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Electorate opinion polling for the 2022 Australian federal election

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2022 Australian federal election
National results
State and territory results

Various research and polling firms conducted opinion polling before the 2022 federal election in individual electorates across Australia, in relation to voting intentions in the Australian House of Representatives.

Australian Capital Territory

Date Brand Seat Sample size Primary vote 2PP vote
Lib ALP GRN Pocock Rubenstein ON UAP OTH Lib ALP
6 May 2022 RedBridge Senate 1064 25% 27% 11% 21% 6% 6% 4%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Bean 24% 44% 11% 2% 2% 17% 37% 63%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Canberra 20% 46% 24% 1% 1% 8% 28% 72%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Fenner 30% 46% 18% 2% 2% 2% 36% 64%
6 Apr 2022 RedBridge Senate 25% 37% 14% 11%
6 Apr 2022 RedBridge Senate 24% 35% 15% 13%

New South Wales

Date Brand Seat Sample size Primary vote 2PP vote
L/NP ALP IND GRN ON UAP OTH L/NP ALP IND GRN
17 May 2022 Laidlaw Campaigns Fowler 618 42% 45% 38%
15 May 2022 Industry Association Robertson 800 42% 58%
15 May 2022 Industry Association Reid 800 47% 53%
15 May 2022 Industry Association Parramatta 800 46% 54%
15 May 2022 Industry Association Gilmore 800 44% 56%
15 May 2022 Industry Association Shortland 800 43% 57%
15 May 2022 Industry Association Hunter 800 49% 51%
15 May 2022 Industry Association Lindsay 800 57% 43%
3–14 May 2022 RedBridge North Sydney 1267 33.3% 17.8% 23.5%
1–7 May 2022 RedBridge Wentworth 1117 36.0% 11.7% 33.3% 6.2% 5.3%
6 May 2022 Compass Polling North Sydney 507 40.5% 21.6% 13.6% 12.9% 3.0% 1.4% 6.1% 54% 46%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Banks 45% 38% 9% 2% 3% 3% 52% 48%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Barton 36% 49% 9% 2% 3% 3% 41% 59%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Bennelong 44% 40% 9% 2% 3% 2% 50% 50%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Blaxland 29% 50% 13% 3% 5% 36% 64%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Berowra 50% 29% 12% 3% 1% 5% 58% 42%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Bradfield 49% 30% 11% 2% 3% 5% 58% 42%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Calare 43% 26% 5% 9% 6% 11% 60% 40%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Chifley 28% 50% 6% 4% 2% 10% 40% 60%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Cook 55% 29% 7% 4% 5% 62% 38%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Cowper 42% 21% 7% 11% 2% 17% 68% 32%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Cunningham 29% 46% 15% 3% 6% 1% 37% 63%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Dobell 36% 42% 9% 4% 6% 3% 46% 54%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Eden-Monaro 35% 44% 7% 3% 2% 9% 43% 57%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Farrer 48% 21% 7% 9% 5% 10% 73% 27%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Fowler 28% 50% 7% 5% 6% 4% 38% 62%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Gilmore 39% 39% 11% 5% 2% 4% 47% 53%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Grayndler 20% 53% 20% 1% 1% 5% 69% 31%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Greenway 38% 44% 8% 3% 2% 5% 47% 53%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Hughes 42% 31% 6% 2% 5% 14% 56% 44%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Hume 47% 32% 6% 4% 5% 6% 59% 41%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Hunter 16% 42% 10% 16% 6% 10% 40% 60%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Kingsford Smith 35% 44% 15% 2% 4% 41% 59%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Lindsay 40% 40% 8% 6% 3% 3% 50% 50%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Lyne 38% 28% 6% 6% 3% 19% 56% 44%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Macarthur 28% 51% 8% 7% 4% 2% 38% 62%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Mackellar 45% 20% 7% 3% 2% 23% 53% 47%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Macquarie 39% 40% 10% 3% 2% 6% 47% 53%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov McMahon 35% 39% 7% 5% 5% 5% 44% 56%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Mitchell 50% 30% 10% 5% 3% 2% 59% 41%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov New England 40% 21% 6% 10% 3% 20% 68% 32%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Newcastle 27% 50% 15% 3% 2% 3% 33% 67%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov North Sydney 38% 30% 10% 2% 2% 18% 53% 47%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Page 37% 31% 9% 6% 2% 15% 52% 48%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Parkes 35% 32% 5% 7% 4% 17% 54% 46%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Parramatta 37% 47% 7% 3% 2% 4% 43% 57%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Paterson 30% 47% 7% 10% 3% 3% 42% 58%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Reid 37% 44% 11% 2% 3% 3% 44% 56%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Richmond 25% 32% 18% 3% 2% 20% 41% 59%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Riverina 41% 29% 6% 6% 5% 13% 59% 41%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Robertson 39% 39% 9% 5% 5% 3% 49% 51%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Shortland 28% 43% 11% 3% 5% 10% 40% 60%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Sydney 23% 51% 21% 1% 2% 2% 28% 72%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Warringah 32% 12% 5% 4% 2% 45% 41% 59%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Watson 29% 55% 7% 5% 4% 11% 35% 65%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Wentworth 48% 16% 5% 3% 2% 26% 56% 44%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Werriwa 36% 41% 7% 4% 5% 7% 47% 53%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Whitlam 23% 50% 12% 6% 5% 4% 36% 64%
28 Apr 2022 RedBridge Parramatta 26.4% 32.4% 10.7% 7.2% 11.9% 45% 55%
28 Apr 2022 RedBridge Wentworth 36.6% 16.2% 24.3% 7.0% 6.3% 5.3% 47% 53%
11–12 Apr 2022 Community Engagement North Sydney 1114 37.4% 17.4% 19.4% 8.7% 5.6%
7 Apr 2022 uComms Mackellar 833 35.2% 18.0% 23.9%
20–21 Mar 2022 KJC Research Wentworth 1036 42% 14% 27% 9% 3% 4% 49% 51%
28 Jan 2022 uComms Wentworth 850 35.6% 18.6% 27.7% 7.5% 44% 56%
28 Jan 2022 uComms North Sydney 850 34.1% 22.9% 20% 11.2%

