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{{Short description|Type of electoral system}} | |||
The ''' First Past the Post electoral system''', is a ] for single-member districts. The name '''first past the post''' (abbreviated '''FPTP''' or '''FPP''') is an analogy to ]; the system is also variously called '''winner-take-all''', '''] voting''', or '''relative majority'''. In ], it is known as '''Single-Member District Plurality''' or '''SMDP'''. When this system is in use at all levels of politics it usually results in a true two-party system, based on single seat district voting systems. However, the system of forming a governing government is also crucial; it is very common in former British colonies and is the single most commonly used system for election of parliaments based on FPTP voting districts. A thorough list is given below. | |||
{{Split|date=May 2024|First past the post|Plurality (voting)}}{{Use dmy dates|date=February 2023}} | |||
{{Electoral systems}} | |||
'''Plurality voting''' refers to ]s in which the candidates in an ] who poll more than any other (that is, receive a ]) are elected.{{sfn | Mudambi | Navarra | Nicosia | 1996 | p=341}} | |||
Under single-winner plurality voting, and in systems based on ]s, plurality voting is called single member plurality (SMP),<ref>{{Cite web |title=Single Member Plurality |url=https://www.sfu.ca/~aheard/101/SMP.html |access-date=2024-05-14 |website=www.sfu.ca}}</ref><ref name=":0">{{cite web |title=Plurality-Majority Systems |url=http://www.mtholyoke.edu/acad/polit/damy/BeginnningReading/plurality.htm |access-date=8 May 2010 |publisher=Mtholyoke.edu}}</ref> which is widely known as "]". In SMP/FPTP the leading candidate, whether or not they have a majority of votes, is elected.<ref name=":7">{{Cite journal |last1=Cooper |first1=Duane |last2=Zillante |first2=Arthur |date=January 2012 |title=A comparison of cumulative voting and generalized plurality voting |url=http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s11127-010-9707-5 |journal=Public Choice |language=en |volume=150 |issue=1–2 |pages=363–383 |doi=10.1007/s11127-010-9707-5 |issn=0048-5829 |s2cid=154416463}}</ref> | |||
==Overview== | |||
The ] continues to use First Past The Post for national and local government elections in England and Wales. Changes to the UK system have been proposed, and alternatives were examined by the ] in the late ] but no major changes have been implemented. ] also uses First Past The Post for national and ] elections. In May ] the citizens of the Canadian province of ] had a chance to cast a ballot for a referendum for abolishing plurality in favor of the ] after the ] made a recommendation for the reform. The referendum obtained 57% of the vote, but failed to meet the 60% requirement for passing. | |||
There are several versions of plurality voting for multi-member district.<ref name="Plurality Electoral Systems —">{{Cite web |title=Plurality Electoral Systems — |url=https://aceproject.org/main/english/bd/bda01a.htm |access-date=2024-05-14 |website=aceproject.org}}</ref> The system that elects multiple winners at once with the plurality rule and where each voter casts multiple X votes in a multi-seat district is referred to as ]. A semi-proportional system that elects multiple winners elected at once with the plurality rule and where each voter casts just one vote in a multi-seat district is known as ]. | |||
], ], ], the ], and ] are notable examples of countries within the UK, or with previous links to it, which do not use FPTP. | |||
Plurality voting is widely used throughout the English-speaking world as a result of its spread by the ], including in most of the United States. Outside of the English-speaking world, it is less popular{{Citation needed|date=May 2024}} than its close relatives in the ]. Overall, more countries in the world use a form of ] than use plurality or a form of runoff.<ref>{{Cite web |title=How many countries around the world use proportional representation? |url=https://www.electoral-reform.org.uk/how-many-countries-around-the-world-use-proportional-representation/ |access-date=2024-09-27 |website=www.electoral-reform.org.uk |language=en-GB}}</ref> | |||
Recent examples of nations which have undergone democratic reforms but have not adopted the FPTP system include ], almost all of the former ] nations, ], ] and ]. | |||
== Plurality voting procedures == | |||
The term "first past the post" refers to a now seldom-used ] with ], where the winner is the first to pass a particular point (in this case a plurality of ]), upon which all other runners automatically and completely lose ("winner take all"). There is, however, no "post" that the winning candidate must pass in order to win, they are just required to receive the largest number of votes in their favour. This sometimes results in the alternate name "furthest past the post". | |||
=== Single-winner and single-member systems === | |||
Although "first past the post" is the standard term in the UK, the term may have originally had a pejorative meaning, again based on the horse racing analogy: once a particular party achieves plurality ("passing the post") there is no point in counting any further votes. For example, if a constituency has 100 people and the first 51 votes counted are all for the same party, the remaining 49 ballot papers can be effectively thrown in the waste bin uncounted because they cannot possibly affect the final result - thus technically leaving around half of the constituency without any representation. (The phenomena which result in this are discussed further below.) | |||
{{Further|First-past-the-post voting}} | |||
In single-winner plurality voting (]), each voter is allowed to vote for only one candidate, and the winner of the election is the candidate who represents a plurality of voters or, in other words, received more votes than any other candidate. In an election for a single seat, such as for ] in a ], voters may vote for one candidate from a list of the candidates who are competing, and the winner is whichever candidate receives the highest number of votes. Compare first-past-the-post to a ''majority'' system, the ], where usually the top two candidates in the first ballot progress to the second round, also called the runoff. A runoff is by default not held, if a candidate already received an absolute majority in the first ballot (more than half of votes), and in the second ballot, where there are only two candidates, one of the candidates will (except for a tie) receive a majority. Under plurality rules, the candidates are not at any point in the election required to have majority support. | |||
In an election for a legislative body with single-member seats, each voter in a geographically defined ] may vote for one candidate from a list of the candidates who are competing to represent that district. Under the plurality system, the winner of the election then becomes the representative of the whole electoral district and serves with representatives of other electoral districts. That makes plurality voting among the simplest of all electoral systems for voters and vote counting officials;<ref name=":7" /> however, the drawing of district boundary lines can be ] in the plurality system (see ]). The system is also independent of parties; the party with the most votes overall may not win the most seats overall (]). Note that issues arising from single-member districts are still in place with majority voting systems, like the two-round system and ] too. | |||
] predicts that constituencies that use first-past-the-post systems will become ]s. | |||
The same principle used in single-winner plurality voting (electing the candidate with the most votes) is also used in ], however with very different effects, as voters can choose to support as many or few candidates as they choose, not just one. For this reason, approval voting is usually distinguished from plurality voting, while technically being a sub-type of it. | |||
==Procedures== | |||
Each voter in a given ] selects one candidate. All votes are counted and the candidate with more votes than any of the other candidates is the winner. The winner represents the entire electoral district. | |||
=== Multi-winner systems === | |||
==Examples== | |||
{{Further|Single non-transferable vote|Multiple non-transferable vote|Limited voting}} | |||
===Simple example=== | |||
The election of a ] in the UK is a well known example of the First Past the Post electoral system. But the system is also used on a smaller scale. | |||
Multi-member plurality elections are only slightly more complicated. Where ''n'' is the number of seats in the district, the ''n'' candidates who get more votes than the others are elected;<ref>{{Cite journal |last1=Dulay |first1=Dean |last2=Go |first2=Laurence |date=2021-08-01 |title=First among equals: The first place effect and political promotion in multi-member plurality elections |journal=Journal of Public Economics |language=en |volume=200 |pages=104455 |doi=10.1016/j.jpubeco.2021.104455 |issn=0047-2727 |s2cid=236254332 |doi-access=free}}</ref> the winners are the ''n'' candidates with the highest numbers of votes. The rules may allow the voter to vote for one candidate, for a number of candidates more than one but less than ''n'', for as many as ''n'' candidates, or some other number. | |||
For this example, consider the election for the president of a school class. Each class has a president, who sits on a school council. Further assume that, in this imaginary school, girl and boy students disagree with each other on most issues, and students prefer to vote for others of the same sex as themselves. | |||
When voters may vote for only one candidate, it is called the ]. While seemingly most similar to ], in effect it is a semi-proportional system allowing for mixed representation in one district, and representation of both majority parties and electoral minorities within a district. | |||
====The election for class president==== | |||
When voters can vote for one or more candidates, but in total less than the number of winners, it is called ]. | |||
There are three candidates, Amy, Brian and Chloe. Each class member gets a ballot paper, with these three names on it. The class member must put an "X" against one of the names. | |||
The multi-winner version considered to be the extension of first-past-the-post to multi-winner cases is ]. Here voters may vote for as many candidates as there are seats to fill, which means usually candidates from the largest party will fill all the seats in the district. | |||
After the election finishes, the papers are sorted into three piles. One pile contains all the papers where there is an "X" against Amy (that is, votes for Amy). The other two piles contain votes for Brian and for Chloe. | |||
The party-list version of plurality voting in multi-member districts is called ]. Here the party receiving a plurality of votes wins all of the seats available by default. | |||
The largest pile decides the winner. For instance, if Amy's pile has 11 votes, Brian's pile has 16 votes, and Chloe's pile has 13 votes, then the winner is Brian. | |||
=== Ballot types === | |||
Notice that there were a total of 11 + 16 + 13 = 40 votes, and the winner had only 16 of them — only 40%. But that is only the result for this one class. | |||
] | |||
Generally, plurality ballots can be categorized into two forms. The simplest form is a blank ballot in which the name of a candidate(s) is written in by hand. A more structured ballot will list all the candidates and allow a mark to be made next to the name of a single candidate (or more than one, in some cases); however, a structured ballot can also include space for a ]. | |||
=== Examples === | |||
====The election to the school council==== | |||
==== Single-winner ==== | |||
Note that the class members (the "electors") only vote once, and their votes help to choose both a class president and a member of the school council (the same person). | |||
This is a general example for single-winner plurality voting ("first-past-the-post"), using population percentages taken from one ] for illustrative purposes. | |||
{{Tenn voting example}} | |||
If each voter in each city naively selects one city on the ballot (Memphis voters select Memphis, Nashville voters select Nashville, and so on), Memphis will be selected, as it has the most votes 42%. The system does not require that the winner have a ], only a plurality. Memphis wins because it has the most votes even though 58% of the voters in the example preferred Memphis least. The opposite result would occur in ], where Knoxville (the city furthest to the east, and the "second-worst" choice) would accumulate a majority from vote transfers from voter who initially voted for Chattanooga and Nashville. Nashville is the ], and as a result would be elected by any ]. | |||
Suppose that all the other classes hold similar elections. Across all the classes, 8 of the class presidents that were elected were girls, and 9 were boys. That makes the boys the overall winner. The only influence that the pupils in this particular class had was to vote for Amy, Brian or Chloe to represent themselves. | |||
==== Multi-winner ==== | |||
