Bay of Quinte (federal electoral district)

Bay of Quinte was created by the 2012 federal electoral boundaries redistribution and was legally defined in the 2013 representation order. It came into effect upon the call of the 42nd Canadian federal election, scheduled for 19 October 2015. It was created out of parts of the electoral districts of Prince Edward—Hastings (62%) and Northumberland—Quinte West (38%).

Geography

The riding contains the municipalities of Prince Edward County, Quinte West and the part of Belleville south of Highway 401.

Demographics

According to the 2021 Canadian census

Languages: 90.6% English, 2.3% French
Religions: 53.5% Christian (18.2% Catholic, 10.3% United Church, 6.7% Anglican, 1.6% Presbyterian, 1.6% Baptist, 1.3% Pentecostal, 13.8% Other), 43.5% None
Median income: $39,200 (2020)
Average income: $49,160 (2020)

Panethnic groups in Bay of Quinte (2011−2021)
Panethnic group	2021		2016		2011
Panethnic group	Pop.	%	Pop.	%	Pop.	%
European	101,070	88.85%	98,140	91.6%	99,690	93.16%
Indigenous	5,640	4.96%	4,830	4.51%	3,945	3.69%
South Asian	2,180	1.92%	870	0.81%	680	0.64%
African	1,445	1.27%	845	0.79%	835	0.78%
East Asian	1,095	0.96%	930	0.87%	910	0.85%
Southeast Asian	880	0.77%	630	0.59%	345	0.32%
Latin American	665	0.58%	385	0.36%	205	0.19%
Middle Eastern	315	0.28%	205	0.19%	210	0.2%
Other/multiracial	465	0.41%	310	0.29%	180	0.17%
Total responses	113,755	98.05%	107,140	97.64%	107,010	97.74%
Total population	116,016	100%	109,735	100%	109,488	100%
Notes: Totals greater than 100% due to multiple origin responses. Demographics based on 2012 Canadian federal electoral redistribution riding boundaries.

Members of Parliament

This riding has elected the following members of Parliament:

Parliament	Years		Party
Bay of Quinte Riding created from Northumberland—Quinte West and Prince Edward—Hastings
42nd	2015–2019	Neil Ellis	Liberal
43rd	2019–2021	Neil Ellis	Liberal
44th	2021–present	Ryan Williams	Conservative

Election results

2021 federal election redistributed results
Party		Vote	%
	Conservative	23,671	40.59
	Liberal	21,590	37.02
	New Democratic	8,897	15.25
	People's	2,878	4.93
	Green	1,286	2.20

v t e 2021 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Expenditures
	Conservative	Ryan Williams	25,479	41.3	+4.5	$93,825.48
	Liberal	Neil Ellis	22,542	36.5	-2.6	$99,915.72
	New Democratic	Stephanie Bell	9,284	15.0	-1.0	$10,138.56
	People's	Janine LeClerc	3,045	4.9	+2.9	$4,474.11
	Green	Erica Charlton	1,350	2.2	-3.9	$6,273.82
Total valid votes			61,700
Total rejected ballots			405
Turnout			62,105	64.95
Eligible voters			95,615
	Conservative gain from Liberal		Swing		+5.6
Source: Elections Canada

v t e 2019 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Expenditures
	Liberal	Neil Ellis	24,099	39.16	-11.58	$96,721.36
	Conservative	Tim Durkin	22,650	36.80	+2.53	$55,922.84
	New Democratic	Stephanie Bell	9,851	16.01	+3.87	none listed
	Green	Danny Celovsky	3,740	6.08	+3.86	$592.37
	People's	Paul Bordonaro	1,207	1.96		none listed
Total valid votes/expense limit			61,547	99.25
Total rejected ballots			464	0.75	+0.38
Turnout			62,011	65.83	-2.30
Eligible voters			94,197
	Liberal hold		Swing		-7.05
Source: Elections Canada

v t e 2015 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Expenditures
	Liberal	Neil Ellis	29,281	50.74	+29.86	$118,473.86
	Conservative	Jodie Jenkins	19,781	34.27	−17.53	$109,092.53
	New Democratic	Terry Cassidy	7,001	12.13	−10.88	$21,205.50
	Green	Rachel Nelems	1,278	2.21	−1.56	–
	Independent	Trueman Tuck	372	0.64	–	$4,425.20
Total valid votes/expense limit			57,713	99.64		$221,051.99
Total rejected ballots			211	0.36	–
Turnout			57,924	68.13	–
Eligible voters			85,021
	Liberal notional gain from Conservative		Swing		+23.69
Source: Elections Canada

