2010 Idaho gubernatorial election

(Redirected from Keith G. Allred)

For related races, see 2010 United States gubernatorial elections.

← 2006

November 2, 2010

2014 →


Nominee	Butch Otter	Keith G. Allred	Jana Kemp
Party	Republican	Democratic	Independent
Popular vote	267,483	148,680	26,655
Percentage	59.11%	32.85%	5.89%

County results
Otter: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80%
Allred: 40–50% 50–60%

Governor before election

Butch Otter
Republican

Elected Governor

Butch Otter
Republican

Elections in Idaho

Federal government

Presidential elections
1892 1896 1900 1904 1908 1912 1916 1920 1924 1928 1932 1936 1940 1944 1948 1952 1956 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024
Presidential primaries
Democratic 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024 Republican 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024
U.S. Senate elections
1890 1895 1897 1901 1902 1903 1907 1909 1913 1913 sp 1914 1918 1918 sp 1920 1924 1926 1928 sp 1930 1932 1936 1938 1940 sp 1942 1944 1946 sp 1948 1950 1950 sp 1954 1956 1960 1962 sp 1962 1966 1968 1972 1974 1978 1980 1984 1986 1990 1992 1996 1998 2002 2004 2008 2010 2014 2016 2020 2022 2026 2028
U.S. House of Representatives elections
1890 1892 1894 1896 1898 1900 1902 1904 1906 1908 1910 1912 1914 1916 1918 1920 1922 1924 1926 1928 1930 1932 1934 1936 1938 1940 1942 1944 1946 1948 1950 1952 1954 1956 1958 1960 1962 1964 1966 1968 1970 1972 1974 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024

State government

General elections
2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024
Gubernatorial elections
1892 1894 1896 1898 1900 1902 1904 1906 1908 1910 1912 1914 1916 1918 1920 1922 1924 1926 1928 1930 1932 1934 1936 1938 1940 1942 1944 1946 1950 1954 1958 1962 1966 1970 1974 1978 1982 1986 1990 1994 1998 2002 2006 2010 2014 2018 2022
Lieutenant gubernatorial elections
2022
Secretary of State elections
2022
Attorney General elections
2022
Senate elections
2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024
House of Representatives elections
2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 *2024

Ballot measures

1994: Proposition 1

2006: Amendment 2; Proposition 2

2018: Proposition 1; Proposition 2

Boise

Mayoral elections
2015 2019 2023

Meridian

Mayoral elections
2015 2019 2023

The 2010 Idaho gubernatorial election was held on Tuesday, November 2, 2010, to elect the Governor of Idaho. Incumbent Republican Governor Butch Otter won re-election, defeating his Democratic opponent Keith G. Allred.

A former Lieutenant Governor and U.S. Representative, Otter won an open seat race in 2006 against Democratic Party nominee Jerry Brady with 52.67% of the vote.

Republican primary

Candidates

Walt Bayes, perennial candidate
Fred Nichols
Butch Otter, Governor of Idaho
Pete Peterson (endorsed independent candidate Jana Kemp, but still filed for the primary)
Rex Rammell, veterinarian, conservative activist and independent candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2008
Sharon Ullman, Ada County Commissioner
Tamara Wells

Campaign

Both Rammell and Ullman sought support from followers of the Tea Party movement by criticizing Otter's 2009 attempt to raise Idaho's gas tax.

In August 2009, Rammell drew criticism for joking about buying a license to hunt President Barack Obama.