Northern Territory

Date Brand Seat Sample size Primary vote 2PP vote
CLP ALP GRN ON UAP OTH CLP ALP
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Lingiari 32% 43% 12% 7% 1% 5% 43% 57%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Solomon 33% 40% 15% 5% 4% 3% 44% 56%

Queensland

Date Brand Seat Sample size Primary vote 2PP vote
LNP ALP GRN ON UAP OTH LNP ALP OTH
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Blair 30% 36% 12% 11% 4% 7% 46% 54%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Bonner 46% 32% 15% 4% 3% 54% 46%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Bowman 44% 32% 12% 6% 5% 1% 55% 45%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Brisbane 36% 29% 28% 2% 3% 2% 46% 54%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Capricornia 38% 27% 7% 16% 4% 8% 59% 41%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Dawson 33% 30% 7% 19% 3% 8% 56% 44%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Dickson 42% 30% 13% 4% 5% 6% 53% 47%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Fadden 44% 26% 8% 8% 7% 7% 61% 39%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Fairfax 45% 24% 15% 7% 4% 5% 58% 42%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Fisher 42% 28% 15% 6% 6% 3% 55% 45%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Flynn 33% 32% 5% 16% 8% 6% 54% 46%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Forde 38% 30% 10% 9% 5% 8% 55% 45%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Griffith 32% 36% 26% 3% 3% 40% 60%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Groom 48% 24% 8% 12% 2% 6% 64% 36%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Herbert 38% 27% 7% 11% 4% 13% 56% 44%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Hinkler 44% 27% 7% 14% 3% 5% 60% 40%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Kennedy 27% 17% 7% 6% 43% 38% 62%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Leichhardt 35% 32% 12% 10% 5% 6% 51% 49%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Lilley 38% 41% 13% 4% 1% 3% 46% 54%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Longman 36% 38% 6% 11% 2% 7% 50% 50%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Maranoa 52% 19% 4% 15% 5% 5% 73% 27%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov McPherson 42% 25% 17% 6% 6% 4% 56% 44%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Moncrieff 48% 23% 9% 7% 7% 6% 64% 34%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Moreton 36% 38% 18% 2% 4% 2% 44% 56%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Oxley 33% 46% 12% 6% 3% 42% 58%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Petrie 44% 31% 10% 6% 7% 2% 56% 44%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Rankin 28% 40% 12% 9% 7% 4% 42% 58%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Ryan 40% 25% 24% 2% 3% 6% 50% 50%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Wide Bay 45% 25% 8% 10% 2% 10% 59% 41%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Wright 35% 22% 10% 20% 9% 4% 56% 44%
28 Jan 2022 United Workers Union Dickson 1200 40% 34% 10% 5% 5% 4% 51% 49%

