2016 West Virginia gubernatorial election

(Redirected from West Virginia gubernatorial election, 2016)

For related races, see 2016 United States gubernatorial elections.

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November 8, 2016

2020 →


Nominee	Jim Justice	Bill Cole	Charlotte Pritt
Party	Democratic	Republican	Mountain
Popular vote	350,408	301,987	42,068
Percentage	49.09%	42.30%	5.89%

County results

Precinct resultsJustice:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
Cole:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
Tie:      40–50%

Governor before election

Earl Ray Tomblin
Democratic

Elected Governor

Jim Justice
Democratic

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The 2016 West Virginia gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2016, to elect the governor of West Virginia, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. The primaries were held on May 10.

Incumbent Democratic governor Earl Ray Tomblin was barred from running for a second full term. He had ascended to the governorship upon Joe Manchin's resignation in 2010, won a 2011 special election to complete the term, and won a full term in 2012. Under the West Virginia Constitution, a partial term counts toward the limit of two consecutive terms.

Democratic nominee Jim Justice, a coal and agriculture businessman, won the open seat with a plurality of the vote, defeating Republican state senator Bill Cole and former state senator Charlotte Pritt, who ran as a member of the Mountain Party. As of 2024, this is the last time a Democrat was elected Governor of West Virginia. Having switched parties in August 2017, Justice was re-elected as a Republican in 2020; his party switch gave Republicans a trifecta in the state for the first time since 1931.

Background

In November 2010, Democratic governor Joe Manchin resigned after being elected to the U.S. Senate. Earl Ray Tomblin, the president of the West Virginia Senate (with the honorary title of lieutenant governor), became acting governor, won an October 2011 special election to complete the term, and won a full term in the regularly scheduled 2012 election. Tomblin was ineligible to run for re-election in 2016 as the Constitution of West Virginia limits governors to two consecutive terms regardless of whether they are full or partial terms. However, governors are re-eligible after four years out of office.

After publicly speculating he would run for his former office, Manchin was considered a heavy favorite in the 2016 race, but he announced on April 19, 2015, that he would remain in the Senate instead.

Democratic primary

2016 West Virginia gubernatorial election Democratic Primary

10 May 2016

Turnout

258,350 votes


Candidate	Jim Justice	Booth Goodwin	Jeff Kessler
Popular vote	132,704	65,416	60,230
Percentage	51.39%	25.32%	23.31%

Results by county. Blue indicates a win by Justice, green a win by Goodwin, and yellow a win by Kessler.

Candidates

Declared

Booth Goodwin, former United States Attorney for the Southern District of West Virginia
Jim Justice, businessman
Jeff Kessler, Minority Leader of the West Virginia Senate, former president of the West Virginia Senate and candidate for governor in 2011

Declined

Glen Gainer III, West Virginia state auditor and nominee for West Virginia's 1st congressional district in 2014
Carte Goodwin, former U.S. senator
Mike Green, former state senator
Walt Helmick, West Virginia Commissioner of Agriculture
Joe Manchin, U.S. senator and former governor
John Perdue, West Virginia State Treasurer and candidate for governor in 2011
Doug Reynolds, State Delegate
Doug Skaff, former state delegate
Natalie Tennant, West Virginia Secretary of State, candidate for governor in 2011 and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2014 (running for re-election)
Rick Thompson, West Virginia Secretary of Veterans Assistance, former Speaker of the West Virginia House of Delegates and candidate for governor in 2011

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Jim Justice	Booth Goodwin	Jeff Kessler	Undecided
MetroNews	April 22–May 2, 2016	315	± 4.0%	32%	27%	23%	18%
Public Policy Polling	April 29–May 1, 2016	637	± 3.9%	37%	23%	19%	21%
West Virginia Veterans	March 2–6, 2016	600	± 3.9%	36%	20%	16%	28%
MetroNews	February 11–16, 2016	208	± 4.9%	32%	25%	23%	21%
Global Strategy Group^	December 1–3, 2015	350	± 5.2%	39%	13%	19%	21%

^ Indicates a poll taken for Jim Justice campaign.