Some might argue that a boy won for this class because there were two girls, who "split the vote": some of the girls in the class voted for Amy and others for Chloe. Perhaps if Amy had not been a candidate, all the girls would have voted for Chloe and she would have won this class; this in turn would make the girls the winners of the whole council. Arguments exactly like this, but on a larger scale, are common wherever there are first-past-the-post elections. | |||
Candidates are running in a 3-member district of 10 000 voters. | |||
Under non-transferable (and non-cumulative) plurality voting, each voter may cast no more than one vote for a single candidate, even if they have multiple votes to cast. | |||
===More complex example=== | |||
{{Tenn_voting_example}} | |||
If voting follows sincere preferences, Memphis is selected with the most votes. Note that this system does not require that the winner have a ], but only a ]. That is, Memphis wins because it has the most votes, even though more than half of the voters preferred another option. | |||
* Under ], the standard multiple-winner non-transferable vote election method, voters may cast 3 votes (but do not have to) | |||
==Advantages== | |||
* Under ], voters may cast 2 votes maximum | |||
===Fewer parties=== | |||
* Under the single non-transferable vote, voters may cast 1 vote | |||
Party A has about 35% support among the electorate (with one particularly well-liked candidate), Party B around 25% (with two well-liked candidates) and the remaining voters primarily support independent candidates, but mostly lean towards party B if they have to choose between the two parties. All voters ]; there is no tactical voting. (Percentage of votes under MNTV and Limited Voting is the percentage of voters who voted for the candidate, not the percentage of votes cast.) | |||
First-past-the-post tends to reduce the number of political parties to a greater extent than most other methods, thus making it more likely that a single party will hold a majority of legislative seats. (In the ], 18 out of 22 General Elections since 1922 have produced a majority government.) | |||
{| class="wikitable" | |||
! rowspan="3" |Candidate | |||
! colspan="2" rowspan="3" |Party | |||
! colspan="8" |Multiple non-transferable vote | |||
! colspan="4" rowspan="2" |Single non-transferable vote | |||
|- | |||
! colspan="4" |Plurality block voting | |||
! colspan="4" |Limited voting | |||
|- | |||
!Votes | |||
!% | |||
! colspan="2" |Elected? | |||
!Votes | |||
!% | |||
! colspan="2" |Elected? | |||
!Votes | |||
!% | |||
! colspan="2" |Elected? | |||
|- | |||
|Candidate A1 | |||
| style="background:#D10000" | | |||
|Party A | |||
|'''3700''' | |||
|'''37%''' | |||
|'''1.''' | |||
|'''Yes''' | |||
|'''3500''' | |||
|'''35%''' | |||
|'''1.''' | |||
|'''Yes''' | |||
|'''2000''' | |||
|'''20%''' | |||
|'''1.''' | |||
|'''Yes''' | |||
|- | |||
|Candidate A2 | |||
| style="background:#D10000" | | |||
|Party A | |||
|'''3600''' | |||
|'''36%''' | |||
|'''2.''' | |||
|'''Yes''' | |||
|'''1900''' | |||
|'''19%''' | |||
|'''2.''' | |||
|'''Yes''' | |||
|800 | |||
|8% | |||
|4. | |||
| | |||
|- | |||
|Candidate A3 | |||
| style="background:#D10000" | | |||
|Party A | |||
|'''3555''' | |||
|'''36%''' | |||
|'''3.''' | |||
|'''Yes''' | |||
|1800 | |||
|18% | |||
|4. | |||
| | |||
|700 | |||
|7% | |||
|7. | |||
| | |||
|- | |||
|Candidate B1 | |||
| style="background:#0008A5" | | |||
|Party B | |||
|2600 | |||
|26% | |||
|4. | |||
| | |||
|'''1950''' | |||
|'''20%''' | |||
|'''3.''' | |||
|'''Yes''' | |||
|'''1100''' | |||
|'''11%''' | |||
|'''2.''' | |||
|'''Yes''' | |||
|- | |||
|Candidate B2 | |||
| style="background:#0008A5" | | |||
|Party B | |||
|2500 | |||
|25% | |||
|5. | |||
| | |||
|1750 | |||
|18% | |||
|4. | |||
| | |||
|'''900''' | |||
|'''9%''' | |||
|'''3.''' | |||
|'''Yes''' | |||
|- | |||
|Candidate B3 | |||
| style="background:#0008A5" | | |||
|Party B | |||
|2400 | |||
|24% | |||
|6. | |||
| | |||
|1425 | |||
|14% | |||
|7. | |||
| | |||
|400 | |||
|4% | |||
|12. | |||
| | |||
|- | |||
|Candidate I1 | |||
| | |||
|Independent | |||
|2300 | |||
|23% | |||
|8. | |||
| | |||
|1400 | |||
|14% | |||
|8. | |||
| | |||
|800 | |||
|8% | |||
|4. | |||
| | |||
|- | |||
|Candidate I2 | |||
| | |||
|Independent | |||
|2395 | |||
|24% | |||
|7. | |||
| | |||
|1500 | |||
|15% | |||
|6. | |||
| | |||
|800 | |||
|8% | |||
|4. | |||
| | |||
|- | |||
|Candidate I3 | |||
| | |||
|Independent | |||
|1900 | |||
|19% | |||
|9. | |||
| | |||
|1300 | |||
|13% | |||
|9. | |||
| | |||
|700 | |||
|7% | |||
|7. | |||
| | |||
|- | |||
|Candidate I4 | |||
| | |||
|Independent | |||
|1800 | |||
|15% | |||
|10 | |||
| | |||
|1200 | |||
|12% | |||
|10. | |||
| | |||
|700 | |||
|7% | |||
|7. | |||
| | |||
|- | |||
|Candidate I5 | |||
| | |||
|Independent | |||
|650 | |||
|7% | |||
|11. | |||
| | |||
|625 | |||
|6% | |||
|11. | |||
| | |||
|600 | |||
|6% | |||
|10. | |||
| | |||
|- | |||
|Candidate I6 | |||
| | |||
|Independent | |||
|600 | |||
|6% | |||
|12. | |||
| | |||
|550 | |||
|6% | |||
|12. | |||
| | |||
|500 | |||
|5% | |||
|11. | |||
| | |||
|- | |||
| colspan="3" |''TOTAL votes cast'' | |||
|28000 | |||
| | |||
| | |||
| | |||
|19000 | |||
| | |||
| | |||
| | |||
|10000 | |||
| | |||
| | |||
| | |||
|- | |||
| colspan="3" |TOTAL possible votes | |||
|30000 | |||
| | |||
| | |||
| | |||
|20000 | |||
| | |||
| | |||
| | |||
|10000 | |||
| | |||
| | |||
| | |||
|- | |||
| colspan="3" |Voters | |||
|10000 | |||
|100% | |||
| | |||
| | |||
|10000 | |||
|100% | |||
| | |||
| | |||
|10000 | |||
|100% | |||
| | |||
| | |||
|} | |||
Under all three versions of multi-winner plurality voting, the three most popular candidates according to voters' first preferences are elected, regardless of party affiliation, but with three different results. | |||
* Under block voting (]), the three candidates of the most popular party are elected if its supporters vote along party lines. In this case a party with only 35 percent support took all the seats. | |||
Some argue that this is an advantage, in that single party rule enables quicker decision-making with less need for back and forth negotiation. | |||
* Under limited voting, it is most likely that the party with a plurality takes two seats (or the same number of seats as the number of votes each voter has), and another less-popular party receives the remaining seat(s). | |||
* Under the single non-transferable vote (like in the other two methods) the number of seats are sometimes not proportionately allocated. Over-optimism (running too many candidates) and vote splitting is harshly punished. But each popular party that runs one candidate is assured of success to that degree anyway. In this case, even though the most-popular party ran three and risked vote splitting, it did elect one member. | |||
* In a situation where three are to be elected and ] is used, ranked votes are used and each voter has just one vote, any candidate that accumulates about 25 percent of the vote will be elected and supporters of one party even if initially spread over two or three candidates can concentrate behind only one or two, just the candidates of the party that are electable. The plurality rule applies in that the most-popular candidates of the party are the ones that are elected. | |||
==Issues== | |||
Multi-party coalitions, on the other hand, require consent among all coalition partners to pass legislation, which some argue gives small parties a disproportionate amount of power. In the UK, arguments for first-past-the-post often look to ] where the frequent government changeovers are presented as undesirable. | |||
=== In all plurality systems === | |||
Single-member districts also mean that parties need to appeal to a wide cross-section of the populace rather than a political niche. Some argue that this discourages "extremist" parties. | |||
=== |
==== Wasted votes ==== | ||
] | |||
First-past-the-post may well be the simplest of all voting systems. This implies specific advantages. It is likely to be quicker, and easier to adminster; this may also imply that an election costs less to run. It may also have an effect on voters, because it is easy to explain and understand. Alternative voting systems may alienate some voters who find the systems hard to understand, and who therefore feel detached from the direct effect of their own vote. | |||
]s are those cast for candidates or parties who did not get elected. Some number of wasted votes by this definition is practically unavoidable, but plurality systems suffer from large numbers of wasted votes. For example, in the ], 52% of votes were cast for losing candidates and 18% were excess votes, a total of 70% wasted votes. That is perhaps the most fundamental criticism of FPTP, the single-member plurality system, since at least half the votes are always wasted in a district, either as being placed on un-elected candidates or being surplus to what could be needed to win. | |||
SMP is in practice similar in plurality block voting. They both operate under the "winner-takes-all" principle, which means that the party of the losing candidates in each district receive no representation, regardless of the number of votes they receive.<ref name=":4">{{Cite journal |last=Verma |first=Dhruv |date=2021-01-01 |title=Reflecting People's Will: Evaluating elections with computer aided simulations |journal=Open Political Science |language=en |volume=4 |issue=1 |pages=228–237 |doi=10.1515/openps-2021-0021 |issn=2543-8042 |s2cid=236980393 |doi-access=free}}</ref> Even the single non-transferable vote can result in very inefficient results if many candidates with small support compete or the most-popular candidates receive a large excess of votes. This is because like other plurality systems, STNV does not transfer loser and surplus votes. | |||
In addition, not all voters see party politics or policies as a major issue. Some voters see an election primarily as a form of recruitment for an individual representative, a point of contact between the state and themselves. First-past-the-post gives such voters a direct choice of single candidate, with no extra votes to be shared or balanced between parties. This may be especially important to voters who want to vote for individuals based on particular ethical frameworks that are not party aligned, and who do not want their vote to have a "side effect" of electing others they may not approve of. | |||
Another way to count wasted votes, is to see the ones that may play no part in determining the outcome.<ref name=":2">{{Cite journal |last1=Whitelock |first1=Amy |last2=Whitelock |first2=Jeryl |last3=van Heerde |first3=Jennifer |date=2010-04-06 |editor-last=Harris |editor-first=Phil |title=The influence of promotional activity and different electoral systems on voter turnout: A study of the UK and German Euro elections |url=https://www.emerald.com/insight/content/doi/10.1108/03090561011020499/full/html |journal=European Journal of Marketing |language=en |volume=44 |issue=3/4 |pages=401–420 |doi=10.1108/03090561011020499 |issn=0309-0566}}</ref> Under FPTP for example, usually only votes for the top two candidates can be seen as really competing for the position, with only one possible to win; votes placed on other candidates are almost certain not to be used to elect anyone and therefore wasted. Sometimes not even two candidate are seen as being competitive. Due to having a history of repeatedly electing candidates of a certain party, many districts are known to have ]s. On such, a candidate or party has a near 100% chance that they win the seats. Supporters of others sometimes do not even bother to vote knowing of the odds that face their candidate. | |||
===Each representative must be a winner=== | |||
Sometimes, the voters are in favour of a political party, but do not like specific candidates. An example was the premier of ], ]. His government was re-elected in 1989, but because of voter dissatisfaction with the way the government was led, Getty, the leader of the ], was not re-elected by voters from his electoral district. | |||
Alternative electoral systems, such as ], attempt to ensure that almost all of the votes are effective in influencing the result and electing a representative, which minimizes vote wastage.<ref>{{Citation |last1=Blais |first1=André |title=Voter Turnout |date=2013-06-25 |work=Political Science |url=https://oxfordbibliographies.com/view/document/obo-9780199756223/obo-9780199756223-0066.xml |access-date=2022-04-15 |publisher=Oxford University Press |language=en |doi=10.1093/obo/9780199756223-0066 |isbn=978-0-19-975622-3 |last2=Anduiza |first2=Eva |doi-access=free}}</ref> Such systems decreases disproportionality in election results and are also credited for increasing voter turnout.<ref>{{Cite journal |last=Blais |first=André |date=2006-06-01 |title=What affects voter turnout? |journal=Annual Review of Political Science |volume=9 |issue=1 |pages=111–125 |doi=10.1146/annurev.polisci.9.070204.105121 |issn=1094-2939 |doi-access=free}}</ref> | |||
However this can also have the opposite effect. A candidate who is very popular among the electrorate in general may lose if the candidate or the candidate's party is unpopular or has caused dissatisfaction in his or her seat. | |||
==== Tactical voting ==== | |||
