlie's back in North Florida: Lawson endorses Crist for governor". Tallahassee Democrat. Retrieved July 24, 2021.
- ^ Ogles, Jacob (June 10, 2021). "Seven House members back Charlie Crist's run for Governor". Florida Politics. Retrieved June 10, 2021.
- ^ "Charlie Crist adds 4 lawmakers to his list of endorsers". July 30, 2021.
- Hayes, Kelly (July 6, 2021). "Audrey Gibson backs Charlie Crist for Governor". Florida Politics. Retrieved July 15, 2021.
- "Sean Shaw backs Charlie Crist for Governor". August 31, 2021.
- Man, Anthony (May 6, 2021). "Alcee Hastings II endorses Charlie Crist for governor". Sun-Sentinel. Retrieved May 18, 2021.
- Kirkl, Jordan (June 2, 2021). "Nikki Fried gives silent treatment to Rebekah Jones "endorsement" and dubious "campaigning" claim". The Capitolist. Retrieved June 10, 2021.
- "Candidate Tracking system - Florida Division of Elections - Department of State". Florida Department of State. Retrieved August 12, 2021.
{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link) - "Candidate Tracking system - Florida Division of Elections - Department of State". Florida Department of State. Retrieved October 1, 2020.
- "Candidate Tracking system - Florida Division of Elections - Department of State". Florida Department of State. Retrieved January 28, 2021.
{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link) - Lemongello, Steven (January 25, 2021). "Former GOP Rep. David Jolly considering independent run for Florida governor in 2022". Orlando Sentinel. Retrieved January 26, 2021.
{{cite news}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link) - Perry, Mitch (March 18, 2021). "Jolly Likely to Run for Florida Governor as Independent in 2022". Bay News 9. Retrieved March 23, 2021.
{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link) - "Candidate Tracking system - Florida Division of Elections - Department of State". Florida Department of State. Retrieved February 12, 2021.
{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link) - "2022 Governor Race Ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved February 4, 2021.
- "Gubernatorial Ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved February 19, 2021.
- "2022 Gubernatorial race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved March 11, 2021.
External links
- Florida Division of Elections Candidate Tracking System
- Official campaign websites
- Charlie Crist (D) for Governor
- Ron DeSantis (R) for Governor
- David Nelson Freeman (D) for Governor
- Nikki Fried (D) for Governor
- Kyle "KC" Gibson (I) for Governor
- Mark B. Graham (I) for Governor
- Frank Hughes Jr. (I) for Governor
- Jonathan Karns (D) for Governor
- Amaro Lionheart (D) for Governor
- Alex Lundmark (D) for Governor
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