2012 United States presidential election in Indiana

(Redirected from 2012 Indiana Democratic presidential primary)

Main article: 2012 United States presidential election

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November 6, 2012

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Nominee	Mitt Romney	Barack Obama
Party	Republican	Democratic
Home state	Massachusetts	Illinois
Running mate	Paul Ryan	Joe Biden
Electoral vote	11	0
Popular vote	1,420,543	1,152,887
Percentage	54.13%	43.93%

County results

Romney

50-60% 60-70% 70-80%

Obama

40-50% 50-60% 60-70%

President before election

Barack Obama
Democratic

Elected President

Barack Obama
Democratic

Elections in Indiana

Federal government

Presidential elections
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v t e

The 2012 United States presidential election in Indiana took place on November 6, 2012, as part of the 2012 United States presidential election, in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Indiana voters chose 11 electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote pitting incumbent Democratic President Barack Obama and his running mate, Vice President Joe Biden, against Republican challenger and former Governor of Massachusetts Mitt Romney and his running mate, Wisconsin Congressman Paul Ryan. Romney and Ryan carried Indiana with 54.13% of the popular vote to the Democratic ticket's 43.93%, thus winning the state's 11 electoral votes.

Indiana and North Carolina were the only two states Obama won in 2008 that flipped to the Republican column in 2012. Although Indiana normally leans Republican, in 2008 Obama had been the first Democrat to win Indiana since 1964, albeit by a narrow 1.03% margin. Unlike North Carolina, Indiana was not seriously contested again by the Obama campaign in 2012; consequently, Romney was able to carry it by a 10.2% margin and win 6 counties Obama won in 2008.

Obama carried Vigo County, home to Terre Haute, and at the time a noted bellwether; before 2020, it had voted for the winner of every presidential election all but twice since 1892. After 2012, demographic change and the rightward turn of exurban areas accelerated by the Trump era have made Vigo County generally uncompetitive to the present day. As of the 2020 presidential election, this is the last time that Delaware, LaPorte, Perry, Porter, and Vigo counties have voted for a Democratic presidential candidate. Obama won nine counties compared to 83 for Romney, who won most rural areas of the state. Romney also performed well in the Indianapolis suburbs; Allen County, home of Fort Wayne; and Vanderburgh County, home of Evansville. As expected, Obama did better in urban, densely populated areas. Obama trounced Romney in Marion County, home of Indianapolis, as well as Lake County, home of Gary and East Chicago. Obama also for the most part did well in counties that contained major colleges, such as Monroe County, home of Indiana University Bloomington; St. Joseph County, home of the University of Notre Dame in South Bend; and Porter County, home of Valparaiso University.

Primary elections

Democratic primary

Incumbent President Barack Obama ran unopposed, securing 221,466 votes.

Republican primary

The Republican primary took place on May 8, 2012.

Indiana Republican primary, 2012
Candidate	Votes	Percentage	Projected delegate count
Candidate	Votes	Percentage	AP	CNN	FOX
Mitt Romney	410,635	64.61%	28	27
Ron Paul	98,487	15.50%
Rick Santorum (withdrawn)	85,332	13.43%
Newt Gingrich (withdrawn)	41,135	6.47%
Unprojected delegates:			18	19	46
Total:	635,589	100.00%	46	46	46

General election

Campaign

Incumbent Obama did not visit Indiana, although First Lady Michelle Obama, Vice President Joe Biden and former President Bill Clinton stumped in the state. Meanwhile, the Romney campaign sensed victory in the state, and he visited Indiana several times.

Polling

Republican Nominee Mitt Romney won every pre-election poll conducted in the state by at least 5%, and often by double digits. The average of the final three polls had Romney leading Obama 51% to 43%.

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
Huffington Post	Safe R (flip)	November 6, 2012
CNN	Safe R (flip)	November 6, 2012
New York Times	Lean R (flip)	November 6, 2012
Washington Post	Safe R (flip)	November 6, 2012
RealClearPolitics	Lean R (flip)	November 6, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball	Solid R (flip)	November 5, 2012
FiveThirtyEight	Solid R (flip)	November 6, 2012

Results

2012 United States presidential election in Indiana
Party		Candidate	Running mate	Votes	Percentage	Electoral votes
	Republican	Willard M. Romney	Paul D. Ryan	1,420,543	54.13%	11
	Democratic	Barack H. Obama (incumbent)	Joseph R. Biden Jr. (incumbent)	1,152,887	43.93%	0
	Libertarian	Gary E. Johnson	Jim Gray	50,111	1.91%	0
	Green (write-in)	Jill Stein (write-in)	Cheri Honkala	625	0.02%	0
	Constitution (write-in)	Virgil Goode (write-in)	Jim Clymer	290	0.01%	0
	America's Party (write-in)	Thomas Hoefling (write-in)	Jonathan D. Ellis	35	0.00%	0
	Socialist (write-in)	Stewart Alexander (write-in)	Alex Mendoza	17	0.00%	0
	Write-ins	Write-ins		10	0.00%	0
	Unaffiliated (write-in)	Jill Ann Reed (write-in)	Tom Cary	8	0.00%	0
	Independent (write-in)	Randall Terry (write-in)	Missy Smith	8	0.00%	0
Totals				2,624,534	100.00%	11

Following Romney's win in Indiana, The Indianapolis Star said that "Voters painted Indiana bright red on Tuesday- with a splash or so of blue" and that "voters also proved that while this state is conservative, it doesn't like to stray too far from the middle".

By county

County	Mitt Romney Republican		Barack Obama Democratic		Various candidates Other parties		Margin		Total
County	#	%	#	%	#	%	#	%	Total
Adams	8,937	68.58%	3,806	29.21%	289	2.21%	5,131	39.37%	13,032
Allen	84,613	57.46%	60,036	40.77%	2,597	1.77%	24,577	16.69%	147,246
Bartholomew	18,083	61.52%	10,625	36.15%	684	2.33%	7,458	25.37%	29,392
Benton	2,329	65.09%	1,159	32.39%	90	2.52%	1,170	32.70%	3,578
Blackford	2,711	56.95%	1,927	40.48%	122	2.57%	784	16.47%	4,760
Boone	18,808	67.70%	8,328	29.98%	646	2.32%	10,480	37.72%	27,782
Brown	4,332	56.75%	3,060	40.08%	242	3.17%	1,272	16.67%	7,634
Carroll	4,999	64.01%	2,635	33.74%	176	2.25%	2,364	30.27%	7,810
Cass	8,443	59.62%	5,371	37.93%	347	2.45%	3,072	21.69%	14,161
Clark	25,450	53.83%	20,807	44.01%	1,021	2.16%	4,643	9.82%	47,278
Clay	7,096	65.67%	3,460	32.02%	249	2.31%	3,636	33.65%	10,805
Clinton	6,338	64.13%	3,308	33.47%	237	2.40%	3,030	30.66%	9,883
Crawford	2,421	52.75%	2,041	44.47%	128	2.78%	380	8.28%	4,590
Daviess	7,638	74.42%	2,437	23.74%	189	1.84%	5,201	50.68%	10,264
Dearborn	15,394	68.86%	6,528	29.20%	434	1.94%	8,866	39.66%	22,356
Decatur	7,119	68.94%	2,941	28.48%	267	2.58%	4,178	40.46%	10,327
DeKalb	10,587	64.71%	5,419	33.12%	354	2.17%	5,168	31.59%	16,360
Delaware	21,251	47.15%	22,654	50.26%	1,169	2.59%	-1,403	-3.11%	45,074
Dubois	11,654	62.75%	6,522	35.12%	395	2.13%	5,132	27.63%	18,571
Elkhart	42,378	62.29%	24,399	35.87%	1,252	1.84%	17,979	26.42%	68,029
Fayette	5,045	57.09%	3,555	40.23%	237	2.68%	1,490	16.86%	8,837
Floyd	19,878	56.17%	14,812	41.85%	702	1.98%	5,066	14.32%	35,392
Fountain	4,664	65.59%	2,237	31.46%	210	2.95%	2,427	34.13%	7,111
Franklin	7,424	70.17%	2,909	27.50%	247	2.33%	4,515	42.67%	10,580
Fulton	5,317	65.43%	2,621	32.25%	188	2.32%	2,696	33.18%	8,126
Gibson	9,487	64.45%	4,928	33.48%	306	2.07%	4,559	30.97%	14,721
Grant	15,151	59.82%	9,589	37.86%	589	2.32%	5,562	21.96%	25,329
Greene	8,457	64.36%	4,350	33.10%	334	2.21%	4,107	31.26%	13,141
Hamilton	90,747	66.20%	43,796	31.95%	2,546	1.85%	46,951	34.25%	137,089
Hancock	22,796	69.41%	9,319	28.37%	728	2.22%	13,477	41.04%	32,843
Harrison	10,640	60.21%	6,607	37.39%	424	2.40%	4,033	22.82%	17,671
Hendricks	44,312	66.37%	21,112	31.62%	1,337	2.01%	23,200	34.75%	66,761
Henry	10,838	57.02%	7,613	40.05%	556	2.93%	3,225	16.97%	19,007
Howard	20,327	56.01%	15,135	41.70%	829	2.29%	5,192	14.31%	36,291
Huntington	10,862	68.76%	4,596	29.09%	339	2.15%	6,266	39.67%	15,797
Jackson	10,419	62.34%	5,838	34.93%	455	2.73%	4,581	27.41%	16,712
Jasper	7,955	61.57%	4,672	36.16%	293	2.27%	3,283	25.41%	12,920
Jay	4,645	58.79%	3,063	38.77%	193	2.44%	1,582	20.02%	7,901
Jefferson	7,096	53.94%	5,728	43.54%	332	2.52%	1,368	10.40%	13,156
Jennings	6,120	59.71%	3,821	37.28%	309	3.01%	2,299	22.43%	10,250
Johnson	39,513	68.02%	17,260	29.71%	1,319	2.27%	22,253	38.31%	58,092
Knox	9,612	63.47%	5,228	34.52%	305	2.01%	4,384	28.95%	15,145
Kosciusko	22,558	74.84%	6,862	22.77%	720	2.39%	15,696	52.07%	30,140
LaGrange	6,231	66.88%	2,898	31.11%	187	2.01%	3,333	35.77%	9,316
Lake	68,431	33.85%	130,897	64.75%	2,819	1.40%	-62,466	-30.90%	202,147
LaPorte	18,615	42.62%	24,107	55.19%	959	2.19%	-5,492	-12.57%	43,681
Lawrence	11,622	65.04%	5,779	32.34%	469	2.62%	5,843	32.70%	17,870
Madison	26,769	50.98%	24,407	46.48%	1,334	2.54%	2,362	4.50%	52,510
Marion	136,509	37.92%	216,336	60.10%	7,127	1.98%	-79,827	-22.18%	359,972
Marshall	11,260	63.25%	6,137	34.48%	404	2.27%	5,123	28.77%	17,801
Martin	3,262	68.78%	1,351	28.48%	130	2.74%	1,911	40.30%	4,743
Miami	8,174	63.79%	4,222	32.95%	417	3.26%	3,952	30.84%	12,813
Monroe	22,481	39.29%	33,436	58.43%	1,306	2.28%	-10,955	-19.14%	57,223
Montgomery	9,824	68.03%	4,271	29.58%	345	2.39%	5,553	38.45%	14,440
Morgan	19,591	69.17%	7,969	28.13%	765	2.70%	11,622	41.04%	28,325
Newton	3,291	58.02%	2,212	39.00%	169	2.98%	1,079	19.02%	5,672
Noble	10,680	65.63%	5,229	32.13%	364	2.24%	5,451	33.50%	16,273
Ohio	1,759	62.40%	994	35.26%	66	2.34%	765	27.14%	2,819
Orange	4,617	59.38%	2,939	37.80%	220	2.82%	1,678	21.58%	7,776
Owen	5,062	62.39%	2,823	34.80%	228	2.81%	2,239	27.59%	8,113
Parke	4,234	64.85%	2,110	32.32%	185	2.83%	2,124	32.53%	6,529
Perry	3,403	43.21%	4,316	54.81%	156	1.98%	-913	-11.60%	7,875
Pike	3,627	61.20%	2,125	35.86%	174	2.94%	1,502	25.34%	5,926
Porter	34,406	46.94%	37,252	50.82%	1,645	2.24%	-2,846	-3.88%	73,303
Posey	7,430	60.77%	4,533	37.08%	263	2.15%	2,897	23.69%	12,226
Pulaski	3,366	62.34%	1,899	35.17%	134	2.49%	1,467	27.17%	5,399
Putnam	9,005	65.12%	4,507	32.59%	317	2.29%	4,498	32.53%	13,829
Randolph	6,218	60.95%	3,769	36.94%	215	2.11%	2,449	24.01%	10,202
Ripley	7,484	67.94%	3,241	29.42%	290	2.64%	4,243	38.52%	11,015
Rush	4,633	65.94%	2,221	31.61%	172	2.45%	2,412	34.33%	7,026
Scott	4,539	52.05%	3,998	45.85%	183	2.10%	541	6.20%	8,720
Shelby	10,978	65.50%	5,359	31.97%	423	2.53%	5,619	33.53%	16,760
Spencer	5,515	56.60%	4,026	41.32%	203	2.08%	1,489	15.28%	9,744
St. Joseph	52,578	47.36%	56,460	50.86%	1,971	1.78%	-3,882	-3.50%	111,009
Starke	4,738	54.03%	3,809	43.44%	222	2.53%	929	10.59%	8,769
Steuben	8,547	62.41%	4,853	35.44%	295	2.15%	3,694	26.97%	13,695
Sullivan	4,902	59.13%	3,191	38.49%	197	2.38%	1,711	20.64%	8,290
Switzerland	1,872	55.11%	1,437	42.30%	88	2.59%	435	12.81%	3,397
Tippecanoe	28,757	50.40%	26,711	46.81%	1,595	2.79%	2,046	3.59%	57,063
Tipton	4,773	64.74%	2,432	32.99%	168	2.27%	2,341	31.75%	7,373
Union	2,022	65.14%	1,018	32.80%	64	2.06%	1,004	32.34%	3,104
Vanderburgh	39,389	54.26%	31,725	43.71%	1,474	2.03%	7,664	10.55%	72,588
Vermillion	3,426	51.89%	2,979	45.12%	198	2.99%	447	6.77%	6,603
Vigo	19,369	48.42%	19,712	49.27%	924	2.31%	-343	-0.85%	40,005
Wabash	8,644	67.03%	3,973	30.81%	278	2.16%	4,671	36.22%	12,895
Warren	2,377	62.55%	1,324	34.84%	99	2.61%	1,053	27.71%	3,800
Warrick	17,680	62.19%	10,181	35.81%	566	2.00%	7,499	26.38%	28,427
Washington	6,533	60.85%	3,909	36.41%	295	2.74%	2,624	24.44%	10,737
Wayne	14,321	56.21%	10,591	41.57%	565	2.22%	3,730	14.64%	25,477
Wells	9,256	71.46%	3,436	26.53%	260	2.01%	5,820	44.93%	12,952
White	5,970	60.09%	3,637	36.61%	328	3.30%	2,333	23.48%	9,935
Whitley	10,258	68.24%	4,420	29.40%	354	2.36%	5,838	38.84%	15,032
Totals	1,422,872	54.04%	1,154,275	43.84%	55,996	2.13%	268,597	10.20%	2,633,143

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Madison (largest city: Anderson)
Spencer (largest city: Santa Claus)
Starke (largest city: Knox)
Tippecanoe (largest city: Lafayette)
Vanderburgh (largest city: Evansville)
Vermillion (largest city: Clinton)

By congressional district

Romney won 7 of 9 congressional districts.

District	Romney	Obama	Representative
1st	37.39%	61.19%	Pete Visclosky
2nd	56.1%	42.14%	Jackie Walorski
3rd	62.54%	35.7%	Marlin Stutzman
4th	60.88%	36.87%	Todd Rokita
5th	57.5%	40.7%	Susan Brooks
6th	60.43%	37.28%	Luke Messer
7th	35.35%	62.9%	André Carson
8th	58.37%	39.61%	Larry Bucshon
9th	57.17%	40.7%	Todd Young

Sources

"2012 presidential elector candidates (as of September 7, 2012)" (PDF). Secretary of State of Indiana. Archived from the original (PDF) on March 28, 2013.

References

"2012 Presidential Election - Indiana". Politico. Retrieved November 22, 2012.
GALOFARO, CLAIRE. "The counties that predict presidential election winners didn't this year. Just look at Terre Haute, Indiana". chicagotribune.com. Retrieved January 22, 2021.
"Indiana Voters". indianavoters.in.gov. Retrieved April 22, 2024.
"Primary and Caucus Printable Calendar". CNN. Retrieved January 11, 2012.
"Presidential Primary Dates" (PDF). Federal Election Commission. Retrieved January 23, 2012.
Secretary of State election results. June 5, 2012. Retrieved June 27, 2012.
"Hoosiers go for Romney; Obama fails to repeat his narrow win here in '08". The Indianapolis Star. Retrieved November 8, 2012.
"2012 Presidential Election Polls - IN". uselectionatlas.org.
"Huffington Post Election Dashboard". HuffPost. Archived from the original on August 13, 2013.
"America's Choice 2012 Election Center: CNN Electoral Map". CNN. Archived from the original on January 19, 2013.
"Election 2012 - The Electoral Map: Building a Path to Victory". The New York Times. Archived from the original on July 8, 2012.
"2012 Presidential Election Results". The Washington Post. Archived from the original on July 26, 2012.
"RealClearPolitics - 2012 Election Maps - Battle for White House". Archived from the original on June 8, 2011.
"PROJECTION: OBAMA WILL LIKELY WIN SECOND TERM".
"Nate Silver's political calculations predict 2012 election outcome".
"2012 Presidential General Election Results". uselectionatlas.org.
"Analysis: Hoosiers back Republicans but want them in the middle". The Indianapolis Star. Retrieved November 8, 2012.
"Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts". Daily Kos. Retrieved August 11, 2020.

External links

The Green Papers: for Indiana
The Green Papers: Major state elections in chronological order

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v t e State and district results of the 2012 United States presidential election
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(← 2008) 2012 United States presidential election (2016 →)

Democratic Party

Candidates

Incumbent nominee: Barack Obama
Incumbent VP nominee: Joe Biden
- positions

Challengers: Bob Ely; Keith Judd; Warren Mosler; Vermin Supreme; Randall Terry; John Wolfe

Republican Party

Candidates

Nominee: Mitt Romney
VP nominee: Paul Ryan
- positions

Other candidates

Libertarian Party

Convention

Candidates

Nominee: Gary Johnson
- campaign
VP nominee: Jim Gray

Other candidates: Carl Person; Sam Sloan

Green Party

Candidates

Nominee: Jill Stein
- campaign
VP nominee: Cheri Honkala

Other candidates: Stewart Alexander
Roseanne Barr

Other third-party and independent candidates
American Independent Party	Nominee: Tom Hoefling Other candidates: Wiley Drake Virgil Goode campaign Edward C. Noonan Laurie Roth
American Third Position Party	Nominee: Merlin Miller VP nominee: Virginia Abernethy
Constitution Party	Convention Nominee: Virgil Goode campaign VP nominee: Jim Clymer Other candidates: Laurie Roth Robby Wells
Freedom Socialist Party	Nominee: Stephen Durham
Grassroots Party	Nominee Jim Carlson
Justice Party	Nominee: Rocky Anderson VP nominee: Luis J. Rodriguez
Socialism and Liberation	Nominee: Peta Lindsay
Peace and Freedom Party	Nominee: Roseanne Barr VP nominee: Cindy Sheehan Other candidates: Stewart Alexander Rocky Anderson Peta Lindsay
Prohibition Party	Nominee: Jack Fellure Other candidates: James Hedges
Reform Party	Nominee: Andre Barnett Other candidates: Laurence Kotlikoff Buddy Roemer campaign Robby Wells
Socialist Equality Party	Nominee Jerry White
Socialist Workers Party	Nominee: James Harris
Socialist Party	Nominee: Stewart Alexander campaign VP nominee: Alejandro Mendoza
Independents and others	Objectivist Party Tom Stevens Independents Lee Abramson Randy Blythe Jeff Boss Robert Burck Terry Jones Joe Schriner Michael Bloomberg attempt to draft

United States presidential primaries and caucuses

Election timelines

National opinion polling

Democratic Party: 2008; 2016; 2020; 2024
Republican Party: 2008; 2012; 2016; 2020; 2024

State opinion polling

Democratic Party: 2004; 2008; 2016; 2020; 2024

Republican Party: 2008; 2012; 2016; 2020; 2024

Fundraising

Debates and forums

2020

Republican Party: 2008; 2012; 2016; 2020; 2024
Libertarian Party: 2016
Green Party: 2016

Straw polls

Conservative Political Action Conference
Iowa State Fair
(defunct: Ames, Iowa
Texas)

Major events

Caucuses
and primaries

Democratic Party	1912 1916 1920 1924 1928 1932 1936 1940 1944 1948 1952 1956 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024 2028
Republican Party	1912 1916 1920 1924 1928 1932 1936 1940 1944 1948 1952 1956 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024 2028
Libertarian Party	2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024
Green Party	2008 2012 2016 2020 2024
Reform Party	1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024
Constitution Party	2016 2020 2024

Results breakdown

List of candidates by number of primary votes received
Democratic Party: 2008; 2016; 2020; 2024
Republican Party: 2008; 2012; 2016; 2020; 2024

National
conventions

Defunct

Whig Party	1839 1844 1848 1852 1856
Greenback Party	1876 1880 1884 1888
Populist Party	1892 1896 1900 • 1904 • 1908
Progressive Party	1912 1916 1920 1924 1948 1952

Reforms

Categories:

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