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Opinion polling for the 2015 Spanish local elections (Community of Madrid)

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For opinion polls in other autonomous communities, see Opinion polling for the 2015 Spanish local elections. For opinion polls in the concurrent regional election, see 2015 Madrilenian regional election § Opinion polls.

In the run up to the 2015 Spanish local elections, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in local entities in Spain. Results of such polls for municipalities in the Community of Madrid are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous local elections, held on 22 May 2011, to the day the next elections were held, on 24 May 2015.

Polls are listed in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" columns on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a given poll.

Municipalities

Alcalá de Henares

Color key:

  Exit poll

Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout PP PSOE IUCM–LV UPyD E-2000 SA C's Lead
2015 municipal election 24 May 2015 66.0 24.1
8
23.8
7
5.3
1
2.9
0
5.8
1
20.5
6
13.5
4
0.3
TNS Demoscopia/RTVE–FORTA 24 May 2015 ? ? 23.2
7/8
22.8
6/7
6.5
1/2
21.8
6/7
14.1
4/5
0.4
PSOE 27 Apr–1 May 2015 ? ? ?
8
?
6
?
1
?
1
?
1
?
5
?
5
?
Llorente & Cuenca 31 Oct 2014 ? ? ?
8/10
?
7/9
?
2/4
?
2/3
?
7/9
?
2011 municipal election 22 May 2011 65.8 40.7
12
31.9
9
9.7
3
7.1
2
5.2
1
8.8

Alcobendas

Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout PP UPyD PSOE IUCM–LV SSPxM C's Lead
2015 municipal election 24 May 2015 67.5 38.5
12
5.8
1
21.9
7
5.0
1
10.4
3
11.7
3
16.6
Metroscopia/PP Oct 2014 500 ? ?
14
?
4
?
7
?
2
?
2011 municipal election 22 May 2011 68.6 49.7
15
19.2
5
19.1
5
6.8
2
30.5

Alcorcón

Color key:

  Exit poll

Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout PP PSOE IUCM–LV UPyD GA C's LV–GV Lead
2015 municipal election 24 May 2015 70.1 31.1
10
24.3
7
5.9
1
4.0
0
17.4
5
12.7
4
3.0
0
6.8
TNS Demoscopia/RTVE–FORTA 24 May 2015 ? ? 30.6
8/10
22.8
6/7
6.2
1/2
20.3
5/6
13.0
3/4
7.8
PP 5 May 2015 ? ? ?
13
?
6
?
0
?
0
?
2
?
4
?
2
?
Sigma Dos/Al Cabo de la Calle 31 Mar–7 Apr 2015 800 ? 39.8
11/13
24.6
7/8
3.5
0
1.8
0
13.4
4
12.3
3/4
15.2
PP 25 Feb 2015 ? ? ?
13
?
5
?
1
?
6
?
2
?
Llorente & Cuenca 31 Oct 2014 ? ? ?
9/11
?
6/8
?
2/4
?
2
?
5/8
?
2011 municipal election 22 May 2011 70.0 48.4
15
31.4
9
8.8
2
5.9
1
27.7

Arroyomolinos

Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout PP PIArr PSOE UPyD IUCM–LV ASP C's Lead
2015 municipal election 24 May 2015 68.8 28.3
7
13.0
3
11.1
3
4.4
0
4.2
0
13.5
3
19.4
5
8.9
Sigma Dos/Al Cabo de la Calle 7–9 May 2015 500 ? 33.6
8
7.6
1/2
11.5
2/3
2.7
0
3.9
0
11.3
2/3
27.5
7
6.1
Sigma Dos/Al Cabo de la Calle 18–21 Mar 2015 500 ? 34.4
7/9
7.2
1
13.6
3
9.4
2
5.7
0/1
9.5
2
17.3
4/5
17.1
2011 municipal election 22 May 2011 68.7 45.0
9
23.1
4
11.2
2
7.3
1
7.1
1
21.9

Coslada

Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout PP PSOE IUCM–LV UPyD ARCO SmC C's Lead
2015 municipal election 24 May 2015 69.6 24.9
7
23.0
6
10.5
3
3.1
0
5.3
1
19.4
5
11.1
3
1.9
PSOE 27 Apr–1 May 2015 ? ? ?
6
?
6
?
2
?
0/1
?
0/1
?
5
?
5
Tie
2011 municipal election 22 May 2011 68.2 39.4
11
27.3
8
13.2
3
7.9
2
5.8
1
12.1

Fuenlabrada

Color key:

  Exit poll

Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout PSOE PP IUCM–LV UPyD GF C's Lead
2015 municipal election 24 May 2015 64.9 45.2
13
16.9
5
5.7
1
2.4
0
14.5
4
13.1
4
28.3
TNS Demoscopia/RTVE–FORTA 24 May 2015 ? ? 39.2
10/12
21.2
6/7
7.0
1/2
15.7
4/5
10.5
2/3
18.0
Sigma Dos/Al Cabo de la Calle 7–9 May 2015 800 ? 46.6
14
17.8
5
5.0
0/1
2.2
0
12.8
3/4
13.3
4
28.8
Sigma Dos/Al Cabo de la Calle 18–22 Mar 2015 800 ? 46.3
14
25.8
7/8
5.0
0/1
3.1
0
9.4
3
7.2
2
20.5
PP 25 Feb 2015 ? ? ?
7
?
12
?
1
?
5
?
2
?
2011 municipal election 22 May 2011 63.3 41.1
12
38.4
11
10.7
3
5.7
1
2.7

Getafe

Color key:

  Exit poll

Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout PP PSOE IUCM–LV UPyD AG C's Lead
2015 municipal election 24 May 2015 70.1 28.6
9
27.3
8
5.7
1
3.0
0
23.6
7
8.1
2
1.3
TNS Demoscopia/RTVE–FORTA 24 May 2015 ? ? 29.9
8/10
24.4
7/8
4.6
0/1
24.4
7/8
8.1
2/3
5.5
Celeste-Tel/Getafe Capital 27 Apr–4 May 2015 700 66.7 35.5
10
27.1
8
9.5
2
2.5
0
13.8
4
10.9
3
8.4
Sigma Dos/Al Cabo de la Calle 17–19 Mar 2015 800 ? 36.2
11
22.8
6/7
9.2
2/3
3.7
0
16.4
5
8.3
2
13.4
Celeste-Tel/Getafe Capital 10–14 Mar 2015 700 66.9 34.1
10
27.9
8
8.1
2
4.6
0
12.5
4
10.4
3
6.2
PP 25 Feb 2015 ? ? ?
13
?
5
?
2
?
6
?
1
?
Llorente & Cuenca 31 Oct 2014 ? ? ?
7/10
?
6/9
?
4/6
?
2/3
?
7/10
Tie
Celeste-Tel/Getafe Capital 8–15 Oct 2014 700 70.0 34.3
10
27.2
8
7.3
2
5.9
1
20.5
6
3.2
0
7.1
2011 municipal election 22 May 2011 70.9 41.4
12
31.9
9
13.7
4
6.5
2
9.5

Humanes de Madrid

Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout PP PSOE CSH UPyD IUCM–LV GH C's Lead
2015 municipal election 24 May 2015 68.2 42.3
8
11.2
2
12.1
2
3.4
0
5.2
1
12.8
2
11.6
2
29.5
Sigma Dos/Al Cabo de la Calle 30–31 Mar 2015 500 ? 42.3
8/9
18.5
3/4
3.8
0
4.6
0/1
10.8
2
15.1
3
23.8
2011 municipal election 22 May 2011 67.6 47.8
9
20.1
4
14.7*
2
8.2
1
6.2
1
27.7
(*) Results for Liberal Centrist Union.

Leganés

Color key:

  Exit poll

Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout PP PSOE IUCM–LV UPyD L C's Lead
2015 municipal election 24 May 2015 69.2 20.0
6
21.7
6
20.4
6
5.3
1
1.6
0
21.1
6
7.9
2
0.6
TNS Demoscopia/RTVE–FORTA 24 May 2015 ? ? 22.2
6/7
18.0
4/5
12.6
3/4
5.0
1/2
27.7
8/9
9.3
2/3
5.5
Sigma Dos/Al Cabo de la Calle 31 Mar–6 Apr 2015 800 ? 24.8
7/8
22.4
6/7
14.3
4
7.0
1/2
18.7
5/6
8.9
2
2.4
PP 25 Feb 2015 ? ? ?
9
?
4
?
5
?
2
?
5
?
2
?
T&D Iberia/El Despertador 16–23 Feb 2015 908 64.3 21.8
7
21.0
6
25.0
8
8.2
3
3.9
0
12.3
3
4.1
0
3.2
Llorente & Cuenca 31 Oct 2014 ? ? ?
7/9
?
5/7
?
3/4
?
6/8
?
2011 municipal election 22 May 2011 69.0 40.1
12
27.7
8
13.3
4
11.5
3
4.0
0
12.4