Results

Democratic primary results
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Jim Justice	132,704	51.39%
	Democratic	Booth Goodwin	65,416	25.32%
	Democratic	Jeff Kessler	60,230	23.31%
Total votes			258,350	100.00%

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Bill Cole, President of the West Virginia Senate

Did not file

Andrew Utterback, college student and candidate for Mayor of Pineville in 2014
Edwin Vanover, former Bramwell Police Chief and Democratic candidate for House of Delegates in 2012

Declined

Evan Jenkins, U.S. representative
David McKinley, U.S. representative and candidate for governor in 1996 (running for re-election)
Patrick Morrisey, Attorney General of West Virginia (running for re-election)
Mary Lou Retton, Olympic gymnast
Erikka Storch, State Delegate

Endorsements

Bill Cole

Individuals

Tim Armstead, Speaker of the House of Delegates
Shelley Moore Capito, U.S. senator
David McKinley, U.S. representative
Evan Jenkins, U.S. representative
Danny Jones, Charleston Mayor
Alex Mooney, U.S. representative
Patrick Morrisey, Attorney General of West Virginia

Organizations

Newspapers

Polling

Hypothetical polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Bill Cole	David McKinley	Patrick Morrisey	Undecided
Harper Polling	April 9–11, 2015	242	± 6.3%	15%	31%	25%	29%

Results

Republican primary results
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Bill Cole	161,127	100.00%
Total votes			161,127	100.00%

Mountain Party

Candidates

Declared

Charlotte Pritt, former Democratic state delegate, former Democratic state senator, write-in candidate for governor in 1992 and Democratic nominee for governor in 1996

Endorsements

Charlotte Pritt

Individuals

Cleveland Benedict, former United States Representative from West Virginia's 2nd congressional district from 1981-1983, U.S. Senate nominee 1982, West Virginia Commissioner of Agriculture 1989-1993, Governor nominee 1992.
Sue Thorn, former 2012 United States Representative nominee from West Virginia's 1st congressional district and former member of the Democratic National Committee representing West Virginia.

Organizations

West Virginia Sierra Club, environmental organization

Libertarian Party

Candidates

Declared

David Moran, retired engineer and farmer

General election

Debates

Complete video of debate, October 11, 2016 - C-SPAN

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	Tossup	August 12, 2016
Daily Kos	Tossup	November 8, 2016
Rothenberg Political Report	Tilt D	November 3, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball	Lean D	November 7, 2016
Real Clear Politics	Lean R (flip)	November 1, 2016
Governing	Tossup	October 27, 2016

Polling

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Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Jim Justice (D)	Bill Cole (R)	Charlotte Pritt (M)	David Moran (L)	Phil Hudok (C)	Undecided
SurveyMonkey	November 1–7, 2016	472	± 4.6%	36%	45%	13%	—	—	6%
SurveyMonkey	October 31–November 6, 2016	443	± 4.6%	37%	43%	13%	—	—	7%
SurveyMonkey	October 28–November 3, 2016	386	± 4.6%	40%	42%	12%	—	—	6%
SurveyMonkey	October 27–November 2, 2016	330	± 4.6%	39%	44%	10%	—	—	7%
SurveyMonkey	October 26–November 1, 2016	318	± 4.6%	42%	41%	12%	—	—	5%
SurveyMonkey	October 25–31, 2016	321	± 4.6%	42%	43%	13%	—	—	2%
MetroNews	October 12–17, 2016	408	± 4.9%	44%	33%	8%	5%	—	9%
Global Strategy Group	October 11–13, 2016	N/A	± 4.0%	44%	34%	8%	2%	—	12%
NMB Research	October 8–10, 2016	N/A	± 4.4%	39%	39%	5%	2%	1%	12%
Garin-Hart-Yang	September 13–17, 2016	500	± 5.0%	46%	33%	7%	4%	—	10%
Just Win Strategies→	September 8–10, 2016	600	± 4.0%	44%	42%	3%	2%	2%	7%
R.L. Repass & Partners/MetroNews	August 9–28, 2016	435	± 4.7%	46%	32%	8%	5%	—	9%
Global Strategy Group	August 1–3, 2016	419	± 4.8%	47%	37%	—	—	—	15%
Public Policy Polling	April 29–May 1, 2016	1,201	± 2.8%	41%	35%	—	—	—	24%
MetroNews	April 22–May 2, 2016	596	± 4.0%	52%	34%	—	—	—	14%
Orion Strategies	February 20–21, 2016	306	± 5.6%	37%	33%	—	—	—	30%
MetroNews	February 11–16, 2016	411	± 4.9%	49%	39%	—	—	—	12%
Orion Strategies	August 24–25, 2015	406	± 4.9%	34%	31%	—	—	—	35%