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Walt Bayes	Butch Otter	Ron"Pete" Peterson	Rex Rammell	Sharon Ullman	Tamara Wells	Un- decided
Mason-Dixon (report)	May 17–19, 2010	625	± 4.0%	1%	60%	3%	6%	4%	1%	25%

Results

Republican primary results
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Butch Otter (incumbent)	89,117	54.6
	Republican	Rex Rammell	42,436	26.0
	Republican	Sharon Ullman	13,749	8.4
	Republican	Pete Peterson	8,402	5.2
	Republican	Walt Bayes	4,825	3.0
	Republican	Tamara Wells	4,544	2.8
	Republican	Fred Nichols	38	0.0
Total votes			163,111	100

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Keith G. Allred, activist and mediator
Lee Chaney, laborer

Declined

Jerry Brady, nominee for governor in 2002 and 2006

Results

Democratic primary results
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Keith Allred	22,386	81.7
	Democratic	Lee Chaney	5,026	18.3
Total votes			27,412	100

Third party candidates

Libertarian Party

Ted Dunlap

Independents

Jana Kemp, former Republican State Representative
Pro-Life (formerly known as Marvin Richardson), organic strawberry farmer, Constitution Party nominee for governor in 2006 and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2008

General election

Campaign

Between January 1 and May 9, 2010, Allred led Otter in fundraising, having raised $241,000 to Otter's $193,000. Allred said, "We are picking up momentum and are right where we want to be." However, Otter limited his fundraising activity while the Idaho Legislature was in session.

Allred has criticized Otter for backing cuts to public education spending, which led the Idaho Association of Commerce and Industry to launch a website attacking Allred.

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
Cook Political Report	Safe R	October 14, 2010
Rothenberg	Safe R	October 28, 2010
RealClearPolitics	Safe R	November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball	Likely R	October 28, 2010
CQ Politics	Likely R	October 28, 2010

Polling

Poll source	Dates administered	Butch Otter (R)	Keith Allred (D)
Rasmussen Reports	August 31, 2010	52%	36%
Rasmussen Reports	July 15, 2010	53%	36%
Rasmussen Reports	May 11, 2010	54%	32%
Rasmussen Reports	March 23, 2010	60%	28%

Results

Idaho gubernatorial election, 2010
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Republican	Butch Otter (incumbent)	267,483	59.11%	+6.44%
	Democratic	Keith G. Allred	148,680	32.85%	−11.25%
	Independent	Jana M. Kemp	26,655	5.89%
	Libertarian	Ted Dunlap	5,867	1.30%	−0.31%
	Independent	Pro-Life	3,850	0.85%	−0.77%
Majority			118,803	26.25%	+17.69%
Turnout			452,535
	Republican hold		Swing

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Ada (largest municipality: Boise)
Bannock (largest municipality: Pocatello)
Nez Perce (Largest city: Lewiston)
Shoshone (Largest city: Kellogg)
Valley (Largest city: McCall)

References

"Gov. Otter files candidacy papers for re-election". KBOI-TV. March 12, 2010. Archived from the original on July 18, 2011. Retrieved March 15, 2010.
^ "Three in, one out in Guv's race". The Spokesman-Review. March 8, 2010. Retrieved March 15, 2010.
Kunz, Aaron (May 13, 2009). "Rex Rammell Announcement To Run For Governor". KPVI-DT. Archived from the original on July 13, 2011. Retrieved March 15, 2010.
"Ada County Commissioner Sharon Ullman will run for governor in 2010". Idaho Statesman. July 14, 2009. Archived from the original on February 8, 2013. Retrieved March 15, 2010.
^ Miller, John (May 25, 2010). "Otter, Allred win their Idaho primaries". Idaho State Journal. Retrieved June 6, 2010.
"Idaho Republican, governor hopeful Rex Rammell makes 'Obama tags' joke about hunting President Obama". Daily News. August 28, 2009. Retrieved March 15, 2010.
^ "Idaho Governor Primary Results". The Associated Press. May 25, 2010. Retrieved May 25, 2010.
Popkey, Dan (December 11, 2009). "Keith Allred will run as a Democrat in Idaho's race for governor". Idaho Statesman. Retrieved March 15, 2010.
Kunz, Aaron (July 7, 2009). "Lee Chaney Runs for Governor as Democrat". KPVI-DT. Archived from the original on July 13, 2011. Retrieved March 15, 2009.
Brady done, but other Idaho Dems consider running again Accessed 16 August 2007 Archived July 18, 2011, at the Wayback Machine
"Pro-Life For Governor, 2010". ProLifeIdaho.com. Archived from the original on September 14, 2010. Retrieved March 15, 2010.
Iverson-Long, Brad (May 18, 2010). "Allred leading Otter in fundraising so far in 2010". Idaho Reporter. Retrieved June 6, 2010.
"2010 Governors Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
"Governor Ratings". Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
"2010 Governor Races". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
"THE CRYSTAL BALL'S FINAL CALLS". Sabato's Crystal Ball. October 28, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
"Race Ratings Chart: Governor". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on October 5, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
"Toplines - Idaho Governor - August 31, 2010 - Rasmussen Reports". www.rasmussenreports.com.
"Toplines - 2010 Idaho Governor Election - July 15, 2010 - Rasmussen Reports". www.rasmussenreports.com.
^ "Election 2010: Idaho Governor". www.rasmussenreports.com.
"2010 General Results statewide". Archived from the original on September 22, 2012. Retrieved October 6, 2012.

