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Severe Tropical Cyclone Ilsa

Ilsa near peak intensity while approaching Western Australia on 13 April
Meteorological history
Formed	6 April 2023 (2023-04-06)
Dissipated	15 April 2023 (2023-04-15)
Category 5 severe tropical cyclone
10-minute sustained (Aus)
Highest winds	230 km/h (145 mph)
Highest gusts	325 km/h (200 mph)
Lowest pressure	915 hPa (mbar); 27.02 inHg
Category 5-equivalent tropical cyclone
1-minute sustained (SSHWS/JTWC)
Highest winds	260 km/h (160 mph)
Lowest pressure	920 hPa (mbar); 27.17 inHg
Overall effects
Fatalities	8
Damage	≥A$4 million
Areas affected	Maluku, Lesser Sunda Islands, Northern Territory, Western Australia
Part of the 2022–23 Australian region cyclone season

Severe Tropical Cyclone Ilsa was a powerful tropical cyclone that struck Western Australia in April 2023. The sixth named storm, and the fifth severe tropical cyclone of the 2022–23 Australian region cyclone season, Ilsa formed from a tropical low off the coast of Indonesia on 6 April. It fluctuated in intensity and became a Category 1 tropical cyclone on 11 April, after deep convection became symmetric around the low-level circulation center. Ilsa then rapidly intensified the following day and reached its peak intensity as a Category 5 severe tropical cyclone on the Australian tropical cyclone intensity scale. Ten-minute sustained winds were estimated as 230 km/h (145 mph), with a central barometric pressure of 915 hPa (27.02 inHg). One-minute sustained winds reached 260 km/h (160 mph) at this time, equivalent to a Category 5 hurricane on the Saffir–Simpson hurricane wind scale. Additionally, record-breaking ten-minute sustained wind speed of 219 km/h (136 mph) were measured at Bedout Island, beating the previous record of Cyclone George in 2007. Ilsa made landfall roughly 120 km (75 mi) northeast of Port Hedland, Western Australia. Inland, Ilsa weakened to a low-end tropical cyclone with 85 km/h (50 mph) winds. Overall, Ilsa caused over A$4 million in damage, and caused 8 deaths after two boats capsized off the coast of Western Australia.

Meteorological history

An active burst of the Madden–Julian oscillation in conjunction with a westward-propagating equatorial Rossby wave led to the formation of a tropical low on 6 April. The low—designated 23U by the Bureau of Meteorology (BoM)—slowly moved southwest around a mid-level ridge above north-eastern Australia, as convection persisted near the system's circulation. By the next day, the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) issued a Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert on the system, citing the slightly favourable environmental conditions encompassing poleward outflow and warm sea surface temperatures (SST) of 29–30 °C (84–86 °F) subduing high vertical wind shear. Convection continued to strengthen west of the exposed low-level circulation centre (LLCC) as it scattered under a strong temperature gradient. During the following day, the JTWC initiated advisories on the system and classified it as Tropical Cyclone 18S.

More consolidation took place, with spiral rainbands present in all quadrants of the storm wrapping around the LLCC obscured by a cold dense overcast (CDO). Easterly wind shear decreased as a result of the intense convective mass causing upper-level winds around it. Over the subsequent days, the low steadily drifted to the southwest, but due to a surge of unfavourable wind shear, intensification was delayed. However, levels of wind shear later diminished, and by late on 11 April, the BoM reported that the symmetrical tropical low had developed into a Category 1 tropical cyclone and named it Ilsa. The expanding CDO completely obscured the circulation as westerly dry air attempted to enter the system from the north. Consequently, Ilsa became a Category 1-equivalent tropical cyclone on the Saffir–Simpson scale (SSHWS). A burst of convection occurred near Ilsa's center, and the BoM reported that it briefly strengthened into a Category 2 cyclone. On the same day, Ilsa rapidly intensified into a Category 3 severe tropical cyclone within a favourable environment of low shear and warm SST. Ilsa then underwent steady intensification under persistent wind shear, as SST and ocean heat content increased along the way, with cloud top temperatures of at least −92 °C (−134 °F). A mid-level trough passed south of the system, eroding the steering ridge, and by 12 April, Ilsa changed course to be more southerly.

Ilsa displayed an eye feature in microwave imaging, with vortical hot towers indicating eye development. The eye in the symmetric system later became visible on satellite imagery as rainbands tightened after intensifying to a Category 3-equivalent tropical cyclone. Later the next day, the BoM assessed the storm to have attained ten-minute sustained winds of 165 km/h (105 mph), ranking it as a Category 4 severe tropical cyclone. Owing to the substantial radial outflow and very warm SST, despite moderate wind shear, Ilsa intensified into a Category 4-equivalent tropical cyclone on the SSHWS. Later that day, Ilsa strengthened further to its peak intensity as a Category 5-equivalent tropical cyclone with 1-minute sustained winds of 260 km/h (160 mph). An automated weather station on Rowley Shoals recorded wind gusts up to 235 km/h (146 mph). Later that same day, Ilsa had become a Category 5 severe tropical cyclone with sustained winds of 230 km/h (145 mph) and the lowest atmospheric pressure of 915 hPa (27.02 inHg). Around that time, the eye was measured from its initial 41 km (25 mi) to 26 km (16 mi).