Mejorada del Campo

Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout PP PSOE IUCM–LV UPyD MAC GM Lead
2015 municipal election 24 May 2015 64.7 21.6
5
29.3
7
9.3
2
11.9
2
21.2
5
4.3
0
7.7
PSOE 27 Apr–1 May 2015 ? ? ?
7
?
4
?
2
?
4
?
2
?
2
?
2011 municipal election 22 May 2011 66.1 45.8
10
25.5
6
13.4
3
9.2
2
20.3

Moraleja de Enmedio

Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout PP PSOE PDAP IUCM–LV UPyD GME C's Lead
2015 municipal election 24 May 2015 71.0 37.2
5
45.6
7
4.4
0
7.0
1
3.7
0
8.4
Sigma Dos/Al Cabo de la Calle 8–12 May 2015 400 ? 46.4
6/7
36.8
5/6
2.8
0
2.2
0
7.3
1
9.6
Sigma Dos/Al Cabo de la Calle 30 Mar–6 Apr 2015 400 ? 43.6
7
31.2
5
3.5
0
2.5
0
9.1
1
5.7
0
12.4
2011 municipal election 22 May 2011 75.2 45.5
6
34.5
4
12.4
1
5.0
0
11.0

Móstoles

Color key:

  Exit poll

Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout PP PSOE IUCM–LV UPyD SA G Lead
2015 municipal election 24 May 2015 65.0 36.3
12
23.1
7
6.0
2
4.2
0
19.9
6
4.9
0
13.2
TNS Demoscopia/RTVE–FORTA 24 May 2015 ? ? 32.8
10/12
21.4
7/8
4.7
0/1
3.9
0/1
19.0
6/7
10.1
2/3
11.4
Llorente & Cuenca 31 Oct 2014 ? ? ?
10/13
?
5/7
?
2/3
?
1/2
?
6/8
?
2011 municipal election 22 May 2011 64.5 55.9
17
24.7
7
9.7
3
4.5
2
31.2

Madrid

Further information: 2015 Madrid City Council election § Opinion polls

Pinto

Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout PP PSOE GP UPyD IUCM–LV C's Lead
2015 municipal election 24 May 2015 68.4 31.3
7
20.9
5
27.8
7
4.5
0
2.7
0
10.0
2
3.5
Sigma Dos/Al Cabo de la Calle 11–12 May 2015 500 ? 42.9
10/11
20.2
4/5
20.5
4/5
1.0
0
1.5
0
10.3
2
22.4
ZigZag Digital 30 Mar–13 Apr 2015 513 ? 36.2
8/10
17.0
4/5
21.9
5/6
3.8
0
4.0
0
14.7
3/4
14.3
Sigma Dos/Al Cabo de la Calle 6–7 Apr 2015 500 ? 46.8
11/12
15.3
3/4
13.6
3
2.2
0
4.3
0
12.2
3
31.5
La Voz de Pinto 26 Feb–12 Mar 2015 421 74.8 22.5
5/6
20.1
4/5
25.7
6/7
3.8
0
3.2
0
19.0
4/5
3.2
ZigZag Digital 26 Apr–8 May 2013 416 ? 38.4
9/10
13.3
3
20.2*
4/5
17.0
3/4
5.1
0/1
18.2
2011 municipal election 22 May 2011 68.4 51.1
12
22.7
5
8.0*
2
7.9
2
3.5
0
28.4
(*) Results for Alternative Left Movement of Pinto.

San Fernando de Henares

Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout IUCM–LV PP PSOE UPyD SFHSP E-2000 Lead
2015 municipal election 24 May 2015 69.3 16.4
4
24.6
6
21.2
5
4.7
0
23.9
5
6.5
1
0.7
PSOE 27 Apr–1 May 2015 ? ? ?
5
?
7
?
1
?
4
?
4
?
2011 municipal election 22 May 2011 68.7 43.3
10
36.7
8
13.7
3
3.7
0
6.6

San Martín de la Vega

Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout PP PSOE IUCM–LV Ecolo UPyD SSPxM UI Lead
2015 municipal election 24 May 2015 65.3 23.6
5
46.0
9
3.7
0
3.5
0
16.1
3
4.0
0
22.4
ZigZag Digital 7–13 May 2015 384 ? 29.7
5/6
42.6
8/9
5.0
0/1
2.0
0
15.1
2/3
2.5
0
12.9
2011 municipal election 22 May 2011 65.8 48.1
9
30.9
6
9.5
1
5.1
1
17.2

Torrejón de Ardoz

Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout PP PSOE GT SSPxM C's Lead
2015 municipal election 24 May 2015 65.9 48.9
14
15.0
4
7.0
2
16.3
5
7.2
2
32.6
PSOE 27 Apr–1 May 2015 ? ? ?
9
?
5
?
3
?
5
?
5
?
2011 municipal election 22 May 2011 67.0 68.5
21
15.4
4
9.3*
2
53.1
(*) Results for United Left of the Community of MadridThe Greens.

