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2024 United States presidential election in Indiana

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Main article: 2024 United States presidential election
2024 United States presidential election in Indiana

← 2020 November 5, 2024 2028 →
 
Nominee Donald Trump Kamala Harris
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Florida California
Running mate JD Vance Tim Walz
Electoral vote 11 0
Popular vote 1,720,347 1,163,603
Percentage 58.58% 39.62%

County results Congressional district results

Trump

  40–50%   50–60%   60–70%   70–80%   80–90%

Harris

  40–50%   50–60%   60–70%


President before election

Joe Biden
Democratic

Elected President

Donald Trump
Republican

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The 2024 United States presidential election in Indiana took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Indiana voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Indiana has 11 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.

Republican Donald Trump won Indiana for the third time in a row this year, with a comfortable margin of 18.96%; he had swept the state in the previous two presidential election cycles with former Governor of Indiana Mike Pence on the ticket: by 19% in 2016 and by 16% in 2020. Prior to the election, all major news organizations considered Indiana a state Trump would win, or a red state.

Primary elections

Democratic primary

Main article: 2024 Indiana Democratic presidential primary

The 2024 Indiana Democratic presidential primary was held on May 7, 2024. 88 delegates, 79 pledged and 9 superdelegates, to the Democratic National Convention will be allocated to presidential candidates.

In Indiana, candidates have to gather at least 500 signatures from each congressional district, for a total of 4,500 signatures, to make the primary ballot. Incumbent President Joe Biden was the only candidate that met the requirements. Uncommitted will not appear on the ballot and write-in votes are not allowed.

With no opposition, President Biden won 100% of the primary vote.

Indiana Democratic primary, May 7, 2024
Candidate Votes Percentage Actual delegate count
Bound Unbound Total
Joe Biden 178,074 100.0% 79
Total: 178,074 100.0% 79 79

Republican primary

Main article: 2024 Indiana Republican presidential primary

The Indiana Republican primary was held on May 7, 2024. Nikki Haley, who had already dropped out, and Donald Trump appeared on the ballot.

Indiana Republican primary, May 7, 2024
Candidate Votes Percentage Actual delegate count
Bound Unbound Total
Donald Trump 461,678 78.3% 58
Nikki Haley (withdrawn) 128,170 21.7%
Total: 589,848 100.0% 58 58

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
Cook Political Report Solid R December 19, 2023
Inside Elections Solid R April 26, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball Safe R June 29, 2023
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill Safe R December 14, 2023
CNalysis Solid R December 30, 2023
CNN Solid R January 14, 2024
The Economist Safe R June 12, 2024
538 Solid R September 23, 2024
RCP Solid R June 26, 2024
NBC News Safe R October 6, 2024

Polling

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
ActiVote October 3–28, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 58% 42%
ActiVote August 28 – September 30, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 57% 43%
ARW Strategies September 23–25, 2024 600 (LV) 55% 39% 6%
Emerson College September 12–13, 2024 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 57% 40% 3%
58% 41% 1%
Lake Research Partners (D) August 26 – September 2, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 52% 42% 6%
Hypothetical polling with Donald Trump and Joe Biden

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
John Zogby Strategies April 13–21, 2024 418 (LV) 47% 43% 10%
Emerson College March 2–5, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 55% 34% 11%
Emerson College October 1–4, 2023 462 (RV) ± 4.5% 48% 29% 24%
Hypothetical polling with other candidates

Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent
Other /
Undecided
John Zogby Strategies April 13–21, 2024 418 (LV) 44% 41% 15%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Joe Biden

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Robert
Kennedy Jr.
Independent
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
John Zogby Strategies April 13–21, 2024 418 (LV) 47% 38% 15%

Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Nikki
Haley
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
Emerson College March 2–5, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 45% 29% 26%

Results

2024 United States presidential election in Indiana
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican 1,720,347 58.58% Increase 1.55%
Democratic 1,163,603 39.62% Decrease 1.34%
We the People 29,325 1.00% Increase 1.00%
Libertarian 20,425 0.70% Decrease 1.24%
American Solidarity Peter Sonski (write-in) 1,347 0.05% Increase 0.02%
Socialism and Liberation 832 0.03% Increase 0.03%
Independent 722 0.02% Increase 0.02%
Write-in 76 0.00% Steady
Total votes 2,936,677 100.00% N/A

By county

County Donald Trump
Republican
Kamala Harris
Democratic
Various candidates
Other parties
Margin Total
# % # % # % # %
Adams 10,528 75.28% 3,179 22.73% 279 1.99% 7,349 52.55% 13,986
Allen 90,283 55.17% 69,960 42.75% 3,407 2.08% 20,323 12.42% 163,650
Bartholomew 22,220 62.44% 12,525 35.19% 843 2.37% 9,695 27.25% 35,588
Benton 2,873 72.66% 1,010 25.54% 71 1.80% 1,863 47.12% 3,954
Blackford 3,811 74.20% 1,227 23.89% 98 1.91% 2,584 50.31% 5,136
Boone 22,840 56.70% 16,426 40.78% 1,017 2.52% 6,414 15.92% 40,283
Brown 5,647 65.46% 2,832 32.83% 148 1.71% 2,815 32.63% 8,627
Carroll 6,902 75.15% 2,120 23.08% 162 1.77% 4,782 52.07% 9,184
Cass 10,285 72.36% 3,722 26.19% 206 1.45% 6,563 46.17% 14,213
Clark 34,734 59.07% 22,810 38.79% 1,260 2.14% 11,924 20.28% 58,804
Clay 9,354 77.48% 2,495 20.67% 224 1.85% 6,859 56.81% 12,073
Clinton 9,108 73.16% 3,135 25.18% 207 1.66% 5,973 47.98% 12,450
Crawford 3,668 73.20% 1,235 24.65% 108 2.15% 2,433 48.55% 5,011
Daviess 9,322 81.42% 1,963 17.15% 164 1.43% 7,359 64.27% 11,449
Dearborn 20,844 78.36% 5,335 20.06% 421 1.58% 15,509 58.30% 26,600
Decatur 9,491 78.21% 2,406 19.83% 238 1.96% 7,085 58.38% 12,135
DeKalb 14,377 72.50% 5,064 25.54% 390 1.96% 9,313 46.96% 19,831
Delaware 26,067 56.81% 18,848 41.08% 966 2.11% 7,219 15.73% 45,881
Dubois 14,983 69.81% 5,944 27.69% 537 2.50% 9,039 42.12% 21,464
Elkhart 45,652 65.13% 23,082 32.93% 1,359 1.94% 22,570 32.20% 70,093
Fayette 7,625 77.32% 2,084 21.13% 153 1.55% 5,541 56.19% 9,862
Floyd 23,408 56.84% 17,025 41.34% 748 1.82% 6,383 15.50% 41,181
Fountain 6,311 79.07% 1,526 19.12% 145 1.81% 4,785 59.95% 7,982
Franklin 9,810 81.52% 2,061 17.13% 163 1.35% 7,749 64.39% 12,034
Fulton 6,633 74.73% 2,097 23.63% 146 1.64% 4,536 51.10% 8,876
Gibson 11,896 74.81% 3,722 23.41% 283 1.78% 8,174 51.40% 15,901
Grant 17,580 69.69% 7,083 28.08% 563 2.23% 10,497 41.61% 25,226
Greene 11,132 75.97% 3,270 22.32% 251 1.71% 7,862 53.65% 14,653
Hamilton 102,318 51.74% 90,394 45.71% 5,055 2.55% 11,924 6.03% 197,767
Hancock 29,288 65.69% 14,312 32.10% 984 2.21% 14,976 33.59% 44,584
Harrison 14,830 72.53% 5,233 25.59% 385 1.88% 9,597 46.94% 20,448
Hendricks 49,783 59.65% 31,917 38.25% 1,753 2.10% 17,866 21.40% 83,453
Henry 15,033 72.76% 5,208 25.21% 419 2.03% 9,825 47.55% 20,660
Howard 25,871 66.51% 12,197 31.36% 829 2.13% 13,674 35.15% 38,897
Huntington 12,990 73.05% 4,416 24.83% 377 2.12% 8,574 48.22% 17,783
Jackson 14,323 76.78% 4,015 21.52% 316 1.70% 10,308 55.26% 18,654
Jasper 12,082 76.25% 3,489 22.02% 275 1.73% 8,593 54.23% 15,846
Jay 6,217 76.61% 1,747 21.53% 151 1.86% 4,470 55.08% 8,115
Jefferson 9,614 66.97% 4,442 30.94% 299 2.09% 5,172 36.03% 14,355
Jennings 9,273 78.52% 2,328 19.71% 208 1.77% 6,945 58.81% 11,809
Johnson 51,588 66.09% 24,880 31.87% 1,591 2.04% 26,708 34.22% 78,059
Knox 11,236 74.30% 3,625 23.97% 262 1.73% 7,611 50.33% 15,123
Kosciusko 26,213 74.88% 7,995 22.84% 798 2.28% 18,218 52.04% 35,006
LaGrange 8,073 77.33% 2,162 20.71% 204 1.96% 5,911 56.62% 10,439
Lake 97,270 46.30% 109,086 51.92% 3,746 1.78% -11,816 -5.62% 210,102
LaPorte 26,726 56.09% 20,007 41.99% 914 1.92% 6,719 14.10% 47,647
Lawrence 15,830 74.60% 5,010 23.61% 380 1.79% 10,820 50.99% 21,220
Madison 34,837 62.35% 19,824 35.48% 1,211 2.17% 15,013 26.87% 55,872
Marion 124,327 35.08% 221,719 62.57% 8,322 2.35% -97,392 -27.49% 354,368
Marshall 13,837 70.54% 5,356 27.30% 423 2.16% 8,481 43.24% 19,616
Martin 3,961 79.35% 933 18.69% 98 1.96% 3,028 60.66% 4,992
Miami 10,670 76.23% 3,046 21.76% 282 2.01% 7,624 54.47% 13,998
Monroe 21,004 35.24% 37,213 62.44% 1,385 2.32% -16,209 -27.20% 59,602
Montgomery 12,122 72.91% 4,134 24.86% 371 2.23% 7,988 48.05% 16,627
Morgan 26,965 76.12% 7,765 21.92% 693 1.96% 19,200 54.20% 35,423
Newton 5,131 77.73% 1,370 20.75% 100 1.52% 3,761 56.98% 6,601
Noble 14,209 74.82% 4,462 23.49% 321 1.69% 9,747 51.33% 18,992
Ohio 2,381 77.03% 666 21.55% 44 1.42% 1,715 55.48% 3,091
Orange 6,467 75.24% 1,988 23.13% 140 1.63% 4,479 52.11% 8,595
Owen 7,360 74.52% 2,354 23.84% 162 1.64% 5,006 50.68% 9,876
Parke 5,158 77.52% 1,371 20.60% 125 1.88% 3,787 56.92% 6,654
Perry 5,549 63.91% 2,970 34.20% 164 1.89% 2,579 29.71% 8,683
Pike 4,610 76.67% 1,314 21.85% 89 1.48% 3,296 54.82% 6,013
Porter 46,109 54.27% 37,213 43.80% 1,647 1.93% 8,896 10.47% 84,969
Posey 9,206 70.93% 3,572 27.52% 201 1.55% 5,634 43.41% 12,979
Pulaski 4,372 75.86% 1,280 22.21% 111 1.93% 3,092 53.65% 5,763
Putnam 12,566 74.95% 3,871 23.09% 329 1.96% 8,695 51.86% 16,766
Randolph 8,008 75.80% 2,349 22.23% 208 1.97% 5,659 53.57% 10,565
Ripley 11,526 80.01% 2,682 18.62% 197 1.37% 8,844 61.39% 14,405
Rush 5,812 75.91% 1,675 21.88% 169 2.21% 4,137 54.03% 7,656
St. Joseph 53,585 48.35% 55,215 49.82% 2,024 1.83% -1,630 -1.47% 110,824
Scott 7,633 74.93% 2,389 23.45% 165 1.62% 5,244 51.48% 10,187
Shelby 14,438 73.09% 4,955 25.08% 361 1.83% 9,483 48.01% 19,754
Spencer 7,364 70.52% 2,853 27.32% 225 2.16% 4,511 43.20% 10,442
Starke 7,889 75.29% 2,436 23.25% 153 1.46% 5,453 52.04% 10,478
Steuben 11,487 70.00% 4,598 28.02% 324 1.98% 6,889 41.98% 16,409
Sullivan 6,639 75.49% 2,006 22.81% 150 1.70% 4,633 52.68% 8,795
Switzerland 3,319 77.95% 873 20.50% 66 1.55% 2,446 57.45% 4,258
Tippecanoe 32,783 48.79% 32,683 48.64% 1,728 2.57% 100 0.15% 67,194
Tipton 5,946 74.34% 1,893 23.67% 159 1.99% 4,053 50.67% 7,998
Union 2,698 77.22% 746 21.35% 50 1.43% 1,952 55.87% 3,494
Vanderburgh 41,056 55.61% 31,727 42.97% 1,049 1.42% 9,329 12.64% 73,832
Vermillion 5,174 71.21% 1,928 26.53% 164 2.26% 3,246 44.68% 7,266
Vigo 23,738 57.87% 16,338 39.83% 947 2.30% 7,400 18.04% 41,023
Wabash 10,425 74.57% 3,335 23.86% 220 1.57% 7,090 50.71% 13,980
Warren 3,402 77.85% 898 20.55% 70 1.60% 2,504 57.30% 4,370
Warrick 21,280 64.10% 11,292 34.02% 624 1.88% 9,988 30.08% 33,196
Washington 9,739 76.55% 2,764 21.72% 220 1.73% 6,975 54.83% 12,723
Wayne 17,526 65.33% 8,828 32.91% 473 1.76% 8,698 32.42% 26,827
Wells 11,006 77.86% 2,850 20.16% 280 1.98% 8,156 57.70% 14,136
White 7,969 71.30% 2,945 26.35% 262 2.35% 5,024 44.95% 11,176
Whitley 13,122 73.83% 4,275 24.05% 377 2.12% 8,847 49.78% 17,774
Totals 1,720,347 58.43% 1,163,603 39.52% 60,386 2.05% 556,744 18.91% 2,944,336

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Notes

  1. ^ Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^ "Someone else" with 1%
  3. With voters who lean towards a given candidate

Partisan clients

  1. Poll sponsored by Indy Politics
  2. Poll sponsored by the campaign of Destiny Wells, 2024 Democratic nominee for attorney general
  3. ^ Poll conducted for Kennedy's campaign

See also

References

  1. Wang, Hansi; Jin, Connie; Levitt, Zach (April 26, 2021). "Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats". NPR. Archived from the original on August 19, 2021. Retrieved February 7, 2023.
  2. "Indiana Democratic Delegation 2024". www.thegreenpapers.com. Retrieved March 1, 2024.
  3. "Ballot access for presidential candidates". Ballotpedia. Retrieved January 20, 2024.
  4. "Candidate List - Abbreviated" (PDF). Indiana Secretary of State. Retrieved March 1, 2024.
  5. "Indiana 2024 Delegate Selection Plan with DNC Edits" (PDF). Indiana Democratic Party. January 9, 2024. Retrieved March 1, 2024. No provision is provided under Indiana state law for primary voters to express an uncommitted preference on the ballot. Write-in presidential candidates are permitted.
  6. "Indiana Presidential Primary Election Results 2024". NBC News. Retrieved May 7, 2024.
  7. "Indiana Presidential Primary Election Results 2024". NBC News. Retrieved May 7, 2024.
  8. "2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings". cookpolitical.com. Cook Political Report. December 19, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  9. "Presidential Ratings". insideelections.com. Inside Elections. April 26, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  10. "2024 Electoral College ratings". centerforpolitics.org. University of Virginia Center for Politics. June 29, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  11. "2024 presidential predictions". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. December 14, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  12. "2024 Presidential Forecast". projects.cnalysis.com/. CNalysis. December 30, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  13. "Electoral College map 2024: Road to 270". CNN. Retrieved January 14, 2024.
  14. "Trump v Biden: The Economist's presidential election prediction model". The Economist. Retrieved June 12, 2024.
  15. Morris, G. Elliott (June 11, 2024). "2024 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved September 29, 2024.
  16. "2024 RCP Electoral College Map". RealClearPolitics. June 26, 2024. Retrieved June 26, 2024.
  17. "Presidential Election Preview 2024". NBC News.
  18. Allis, Victor (October 29, 2024). "Trump Leads Comfortably in Indiana". ActiVote.
  19. Allis, Victor (October 1, 2024). "Trump Leads Comfortably in Indiana". ActiVote.
  20. Hakim-Shabazz, Abdul (September 29, 2024). "GOP Leads In Statewide Polling, But Braun's is the Smallest". Indy Politics.
  21. "Indiana September 2024 Poll: Trump 57%, Harris 40%". Emerson College Polling. September 17, 2024.
  22. Carden, Dan (September 12, 2024). "Poll finds Indiana attorney general, governor races are close". The Times of Northwest Indiana.
  23. ^ "Biden Is the Real Spoiler, Kennedy Only Candidate Who Can Beat Trump". Kennedy24. May 1, 2024.
  24. ^ Mumford, Camille (March 7, 2024). "Indiana 2024 Poll: Sen. Braun Leads GOP Primary for Governor at 34%, 43% undecided". Emerson Polling.
  25. Mumford, Camille (October 13, 2023). "Indiana 2024: Plurality of Voters Undecided in U.S. Senate Election to Replace Sen. Braun". Emerson Polling.
  26. "2024 Indiana Election Results". INSOS. Retrieved December 13, 2024.
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