Similarly, in the 1999 ] provincial election, ] and his ] party was re-elected to a majority government, but symbolic of the growing discontent among voters about cuts to education, his education minister and strong ally was resoundingly defeated by the opposition candidate. | |||
{{more citations needed|section|date=February 2019}} | |||
{{see also|Tactical voting#Plurality voting}} | |||
To a much greater extent than many other electoral methods, plurality electoral systems encourage ] techniques like "compromising".<ref>{{Cite journal |last1=Dolez |first1=Bernard |last2=Laurent |first2=Annie |last3=Blais |first3=André |date=2017-04-01 |title=Strategic voting in the second round of a two-round system: The 2014 French municipal elections |url=https://doi.org/10.1057/s41253-016-0010-9 |journal=French Politics |language=en |volume=15 |issue=1 |pages=27–42 |doi=10.1057/s41253-016-0010-9 |s2cid=151584816 |issn=1476-3427}}</ref> Voters are under pressure to vote for one of the two candidates most likely to win, even if their true preference is neither of them; because a vote for any other candidate is unlikely to lead to the preferred candidate being elected. In single-member plurality, this will instead reduce support for one of the two major candidates whom the voter might prefer to the other. Electors who prefer not to waste their vote by voting for a candidate with a very low chance of winning their constituency vote for their lesser preferred candidate who has a higher chance of winning.<ref name=":5">{{Cite journal |last1=Blais |first1=André |last2=Nadeau |first2=Richard |last3=Gidengil |first3=Elisabeth |last4=Nevitte |first4=Neil |date=2001-09-01 |title=Measuring strategic voting in multiparty plurality elections |url=https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0261379400000172 |journal=Electoral Studies |language=en |volume=20 |issue=3 |pages=343–352 |doi=10.1016/S0261-3794(00)00017-2 |issn=0261-3794}}</ref> The minority party will then simply take votes away from one of the major parties, which could change the outcome and gain nothing for the voters. Any other party will typically need to build up its votes and credibility over a series of elections before it is seen as electable. | |||
In the ], if all the voters for Chattanooga and Knoxville had instead voted for Nashville, Nashville would have won (with 58% of the vote). That would have only been the third choice for those voters, but voting for their respective first choices (their own cities) actually results in their fourth choice (Memphis) being elected. | |||
It is often claimed that because each electoral district votes for its own representative, the elected candidate is held accountable to his own voters, thereby helping to prevent incompetent, fraudulent or corrupt behaviour by elected candidates. The voters in the electoral district can easily replace him since they have full power over who they want to represent them. In the absence of effective recall legislation, however, the electors must wait until the end of the representative's term. Also, it is generally possible for candidates to be elected if the party regards them as important even if they are fairly unpopular, by moving the candidate to a safe seat which the party is unlikely to lose or by getting a candidate in a safe seat to step down. | |||
The difficulty is sometimes summed up in an extreme form, as "All votes for anyone other than the second place are votes for the winner". That is because by voting for other candidates, voters have denied those votes to the second-place candidate, who could have won had they received them. It is often claimed by United States ] that Democrat ] lost the ] to ] ] because some voters on the left voted for ] of the ], who, exit polls indicated, would have preferred Gore at 45% to Bush at 27%, with the rest not voting in Nader's absence.<ref>{{Cite news |last=Rosenbaum |first=David E. |date=2004-02-24 |title=The 2004 Campaign: the Independent; Relax, Nader Advises Alarmed Democrats, but the 2000 Math Counsels Otherwise |work=] |url=https://query.nytimes.com/gst/fullpage.html?res=9B03E4D6173CF937A15751C0A9629C8B63 |access-date=2010-05-08}}</ref> | |||
==Disadvantages== | |||
===Fewer parties=== | |||
First-past-the-post's tendency toward fewer parties and more frequent one-party rule can also produce disadvantages. | |||
That thinking is illustrated by elections in ] and its three principal voter groups: the ] (pro-independence), the ] (pro-]), and the ] (pro-]). Historically, there has been a tendency for Independentista voters to elect Popular candidates and policies. This results in more Popular victories even though the Estadistas have the most voters on the island. It is so widely recognised that the Puerto Ricans sometimes call the Independentistas who vote for the Populares "melons" in reference to the party colours, because the fruit is green on the outside but red on the inside. | |||
One such disadvantage is that the government may not consider as wide a range of perspectives and concerns. It is entirely possible that a voter will find that all major parties agree on a particular issue. In this case, the voter will not have any meaningful way of expressing a dissenting opinion through his or her vote. | |||
Such tactical voting can cause significant perturbation to the system: | |||
Another disadvantage is that fewer choices are offered to the voters, often pressuring voters to vote for a candidate whom they largely disagree with, in order to oppose a candidate whom they disagree with even more. (See ] below.) The likely result of this is that candidates will less closely reflect the viewpoints of those who vote for them. | |||
*Substantial power is given to the ]. Some voters will tend to believe the media's assertions as to who the leading contenders are likely to be in the election. Even voters who distrust the media know that other voters believe the media, and so those candidates who receive the most media attention will nonetheless be the most popular, and thus most likely to be one of the top two. | |||
It may also be argued that one-party rule is more likely to lead to radical changes in government policy that are only favored by a plurality or bare majority of the voters, whereas multi-party systems usually require greater consensus in order to make dramatic changes. | |||
*A new candidate, who is in principle supported by the majority of voters, may be considered unlikely to become one of the top two candidates, because of the lack of a track record. The candidate will thus receive fewer votes, which will then give them a reputation as a low poller in future elections, which perpetuates the problem. | |||
*The system may promote votes against than for a candidate. In the UK, entire campaigns have been organised with the aim of voting against the ] by voting either ] or ]. For example, in a ] held by the Conservatives, with the Liberal Democrats as the second-placed party and the Labour Party in third, Labour supporters might be urged to vote for the Liberal Democrat candidate, who has a smaller hurdle to overcome and more support in the constituency than their own party candidate, on the basis that Labour supporters would prefer an MP from a competing leftist or liberal party than a Conservative one. Similarly, in Labour/Liberal Democrat marginals in which the Conservatives are third, Conservative voters may be encouraged or tempted to vote Liberal Democrat to help defeat Labour. | |||
*If enough voters use this tactic, the first-past-the-post system becomes, effectively, ], a completely different system, in which the first round is held in the court of public opinion. A good example was the ]. | |||
Proponents of other single-winner electoral systems argue that their proposals would reduce the need for tactical voting and reduce the ]. Other systems include the commonly used ] of runoffs and ], along with less-tested and perhaps less-understood systems such as ], ] and ]. | |||
===Disproportionality=== | |||
The most commonly expressed disadvantage – perhaps because it is easiest to express and explain – of first-past-the-post is that it frequently produces disproportional results, i.e. results in which a party's share of the seats does not match up with its share of the votes. Thus, substantial bodies of opinion can be left out of the final outcome, and a party can obtain a majority of seats without a majority of the vote. Examples include the recent ] of ] where the new government won a majority of the seats with less than 38% of the national vote. The dispproportonate nature of this system also means that whole regions may have M.P.s from only one party. The British Conservatives won large majorities of seats in the 1980's on a minority of votes while almost all the Scottish seats were Labour or Liberal or SNP, thus creating tremendous disatisfaction in Scotland. | |||
This is when a voter decides to vote in a way that does not represent their true preference or choice, motivated by an intent to influence election outcomes.<ref>{{Cite journal |last=Hartvigsen |first=David |date=2008 |title=The Manipulation of Voting Systems |url=https://www.jstor.org/stable/41219187 |journal=Journal of Business Ethics |volume=80 |issue=1 |pages=13–21 |doi=10.1007/s10551-007-9438-9 |issn=0167-4544 |jstor=41219187 |s2cid=153895999}}</ref> Strategic behaviour by voters can and does influence the outcome of voting in different plurality voting systems. Strategic behaviour is when a voter casts their vote for a different party or alternative district/constituency/riding{{clarify|date=August 2023}} in order to induce, in their opinion, a better outcome. An example of this is when a person really likes party A but votes for party B because they do not like party C or D or because they believe that party A has little to no chance of winning.<ref name=":1">{{Cite journal |last1=Bassi |first1=Anna |year=2015 |title=Voting Systems and Strategic Manipulation: an Experimental Study |url=https://www.researchgate.net/publication/228632824 |journal=Journal of Theoretical Politics |language=en |volume=27 |pages=58–85 |doi=10.1177/0951629813514300 |s2cid=4471874}}</ref> This can cause the outcome of very close votes to be swayed for the wrong reason. This might have had an impact on the ] that was essentially decided by fewer than 600 votes, with the winner being ]. When voters behave in a strategic way and expect others to do the same, they end up voting for one of the two leading candidates, making the Condorcet alternative more likely to be elected.<ref name=":1" /> The prevalence of strategic voting in an election makes it difficult to evaluate the true political state of the population, as their true political ideologies are not reflected in their votes.<ref name=":5" /> | |||
A further example of disproportionality arose in the ] for the province of Manitoba. The province was entitled to 17 seats in that election. The result was very different from how people voted. | |||
==== Spoiler effect ==== | |||
<TABLE BORDER=1 style="empty-cells: show"> | |||
{{Main|Spoiler effect}} | |||
<TR> | |||
<TH>Political party</TH> | |||
<TH>Percentage of votes</TH> | |||
<TH>Number of seats</TH> | |||
<TH>Percentage of Seats</TH> | |||
</TR> | |||
<TR> | |||
<TD>Conservatives</TD> | |||
<TD>42.2%</TD> | |||
<TD>0</TD> | |||
<TD>0%</TD> | |||
</TR> | |||
<TR> | |||
<TD>Labour Progressives</TD> | |||
<TD>19.5%</TD> | |||
<TD>7</TD> | |||
<TD>41%</TD> | |||
</TR> | |||
<TR> | |||
<TD>Liberals</TD> | |||
<TD>18.4%</TD> | |||
<TD>4</TD> | |||
<TD>24%</TD> | |||
</TR> | |||
<TR> | |||
<TD>Progressives</TD> | |||
<TD>11.2%</TD> | |||
<TD>4</TD> | |||
<TD>24%</TD> | |||
</TR> | |||
<TR> | |||
<TD>Labour</TD> | |||
<TD>8.7%</TD> | |||
<TD>2</TD> | |||
<TD>12%</TD> | |||
</TR></TABLE> | |||
The spoiler effect is especially severe in plurality voting, where candidates with similar ideologies are forced to split the vote with each other.<ref name=":4" /> One spoiler candidate's presence in the election draws votes from a major candidate with similar politics, which causes a strong opponent of both or several to win.<ref name=":4" /> Even extremely small parties with very little first-preference support can therefore affect the outcome of an FPTP election.<ref name=":4" /> | |||
The Conservatives clearly had the largest number of votes across the province, but received no seats at all. | |||
==== Manipulation charges ==== | |||
The usual cause for these disproportionate results is that a party has a large number of votes across the entire territory, but they are spread out across the territory rather than being concentrated in particular constituencies. Parties with less overall support, but where that support is concentrated in particular constituencies, will win plurality in those constituencies over a party with widely distributed support. | |||
The presence of ] often gives rise to suspicions that ] has taken place. The spoiler may have received incentives to run. A spoiler may also drop out at the last moment, which induces charges that such an act was intended from the beginning. Voters who are uninformed do not have a comparable opportunity to manipulate their votes as voters who understand all opposing sides, understand the pros and cons of voting for each party. | |||
==== Gerrymandering ==== | |||