→ Indicates an internal poll conducted by the West Virginia Republican Party for Bill Cole.

Hypothetical polling

with Booth Goodwin

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Booth Goodwin (D)	David McKinley (R)	Undecided
Harper Polling	April 9–11, 2015	702	± 3.7%	35%	40%	25%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Booth Goodwin (D)	Patrick Morrisey (R)	Undecided
Harper Polling	April 9–11, 2015	702	± 3.7%	36%	36%	28%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Booth Goodwin (D)	Bill Cole (R)	Other	Undecided
MetroNews	April 22–May 2, 2016	596	± 4.0%	47%	39%	—	14%
Public Policy Polling	April 29–May 1, 2016	1,201	± 2.8%	33%	39%	—	28%
Orion Strategies	February 20–21, 2016	306	± 5.6%	33%	36%	—	31%
MetroNews	February 11–16, 2016	411	± 4.9%	43%	44%	—	14%
Harper Polling	April 9–11, 2015	702	± 3.7%	35%	37%	—	27%

with Jeff Kessler

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Jeff Kessler (D)	David McKinley (R)	Undecided
Harper Polling	April 9–11, 2015	702	± 3.7%	32%	42%	26%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Jeff Kessler (D)	Patrick Morrisey (R)	Undecided
Harper Polling	April 9–11, 2015	702	± 3.7%	35%	38%	27%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Jeff Kessler (D)	Bill Cole (R)	Other	Undecided
MetroNews	April 22–May 2, 2016	596	± 4.0%	45%	39%	—	16%
Public Policy Polling	April 29–May 1, 2016	1,201	± 2.8%	30%	40%	—	30%
Orion Strategies	February 20–21, 2016	306	± 5.6%	30%	40%	—	30%
MetroNews	February 11–16, 2016	411	± 4.9%	40%	45%	—	15%
Orion Strategies	August 24–25, 2015	406	± 4.9%	26%	37%	—	37%
Harper Polling	April 9–11, 2015	702	± 3.7%	34%	38%	—	28%

with Joe Manchin

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Joe Manchin (D)	Bill Cole (R)	Undecided
Harper Polling	April 9–11, 2015	702	± 3.7%	54%	32%	14%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Joe Manchin (D)	David McKinley (R)	Undecided
Harper Polling	April 9–11, 2015	702	± 3.7%	52%	35%	12%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Joe Manchin (D)	Patrick Morrisey (R)	Undecided
Harper Polling	April 9–11, 2015	702	± 3.7%	58%	29%	13%
Global Strategy Group*	March 15–18, 2015	600	± 4.0%	60%	30%	10%

* Internal poll for Joe Manchin

Results

West Virginia gubernatorial election, 2016
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Democratic	Jim Justice	350,408	49.09%	−1.40%
	Republican	Bill Cole	301,987	42.30%	−3.35%
	Mountain	Charlotte Pritt	42,068	5.89%	+3.36%
	Libertarian	David Moran	15,354	2.15%	+0.81%
	Constitution	Phil Hudok	4,041	0.57%	N/A
Total votes			713,858	100.00%	N/A
	Democratic hold

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Hancock (Largest city: Weirton)
Hardy (Largest city: Moorefield)
Jefferson (Largest city: Charles Town)
Pendleton (Largest city: Franklin)
Tucker (Largest city: Parsons)

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Monongalia (Largest city: Morgantown)
Monroe (Largest city: Peterstown)
Putnam (largest municipality: Hurricane)
Raleigh (Largest city: Beckley)
Jackson (Largest city: Ravenswood)

By congressional district

Justice won 2 of 3 congressional districts, both of which elected Republicans.