South Australia

Date Brand Seat Sample size Primary vote 2PP vote
Lib ALP GRN IND ON UAP OTH Lib ALP OTH
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Adelaide 34% 43% 15% 3% 3% 2% 40% 60%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Barker 48% 26% 6% 8% 6% 6% 62% 38%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Boothby 37% 38% 11% 2% 1% 11% 47% 53%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Grey 41% 29% 5% 12% 3% 10% 57% 43%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Hindmarsh 34% 43% 13% 3% 3% 4% 42% 58%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Kingston 28% 52% 9% 3% 3% 5% 36% 64%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Makin 31% 50% 9% 3% 5% 2% 39% 61%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Mayo 34% 20% 8% 8% 2% 28% 48% 52%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Spence 28% 48% 9% 8% 4% 3% 38% 62%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Sturt 42% 36% 15% 2% 2% 3% 50% 50%
5 Apr 2022 uComms Senate 1052 32.2% 36.1% 11.6% 8.2% 3.9% 2.7% 3.2%
30 Mar 2022 uComms Boothby 801 33.9% 36.3% 11.4% 8.6% 4.8% 3% 43% 57%
30 Mar 2022 uComms Sturt 809 38.4% 33% 11.3% 5% 4.1% 48% 52%

Tasmania

Date Brand Seat Sample size Primary vote 2PP vote
Lib ALP GRN ON UAP OTH L/NP ALP IND
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Bass 39% 36% 11% 3% 1% 10% 49% 51%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Braddon 37% 31% 5% 7% 2% 18% 52% 48%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Clark 15% 21% 9% 5% 2% 48% 39% 61%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Franklin 28% 39% 17% 2% 3% 11% 37% 63%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Lyons 34% 35% 9% 4% 3% 15% 46% 54%
17, 21 March 2022 uComms Braddon 829 34.7% 33.7% 5.4% 7.2% 2.2% 12.9% 47% 53%
17, 21 March 2022 uComms Senate 829 35.0% 31.6% 8.7% 4.9% 3.0% 14.3%
4–6 Apr 2022 Redbridge Bass 915 36% 36% 11% 6% 3% 9%

Victoria

Date Brand Seat Sample size Primary vote 2PP vote
Lib Nat ALP IND GRN ON UAP OTH L/NP ALP IND GRN
16 May 2022 uComms Goldstein 831 34.0% 12.5% 35.3% 8.9% 1.4% 1.8% 1.4% 41% 59%
13 May 2022 uComms Higgins 836 36.9% 29.8% 19.9% 46% 54%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Aston 52% 29% 9% 3% 5% 2% 60% 40%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Ballarat 38% 41% 10% 4% 2% 5% 46% 54%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Bendigo 31% 41% 15% 5% 4% 4% 40% 60%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Bruce 32% 47% 8% 4% 6% 3% 42% 58%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Calwell 26% 50% 7% 4% 10% 3% 35% 65%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Casey 39% 29% 10% 3% 5% 14% 52% 48%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Chisholm 38% 39% 11% 2% 4% 6% 47% 53%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Cooper 22% 45% 23% 2% 4% 4% 66% 34%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Corangamite 43% 36% 10% 3% 4% 4% 50% 50%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Corio 29% 43% 17% 3% 5% 3% 39% 61%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Deakin 43% 33% 10% 2% 3% 9% 53% 47%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Dunkley 33% 37% 10% 4% 8% 8% 46% 54%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Flinders 36% 27% 6% 5% 4% 22% 52% 48%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Fraser 27% 48% 13% 3% 7% 2% 35% 65%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Gellibrand 29% 46% 13% 2% 7% 3% 37% 63%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Gippsland 50% 27% 7% 5% 3% 8% 61% 39%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Goldstein 40% 23% 10% 1% 2% 24% 48% 52%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Gorton 29% 46% 9% 3% 7% 6% 37% 63%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Hawke 32% 42% 8% 5% 4% 9% 40% 60%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Higgins 40% 33% 21% 1% 5% 47% 53%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Holt 33% 45% 8% 2% 3% 9% 43% 57%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Hotham 32% 50% 9% 2% 3% 4% 43% 57%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Indi 34% 16% 3% 9% 4% 34% 47% 53%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Isaacs 36% 39% 13% 2% 4% 6% 46% 54%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Jagajaga 37% 40% 14% 2% 2% 5% 43% 57%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Kooyong 38% 20% 11% 2% 1% 28% 47% 53%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov La Trobe 41% 33% 11% 5% 7% 3% 53% 47%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Lalor 31% 46% 8% 3% 6% 6% 40% 60%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Macnamara 31% 32% 24% 2% 1% 10% 41% 59%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Mallee 37% 25% 7% 9% 5% 17% 56% 44%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Maribyrnong 28% 47% 16% 1% 5% 3% 34% 66%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov McEwen 35% 39% 12% 6% 4% 4% 45% 55%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Melbourne 17% 26% 43% 3% 3% 8% 36% 64%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Menzies 45% 31% 9% 3% 7% 5% 59% 41%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Monash 40% 29% 8% 8% 2% 13% 55% 45%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Nicholls 41% 19% 4% 13% 4% 19% 61% 39%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Scullin 24% 55% 7% 3% 9% 2% 32% 68%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Wannon 46% 27% 7% 5% 4% 11% 58% 42%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Wills 18% 41% 29% 2% 6% 4% 58% 42%
2 May 2022 uComms Goldstein 855 33% 12.6% 33.1% 7.7% 1.8% 3.2% 1.9% 38% 62%
2 May 2022 uComms Higgins 836 34.4 28.7% 20.3% 2.0% 9.2% 46% 54%
12 Apr 2022 uComms Kooyong 847 35.5% 12.8% 31.8% 11.7% 41% 59%
13 Mar 2022 Nicholls 20.2% 17% 15.2% 16.3% 5.4% 5.9% 4.1% 3.6%
28 Oct 2021 RedBridge Kooyong 25.9% 26.3%
28 Oct 2021 RedBridge Goldstein 28.5% 28.5%
28 Oct 2021 RedBridge Flinders 28.0% 24.3%