This presents a problem because it encourages parties to focus narrowly on the needs and well-being of specific electoral districts where they can be sure to win seats, rather than be sensitive to the sentiments of voters everywhere. A further problem is that usually the party in power has the ability to determine where the boundaries of constituencies lie: thus, in order to secure election results, they may use ] - that is, ] to distort election results by enclosing party voters together in one electoral district. | |||
Because FPTP permits a high level of wasted votes, an election under FPTP is easily gerrymandered unless safeguards are in place.<ref>{{Cite journal |last1=Johnston |first1=Ron |last2=Rossiter |first2=David |last3=Pattie |first3=Charles |last4=Dorling |first4=Danny |date=2002 |title=Labour electoral landslides and the changing efficiency of voting distributions |url=https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1111/1475-5661.00058 |journal=Transactions of the Institute of British Geographers |language=en |volume=27 |issue=3 |pages=336–361 |bibcode=2002TrIBG..27..336J |doi=10.1111/1475-5661.00058 |issn=1475-5661}}</ref> In ], a party in power deliberately manipulates constituency boundaries to increase the number of seats that it wins unfairly. | |||
In brief, if a governing party G wishes to reduce the seats that will be won by opposition party O in the next election, it can create a number of constituencies in each of which O has an overwhelming majority of votes. O will win these seats, but many of its voters will waste their votes. Then, the rest of the constituencies are designed to have small majorities for G. Few G votes are wasted, and G will win many seats by small margins. As a result of the gerrymander, O's seats have cost it more votes than G's seats. | |||
It often seems fundamentally unfair that a party should have a substantially greater or lesser share of seats than their share of the vote. A further consequence of the system is that many such elections can be considered won before all votes are tallied, once there are no longer enough uncounted votes to override an established plurality count. Though not necessarily a disadvantage, this can produce a feeling of disenfranchisement among voters when running tallies are reported through the | |||
media. | |||
'''Efficiency gap''': The '']'' measures gerrymandering and has been scrutinized in the Supreme Court of the United States.<ref>{{cite news |title=Here's how the Supreme Court could decide whether your vote will count |url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/graphics/2017/politics/courts-law/gerrymander/ |newspaper=]}}</ref><ref>{{cite journal |last1=McGhee |first1=Eric |year=2020 |title=Partisan Gerrymandering and Political Science |journal=Annual Review of Political Science |volume=23 |pages=171–185 |doi=10.1146/annurev-polisci-060118-045351 |doi-access=free}}</ref> The efficiency gap is the difference between the two parties' wasted votes, divided by the total number of votes.<ref name="82UofCLawReview">{{Cite journal |last1=Stephanopoulos |first1=Nicholas |last2=McGhee |first2=Eric |year=2014 |title=Partisan Gerrymandering and the Efficiency Gap |journal=University of Chicago Law Review |volume=82 |pages=831–900 |ssrn=2457468}} Wasted votes and efficiency gap are defined pp. 850–852.</ref><ref name="NewRepublic20140702">{{Cite magazine |last=Stephanopoulos |first=Nicholas |date=2 July 2014 |title=Here's How We Can End Gerrymandering Once and for All |url=https://newrepublic.com/article/118534/gerrymandering-efficiency-gap-better-way-measure-gerrymandering |access-date=2016-11-22 |magazine=The New Republic}}</ref> | |||
This argument applies to most other ]. | |||
=== In some plurality systems === | |||
===Regionalism=== | |||
FPTP also encourages regional parties which can be very popular in one geographical region but have little or no support in other parts of the electorate. | |||
==== Fewer political parties ==== | |||
===Tactical voting=== | |||
{{more citations needed section|date=October 2018}} | |||
To a greater extent than most other methods, first-past-the-post encourages the ] technique known as "compromising". Voters are pressured to vote for one of the two candidates they predict are most likely to win, even if they ideally do not want to elect either of them, because a vote for any other candidate will be likely to be wasted and have no impact on the final result. | |||
]]] | |||
] is a theory that constituencies that use first-past-the-post systems will eventually become a ] after enough time.<ref name="GrofmanBlais2009">{{cite book |last1=Grofman |first1=Bernard |last2=Blais |first2=André |last3=Bowler |first3=Shaun |title=Duverger's Law of Plurality Voting: The Logic of Party Competition in Canada, India, the United Kingdom and the United States |url=https://books.google.com/books?id=2BudCN3zBCoC |publisher=Springer Science & Business Media |date=5 March 2009 |isbn=978-0-387-09720-6}}</ref> The two dominating parties regularly alternate in power and easily win constituencies due to the structure of plurality voting systems.<ref name=":6">{{Cite book |last=Blais |first=André |url=http://worldcat.org/oclc/470918525 |title=To keep or to change first past the post? : the politics of electoral reform |date=2008 |publisher=Oxford University Press |isbn=978-0-19-953939-0 |oclc=470918525}}</ref> This puts smaller parties who struggle to meet the threshold of votes at a disadvantage, and inhibits growth.<ref name=":6" /> | |||
In the above example, voters from Chattanooga and Knoxville may feel that their votes have been wasted, since they had no effect on the final result. If all the voters for Chattanooga and Knoxville had instead voted for Nashville, Nashville would have received 58% of the vote and won; and while not ideal for the voters living nearer Chattanooga and Knoxville, this would still be preferable to Memphis winning. | |||
Plurality voting tends to reduce the number of political parties to a greater extent than most other methods do, making it more likely that a single party will hold a majority of legislative seats. (In the United Kingdom, 22 out of 27 general elections since 1922 have produced a single-party majority government or, in the case of the National Governments, a parliament from which such a single-party government could have been drawn.) | |||
The difficulty is sometimes summed up, in extreme terms, as "All votes for anyone other than the second place, are actually votes for the winner" - because by voting for other candidates, they have denied those votes to the second place candidate who could have won had they received them. | |||
Plurality voting's tendency toward fewer parties and more-frequent majorities of one party can also produce a government that may not consider as wide a range of perspectives and concerns. It is entirely possible that a voter finds all major parties to have similar views on issues, and that a voter does not have a meaningful way of expressing a dissenting opinion through their vote. | |||
Because voters have to predict in advance who the top two candidates will be, this can cause significant perturbation to the system: | |||
As fewer choices are offered to voters, voters may vote for a candidate although they disagree with them because they disagree even more with their opponents. That will make candidates less closely reflect the viewpoints of those who vote for them. | |||
* Substantial power is given to the media. Some voters will tend to believe their viewpoint on who the leading contenders are likely to be in the election. Even voters who distrust the media will know that those candidates who receive the most media attention will be the most popular with other voters, and thus most likely to be in one of the top two. | |||
Furthermore, one-party rule is more likely to lead to radical changes in government policy even though the changes are favoured only by a plurality or a bare majority of the voters, but a multi-party system usually requires more consensus to make dramatic changes in policy. | |||
* A newly appointed candidate, who is in fact supported by the majority of voters, may be considered (due to their lack of a track record) to not be likely to become one of the top two candidates; thus, they will receive a reduced number of votes, which will then give them a reputation as a low poller in future elections, compounding the problem. | |||
==== Voter turnout ==== | |||
* The system may promote votes ''against'' more so than votes ''for''. In the UK, entire campaigns have been organised with the aim of voting ''against'' Labour by voting either Conservative or Liberal Democrat based on which is most popular in each constituency, regardless of the voters' opinions of the policies of these parties. | |||
] is prevalent in plurality voting systems such as ].<ref name=":3">{{Cite journal |last1=Kwiatkowska |first1=Agnieszka |last2=Cześnik |first2=Mikołaj |date=2020-12-16 |title=Electoral System, Political Knowledge and Voter Turnout— Complex Liaisons |url=https://polish-sociological-review.eu/Electoral-System-Political-Knowledge-and-Voter-Turnout-nComplex-Liaisons,131723,0,2.html |journal=Polish Sociological Review |language=english |volume=212 |issue=4 |pages=425–444 |doi=10.26412/psr212.03 |issn=1231-1413}}</ref> Studies suggest that plurality voting system fails to incentivize citizens to vote, which results in very low ]s.<ref name=":3" /> Under this system, many people feel that voting is an empty ritual that has no influence on the composition of legislature.<ref name=":2" /> Voters are not assured that the number of seats that political parties are accorded will reflect the popular vote, which disincentivizes them from voting and sends the message that their votes are not valued, and participation in elections does not seem necessary.<ref name=":3" /> | |||
==== Spoiled ballots ==== | |||
* If enough voters use this tactic, the first-past-the-post system becomes, effectively, ] - a completely different system - where the first round is held in the court of public opinion. | |||
{{Expand section|date=April 2024}} | |||
===Issues specific to particular countries=== | |||
One often-overlooked flaw in the FPTP system is that invariably, voters can select only one candidate in a single-member district, whilst in multi-member districts they can never select more canidates than the number of seats in the district. Some argue that FPTP would work better if electors could cast a vote for as many candidates as they wish. This would allow voters to "vote against" a certain despised candidate if they choose without having to guess at who they should vote for to defeat that candidate, thus eliminating the need for tactical voting. Such a system would also serve to reduce the ]. | |||
====Solomon Islands==== | |||
In August 2008, Sir ] commented on what he perceived as the flaws of a first-past-the-post electoral system in the ]: | |||
{{Blockquote|''An... underlying cause of political instability and poor governance, in my opinion, is our electoral system and its related problems. It has been identified by a number of academics and practitioners that the First Past the Post system is such that a Member elected to Parliament is sometimes elected by a small percentage of voters where there are many candidates in a particular constituency. I believe that this system is part of the reason why voters ignore political parties and why candidates try an appeal to voters' material desires and relationships instead of political parties.... Moreover, this system creates a political environment where a Member is elected by a relatively small number of voters with the effect that this Member is then expected to ignore his party's philosophy and instead look after that core base of voters in terms of their material needs. Another relevant factor that I see in relation to the electoral system is the proven fact that it is rather conducive, and thus has not prevented, corrupt elections practices such as ballot buying.''|author=, Sir Peter Kenilorea, ''Solomon Star'', 30 August 2008}} | |||
=== Arguments for plurality === | |||
===Safe seats=== | |||
==== Simplicity and familiarity ==== | |||
Plurality voting is generally considered one of the simplest methods and of the most widely known.<ref name="Plurality Electoral Systems —"/> Because of its widespread use, in situations where people become voters, it will not be a new concept for most and may even be expected. Other systems may specifically need to be explained to the voters and may be perceived as more complicated. | |||
Widespread familiarity with the system does not imply widespread familiarity with the effects. Voters may not be aware of the issues in plurality voting, therefore they may vote sincerely even in situations where voting theory would suggest they should vote tactically, thereby voting against their rational interests.{{Citation needed|date=April 2024}} | |||
A ''safe seat'' is one in which a plurality of voters support a particular candidate so strongly that their votes for that candidate are guaranteed in advance of the election. This causes the difficulty that all ''other'' voters in the constituency can then make no difference to the result, since the winner of the seat is already known in advance. This results in serious feelings of disenfranchisement, and to ]. | |||
