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2016 United States Senate election in Georgia

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See also: 2016 United States Senate elections

2016 United States Senate election in Georgia

← 2010 November 8, 2016 2020–2021 (special) →
 
Nominee Johnny Isakson Jim Barksdale
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 2,135,806 1,599,726
Percentage 54.80% 41.04%

County results Congressional district results Precinct resultsIsakson:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Barksdale:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Tie:      40–50%      50%      No data

U.S. senator before election

Johnny Isakson
Republican

Elected U.S. senator

Johnny Isakson
Republican

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The 2016 United States Senate election in Georgia was held November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Georgia, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. The primary election for the Republican and Democratic parties took place on May 24, 2016.

Incumbent Senator Johnny Isakson won re-election to a third term in office by a wide margin. He later resigned from the Senate on December 31, 2019, due to health issues. As of 2024, this remains the last time Republicans won a Senate election in Georgia, as well as the last time that suburban Gwinnett and Henry counties have voted Republican in a statewide election. It also remains the last time that any statewide candidate has won an election in Georgia by double digits, and the last time that any U.S. Senate candidate in Georgia has won without a runoff. This is the also the last United States Senate election in Georgia in which the winning candidate won a majority of counties.

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Withdrawn

  • Lee Benedict, teacher and state senate candidate in 2007 (running for the Columbia County Commission)

Declined

Endorsements

Johnny Isakson

Governors

U.S. Representatives

State senators

State representatives

Statewide officials

Individuals

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Johnny
Isakson
Another
candidate
Undecided
InsiderAdvantage June 11–14, 2015 492 ± 4.4% 50% 26% 24%

Results

Results by county: Map legend
  •   Isakson—80–90%
  •   Isakson—70–80%
  •   Isakson—60–70%
  •   Isakson—50–60%
Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Johnny Isakson (incumbent) 447,661 77.50%
Republican Derrick Grayson 69,101 11.96%
Republican Mary Kay Bacallao 60,898 10.54%
Total votes 577,660 100.00%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

  • James F. Barksdale, investment firm executive
  • Cheryl Copeland, AT&T manager
  • John Coyne, businessman and perennial candidate

Withdrawn

Declined

Results

Results by county: Map legend
  •   Barksdale—80–90%
  •   Barksdale—60–70%
  •   Barksdale—50–60%
  •   Barksdale—40–50%
  •   Copeland—40–50%
  •   Copeland—50–60%
  •   Copeland—60–70%
  •   Copeland—70–80%
Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Jim Barksdale 166,627 53.74%
Democratic Cheryl Copeland 130,822 42.19%
Democratic John Coyne 12,604 4.07%
Total votes 310,053 100.00%

Libertarian nomination

Candidates

Declared

  • Allen Buckley, attorney, accountant, nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2004 and 2008 and nominee for Lieutenant Governor of Georgia in 2006
  • Ted Metz, insurance agent, former Cobb County Republican district chairman, and nominee for insurance commissioner in 2014

Allen Buckley won the nomination at the March 5, 2016, nominating convention in Marietta.

General election

Debates

Dates Location Isakson Barksdale Buckley Link
October 21, 2016 Atlanta, Georgia Participant Participant Participant