References

  1. ^ "El PP ganaría en varios municipios madrileños, aunque con mayoría insuficiente para gobernar". Madrid Diario (in Spanish). 24 May 2015.
  2. "TNS Demoscopia. Sondeos. Alcalá de Henares". Telemadrid (in Spanish). 24 May 2015.
  3. ^ "Últimos sondeos que maneja el PSOE con intención de voto en los grandes municipios del Corredor del Henares". La Voz del Henares (in Spanish). 18 May 2015.
  4. ^ "El reparto del poder territorial en España en 2015" (PDF). desarrollando-ideas.com (in Spanish). 31 October 2014.
  5. "El PP ganaría las elecciones municipales con mayoría absoluta según una encuesta de Metrocospia". Cadena SER Madrid Norte (in Spanish). 1 December 2014.
  6. "ARROYOMOLINOS (Madrid), Marzo 2015. Sondeo SigmaDos". Electograph (in Spanish). 1 December 2014.
  7. "TNS Demoscopia. Sondeos. Alcorcón". Telemadrid (in Spanish). 24 May 2015.
  8. "El PP podría rozar la mayoría absoluta en Alcorcón según un sondeo". NoticiasparaMunicipios.com (in Spanish). 5 May 2015.
  9. "El PP sufriría desgaste pero ganaría en Alcorcón". Al Cabo de la Calle (in Spanish). 15 April 2015.
  10. "El PP sufriría deterioro, pero seguiría siendo la fuerza más votada en Alcorcón". Sigma Dos (in Spanish). 15 April 2015.
  11. "ALCORCÓN (Madrid), Abril 2015. Sondeo SigmaDos". Electograph (in Spanish). 15 April 2015.
  12. ^ "Madrid: El PP filtra sondeos internos para Leganés, Alcorcón, Getafe y Fuenlabrada". Electomanía (in Spanish). 25 February 2015.
  13. "Ciudadanos sigue imparable y ya pisa los talones al PP de Velarde". Al Cabo de la Calle (in Spanish). 13 May 2015.
  14. "ARROYOMOLINOS (Madrid), Mayo 2015. Sondeo SigmaDos". Electograph (in Spanish). 13 May 2015.
  15. "Velarde hunde al PP de Arroyomolinos". Al Cabo de la Calle (in Spanish). 25 March 2015.
  16. "ARROYOMOLINOS (Madrid), Marzo 2015. Sondeo SigmaDos". Electograph (in Spanish). 25 March 2015.
  17. "TNS Demoscopia. Sondeos. Fuenlabrada". Telemadrid (in Spanish). 24 May 2015.
  18. "El PSOE de Robles ganaría las elecciones en Fuenlabrada con 14 concejales". Al Cabo de la Calle (in Spanish). 13 May 2015.
  19. "FUENLABRADA (Madrid), Mayo 2015. Sondeo SigmaDos". Electograph (in Spanish). 13 May 2015.
  20. "Robles acaricia la mayoría absoluta en Fuenlabrada". Al Cabo de la Calle (in Spanish). 25 March 2015.
  21. "El PSOE, muy cerca de la mayoría absoluta en Fuenlabrada". Sigma Dos (in Spanish). 25 March 2015.
  22. "FUENLABRADA (Madrid), Marzo 2015. Sondeo SigmaDos". Electograph (in Spanish). 25 March 2015.
  23. "TNS Demoscopia. Sondeos. Getafe". Telemadrid (in Spanish). 24 May 2015.
  24. "Tensión hasta el final". Getafe Capital (in Spanish). 6 May 2015.
  25. "GETAFE (Madrid), Mayo 2015. Sondeo Celeste-Tel". Electograph (in Spanish). 6 May 2015.
  26. "El PP de Soler aguantaría y el PSOE sufriría su peor resultado histórico". Al Cabo de la Calle (in Spanish). 26 March 2015.
  27. "Intención de voto en Getafe: El PP resistiría y el PSOE sufriría su peor resultado histórico". Sigma Dos (in Spanish). 26 March 2015.
  28. "GETAFE (Madrid), Marzo 2015. Sondeo SigmaDos". Electograph (in Spanish). 26 March 2015.
  29. "Todo en el aire". Getafe Capital (in Spanish). 18 March 2015.
