2016 United States Senate election in South Carolina

(Redirected from United States Senate election in South Carolina, 2016)

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(special)

November 8, 2016

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Nominee	Tim Scott	Thomas Dixon
Party	Republican	Democratic
Popular vote	1,241,609	757,022
Percentage	60.57%	36.93%

County results

Congressional district results

Precinct resultsScott:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Dixon:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Tie:      40–50%      No votes

U.S. senator before election

Tim Scott
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

Tim Scott
Republican

Elections in South Carolina

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The 2016 United States Senate election in South Carolina was held on November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of South Carolina, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Both major parties held their primaries on June 14.

Incumbent Republican Senator Tim Scott won re-election to a first full term in office.

This was the second U.S. Senate election in South Carolina (and the second of three consecutive elections for this seat) where both major party nominees were black, and the third overall since the passage of the Seventeenth Amendment.

Background

Two-term Republican senator Jim DeMint was re-elected with 61.48% of the vote in 2010. He resigned at the start of 2013 to become President of The Heritage Foundation and U.S. Representative Tim Scott of South Carolina's 1st congressional district was appointed to replace him by Governor Nikki Haley. Scott subsequently won the special election in 2014 for the remaining two years of the term.

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Tim Scott, incumbent U.S. Senator

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Thomas Dixon, pastor and community activist (also running with Green Party nomination)

Declined

Joyce Dickerson, Richland County Councilwoman and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2014 (running for reelection)

General election

Candidates

Tim Scott (Republican), incumbent U.S. Senator
Thomas Dixon (Democratic, Green), pastor and community activist
Bill Bledsoe (Libertarian, Constitution)
Michael Scarborough (American), attorney

Debates

Dates	Location	Scott	Dixon	Link
October 24, 2016	Greenville, South Carolina	Participant	Participant

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	Safe R	November 2, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball	Safe R	November 7, 2016
Rothenberg Political Report	Safe R	November 3, 2016
Daily Kos	Safe R	November 8, 2016
Real Clear Politics	Safe R	November 7, 2016

Polling

Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. Updates on reimplementing the Graph extension, which will be known as the Chart extension, can be found on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org.

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Tim Scott (R)	Thomas Dixon (D)	Other	Undecided
SurveyMonkey	November 1–7, 2016	1,698	± 4.6%	59%	38%	–	3%
SurveyMonkey	October 31–November 6, 2016	1,642	± 4.6%	58%	39%	–	3%
SurveyMonkey	October 28–November 3, 2016	1,583	± 4.6%	58%	39%	–	3%
SurveyMonkey	October 27–November 2, 2016	1,501	± 4.6%	58%	39%	–	3%
SurveyMonkey	October 26–November 1, 2016	1,588	± 4.6%	57%	40%	–	3%
SurveyMonkey	October 25–31, 2016	1,762	± 4.6%	56%	39%	–	5%
Starboard Communications (R)	September 7–9, 2016	600	± 4.8%	58%	22%	–	16%
Public Policy Polling	August 9–10, 2016	1,290	± 2.7%	45%	30%	6%	20%

Hypothetical polling

with Joyce Dickerson

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Tim Scott (R)	Joyce Dickerson (D)	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	November 7–8, 2015	1,290	± 2.7%	53%	25%	23%

with Bakari Sellers

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Tim Scott (R)	Bakari Sellers (D)	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	February 12–15, 2015	868	± 3.3%	56%	28%	16%

with Leon Lott

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Tim Scott (R)	Leon Lott (D)	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	February 12–15, 2015	868	± 3.3%	54%	27%	19%

with Jim Hodges

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Tim Scott (R)	Jim Hodges (D)	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	February 12–15, 2015	868	± 3.3%	54%	32%	15%

Results

United States Senate election in South Carolina, 2016
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Republican	Tim Scott (incumbent)	1,241,609	60.57%	−0.55%
	Democratic	Thomas Dixon	757,022	36.93%	−0.16%
	Libertarian	Bill Bledsoe	37,482	1.83%	N/A
	American	Michael Scarborough	11,923	0.58%	−1.17%
	n/a	Write-ins	1,857	0.09%	+0.05%
Total votes			2,049,893	100.0%	N/A
	Republican hold

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Calhoun (largest town: St. Matthews)
Clarendon (Largest city: Manning)

By congressional district

Scott won 6 of 7 congressional districts.

District	Scott	Dixon	Representative
1st	65%	33%	Mark Sanford
2nd	63%	34%	Joe Wilson
3rd	71%	27%	Jeff Duncan
4th	67%	30%	Trey Gowdy
5th	59%	38%	Mick Mulvaney
6th	35%	63%	Jim Clyburn
7th	61%	37%	Tom Rice