District	Justice	Cole	Pritt	Representative
1st	45.2%	45.4%	6%	David McKinley
2nd	48%	43%	7%	Alex Mooney
3rd	55%	38%	5%	Evan Jenkins

Maps

Support for Moran by county:
>10% 4–5% 3–4% 2–3% 1–2% <1%
Support for Pritt by county:
>11% 10–11% 8–9% 7–8% 6–7% 5–6% 4–5% 3–4% <3%

References

Staff, WSAZ News (November 4, 2020). "Justice wins second term as W.Va. governor". www.wsaz.com. Retrieved July 8, 2023.
^ Miller, Tom. "2016 race for governor could be crowded". The Lincoln Journal. Archived from the original on February 22, 2014. Retrieved March 4, 2013.
King, Joselyn (May 18, 2011). "Tomblin, Maloney win nominations". Wetzel Chronicle. Retrieved March 3, 2013.
Ramsey, Pam (April 19, 2015). "Manchin says he'll stay in Senate, forgoes governor bid". The Journal. Archived from the original on April 27, 2015. Retrieved April 19, 2015.
"Ex-US attorney Goodwin files for W.Va. governor race". The Journal. January 4, 2016. Archived from the original on March 7, 2016. Retrieved January 4, 2016.
Eyre, Eric (May 11, 2015). "Greenbrier owner Jim Justice enters governor's race". The Charleston Gazette. Retrieved May 11, 2015.
Ebert, Joel (March 19, 2015). "Kessler says he'll run for governor in 2016". Charleston Daily Mail. Retrieved March 19, 2015.
^ "Sunday Sit-Down: West Virginia GOP Chairman Conrad Lucas". The Intelligencer & Wheeling News Register. November 16, 2014. Retrieved November 18, 2014.
Jenkins, Jeff (June 15, 2015). "Auditor Gainer planning re-election bid in 2016". West Virginia MetroNews. Retrieved June 17, 2015.
^ "West Virginia Undergoing Political, Generational Change". Roll Call. May 1, 2014. Retrieved May 1, 2014.
"GOP Senate may run purple". Politico. Retrieved April 15, 2014.
"Manchin, 50-50 on Possible Return Run for Governor". West Virginia Public Broadcasting. April 7, 2015. Archived from the original on April 12, 2015. Retrieved April 8, 2015.
Raju, Manu (April 14, 2015). "Joe Manchin signals stronger interest in West Virginia governor run". Politico. Retrieved April 14, 2015.
Eric Bradner (April 19, 2015). "Joe Manchin picks Senate over governor's bid". CNN. Retrieved April 19, 2015.
Aaron Blake (January 23, 2015). "The 5 best governors races in the country". The Washington Post. Retrieved January 25, 2015.
Jonathan Mattise (January 23, 2015). "Though @WaPost says otherwise, WV Treasurer John Perdue's office says he's not running for governor". Twitter. Retrieved February 7, 2015.
"W.Va. Secretary of State Files Early Re-Election Paperwork". West Virginia Public Broadcasting. March 19, 2015. Archived from the original on April 2, 2015. Retrieved March 20, 2015.
^ MetroNews
^ Public Policy Polling
West Virginia Veterans
^ MetroNews
Global Strategy Group
^ "Official 2016 Primary Election Results". West Virginia Secretary of State. Retrieved July 20, 2016.
Johnson, Shauna (June 2, 2015). "Republican Bill Cole launches 2016 gubernatorial campaign". West Virginia MetroNews. Retrieved June 4, 2015.
^ Deitz, Leah (May 15, 2015). "Jim Justice vying for Governor's Office". Mountain Messenger. Retrieved June 17, 2015.
Ebert, Joel (June 17, 2015). "Cole endorsed by Congressman Jenkins". Charleston Daily Mail. Archived from the original on June 22, 2015. Retrieved June 17, 2015.
Hicks, Ian (June 1, 2015). "McKinley Won't Run for Governor". The Intelligencer & Wheeling News Register. Retrieved June 1, 2015.
Johnson, Shauna (March 19, 2015). "Morrisey says he is considering a possible run for governor in 2016". West Virginia MetroNews. Retrieved March 20, 2015.
"Morrisey has $850K for possible governor bid". The Journal. April 2, 2015. Archived from the original on April 5, 2015. Retrieved April 2, 2015.