Another counter-argument is that plurality voting is partially considered simple because of its familiarity, which in turn results from its prevalence. Such argument is made by proponents of another plurality-based system, approval voting, where unlike usual plurality voting, voters may vote for any number of candidates. If approval voting is default, plurality voting (where voters only cast one otherwise fixed number of votes) would be seen at least equally unfamiliar to voters. | |||
===Wipe out and clean sweep results=== | |||
Since FPTP combined with single member constituencies generate a winner's bonus, if not winner takes all, the opposition can be left with few if any seats.(See above) | |||
==== Ease of balloting ==== | |||
An opposition that is weak or absent, because of an ], is not good for good governance, it is argued. Provincal elections in several Canadian provinces provide suitable ]. | |||
Under plurality voting, ballots use simple marks instead of ranking or scoring, which can make especially paper-based ballots simpler.<ref>{{Cite web |date=2024-12-03 |title=Election - Plurality, Majority, Systems {{!}} Britannica |url=https://www.britannica.com/topic/election-political-science/Plurality-and-majority-systems |access-date=2024-12-05 |website=www.britannica.com |language=en}}</ref> However, non-plurality systems such as ] PR may also use just as simple ballots. | |||
In cases without ballots, such as open voting by raised hands, for example, there are simpler methods that do not require checking for people who voted more than they are allowed to, for example, ]. | |||
This is the missing corollary of strong-government argument for FPTP. | |||
==== Ease of counting ==== | |||
With plurality voting, counting and summing up votes is generally an easy process, and this may be done on a precinct level and then summed up for a total with the same results. Some alternative methods, such as ] do not work this way and either counting has to take place centrally, or complete (non-aggregated) results from precincts need to be submitted to the central authority for results. | |||
==== Arguments for single-member plurality ==== | |||
{{Further|First-past-the-post voting}} | |||
Common arguments for specifically the single-winner variant of plurality voting are constituency representation (which all other single-winner systems provide to the same degree) and governmental stability (which is dependent on other factors as well).<ref name="Plurality Electoral Systems —"/> These arguments can be made for some multi-member versions and plurality voting in general too.<ref>{{Cite web |title=Single member and multi member districts — |url=https://aceproject.org/electoral-advice/archive/questions/replies/577511787 |access-date=2024-05-14 |website=aceproject.org}}</ref> | |||
== Voting system attributes and comparison to non-plurality systems == | |||
==Where First Past the Post systems are used== | |||
Countries that use this system to elect the lower or only house of their legislature include: | |||
*] | |||
* ] | |||
* ] | |||
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* ] | |||
* ] (], In both houses of the ], an ] is used where three-quarters of seats are filled by single member plurality) | |||
* ] | |||
* ] | |||
* ] | |||
* ] | |||
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* ] (Parliamentary and local government elections in England and Wales only) | |||
* ] (except for ]) | |||
* ] | |||
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:See ] | |||
=== Attributes and criteria === | |||
The first past the post election system is used in the ] on ] for executive offices such as county magistrates, mayors, and the president, but not for legislative seats which used the ] system. This has produced an interesting ] in which there are two broad coalitions of parties which cooperate in executive elections but which compete internally in legislative elections. | |||
'''Majority criterion:''' Will a candidate always win who is ranked as the unique favorite by a majority of voters? | |||
''Source: ''Making Votes Count'', Gary Cox (1997)''. | |||
; <dfn>] (cloneproof)</dfn> | |||
India is using a ] system for its upper house. | |||
: Does the outcome never change if non-winning candidates similar to an existing candidate are added? There are three different phenomena which could cause a method to fail this criterion: | |||
:; ] | |||
:: Candidates which decrease the chance of any of the similar or clone candidates winning, also known as a ]. | |||
:; Teams | |||
:: Sets of similar candidates whose mere presence helps the chances of any of them winning. | |||
:; Crowds | |||
:: Additional candidates who affect the outcome of an election without either helping or harming the chances of their factional group, but instead affecting another group. | |||
'''No favorite betrayal:''' Can voters be sure that they do not need to rank any other candidate above their favorite in order to obtain a result they prefer? | |||
==Ballot types== | |||
{| class="wikitable" | |||
Ballots can be of two forms. The simplest form is a blank ballot where the name of a candidate is written in by hand. A more structured ballot will list all the candidates and allow a mark to be made by a single candidate. (A ballot with a candidate list can include space for a write-in candidate as well) | |||
|+ | |||
!Number of winners | |||
!System | |||
!Candidate/list | |||
!Ballot type (number of votes) | |||
!Representation | |||
!] | |||
!] | |||
!No favorite betrayal | |||
|- | |||
| rowspan="2" |'''Single-winner''' | |||
|] | |||
|Candidate | |||
|'''mark 1''' | |||
|] | |||
|'''Yes''' | |||
|'''No (spoilers)''' | |||
|'''No''' | |||
|- | |||
|] | |||
|Candidate | |||
|mark any number | |||
|] | |||
|Yes | |||
|Yes | |||
|No | |||
|- | |||
| rowspan="5" |'''Multi-winner''' | |||
|''']''' | |||
|Candidate | |||
|'''mark at most as many as seats''' | |||
|] | |||
|'''Yes''' | |||
|'''No (spoilers, crowds)''' | |||
|'''No''' | |||
|- | |||
|''']''' | |||
|Candidate | |||
|'''mark k''' | |||
|] | |||
|'''Yes''' | |||
|'''No (spoilers, crowds)''' | |||
|'''No''' | |||
|- | |||
|''']''' | |||
|Candidate | |||
|'''mark 1''' | |||
|] | |||
|'''Yes''' | |||
|'''No (spoilers, crowds)''' | |||
|'''No''' | |||
|- | |||
|] | |||
|List | |||
|'''mark 1''' | |||
|] | |||
|'''Yes''' | |||
|'''No (spoilers)''' | |||
|'''No''' | |||
|- | |||
|] | |||
|Candidate | |||
|distribute fixed number of votes | |||
|] | |||
| | |||
|'''No (spoilers, crowds)''' | |||
| | |||
|} | |||
=== Comparison to non-plurality systems === | |||
] | |||
Plurality voting is often contrasted with (absolute) majority voting<ref>{{Cite web |title=Election - Plurality, Majority, Systems {{!}} Britannica |url=https://www.britannica.com/topic/election-political-science/Plurality-and-majority-systems |access-date=2024-05-14 |website=www.britannica.com |language=en}}</ref> where variant of runoff voting (multi-round voting) are also classified. However, in formal social choice theory, the term majority voting has a different definition, and runoff voting methods could also be classified under plurality{{Citation needed|date=May 2024}}. | |||
] | |||
{| class="wikitable" | |||
!Number of winners | |||
!Plurality-based systems | |||
!Non-plurality systems | |||
!Explanation (what makes non-plurality system fundamentally different) | |||
! | |||
|- | |||
| rowspan="6" |'''Single-winner''' | |||
| rowspan="6" |] | |||
|] | |||
|Voters mark one candidate they do not want elected, the candidate with least votes wins | |||
| | |||
|- | |||
|] | |||
|Usually majority rule in first round (candidate wins only if they have more than half of the votes), | |||
typically plurality voting (technically: SNTV) determines which candidates compete in second round, | |||
majority rule for second round (with only two candidates). | |||
| | |||
|- | |||
|] | |||
|Voters may rank candidates. | |||
Some ranked systems simulate multi-round voting. | |||
Some ranked systems use plurality rule with weighted (positional) inputs (]), but are not considered plurality voting. | |||
| | |||
|- | |||
|] | |||
|Voters score candidates on a scale. | |||
| | |||
|- | |||
|] | |||
|Winner gets sorted randomly from ballots | |||
| | |||
|- | |||
|] | |||
|Does not use ballots | |||
| | |||
|- | |||
| rowspan="9" |'''Multi-winner''' | |||
| rowspan="6" |Candidate-based plurality voting: | |||
''']''', ''']''', ''']''' | |||
|] | |||
|Voters may rank candidates. Quota determines who gets elected (and which votes get transferred), not plurality rule (except last seats). | |||
| | |||
|- | |||
|] | |||
|Voters may score candidates on a scale. | |||
], while using the plurality rule is also technically a score voting system. | |||
| | |||
|- | |||
|] | |||
| | |||
| | |||
|- | |||
|Multiple random ballots | |||
|Winners get sorted randomly from ballots | |||
| | |||
|- | |||
|] | |||
|Does not use ballots | |||
| | |||
|- | |||
| rowspan="2" |Panachage | |||
| rowspan="2" |While voters vote only for candidates (and may vote across party lines), the seat allocation is primarily based on list-PR, in an open list-system. | |||
| | |||
|- | |||
| rowspan="3" |List-based plurality voting: | |||
] | |||
| | |||
|- | |||
|] proportional representation | |||
(]) | |||
|While voters may vote only for candidates (or lists) within lists, the seat allocation is primarily based on ]. | |||
The candidate votes change ranking within list (usually with plurality rule). | |||
| | |||
|- | |||
|] proportional representation | |||
(]) | |||
|Voters usually can vote for just one party, but seat allocation is proportional, not by plurality rule. | |||
| | |||
|} | |||
==International examples== | |||
Plurality voting is used for local and/or national elections in 43 of the 193 countries that are members of the ]. It is particularly prevalent in the United Kingdom, the United States, Canada and India.<ref>{{cite web |date=20 May 2008 |title=The Global Distribution of Electoral Systems |url=http://aceproject.org/epic-en/es#ES05 |access-date=8 May 2010 |publisher=Aceproject.org}}</ref> | |||
=== General elections in the United Kingdom === | |||
The United Kingdom, like the United States and Canada, uses single-member districts as the base for ]. Each electoral district (constituency) chooses one ], the candidate who gets the most votes, whether or not they get at least 50% of the votes cast ("first past the post"). In 1992, for example, a ] won a seat (]) with just 26% of the votes. The system of single-member districts with plurality winners tends to produce two large political parties. In countries with proportional representation there is not such a great incentive to vote for a large party, which contributes to ]s. | |||
Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland use the first-past-the-post system for UK general elections but versions of proportional representation for elections to their own assemblies and parliaments. All of the UK used one form or ] for European Parliament elections. | |||
The countries that inherited the British majoritarian system tend toward two large parties: one left and the other right, such as the U.S. Democrats and Republicans. Canada is an exception, with three major political parties consisting of the New Democratic Party, which is to the left; the Conservative Party, which is to the right; and the Liberal Party, which is slightly off-centre but to the left. A fourth party that no longer has major party status is the separatist Bloc Québécois party, which is territorial and runs only in Quebec. New Zealand once used the British system, which yielded two large parties as well. It also left many New Zealanders unhappy because other viewpoints were ignored, which made the ] in 1993 adopt a new electoral law modelled on ] of proportional representation (PR) with a partial selection by constituencies. New Zealand soon developed a more complex party system.<ref>], ''Countries and Concepts'' (2007)</ref> | |||
After the ], there were calls from ] for a switch to the use of proportional representation after it received 3,881,129 votes that produced only one MP.<ref>{{cite web |title=Reckless Out Amid UKIP Frustration at System |url=http://news.sky.com/story/1479845/reckless-out-amid-ukip-frustration-at-system |access-date=8 May 2015 |publisher=]}}</ref> The Green Party was similarly underrepresented, which contrasted greatly with the SNP, a Scottish separatist party that received only 1,454,436 votes but won 56 seats because of more geographically concentrated support. | |||
The United Kingdom continues to use the first-past-the-post electoral system for general elections, and for local government elections in England and Wales. Changes to the UK system have been proposed, and alternatives were examined by the ] in the late 1990s. After the formation of a new ] in 2010, it was announced as part of the ] that a ] would be held on switching to the ]. However the alternative vote system was rejected 2–1 by British voters in a ]. | |||
=== Outside the United Kingdom === | |||
Canada also uses FPTP for national and ] elections. In May 2005 the Canadian province of ] had a referendum on abolishing single-member district plurality in favour of multi-member districts with the ] system after the ] made a recommendation for the reform. The referendum obtained 57% of the vote, but failed to meet the 60% requirement for passing. A second referendum was held in May 2009, this time the province's voters defeated the change with 39% voting in favour. | |||