Western Australia

Date Brand Seat Sample size Primary vote 2PP vote
Lib ALP GRN IND ON UAP OTH Lib ALP IND
16 May 2022 Utting Research Curtin 514 38% 13% 9% 32% 3% 4% 48% 52%
15–16 May 2022 YouGov Pearce 411 40% 43% 4% 1% 2% 9% 47% 53%
12–13 May 2022 Utting Research Swan 39% 38% 10% 4% 3% 47% 53%
12–13 May 2022 Utting Research Pearce 32% 30% 12% 7% 6% 48% 52%
12–13 May 2022 Utting Research Hasluck 39% 31% 10% 9% 6% 55% 45%
12–13 May 2022 Utting Research Tangney 47% 35% 8% 2% 2% 54% 46%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Brand 27% 46% 12% 7% 3% 5% 40% 60%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Curtin 41% 24% 15% 3% 3% 14% 56% 44%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Burt 28% 46% 13% 5% 2% 6% 38% 62%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Canning 39% 33% 8% 6% 1% 13% 53% 47%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Cowan 31% 46% 13% 5% 2% 3% 41% 59%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Durack 46% 26% 10% 13% 2% 3% 61% 39%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Forrest 47% 26% 13% 9% 1% 4% 60% 40%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Fremantle 33% 43% 15% 3% 2% 4% 41% 59%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Hasluck 39% 32% 13% 5% 5% 6% 52% 48%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Moore 45% 32% 11% 3% 3% 6% 55% 45%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov O'Connor 50% 26% 10% 9% 1% 4% 61% 39%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Pearce 39% 37% 12% 5% 2% 5% 48% 52%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Perth 28% 42% 21% 3% 2% 4% 37% 63%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Swan 34% 42% 13% 4% 3% 4% 43% 57%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022 YouGov Tangney 46% 33% 11% 3% 2% 5% 55% 45%
11–14 Mar 2022 Utting Research Curtin 718 42% 20% 9% 24% 2% 51% 49%
11–14 Mar 2022 Utting Research Tangney 750 41% 41% 7% 2% 2% 8% 50% 50%
11–14 Mar 2022 Utting Research Hasluck 750 37% 39% 7% 4% 3% 10% 48% 52%
11–14 Mar 2022 Utting Research Pearce 750 34% 44% 5% 5% 5% 7% 45% 55%
11–14 Mar 2022 Utting Research Swan 750 32% 46% 7% 3% 5% 7% 41% 59%

See also

Notes

  1. ^ Independent primary votes are counted under the "other" column
  2. Including 4% for the Western Australia Party
  1. 5.2% Nick Xenophon, 3.0% Rex Patrick

References

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