Ilsa made landfall in a coast 120 km (75 mi) east-northeast of Port Hedland, with 10-minute sustained winds of 215 km/h (130 mph). Following this, the JTWC discontinued the issuing of advisories of Ilsa, as the storm accelerated inland and rapidly deteriorated from land interaction and high vertical wind shear. While over Western Australia, Ilsa weakened to a Category 4 severe tropical cyclone with 175 km/h (110 mph) winds. The storm continued to weaken with a deteriorating cloud signature. During 14 April, another mid-level trough enhanced over Western Australia, steering Ilsa south then southeast. Ilsa fell below tropical cyclone strength at 12:00 UTC. Ilsa was last noted on 15 April, with its remnants moving east before dissipating over Central Australia.

Preparations and impact

Gale-force winds with gusts up to 165 km/h (105 mph), and heavy rain might occur on 9 April between Kalumburu and Kuri Bay in the state's north. Squally thunderstorms are also anticipated in far northern Kimberley. Residents across the coast of Pilbara evacuated as high tides, large waves and inundation were possible, along with a highway closure along the Pilbara coast. In anticipation of Ilsa, the BoM issued a warning for Western Australia’s Kimberley and Pilbara regions.

Additional emergency workers, aircraft and essential supplies have also been sent to the region. On 12 April, the Department of Fire and Emergency Services (DFES) issued a cyclone yellow alert, and urged residents to be prudent and to take action and prepare to shelter. At least 700 residents were being evacuated to cyclone shelters prior to the storm. Port Hedland mayor Peter Carter said damaging winds could turn flying debris into "missiles in the air".

Western Australia's Emergency Department on 15 April assessed damage from a tropical cyclone that hit the northwest of the state. At least eight personnel have been sent to the Great Northern Highway fires near Pippingarra. Pardoo Roadhouse, located northeast of Port Hedland and near the landfall point, sustained major damage valued at A$4 million. Five accommodation sheds were entirely blown away by the storm at the Pardoo Roadhouse, and emergency officials have been unable to locate them. Apart from Pardoo, acting emergency services minister Sue Ellery called the storm damage "fairly minimal."

Two boats containing 19 men total illegally fishing off the coast of Western Australia were caught in the cyclone. One of the boats was found shipwrecked on Bedwell Island, while the other boat sank. The 11 people on the shipwrecked boat were rescued, while one survivor was found from the sunken boat. The other 8 fishermen died.

Retirement

As a result of the damage associated with the storm, the name Ilsa was removed from the list of Australian region cyclone names and will never be used again for a tropical cyclone in that basin. It was replaced by Isabella for future seasons.

See also

• Tropical cyclones in 2023
• Weather of 2023
• Cyclone Ilona (1988)
• Cyclone Orson (1989) – a powerful tropical cyclone that had a similar path and intensity.
• Cyclone John (1999)
• Cyclone George (2007)
• Cyclone Laurence (2009)
• Cyclones Heidi and Lua (2012) – two severe tropical cyclones which both made landfall around Pardoo within the span of two months.
• Cyclone Kelvin (2018) – the previous severe tropical cyclone to make landfall between Broome and Port Hedland prior to Ilsa.

Notes

1. The position of Ilsa's Category 5 peak is not depicted in this graphic as it is an asynoptic point (i.e. not at the 6-hour intervals of all other points) occurring at 09:00 UTC 13 April.