An ] in the Canadian province of ] on adopting a ] system, also requiring 60% approval, failed with only 36.9% voting in favour. British Columbia ] which was defeated by 62% voting to keep current system. | |||
Northern Ireland, Scotland, Wales, the Republic of Ireland, Australia and New Zealand are notable examples of countries within the UK, or with previous links to it, that use non-FPTP electoral systems (Northern Ireland, Scotland and Wales use FPTP in United Kingdom general elections, however). | |||
Nations which have undergone democratic reforms since 1990 but have not adopted the FPTP system include South Africa, almost all of the former Eastern bloc nations, Russia, and Afghanistan. | |||
===List of countries=== | |||
{{See also|List of electoral systems by country}} | |||
Countries that use plurality voting to elect the lower or only house of their legislature include:<ref>{{Cite web |title=Electoral Systems |url=http://aceproject.org/epic-en/CDTable?question=ES005 |access-date=2015-11-03 |publisher=ACE Electoral Knowledge Network |archive-date=26 August 2014 |archive-url=https://archive.today/20140826220250/http://aceproject.org/epic-en/CDTable?question=ES005 |url-status=dead }}</ref> (Some of these may be undemocratic systems where there is effectively only one candidate allowed anyway.) | |||
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==See also== | ==See also== | ||
*] – Example of an incumbent governor, ], winning re-election despite gaining less than 40 per cent of the vote | |||
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==References== | |||
{{Reflist}} | |||
– Proportional Representation Society of Australia | |||
== Sources == | |||
* {{cite journal | last1=Mudambi | first1=Ram | last2=Navarra | first2=Pietro | last3=Nicosia | first3=Carmela | title=Plurality versus Proportional Representation: An Analysis of Sicilian Elections | journal=Public Choice | publisher=Springer | volume=86 | issue=3/4 | year=1996 | issn=1573-7101 | jstor=30027122 | pages=341–357 | doi=10.1007/BF00136525 | url=http://www.jstor.org/stable/30027122 | access-date=2024-04-19}} | |||
{{voting systems}} | |||
== External links == | |||
{{Authority control}} | |||
* - Detailed explanation of first-past-the-post voting | |||
* | |||
* - week 5 gives a detailed description by David Farrell, of the University of Manchester (England), Elizabeth McLeay of Victoria University in Wellington, New Zealand. | |||
] | ] | ||
] |
Latest revision as of 03:30, 5 December 2024
Type of electoral systemIt has been suggested that this article be split into articles titled First past the post and Plurality (voting). (discuss) (May 2024) |
A joint Politics and Economics series |
Social choice and electoral systems |
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Single-winner methodsSingle vote - plurality methods
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Proportional representationParty-list
|
Mixed systemsBy results of combination
By mechanism of combination By ballot type |
Paradoxes and pathologiesSpoiler effects
Pathological response Paradoxes of majority rule |
Social and collective choiceImpossibility theorems
Positive results |
Mathematics portal |
Plurality voting refers to electoral systems in which the candidates in an electoral district who poll more than any other (that is, receive a plurality) are elected.
Under single-winner plurality voting, and in systems based on single-member districts, plurality voting is called single member plurality (SMP), which is widely known as "first-past-the-post". In SMP/FPTP the leading candidate, whether or not they have a majority of votes, is elected.
There are several versions of plurality voting for multi-member district. The system that elects multiple winners at once with the plurality rule and where each voter casts multiple X votes in a multi-seat district is referred to as plurality block voting. A semi-proportional system that elects multiple winners elected at once with the plurality rule and where each voter casts just one vote in a multi-seat district is known as single non-transferable voting.
Plurality voting is widely used throughout the English-speaking world as a result of its spread by the British Empire, including in most of the United States. Outside of the English-speaking world, it is less popular than its close relatives in the runoff family of methods. Overall, more countries in the world use a form of proportional representation than use plurality or a form of runoff.
Plurality voting procedures
Single-winner and single-member systems
Further information: First-past-the-post votingIn single-winner plurality voting (first-past-the-post), each voter is allowed to vote for only one candidate, and the winner of the election is the candidate who represents a plurality of voters or, in other words, received more votes than any other candidate. In an election for a single seat, such as for president in a presidential system, voters may vote for one candidate from a list of the candidates who are competing, and the winner is whichever candidate receives the highest number of votes. Compare first-past-the-post to a majority system, the two-round system, where usually the top two candidates in the first ballot progress to the second round, also called the runoff. A runoff is by default not held, if a candidate already received an absolute majority in the first ballot (more than half of votes), and in the second ballot, where there are only two candidates, one of the candidates will (except for a tie) receive a majority. Under plurality rules, the candidates are not at any point in the election required to have majority support.
In an election for a legislative body with single-member seats, each voter in a geographically defined electoral district may vote for one candidate from a list of the candidates who are competing to represent that district. Under the plurality system, the winner of the election then becomes the representative of the whole electoral district and serves with representatives of other electoral districts. That makes plurality voting among the simplest of all electoral systems for voters and vote counting officials; however, the drawing of district boundary lines can be contentious in the plurality system (see gerrymandering). The system is also independent of parties; the party with the most votes overall may not win the most seats overall (electoral inversion). Note that issues arising from single-member districts are still in place with majority voting systems, like the two-round system and instant-runoff voting too.
The same principle used in single-winner plurality voting (electing the candidate with the most votes) is also used in approval voting, however with very different effects, as voters can choose to support as many or few candidates as they choose, not just one. For this reason, approval voting is usually distinguished from plurality voting, while technically being a sub-type of it.
Multi-winner systems
Further information: Single non-transferable vote, Multiple non-transferable vote, and Limited votingMulti-member plurality elections are only slightly more complicated. Where n is the number of seats in the district, the n candidates who get more votes than the others are elected; the winners are the n candidates with the highest numbers of votes. The rules may allow the voter to vote for one candidate, for a number of candidates more than one but less than n, for as many as n candidates, or some other number.
When voters may vote for only one candidate, it is called the single non-transferable vote. While seemingly most similar to first-past-the-post, in effect it is a semi-proportional system allowing for mixed representation in one district, and representation of both majority parties and electoral minorities within a district.
When voters can vote for one or more candidates, but in total less than the number of winners, it is called limited voting.
The multi-winner version considered to be the extension of first-past-the-post to multi-winner cases is plurality block voting. Here voters may vote for as many candidates as there are seats to fill, which means usually candidates from the largest party will fill all the seats in the district.
The party-list version of plurality voting in multi-member districts is called party block voting. Here the party receiving a plurality of votes wins all of the seats available by default.
Ballot types
Generally, plurality ballots can be categorized into two forms. The simplest form is a blank ballot in which the name of a candidate(s) is written in by hand. A more structured ballot will list all the candidates and allow a mark to be made next to the name of a single candidate (or more than one, in some cases); however, a structured ballot can also include space for a write-in candidate.
Examples
Single-winner
This is a general example for single-winner plurality voting ("first-past-the-post"), using population percentages taken from one state for illustrative purposes.
Suppose that Tennessee is holding an election on the location of its capital. The population is concentrated around four major cities. All voters want the capital to be as close to them as possible. The options are:
- Memphis, the largest city, but far from the others (42% of voters)
- Nashville, near the center of the state (26% of voters)
- Chattanooga, somewhat east (15% of voters)
- Knoxville, far to the northeast (17% of voters)
The preferences of each region's voters are:
42% of voters Far-West |
26% of voters Center |
15% of voters Center-East |
17% of voters Far-East |
---|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
If each voter in each city naively selects one city on the ballot (Memphis voters select Memphis, Nashville voters select Nashville, and so on), Memphis will be selected, as it has the most votes 42%. The system does not require that the winner have a majority, only a plurality. Memphis wins because it has the most votes even though 58% of the voters in the example preferred Memphis least. The opposite result would occur in instant-runoff, where Knoxville (the city furthest to the east, and the "second-worst" choice) would accumulate a majority from vote transfers from voter who initially voted for Chattanooga and Nashville. Nashville is the majority-preferred winner, and as a result would be elected by any Condorcet method.
Multi-winner
Candidates are running in a 3-member district of 10 000 voters.
Under non-transferable (and non-cumulative) plurality voting, each voter may cast no more than one vote for a single candidate, even if they have multiple votes to cast.
- Under block voting, the standard multiple-winner non-transferable vote election method, voters may cast 3 votes (but do not have to)
- Under limited voting, voters may cast 2 votes maximum
- Under the single non-transferable vote, voters may cast 1 vote
Party A has about 35% support among the electorate (with one particularly well-liked candidate), Party B around 25% (with two well-liked candidates) and the remaining voters primarily support independent candidates, but mostly lean towards party B if they have to choose between the two parties. All voters vote sincerely; there is no tactical voting. (Percentage of votes under MNTV and Limited Voting is the percentage of voters who voted for the candidate, not the percentage of votes cast.)
Candidate | Party | Multiple non-transferable vote | Single non-transferable vote | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Plurality block voting | Limited voting | |||||||||||||
Votes | % | Elected? | Votes | % | Elected? | Votes | % | Elected? | ||||||
Candidate A1 | Party A | 3700 | 37% | 1. | Yes | 3500 | 35% | 1. | Yes | 2000 | 20% | 1. | Yes | |
Candidate A2 | Party A | 3600 | 36% | 2. | Yes | 1900 | 19% | 2. | Yes | 800 | 8% | 4. | ||
Candidate A3 | Party A | 3555 | 36% | 3. | Yes | 1800 | 18% | 4. | 700 | 7% | 7. | |||
Candidate B1 | Party B | 2600 | 26% | 4. | 1950 | 20% | 3. | Yes | 1100 | 11% | 2. | Yes | ||
Candidate B2 | Party B | 2500 | 25% | 5. | 1750 | 18% | 4. | 900 | 9% | 3. | Yes | |||
Candidate B3 | Party B | 2400 | 24% | 6. | 1425 | 14% | 7. | 400 | 4% | 12. | ||||
Candidate I1 | Independent | 2300 | 23% | 8. | 1400 | 14% | 8. | 800 | 8% | 4. | ||||
Candidate I2 | Independent | 2395 | 24% | 7. | 1500 | 15% | 6. | 800 | 8% | 4. | ||||
Candidate I3 | Independent | 1900 | 19% | 9. | 1300 | 13% | 9. | 700 | 7% | 7. | ||||
Candidate I4 | Independent | 1800 | 15% | 10 | 1200 | 12% | 10. | 700 | 7% | 7. | ||||
Candidate I5 | Independent | 650 | 7% | 11. | 625 | 6% | 11. | 600 | 6% | 10. | ||||
Candidate I6 | Independent | 600 | 6% | 12. | 550 | 6% | 12. | 500 | 5% | 11. | ||||
TOTAL votes cast | 28000 | 19000 | 10000 | |||||||||||
TOTAL possible votes | 30000 | 20000 | 10000 | |||||||||||
Voters | 10000 | 100% | 10000 | 100% | 10000 | 100% |
Under all three versions of multi-winner plurality voting, the three most popular candidates according to voters' first preferences are elected, regardless of party affiliation, but with three different results.