Polling

Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. Updates on reimplementing the Graph extension, which will be known as the Chart extension, can be found on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org.
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Johnny
Isakson (R)
Jim
Barksdale (D)
Allen
Buckley (L)
Other Undecided
SurveyMonkey November 1–7, 2016 2,419 ± 4.6% 47% 41% 8% 4%
WSB-TV/Landmark November 6, 2016 1,200 ± 2.8% 52% 41% 4% 3%
SurveyMonkey October 31–November 6, 2016 2,348 ± 4.6% 47% 41% 8% 4%
CBS News/YouGov November 3–5, 2016 995 ± 4.6% 48% 41% 6% 5%
WSB-TV/Landmark November 2–3, 2016 1,000 ± 3.1% 50% 40% 5% 6%
FOX 5 Atlanta/Opinion Savvy November 2–3, 2016 538 ± 4.2% 50% 39% 8% 3%
SurveyMonkey October 28–November 3, 2016 2,872 ± 4.6% 47% 42% 8% 3%
SurveyMonkey October 27–November 2, 2016 2,722 ± 4.6% 47% 42% 7% 4%
NBC/WSJ/Marist October 30–November 1, 2016 707 LV ± 3.7% 48% 37% 7% 3% 5%
937 RV ± 3.2% 46% 36% 8% 4% 7%
SurveyMonkey October 26–November 1, 2016 2,678 ± 4.6% 48% 41% 6% 5%
Emerson College October 29–31, 2016 650 ± 3.8% 48% 40% 5% 7%
SurveyMonkey October 25–31, 2016 2,665 ± 4.6% 50% 41% 5% 4%
WXIA-TV Atlanta/SurveyUSA October 25–27, 2016 594 ± 4.1% 50% 38% 5% 8%
Quinnipiac University October 20–26, 2016 707 ± 3.7% 54% 40% 6%
FOX 5 Atlanta/Opinion Savvy October 20, 2016 570 ± 4.1% 51% 42% 3% 4%
Google Consumer Surveys October 18–20, 2016 439 ± 4.2% 58% 36% 6%
Atlanta Journal Constitution October 17–20, 2016 839 ± 4.3% 47% 32% 11% 7%
The Times-Picayune/Lucid October 17–18, 2016 807 ± 3.0% 49% 39% 13%
Washington Post/SurveyMonkey October 8–16, 2016 886 ± 0.5% 50% 46% 4%
WSB-TV/Landmark October 11–12, 2016 1,400 ± 2.7% 50% 37% 5% 8%
JMC Analytics (R) September 20–22, 2016 600 ± 4.0% 41% 28% 4% 27%
Quinnipiac University September 13–21, 2016 638 ± 3.9% 55% 34% 10%
Monmouth University September 15–18, 2016 401 ± 4.9% 50% 34% 5% 10%
FOX 5 Atlanta/Opinion Savvy September 14, 2016 568 ± 4.1% 47% 34% 6% 13%
Emerson College September 9–13, 2016 600 ± 3.6% 48% 32% 10%
NBC/WSJ/Marist September 6–8, 2016 649 ± 3.8% 53% 38% 9%
JMC Analytics (R) August 6–7, 2016 615 ± 4.0% 39% 30% 4% 27%
Atlanta Journal Constitution August 1–4, 2016 847 ± 4.0% 44% 38% 6% 12%
48% 42% 10%
WSB-TV/Landmark July 31, 2016 787 ± 4.0% 46% 41% 5% 8%
WXIA-TV Atlanta/SurveyUSA July 29–31, 2016 570 ± 4.2% 48% 39% 5% 8%
Public Policy Polling May 27–30, 2016 724 ± 3.6% 47% 35% 18%

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report Likely R November 2, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball Safe R November 7, 2016
Rothenberg Political Report Safe R November 3, 2016
Daily Kos Safe R November 8, 2016
Real Clear Politics Likely R November 7, 2016

Results

State Senate district results
United States Senate election in Georgia, 2016
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Johnny Isakson (incumbent) 2,135,806 54.80% −3.51%
Democratic Jim Barksdale 1,599,726 41.04% +2.04%
Libertarian Allen Buckley 162,260 4.16% +1.47%
Total votes 3,897,792 100.00% N/A
Republican hold

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

Isakson won 10 of 14 congressional districts.

District Isakson Barksdale Representative
1st 60% 36% Buddy Carter
2nd 47% 50% Sanford Bishop
3rd 67% 29% Lynn Westmoreland
Drew Ferguson
4th 26% 70% Hank Johnson
5th 20% 76% John Lewis
6th 58% 37% Tom Price
7th 56% 39% Rob Woodall
8th 66% 31% Austin Scott
9th 78% 18% Doug Collins
10th 64% 32% Jody Hice
11th 64% 30% Barry Loudermilk
12th 60% 37% Rick W. Allen
13th 30% 66% David Scott
14th 74% 21% Tom Graves

References

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  6. Lennon, Abbigail (March 13, 2016). "Columbia County incumbents faces opposition after qualifying ends". Columbia County News-Times. Archived from the original on March 14, 2016. Retrieved March 25, 2016.
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  43. WSB-TV/Landmark
  44. SurveyMonkey
  45. CBS News/YouGov
  46. WSB-TV/Landmark
  47. FOX 5 Atlanta/Opinion Savvy
  48. SurveyMonkey
  49. SurveyMonkey
  50. NBC/WSJ/Marist
  51. SurveyMonkey
  52. Emerson College
  53. SurveyMonkey
  54. WXIA-TV Atlanta/SurveyUSA
  55. Quinnipiac University Archived July 30, 2019, at the Wayback Machine
  56. FOX 5 Atlanta/Opinion Savvy
  57. Google Consumer Surveys
  58. Atlanta Journal Constitution Archived October 22, 2016, at the Wayback Machine
  59. The Times-Picayune/Lucid
  60. Washington Post/SurveyMonkey Archived October 19, 2016, at the Wayback Machine
  61. WSB-TV/Landmark
  62. JMC Analytics (R)
  63. Quinnipiac University Archived September 24, 2016, at the Wayback Machine
  64. Monmouth University
  65. FOX 5 Atlanta/Opinion Savvy
  66. Emerson College
  67. NBC/WSJ/Marist
  68. JMC Analytics (R)
  69. Atlanta Journal Constitution Archived August 6, 2016, at the Wayback Machine
  70. WSB-TV/Landmark Archived August 10, 2016, at the Wayback Machine
  71. WXIA-TV Atlanta/SurveyUSA
  72. Public Policy Polling
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  79. "DRA 2020". Daves Redistricting. Retrieved August 20, 2024.

External links

Official campaign websites

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