External links

Idaho Office of Elections
Idaho Governor Candidates at Project Vote Smart
Campaign contributions for 2010 Idaho Governor from Follow the Money
Idaho Governor 2010 from OurCampaigns.com
2010 Idaho Gubernatorial General Election graph of multiple polls from Pollster.com
Election 2010: Idaho Governor from Rasmussen Reports
2010 Idaho Governor Race: Otter vs. Allred from Real Clear Politics
2010 Idaho Governor's Race from CQ Politics
Race Profile in The New York Times

Official campaign websites (Archived)

v t e (2009 ←) 2010 United States elections (→ 2011)
U.S. Senate	Alabama Alaska Arizona Arkansas California Colorado Connecticut Delaware (special) Florida Georgia Hawaii Idaho Illinois Indiana Iowa Kansas Kentucky Louisiana Maryland Massachusetts (special) Missouri Nevada New Hampshire New York New York (special) North Carolina North Dakota Ohio Oklahoma Oregon Pennsylvania Democratic primary South Carolina South Dakota Utah Vermont Washington West Virginia (special) Wisconsin
U.S. House (election ratings)	Alabama Alaska American Samoa Arizona Arkansas California Colorado Connecticut Delaware District of Columbia Florida 19th sp Georgia 9th sp Guam Hawaii 1st sp Idaho Illinois 17th Indiana 3rd sp Iowa Kansas Kentucky Louisiana Maine Maryland Massachusetts Michigan Minnesota Mississippi Missouri Montana Nebraska Nevada New Hampshire New Jersey New Mexico New York 29th sp North Carolina North Dakota Northern Mariana Islands Ohio Oklahoma Oregon Pennsylvania 12th sp Rhode Island South Carolina South Dakota Tennessee Texas U.S. Virgin Islands Utah Vermont Virginia 5th Washington West Virginia Wisconsin Wyoming
Governors	Alabama Alaska Arizona Arkansas California Lt. Gov Colorado Connecticut Florida Georgia Guam Hawaii Idaho Illinois Iowa Kansas Maine Maryland Massachusetts Michigan Minnesota Nebraska Nevada New Hampshire New Mexico New York Ohio Oklahoma Oregon Pennsylvania Lt. Gov Rhode Island South Carolina South Dakota Tennessee Texas Lt. Gov U.S. Virgin Islands Utah (special) Vermont Wisconsin Wyoming
Attorneys general	California Connecticut Florida Maryland Michigan Minnesota Ohio New York
State legislatures	Alabama House Senate California Assembly Senate Connecticut House Senate Delaware House Senate Georgia House Senate Illinois House Senate Iowa Senate Maryland House Senate Massachusetts Senate Michigan House Senate Minnesota House Senate Missouri House Senate Montana House New Mexico House New York Senate North Carolina House Senate Oregon legislative Pennsylvania House Senate Texas House Senate Washington (state) House Senate Wisconsin Assembly Senate Wyoming Senate
Mayors	Anaheim, CA Honolulu, HI (special) Irvine, CA Long Beach, CA Louisville, KY New Orleans, LA Newark, NJ Norfolk, VI Oakland, CA Orange County, FL Providence, RI San Jose, CA Santa Ana, CA Tallahassee, TN Washington, DC
States	Alabama Alaska American Samoa Arizona Arkansas California Colorado Connecticut Delaware Florida Georgia Guam Hawaii Idaho Illinois Indiana Iowa Kansas Kentucky Louisiana Maine Maryland Massachusetts Michigan Minnesota Mississippi Missouri Montana Nebraska Nevada New Hampshire New Jersey New Mexico New York North Carolina North Dakota Ohio Oklahoma Oregon Pennsylvania Puerto Rico Rhode Island South Carolina South Dakota Tennessee Texas U.S. Virgin Islands Utah Vermont Virginia Washington West Virginia Wisconsin Wyoming