- Under block voting (Plurality block voting), the three candidates of the most popular party are elected if its supporters vote along party lines. In this case a party with only 35 percent support took all the seats.
- Under limited voting, it is most likely that the party with a plurality takes two seats (or the same number of seats as the number of votes each voter has), and another less-popular party receives the remaining seat(s).
- Under the single non-transferable vote (like in the other two methods) the number of seats are sometimes not proportionately allocated. Over-optimism (running too many candidates) and vote splitting is harshly punished. But each popular party that runs one candidate is assured of success to that degree anyway. In this case, even though the most-popular party ran three and risked vote splitting, it did elect one member.
- In a situation where three are to be elected and single transferable voting is used, ranked votes are used and each voter has just one vote, any candidate that accumulates about 25 percent of the vote will be elected and supporters of one party even if initially spread over two or three candidates can concentrate behind only one or two, just the candidates of the party that are electable. The plurality rule applies in that the most-popular candidates of the party are the ones that are elected.
Issues
In all plurality systems
Wasted votes
Wasted votes are those cast for candidates or parties who did not get elected. Some number of wasted votes by this definition is practically unavoidable, but plurality systems suffer from large numbers of wasted votes. For example, in the UK general election of 2005, 52% of votes were cast for losing candidates and 18% were excess votes, a total of 70% wasted votes. That is perhaps the most fundamental criticism of FPTP, the single-member plurality system, since at least half the votes are always wasted in a district, either as being placed on un-elected candidates or being surplus to what could be needed to win.
SMP is in practice similar in plurality block voting. They both operate under the "winner-takes-all" principle, which means that the party of the losing candidates in each district receive no representation, regardless of the number of votes they receive. Even the single non-transferable vote can result in very inefficient results if many candidates with small support compete or the most-popular candidates receive a large excess of votes. This is because like other plurality systems, STNV does not transfer loser and surplus votes.
Another way to count wasted votes, is to see the ones that may play no part in determining the outcome. Under FPTP for example, usually only votes for the top two candidates can be seen as really competing for the position, with only one possible to win; votes placed on other candidates are almost certain not to be used to elect anyone and therefore wasted. Sometimes not even two candidate are seen as being competitive. Due to having a history of repeatedly electing candidates of a certain party, many districts are known to have safe seats. On such, a candidate or party has a near 100% chance that they win the seats. Supporters of others sometimes do not even bother to vote knowing of the odds that face their candidate.
Alternative electoral systems, such as proportional representation, attempt to ensure that almost all of the votes are effective in influencing the result and electing a representative, which minimizes vote wastage. Such systems decreases disproportionality in election results and are also credited for increasing voter turnout.
Tactical voting
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To a much greater extent than many other electoral methods, plurality electoral systems encourage tactical voting techniques like "compromising". Voters are under pressure to vote for one of the two candidates most likely to win, even if their true preference is neither of them; because a vote for any other candidate is unlikely to lead to the preferred candidate being elected. In single-member plurality, this will instead reduce support for one of the two major candidates whom the voter might prefer to the other. Electors who prefer not to waste their vote by voting for a candidate with a very low chance of winning their constituency vote for their lesser preferred candidate who has a higher chance of winning. The minority party will then simply take votes away from one of the major parties, which could change the outcome and gain nothing for the voters. Any other party will typically need to build up its votes and credibility over a series of elections before it is seen as electable.
In the Tennessee example, if all the voters for Chattanooga and Knoxville had instead voted for Nashville, Nashville would have won (with 58% of the vote). That would have only been the third choice for those voters, but voting for their respective first choices (their own cities) actually results in their fourth choice (Memphis) being elected.
The difficulty is sometimes summed up in an extreme form, as "All votes for anyone other than the second place are votes for the winner". That is because by voting for other candidates, voters have denied those votes to the second-place candidate, who could have won had they received them. It is often claimed by United States Democrats that Democrat Al Gore lost the 2000 Presidential Election to Republican George W. Bush because some voters on the left voted for Ralph Nader of the Green Party, who, exit polls indicated, would have preferred Gore at 45% to Bush at 27%, with the rest not voting in Nader's absence.
That thinking is illustrated by elections in Puerto Rico and its three principal voter groups: the Independentistas (pro-independence), the Populares (pro-commonwealth), and the Estadistas (pro-statehood). Historically, there has been a tendency for Independentista voters to elect Popular candidates and policies. This results in more Popular victories even though the Estadistas have the most voters on the island. It is so widely recognised that the Puerto Ricans sometimes call the Independentistas who vote for the Populares "melons" in reference to the party colours, because the fruit is green on the outside but red on the inside.
Such tactical voting can cause significant perturbation to the system:
- Substantial power is given to the news media. Some voters will tend to believe the media's assertions as to who the leading contenders are likely to be in the election. Even voters who distrust the media know that other voters believe the media, and so those candidates who receive the most media attention will nonetheless be the most popular, and thus most likely to be one of the top two.
- A new candidate, who is in principle supported by the majority of voters, may be considered unlikely to become one of the top two candidates, because of the lack of a track record. The candidate will thus receive fewer votes, which will then give them a reputation as a low poller in future elections, which perpetuates the problem.
- The system may promote votes against than for a candidate. In the UK, entire campaigns have been organised with the aim of voting against the Conservative Party by voting either Labour or Liberal Democrat. For example, in a constituency held by the Conservatives, with the Liberal Democrats as the second-placed party and the Labour Party in third, Labour supporters might be urged to vote for the Liberal Democrat candidate, who has a smaller hurdle to overcome and more support in the constituency than their own party candidate, on the basis that Labour supporters would prefer an MP from a competing leftist or liberal party than a Conservative one. Similarly, in Labour/Liberal Democrat marginals in which the Conservatives are third, Conservative voters may be encouraged or tempted to vote Liberal Democrat to help defeat Labour.
- If enough voters use this tactic, the first-past-the-post system becomes, effectively, runoff voting, a completely different system, in which the first round is held in the court of public opinion. A good example was the 1997 Winchester by-election.
Proponents of other single-winner electoral systems argue that their proposals would reduce the need for tactical voting and reduce the spoiler effect. Other systems include the commonly used two-round system of runoffs and instant-runoff voting, along with less-tested and perhaps less-understood systems such as approval voting, score voting and Condorcet methods.
This is when a voter decides to vote in a way that does not represent their true preference or choice, motivated by an intent to influence election outcomes. Strategic behaviour by voters can and does influence the outcome of voting in different plurality voting systems. Strategic behaviour is when a voter casts their vote for a different party or alternative district/constituency/riding in order to induce, in their opinion, a better outcome. An example of this is when a person really likes party A but votes for party B because they do not like party C or D or because they believe that party A has little to no chance of winning. This can cause the outcome of very close votes to be swayed for the wrong reason. This might have had an impact on the 2000 United States election that was essentially decided by fewer than 600 votes, with the winner being President Bush. When voters behave in a strategic way and expect others to do the same, they end up voting for one of the two leading candidates, making the Condorcet alternative more likely to be elected. The prevalence of strategic voting in an election makes it difficult to evaluate the true political state of the population, as their true political ideologies are not reflected in their votes.
Spoiler effect
Main article: Spoiler effectThe spoiler effect is especially severe in plurality voting, where candidates with similar ideologies are forced to split the vote with each other. One spoiler candidate's presence in the election draws votes from a major candidate with similar politics, which causes a strong opponent of both or several to win. Even extremely small parties with very little first-preference support can therefore affect the outcome of an FPTP election.
Manipulation charges
The presence of spoilers often gives rise to suspicions that manipulation of the slate has taken place. The spoiler may have received incentives to run. A spoiler may also drop out at the last moment, which induces charges that such an act was intended from the beginning. Voters who are uninformed do not have a comparable opportunity to manipulate their votes as voters who understand all opposing sides, understand the pros and cons of voting for each party.
Gerrymandering
Because FPTP permits a high level of wasted votes, an election under FPTP is easily gerrymandered unless safeguards are in place. In gerrymandering, a party in power deliberately manipulates constituency boundaries to increase the number of seats that it wins unfairly.
In brief, if a governing party G wishes to reduce the seats that will be won by opposition party O in the next election, it can create a number of constituencies in each of which O has an overwhelming majority of votes. O will win these seats, but many of its voters will waste their votes. Then, the rest of the constituencies are designed to have small majorities for G. Few G votes are wasted, and G will win many seats by small margins. As a result of the gerrymander, O's seats have cost it more votes than G's seats.
Efficiency gap: The efficiency gap measures gerrymandering and has been scrutinized in the Supreme Court of the United States. The efficiency gap is the difference between the two parties' wasted votes, divided by the total number of votes.
In some plurality systems
Fewer political parties
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Duverger's law is a theory that constituencies that use first-past-the-post systems will eventually become a two-party system after enough time. The two dominating parties regularly alternate in power and easily win constituencies due to the structure of plurality voting systems. This puts smaller parties who struggle to meet the threshold of votes at a disadvantage, and inhibits growth.
Plurality voting tends to reduce the number of political parties to a greater extent than most other methods do, making it more likely that a single party will hold a majority of legislative seats. (In the United Kingdom, 22 out of 27 general elections since 1922 have produced a single-party majority government or, in the case of the National Governments, a parliament from which such a single-party government could have been drawn.)
Plurality voting's tendency toward fewer parties and more-frequent majorities of one party can also produce a government that may not consider as wide a range of perspectives and concerns. It is entirely possible that a voter finds all major parties to have similar views on issues, and that a voter does not have a meaningful way of expressing a dissenting opinion through their vote.
As fewer choices are offered to voters, voters may vote for a candidate although they disagree with them because they disagree even more with their opponents. That will make candidates less closely reflect the viewpoints of those who vote for them.
Furthermore, one-party rule is more likely to lead to radical changes in government policy even though the changes are favoured only by a plurality or a bare majority of the voters, but a multi-party system usually requires more consensus to make dramatic changes in policy.
Voter turnout
Political apathy is prevalent in plurality voting systems such as FPTP. Studies suggest that plurality voting system fails to incentivize citizens to vote, which results in very low voter turnouts. Under this system, many people feel that voting is an empty ritual that has no influence on the composition of legislature. Voters are not assured that the number of seats that political parties are accorded will reflect the popular vote, which disincentivizes them from voting and sends the message that their votes are not valued, and participation in elections does not seem necessary.