Jenkins, Jeff (June 16, 2015). "Morrisey opts to seek reelection instead of governor's office". West Virginia MetroNews. Retrieved June 17, 2015.
^ "WV House Delegation for Cole". Friends of Cole. October 8, 2015. Archived from the original on October 26, 2016. Retrieved October 26, 2016.
"U.S. Sen. Capito backs Bill Cole in run for governor". WV MetroNews. April 11, 2016.
"UPDATE: Charleston Mayor announces he's dropped Republican affiliation". wsaz.com. June 17, 2016.
"NFIB endorses Bill Cole for Governor". WV MetroNews. July 18, 2016.
"West Virginia Endorsements 2016". National Right to Life. October 15, 2016. Archived from the original on October 26, 2016. Retrieved October 26, 2016.
"W.Va. Coal Association endorses Bill Cole for governor". Bluefield Daily Telegraph. February 13, 2016.
"Endorsement: Republican Bill Cole, governor of W.Va". Bluefield Daily Telegraph. October 23, 2016.
"Daily Mail endorsement: Experience makes Cole a better fit for governor". Charleston Gazette-Mail. October 25, 2016.
"Cole will bring progress to West Virginia". Daily Times. October 17, 2016.
"Elect Cole For Real Progress". The Intelligencer and Wheeling News Register. October 15, 2016.
"Cole will deliver progress for W.Va". The Inter-Mountain. October 15, 2016.
"Cole should be the next governor of West Virginia". The Journal. October 16, 2016.
"Leadership: Bill Cole should be our next governor". The Parkersburg News and Sentinel. October 18, 2016.
Harper Polling Archived 2015-07-09 at the Wayback Machine
"Mountain Party chooses Pritt as gubernatorial candidate". The Charleston Gazette. July 16, 2016. Retrieved July 16, 2016.
"Back to the future: The return of Charlotte Pritt". July 20, 2016.
"Charlotte Pritt: The Mountain Party's Maverick". November 4, 2016. Archived from the original on July 3, 2022. Retrieved May 2, 2022.
Sconyers, Jim (September 10, 2016). "West Virginia Sierra Club Endorses Pritt For Governor". Sierra Club. Archived from the original on June 25, 2017. Retrieved September 13, 2016.
Staff (April 2016). "WV Libertarians announce candidates for statewide offices". Charleston Gazette-Mail. Retrieved April 14, 2016.
"2016 Governor Race ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 15, 2018.
"Elections 2015-16". Daily Kos. Retrieved October 15, 2018.
"Gubernatorial Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 15, 2018.
"Our Final 2016 picks". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Archived from the original on October 15, 2018. Retrieved October 15, 2018.
"2016 Election Maps - 2016 Governor Races". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved October 15, 2018.
"2016 Governors Races Ratings & News". Governing Magazine. Archived from the original on October 27, 2016. Retrieved October 28, 2016.
SurveyMonkey
SurveyMonkey
SurveyMonkey
SurveyMonkey
SurveyMonkey
SurveyMonkey
MetroNews
Global Strategy Group
NMB Research
Garin-Hart-Yang
Just Win Strategies
R.L. Repass & Partners/MetroNews
Global Strategy Group
^ Orion Strategies
^ Orion Strategies
^ Harper Polling Archived 2015-04-14 at the Wayback Machine
^ Harper Polling
Global Strategy Group*
"Statewide Results General Election November 8, 2016". West Virginia Secretary of State. State of West Virginia. Archived from the original on 25 December 2016. Retrieved 28 December 2016.
"Our Campaigns - WV Governor Race - Nov 08, 2016". www.ourcampaigns.com. Retrieved August 19, 2024.

External links

Official campaign websites (Archived)

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Portal:Politics Third party (U.S. politics) List of third-party and independent performances in United States elections Third-party and independent members of the United States Congress

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