References

1. ^ Boterhoven, Matthew; Paterson, Linda (6 June 2023). Severe Tropical Cyclone Ilsa (PDF) (Report). Australian Bureau of Meteorology. Retrieved 28 November 2023.
2. Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert (Invest 98S) (Report). United States Joint Typhoon Warning Center. 7 April 2023. Archived from the original on 7 April 2023. Retrieved 7 April 2023.
3. Prognostic Reasoning for Tropical Cyclone 18S (Eighteen) Warning No. 1 (Report). United States Joint Typhoon Warning Center. 8 April 2023. Archived from the original on 8 April 2023. Retrieved 8 April 2023. Alt URL
4. Prognostic Reasoning for Tropical Cyclone 18S (Eighteen) Warning No. 2 (Report). United States Joint Typhoon Warning Center. 8 April 2023. Retrieved 4 December 2023.
5. Prognostic Reasoning for Tropical Disturbance 18S (Eighteen) Warning No. 3 (Report). United States Joint Typhoon Warning Center. 9 April 2023. Archived from the original on 9 April 2023. Retrieved 9 April 2023.
6. Prognostic Reasoning for Tropical Cyclone 18S (Eighteen) Warning No. 9 (Report). United States Joint Typhoon Warning Center. 9 April 2023. Archived from the original on 9 April 2023. Retrieved 9 April 2023. Alt URL
7. Prognostic Reasoning for Tropical Cyclone 18S (Ilsa) Warning No. 12 (Report). United States Joint Typhoon Warning Center. 11 April 2023. Archived from the original on 11 April 2023. Retrieved 11 April 2023.
8. "Tropical Cyclone Technical Bulletin (Western Region)". Australian Bureau of Meteorology. 11 April 2023. Archived from the original on 12 April 2023. Retrieved 12 April 2023.
9. "Tropical Cyclone Technical Bulletin (Western Region)". Australian Bureau of Meteorology. 12 April 2023. Archived from the original on 12 April 2023. Retrieved 12 April 2023.
10. Prognostic Reasoning for Tropical Cyclone 18S (Ilsa) Warning No. 13 (Report). United States Joint Typhoon Warning Center. 11 April 2023. Retrieved 5 December 2023.
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12. Prognostic Reasoning for Tropical Cyclone 18S (Ilsa) Warning No. 17 (Report). United States Joint Typhoon Warning Center. 12 April 2023. Archived from the original on 12 April 2023. Retrieved 12 April 2023. Alt URL
13. Tropical Cyclone Forecast Track Map for Severe Tropical Cyclone Ilsa (Report). Australian Bureau of Meteorology. 13 April 2023. Archived from the original on 13 April 2023. Retrieved 13 April 2023.
14. Prognostic Reasoning for Tropical Cyclone 18S (Ilsa) Warning No. 18 (Report). United States Joint Typhoon Warning Center. 13 April 2023. Archived from the original on 13 April 2023. Retrieved 13 April 2023.
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16. "Severe Tropical Cyclone Ilsa to cross WA coast as powerful category five system". ABC News. 13 April 2023. Archived from the original on 13 April 2023. Retrieved 13 April 2023.
17. "Tropical Cyclone Technical Bulletin (Western Region)". Australian Bureau of Meteorology. 13 April 2023. Archived from the original on 13 April 2023. Retrieved 13 April 2023.
18. Tropical Cyclone 18S (Ilsa) Warning No. 21 (Report). United States Joint Typhoon Warning Center. 13 April 2023. Archived from the original on 14 April 2023. Retrieved 13 April 2023.
19. "Tropical Cyclone Technical Bulletin (Western Region)". Australian Bureau of Meteorology. 13 April 2023. Archived from the original on 14 April 2023. Retrieved 13 April 2023.
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21. ^ "Tropical cyclone 'Ilsa' could hit parts of WA coast". WAtoday. 9 April 2023. Archived from the original on 9 April 2023. Retrieved 9 April 2023.
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24. Jarred, Cross (12 April 2023). "Pilbara and Kimberely prepare to shelter as Cyclone Ilsa reaches category 3, continues towards coast". Retrieved 13 April 2023.
25. "Western Australia battens down as Cyclone Ilsa gathers strength". 1 News. Archived from the original on 12 April 2023. Retrieved 13 April 2023.
26. Anderson, Anthony (13 April 2023). "Tropical Cyclone Ilsa intensifies further to category 4 system". Retrieved 13 April 2023.
27. "Cyclone Ilsa: Western Australia braces for category 4 storm". BBC News. 13 April 2023. Archived from the original on 13 April 2023. Retrieved 13 April 2023.
28. "Australia's northwest braces for strongest cyclone in a decade". www.aljazeera.com. Retrieved 13 April 2023.
29. "Western Australia assesses Cyclone Ilsa's 'path of destruction'". Reuters. 15 April 2023. Archived from the original on 15 April 2023. Retrieved 15 April 2023.
30. "Engineers to assess how to cyclone-proof outback buildings as Ilsa clean-up gets underway". ABC News. 14 April 2023. Archived from the original on 14 April 2023. Retrieved 15 April 2023.
31. "Roadhouse at centre of Cyclone Ilsa estimates damage at more than $4 million". The Age. Archived from the original on 14 April 2023. Retrieved 13 April 2023.
32. "Cyclone Ilsa leaves million-dollar damage bill after record winds but storm threat 'not over yet'". www.9news.com.au. Archived from the original on 14 April 2023. Retrieved 15 April 2023.
33. "Powerful Cyclone Ilsa lashes Australia's northwest coast". WTOP News. 14 April 2023. Archived from the original on 15 April 2023. Retrieved 15 April 2023.
34. Murphy, Hannah; Barker, Anne; Brann, Matt; Bieundurry, Tallulah (3 May 2023). "Indonesian fishermen who survived cyclone that killed eight off WA coast won't face charges". ABC News. Retrieved 10 May 2023.
35. RA V Tropical Cyclone Committee (2024). Tropical Cyclone Operational Plan for the South-East Indian Ocean and the Southern Pacific Ocean 2024 (PDF) (Report). World Meteorological Organization. Retrieved 14 October 2024.

External links

• Australian Bureau of Meteorology
• Joint Typhoon Warning Center
• Tropical Cyclone Warning Center Jakarta (in Indonesian)
• Papua New Guinea National Weather Service

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Category

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• 2022–23 Australian region cyclone season
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• 2023 disasters in Australia
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• Tropical cyclones in Western Australia
• Category 5 Australian region cyclones
• 2020s in Western Australia