  30. "GETAFE (Madrid), Marzo 2015. Sondeo Celeste-Tel". Electograph (in Spanish). 19 March 2015.
  31. "Soler no podría formar gobierno". Getafe Capital (in Spanish). 23 October 2014.
  32. "GETAFE (Madrid), Octubre 2014. Celeste-Tel". Electograph (in Spanish). 23 October 2014.
  33. "José Antonio Sánchez (PP) ganaría las elecciones en Humanes con el 42,3%". Al Cabo de la Calle (in Spanish). 8 April 2015.
  34. "José Antonio Sánchez lograría entre 8 y 9 concejales y el 42,3% de los votos". Al Cabo de la Calle (in Spanish). 8 April 2015.
  35. "HUMANES DE MADRID (Madrid), Marzo 2015. Sondeo SigmaDos". Electograph (in Spanish). 8 April 2015.
  36. "TNS Demoscopia. Sondeos. Leganés". Telemadrid (in Spanish). 24 May 2015.
  37. "El PP sería el más votado en Leganés y necesitaría un pacto para gobernar". Al Cabo de la Calle (in Spanish). 16 April 2015.
  38. "El PP sería el partido más votado en Leganés, pero necesitaría un pacto para gobernar". Sigma Dos (in Spanish). 16 April 2015.
  39. "LEGANÉS (Madrid), Abril 2015. Sondeo SigmaDos". Electograph (in Spanish). 16 April 2015.
  40. "LEGANÉS (Madrid), Febrero 2015. Sondeo T&D Iberia". Electograph (in Spanish). 25 March 2015.
  41. "Carlos Estrada volvería a ganar las elecciones en Moraleja de Enmedio". Al Cabo de la Calle (in Spanish). 13 May 2015.
  42. "MORALEJA DE ENMEDIO (Madrid), Mayo 2015. Sondeo SigmaDos". Electograph (in Spanish). 13 May 2015.
  43. "El PP esquiva el desgaste y lograría ganar las elecciones en Moraleja". Al Cabo de la Calle (in Spanish). 22 April 2015.
  44. "MORALEJA DE ENMEDIO (Madrid), Abril 2015. Sondeo SigmaDos". Electograph (in Spanish). 22 April 2015.
  45. "TNS Demoscopia. Sondeos. Móstoles". Telemadrid (in Spanish). 24 May 2015.
  46. "Rabaneda ganaría las elecciones y Ganemos Pinto igualaría con el PSOE". Al Cabo de la Calle (in Spanish). 14 May 2015.
  47. "PINTO (Madrid), Mayo 2015. Sondeo SigmaDos". Electograph (in Spanish). 14 May 2015.
  48. "Intención de voto en Pinto en las elecciones municipales 2015". ZigZag Digital (in Spanish). 21 April 2015.
  49. "Encuesta de valoración de los servicios municipales de Pinto". ZigZag Digital (in Spanish). 18 April 2015.
  50. "PINTO (Madrid), Abril 2015. Sondeo Zigzag Digital". Electograph (in Spanish). 21 April 2015.
  51. "Rabaneda sería la más votada y el PSOE perdería entre 1 y 2 concejales". Al Cabo de la Calle (in Spanish). 15 April 2015.
  52. "En Pinto, el PP sería la fuerza más votada y el PSOE perdería entre 1 y 2 concejales". Sigma Dos (in Spanish). 15 April 2015.
  53. "PINTO (Madrid), Abril 2015. Sondeo SigmaDos". Electograph (in Spanish). 15 April 2015.
  54. "Ganemos Pinto ganaría las elecciones municipales". La Voz de Pinto (in Spanish). 9 April 2015.
  55. "PP y Ganemos Pinto, los partidos más rechazados". La Voz de Pinto (in Spanish). 8 April 2015.
  56. "PINTO (Madrid), Marzo 2015. Sondeo La Voz de Pinto". Electograph (in Spanish). 10 April 2015.
  57. "El PP perdería la mayoría absoluta en Pinto". ZigZag Digital (in Spanish). 16 May 2013.
  58. "El PSOE de SMV ganaría las elecciones rozando la mayoría absoluta". ZigZag Digital (in Spanish). 18 May 2015.
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