References

^ Emily Cahn; Alexis Levinson (January 28, 2015). "Senators Confirm Re-Election Bids for 2016". Roll Call. Archived from the original on January 29, 2015. Retrieved January 29, 2015.
Jeff Zeleny (December 17, 2012). "Rep. Tim Scott Chosen to Replace Jim DeMint as South Carolina Senator". The New York Times.
Rindge, Brenda (February 22, 2016). "Thomas Dixon to challenge U.S. Sen. Tim Scott". The Post and Courier. Archived from the original on October 13, 2016. Retrieved February 23, 2016.
"SOUTH CAROLINA: Richland Co Councilwoman & '14 nom Joyce Dickerson (D) back for a second run vs US Sen Tim Scott (R)". Politics1. Twitter. November 2, 2015. Retrieved March 14, 2016.
"Candidate Listing for the 11/8/2016 Statewide General Election". South Carolina Election Commission. Retrieved March 18, 2016.
^ "Candidate Listing for the 11/8/2016 Statewide General Election". South Carolina Election Commission. Retrieved August 14, 2016.
Crowder, Mike (May 15, 2016). "American Party of SC nominates candidates for a handful of offices". WRHI. Retrieved August 9, 2016.
Full debate - C-SPAN
"2016 Senate Race Ratings for November 2, 2016". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved March 26, 2021.
"2016 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved September 19, 2016.
"2016 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved November 3, 2016.
"Daily Kos Election 2016 forecast: The final version". Daily Kos. Retrieved March 27, 2021.
"Battle for the Senate 2016". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved October 28, 2016.
SurveyMonkey
SurveyMonkey
SurveyMonkey
SurveyMonkey
SurveyMonkey
SurveyMonkey
Starboard Communications (R) Archived September 14, 2016, at the Wayback Machine
Public Policy Polling
Fusion voting total- 28% as D, 2% as G
Bill Bledsoe (L) with 4% and Michael Scarborough (A) with 2%
Public Policy Polling
^ Public Policy Polling
"2016 Statewide General Election official results". South Carolina State Election Commission. Retrieved December 20, 2016.
"2016 South Carolina Senatorial Election Turnout Data". Archived from the original on December 20, 2016. Retrieved December 10, 2016.
Aggregated total includes 37,610 votes Dixon received under the Working Families Party, and 14,872 votes received under the Green Party.
Aggregated total includes 12,652 votes received under the Constitution Party.
"DRA 2020". Daves Redistricting. Retrieved August 19, 2024.

Notes

After Illinois in 2004 and South Carolina in 2014.

External links

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v t e Elections in South Carolina
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Governor	1865 1868 1870 1872 1874 1876 1878 1880 1882 1884 1886 1888 1890 1892 1894 1896 1898 1900 1902 1904 1906 1908 1910 1912 1914 1916 1918 1920 1922 1924 1926 1930 1934 1938 1942 1946 1950 1954 1958 1962 1966 1970 1974 1978 1982 1986 1990 1994 1998 2002 2006 2010 2014 2018 2022
U.S. President	1788-89 1792 1796 1800 1804 1808 1812 1816 1820 1824 1828 1832 1836 1840 1844 1848 1852 1856 1860 1868 1872 1876 1880 1884 1888 1892 1896 1900 1904 1908 1912 1916 1920 1924 1928 1932 1936 1940 1944 1948 1952 1956 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020
U.S. Senate	Class 2: 1789 1793 1796 (special) 1798 (special) 1799 1801 (special) 1810 (special) 1810 1816 (special) 1822 1828 1832 (special) 1834 1840 1845 (special) 1846 1850 (special) 1852 1858 (special) 1868 1870 1876 1882 1888 1894 1900 1906 1912 1918 (special) 1918 1924 1930 1936 1941 (special) 1942 1948 1954 1956 (special) 1960 1966 1972 1978 1984 1990 1996 2002 2008 2014 2020 Class 3: 1789 1794/95 1800 1802 (special) 1804 (special) 1806 1812 1818 1824 1826 (special) 1830 1833 (special) 1837 1842 (special) 1848 1854 1857 (special) 1868 (special) 1872 1878 1884 1890 1897 1898 (special) 1903 1909 1914 1920 1926 1932 1938 1944 1950 1956 1962 1966 (special) 1968 1974 1980 1986 1992 1998 2004 2010 2014 (special) 2016 2022
U.S. House	1788 1790 1793 1794 5th sp 1795 2nd sp 1796 1797 1st sp 1798 1800 1802 4th sp 1803 1804 1805 8th sp 1806 1807 6th sp 1808 1810 1st sp 1810 1812 1814 1816 9th sp 1818 6th sp 1820 1821 9th sp 1822 2nd sp 4th sp 9th sp 1823 1824 1825 1st sp 1826 1828 1830 1833 1834 8th sp 1836 4th sp 8th sp 1838 1840 1843 1844 1846 1848 1st sp 1850 1853 1854 1856 1858 1860 1868 1870 1st sp 1872 1874 1876 2nd sp 1878 1880 1882 1884 7th sp 1886 1888 1890 1892 6th sp 1894 1st sp 4th sp 1896 7th sp 1897 6th sp 1898 1900 1901 7th sp 1902 1904 2nd sp 1906 1908 1910 1912 1913 1st sp 1914 1915 4th sp 1916 1917 5th sp 1918 1919 6th sp 7th sp 1920 1922 1924 1926 1928 1930 1932 1934 1936 1938 6th sp 1940 1942 1944 2nd sp 1946 1948 1950 1952 1953 4th sp 1954 1956 1958 1960 1962 2nd sp 1964 1965 2nd sp 1966 1968 1970 1971 1st sp 1972 1974 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2001 2nd sp 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2013 1st sp 2014 2016 2017 5th sp 2018 2020 2022 Special
See also: Political party strength in South Carolina

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