v t e Notable third-party performances in United States elections
* Third party is endorsed by a major party
Presidential	1788–89* 1792* 1832 1848 1856 1860 1872* 1892 1896* 1912 1924 1948 1960 1968 1980 1992 1996
Senatorial (since 1940)	California 1940 Minnesota 1940 North Dakota 1940 Wisconsin 1940 Minnesota 1942 Minnesota 1942 Nebraska 1942 Virginia 1942 North Dakota 1944 Wisconsin 1944 California 1946 (Republican write-in) North Dakota 1946 North Dakota 1946 Tennessee 1946 Arkansas 1948 Alabama 1950 New Hampshire 1950 California 1952 Maine 1952 New York 1952 North Dakota 1952 Virginia 1952 South Carolina 1954 (Democratic write-in) Virginia 1954 Utah 1958 Virginia 1958 Virginia 1960 Virginia 1964 Mississippi 1966 Virginia 1966 Virginia 1966 Alabama 1968 Alaska 1968 Maryland 1968 New York 1968 Connecticut 1970 Mississippi 1970 New York 1970 Virginia 1970 Louisiana 1972 Florida 1974 Hawaii 1974 Nevada 1974 New York 1974 Utah 1974 Minnesota 1976 Virginia 1976 Alabama 1978 Arkansas 1978 Maine 1978 Mississippi 1978 New York 1980 Washington 1982 Tennessee 1984 Virginia 1990 Alaska 1992 Arizona 1992 Hawaii 1992 Louisiana 1992 Ohio 1992 Arizona 1994 Minnesota 1994 Ohio 1994 Vermont 1994 Virginia 1994 Alaska 1996 Minnesota 1996 Arizona 2000 Massachusetts 2000 Minnesota 2000 Alaska 2002 Kansas 2002 Massachusetts 2002 Mississippi 2002 Oklahoma 2002 Virginia 2002 Oklahoma 2004 Connecticut 2006 Indiana 2006 Maine 2006 Vermont 2006* Arkansas 2008 Idaho 2008 Minnesota 2008 Oregon 2008 Alaska 2010 (Republican write-in) Florida 2010 Indiana 2010 South Carolina 2010 Utah 2010 Indiana 2012 Maine 2012 Maryland 2012 Missouri 2012 Montana 2012 Vermont 2012* Kansas 2014 South Dakota 2014 Wyoming 2014 Alaska 2016 Arizona 2016 Idaho 2016 Indiana 2016 Kansas 2016 Maine 2018 New Mexico 2018 Vermont 2018* Alaska 2020* Arkansas 2020 Minnesota 2020 Nebraska 2020 Idaho 2022 North Dakota 2022 Utah 2022* Maine 2024 Nebraska 2024 Utah 2024 Vermont 2024*
Gubernatorial (since 1940)	Minnesota 1940 Wisconsin 1940 Connecticut 1942 Minnesota 1942 New York 1942 Wisconsin 1942 North Dakota 1944 Wisconsin 1944 California 1946 Tennessee 1950 Maine 1952 Vermont 1952 Tennessee 1954 Nebraska 1956 Texas 1956 Utah 1956 Oklahoma 1958 Tennessee 1958 North Dakota 1960 Tennessee 1962 Virginia 1965 Alabama 1966 Georgia 1966 Idaho 1966 Maryland 1966 New York 1966 Tennessee 1966 Alabama 1970 Arkansas 1970 New