Spoiled ballots
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Issues specific to particular countries
Solomon Islands
In August 2008, Sir Peter Kenilorea commented on what he perceived as the flaws of a first-past-the-post electoral system in the Solomon Islands:
An... underlying cause of political instability and poor governance, in my opinion, is our electoral system and its related problems. It has been identified by a number of academics and practitioners that the First Past the Post system is such that a Member elected to Parliament is sometimes elected by a small percentage of voters where there are many candidates in a particular constituency. I believe that this system is part of the reason why voters ignore political parties and why candidates try an appeal to voters' material desires and relationships instead of political parties.... Moreover, this system creates a political environment where a Member is elected by a relatively small number of voters with the effect that this Member is then expected to ignore his party's philosophy and instead look after that core base of voters in terms of their material needs. Another relevant factor that I see in relation to the electoral system is the proven fact that it is rather conducive, and thus has not prevented, corrupt elections practices such as ballot buying.
— "Realising political stability", Sir Peter Kenilorea, Solomon Star, 30 August 2008
Arguments for plurality
Simplicity and familiarity
Plurality voting is generally considered one of the simplest methods and of the most widely known. Because of its widespread use, in situations where people become voters, it will not be a new concept for most and may even be expected. Other systems may specifically need to be explained to the voters and may be perceived as more complicated.
Widespread familiarity with the system does not imply widespread familiarity with the effects. Voters may not be aware of the issues in plurality voting, therefore they may vote sincerely even in situations where voting theory would suggest they should vote tactically, thereby voting against their rational interests.
Another counter-argument is that plurality voting is partially considered simple because of its familiarity, which in turn results from its prevalence. Such argument is made by proponents of another plurality-based system, approval voting, where unlike usual plurality voting, voters may vote for any number of candidates. If approval voting is default, plurality voting (where voters only cast one otherwise fixed number of votes) would be seen at least equally unfamiliar to voters.
Ease of balloting
Under plurality voting, ballots use simple marks instead of ranking or scoring, which can make especially paper-based ballots simpler. However, non-plurality systems such as closed list PR may also use just as simple ballots.
In cases without ballots, such as open voting by raised hands, for example, there are simpler methods that do not require checking for people who voted more than they are allowed to, for example, approval voting.
Ease of counting
With plurality voting, counting and summing up votes is generally an easy process, and this may be done on a precinct level and then summed up for a total with the same results. Some alternative methods, such as instant-runoff-voting do not work this way and either counting has to take place centrally, or complete (non-aggregated) results from precincts need to be submitted to the central authority for results.
Arguments for single-member plurality
Further information: First-past-the-post votingCommon arguments for specifically the single-winner variant of plurality voting are constituency representation (which all other single-winner systems provide to the same degree) and governmental stability (which is dependent on other factors as well). These arguments can be made for some multi-member versions and plurality voting in general too.
Voting system attributes and comparison to non-plurality systems
Attributes and criteria
Majority criterion: Will a candidate always win who is ranked as the unique favorite by a majority of voters?
- Independence of clone alternatives (cloneproof)
- Does the outcome never change if non-winning candidates similar to an existing candidate are added? There are three different phenomena which could cause a method to fail this criterion:
- Spoilers
- Candidates which decrease the chance of any of the similar or clone candidates winning, also known as a spoiler effect.
- Teams
- Sets of similar candidates whose mere presence helps the chances of any of them winning.
- Crowds
- Additional candidates who affect the outcome of an election without either helping or harming the chances of their factional group, but instead affecting another group.
No favorite betrayal: Can voters be sure that they do not need to rank any other candidate above their favorite in order to obtain a result they prefer?
Number of winners | System | Candidate/list | Ballot type (number of votes) | Representation | Majority criterion | Independence of clones | No favorite betrayal |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Single-winner | First-past-the-post | Candidate | mark 1 | Majoritarian | Yes | No (spoilers) | No |
Approval voting | Candidate | mark any number | Majoritarian | Yes | Yes | No | |
Multi-winner | Plurality block voting | Candidate | mark at most as many as seats | Majoritarian | Yes | No (spoilers, crowds) | No |
Limited voting | Candidate | mark k | Semi-proportional | Yes | No (spoilers, crowds) | No | |
Single non-transferable vote | Candidate | mark 1 | Semi-proportional | Yes | No (spoilers, crowds) | No | |
Party block voting/General ticket (plurality) | List | mark 1 | Majoritarian | Yes | No (spoilers) | No | |
Cumulative voting | Candidate | distribute fixed number of votes | Semi-proportional | No (spoilers, crowds) |
Comparison to non-plurality systems
Plurality voting is often contrasted with (absolute) majority voting where variant of runoff voting (multi-round voting) are also classified. However, in formal social choice theory, the term majority voting has a different definition, and runoff voting methods could also be classified under plurality.
Number of winners | Plurality-based systems | Non-plurality systems | Explanation (what makes non-plurality system fundamentally different) | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Single-winner | First-past-the-post | Anti-plurality | Voters mark one candidate they do not want elected, the candidate with least votes wins | |
Multi-round voting | Usually majority rule in first round (candidate wins only if they have more than half of the votes),
typically plurality voting (technically: SNTV) determines which candidates compete in second round, majority rule for second round (with only two candidates). |
|||
Ranked systems | Voters may rank candidates.
Some ranked systems simulate multi-round voting. Some ranked systems use plurality rule with weighted (positional) inputs (Borda count), but are not considered plurality voting. |
|||
Score voting | Voters score candidates on a scale. | |||
Random ballot | Winner gets sorted randomly from ballots | |||
Sortition | Does not use ballots | |||
Multi-winner | Candidate-based plurality voting:
Plurality block voting, limited voting, single non-transferable vote |
Single-transferable vote | Voters may rank candidates. Quota determines who gets elected (and which votes get transferred), not plurality rule (except last seats). | |
Score voting | Voters may score candidates on a scale.
Approval block voting, while using the plurality rule is also technically a score voting system. |
|||
Proportional approval voting | ||||
Multiple random ballots | Winners get sorted randomly from ballots | |||
Sortition | Does not use ballots | |||
Panachage | While voters vote only for candidates (and may vote across party lines), the seat allocation is primarily based on list-PR, in an open list-system. | |||
List-based plurality voting: | ||||
Open list proportional representation
(list-PR) |
While voters may vote only for candidates (or lists) within lists, the seat allocation is primarily based on list-PR.
The candidate votes change ranking within list (usually with plurality rule). |
|||
Closed list proportional representation
(list-PR) |
Voters usually can vote for just one party, but seat allocation is proportional, not by plurality rule. |
International examples
Plurality voting is used for local and/or national elections in 43 of the 193 countries that are members of the United Nations. It is particularly prevalent in the United Kingdom, the United States, Canada and India.
General elections in the United Kingdom
The United Kingdom, like the United States and Canada, uses single-member districts as the base for national elections. Each electoral district (constituency) chooses one member of parliament, the candidate who gets the most votes, whether or not they get at least 50% of the votes cast ("first past the post"). In 1992, for example, a Liberal Democrat in Scotland won a seat (Inverness, Nairn and Lochaber) with just 26% of the votes. The system of single-member districts with plurality winners tends to produce two large political parties. In countries with proportional representation there is not such a great incentive to vote for a large party, which contributes to multi-party systems.
Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland use the first-past-the-post system for UK general elections but versions of proportional representation for elections to their own assemblies and parliaments. All of the UK used one form or another of proportional representation for European Parliament elections.
The countries that inherited the British majoritarian system tend toward two large parties: one left and the other right, such as the U.S. Democrats and Republicans. Canada is an exception, with three major political parties consisting of the New Democratic Party, which is to the left; the Conservative Party, which is to the right; and the Liberal Party, which is slightly off-centre but to the left. A fourth party that no longer has major party status is the separatist Bloc Québécois party, which is territorial and runs only in Quebec. New Zealand once used the British system, which yielded two large parties as well. It also left many New Zealanders unhappy because other viewpoints were ignored, which made the New Zealand Parliament in 1993 adopt a new electoral law modelled on Germany's system of proportional representation (PR) with a partial selection by constituencies. New Zealand soon developed a more complex party system.
After the 2015 UK general election, there were calls from UKIP for a switch to the use of proportional representation after it received 3,881,129 votes that produced only one MP. The Green Party was similarly underrepresented, which contrasted greatly with the SNP, a Scottish separatist party that received only 1,454,436 votes but won 56 seats because of more geographically concentrated support.
The United Kingdom continues to use the first-past-the-post electoral system for general elections, and for local government elections in England and Wales. Changes to the UK system have been proposed, and alternatives were examined by the Jenkins Commission in the late 1990s. After the formation of a new coalition government in 2010, it was announced as part of the coalition agreement that a referendum would be held on switching to the alternative vote system. However the alternative vote system was rejected 2–1 by British voters in a referendum held on 5 May 2011.
Outside the United Kingdom
Canada also uses FPTP for national and provincial elections. In May 2005 the Canadian province of British Columbia had a referendum on abolishing single-member district plurality in favour of multi-member districts with the Single Transferable Vote system after the Citizens' Assembly on Electoral Reform made a recommendation for the reform. The referendum obtained 57% of the vote, but failed to meet the 60% requirement for passing. A second referendum was held in May 2009, this time the province's voters defeated the change with 39% voting in favour.
An October 2007 referendum in the Canadian province of Ontario on adopting a Mixed Member Proportional system, also requiring 60% approval, failed with only 36.9% voting in favour. British Columbia again called a referendum on the issue in 2018 which was defeated by 62% voting to keep current system.
Northern Ireland, Scotland, Wales, the Republic of Ireland, Australia and New Zealand are notable examples of countries within the UK, or with previous links to it, that use non-FPTP electoral systems (Northern Ireland, Scotland and Wales use FPTP in United Kingdom general elections, however).
Nations which have undergone democratic reforms since 1990 but have not adopted the FPTP system include South Africa, almost all of the former Eastern bloc nations, Russia, and Afghanistan.
List of countries
See also: List of electoral systems by countryCountries that use plurality voting to elect the lower or only house of their legislature include: (Some of these may be undemocratic systems where there is effectively only one candidate allowed anyway.)
- Antigua and Barbuda
- Azerbaijan
- Bahamas
- Bangladesh
- Barbados
- Belize
- Bermuda
- Bhutan
- Botswana
- Burma (Myanmar)
- Canada
- Comoros
- Congo (Brazzaville)
- Cook Islands
- Côte d'Ivoire
- Dominica
- Eritrea
- Ethiopia
- Gabon
- Gambia
- Ghana
- Grenada
- India
- Iran
- Jamaica
- Kenya
- Kuwait
- Laos
- Liberia
- Malawi
- Malaysia
- Maldives
- Marshall Islands
- Federated States of Micronesia
- Nigeria
- Niue
- Oman
- Palau
- Saint Kitts and Nevis
- Saint Lucia
- Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
- Samoa
- Seychelles
- Sierra Leone
- Singapore
- Solomon Islands
- Swaziland
- Tanzania
- Tonga
- Trinidad and Tobago
- Tuvalu
- Uganda
- United Kingdom
- United States
- Yemen
- Zambia
See also
- 2006 Texas gubernatorial election – Example of an incumbent governor, Rick Perry, winning re-election despite gaining less than 40 per cent of the vote
- Cube rule
- Deviation from proportionality
- Plurality-at-large voting
- Anti-plurality voting
- List of democracy and elections-related topics
- Instant-runoff voting
- Approval Voting
- Score voting
- Single non-transferable vote
- Single transferable vote
- Runoff voting
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