2011 federal election redistributed results
Party		Vote	%
	Conservative	25,906	51.81
	New Democratic	11,508	23.01
	Liberal	10,441	20.88
	Green	1,886	3.77
	Others	265	0.53

Notes

Statistic includes all persons that did not make up part of a visible minority or an indigenous identity.
Statistic includes total responses of "Chinese", "Korean", and "Japanese" under visible minority section on census.
Statistic includes total responses of "Filipino" and "Southeast Asian" under visible minority section on census.
Statistic includes total responses of "West Asian" and "Arab" under visible minority section on census.
Statistic includes total responses of "Visible minority, n.i.e." and "Multiple visible minorities" under visible minority section on census.

References

Statistics Canada: 2017
Statistics Canada: 2017
Timeline for the Redistribution of Federal Electoral Districts
Final Report – Ontario
Government of Canada, Statistics Canada (February 9, 2022). "Profile table, Census Profile, 2021 Census of Population - Bay of Quinte [Federal electoral district (2013 Representation Order)], Ontario". www12.statcan.gc.ca. Retrieved April 6, 2023.
Government of Canada, Statistics Canada (October 26, 2022). "Census Profile, 2021 Census of Population". www12.statcan.gc.ca. Retrieved December 25, 2023.
Government of Canada, Statistics Canada (October 27, 2021). "Census Profile, 2016 Census". www12.statcan.gc.ca. Retrieved December 25, 2023.
Government of Canada, Statistics Canada (November 27, 2015). "NHS Profile". www12.statcan.gc.ca. Retrieved December 25, 2023.
"Transposition of Votes from the 44th General Election to the 2023 Representation Orders". Elections Canada. Retrieved April 9, 2024.
"Official Voting Results". Elections Canada. Retrieved October 1, 2021.
"List of confirmed candidates". Elections Canada. Retrieved October 3, 2019.
"Official Voting Results". Elections Canada. Retrieved May 5, 2021.
Elections Canada – Confirmed candidates for Bay of Quinte, 30 September 2015
Elections Canada – Preliminary Election Expenses Limits for Candidates Archived 2015-08-15 at the Wayback Machine
Pundits' Guide to Canadian Elections

44°04′44″N 77°17′42″W / 44.079°N 77.295°W / 44.079; -77.295

v t e Federal ridings in Eastern Ontario
Conservative	Bay of Quinte Hastings—Lennox and Addington Lanark—Frontenac—Kingston Leeds—Grenville—Thousand Islands and Rideau Lakes Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke Stormont—Dundas—South Glengarry
Liberal	Glengarry—Prescott—Russell Kingston and the Islands

Federal ridings in Ontario

Central
Ontario

Eastern
Ontario

S Durham
& York

SW Durham	Ajax Oshawa Pickering—Uxbridge Whitby
S York	Aurora—Oak Ridges—Richmond Hill King—Vaughan Markham—Stouffville Markham—Thornhill Markham—Unionville Richmond Hill Thornhill Vaughan—Woodbridge

City of Toronto
(Suburbs & Downtown)

Scarborough	Scarborough—Agincourt Scarborough Centre Scarborough-Guildwood Scarborough North Scarborough—Rouge Park Scarborough Southwest
Beaches—East York Davenport Don Valley East Don Valley North Don Valley West Eglinton—Lawrence Humber River—Black Creek Parkdale—High Park Spadina—Fort York Toronto Centre Toronto—Danforth Toronto—St. Paul's University—Rosedale Willowdale York Centre York South—Weston
Etobicoke	Etobicoke Centre Etobicoke—Lakeshore Etobicoke North

Cities of
Brampton &
Mississauga

Brampton	Brampton Centre Brampton East Brampton North Brampton South Brampton West
Mississauga	Mississauga Centre Mississauga East—Cooksville Mississauga—Erin Mills Mississauga—Lakeshore Mississauga—Malton Mississauga—Streetsville

Southern
Halton,
Hamilton
and Niagara

Southwestern Halton	Burlington Milton Oakville Oakville North—Burlington
City of Hamilton	Flamborough—Glanbrook Hamilton Centre Hamilton East—Stoney Creek Hamilton Mountain Hamilton West—Ancaster—Dundas
Niagara	Niagara Centre Niagara Falls Niagara West St. Catharines

See also: Former federal ridings in Ontario
Provincial ridings in Ontario

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