Hampshire 1970 New York 1970 Mississippi 1971 New Hampshire 1972 Texas 1972 Washington 1972 Virginia 1973 Maine 1974 Nebraska 1974 Nevada 1974 Texas 1974 Vermont 1974 Vermont 1976 Alaska 1978 California 1978 Maine 1978 Rhode Island 1978 Alaska 1982 Arizona 1982 Hawaii 1982 Alaska 1986 Arizona 1986 Illinois 1986 Maine 1986 Oklahoma 1986 Vermont 1986 Utah 1988 Alaska 1990 Connecticut 1990 Kansas 1990 Maine 1990 New York 1990 Oklahoma 1990 Oregon 1990 Utah 1992 West Virginia 1992 Alaska 1994 Connecticut 1994 Hawaii 1994 Maine 1994 New Mexico 1994 Oklahoma 1994 Pennsylvania 1994 Rhode Island 1994 Vermont 1994 Alaska 1998 Maine 1998 Minnesota 1998 New York 1998 Pennsylvania 1998 Rhode Island 1998 Kentucky 1999 New Hampshire 2000 Vermont 2000 Arizona 2002 California 2002 Maine 2002 Minnesota 2002 New Mexico 2002 New York 2002 Oklahoma 2002 Vermont 2002 Wisconsin 2002 Alaska 2006 Illinois 2006 Maine 2006 Massachusetts 2006 Minnesota 2006 Texas 2006 Louisiana 2007 Vermont 2008 New Jersey 2009 Colorado 2010 Idaho 2010 Maine 2010 Massachusetts 2010 Minnesota 2010 Rhode Island 2010 Wyoming 2010 Kentucky 2011 Virginia 2013 Alaska 2014* Hawaii 2014 Maine 2014 Rhode Island 2014 Wyoming 2014 Maine 2018 Kansas 2018 Indiana 2020 Vermont 2020* Alaska 2022 Idaho 2022 Oregon 2022 North Dakota 2024 Utah 2024 (Republican write-in)
Territorial Governors (since 1970)	U.S. Virgin Islands 1970 Puerto Rico 1972 District of Columbia 1974 U.S. Virgin Islands 1974 U.S. Virgin Islands 1978 Puerto Rico 1980 U.S. Virgin Islands 1986 Puerto Rico 1988 U.S. Virgin Islands 1990 U.S. Virgin Islands 1994 U.S. Virgin Islands 1998 Puerto Rico 2000 Northern Mariana Islands 2001 U.S. Virgin Islands 2002 Northern Mariana Islands 2005 U.S. Virgin Islands 2006 Northern Mariana Islands 2009 District of Columbia 2010 U.S. Virgin Islands 2010 District of Columbia 2014 Northern Mariana Islands 2014 U.S. Virgin Islands 2014 Puerto Rico 2016 District of Columbia 2018 Guam 2018 Northern Mariana Islands 2018 U.S. Virgin Islands 2018 Puerto Rico 2020 District of Columbia 2022 Northern Mariana Islands 2022 U.S. Virgin Islands 2022 Puerto Rico 2024
State legislative	Alaska Hawaii Louisiana Montana West Virginia Wyoming
Portal:Politics Third party (U.S. politics) List of third-party and independent performances in United States elections Third-party and independent members of the United States Congress

Categories: