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2020 United States presidential election in Indiana

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Turnout	61.37%
Nominee Donald Trump Joe Biden Party Republican Democratic Home state Florida Delaware Running mate Mike Pence Kamala Harris Electoral vote 11 0 Popular vote 1,729,857 1,242,498 Percentage 57.03% 40.96%
County results Congressional district results Precinct results Trump   40–50%   50–60%   60–70%   70–80%   80–90%   90–100% Biden   40–50%   50–60%   60–70%   70–80%   80–90%   90–100% Tie/No Data
President before election Donald Trump Republican Elected President Joe Biden Democratic

Elections in Indiana
Federal government Presidential elections 1816 1820 1824 1828 1832 1836 1840 1844 1848 1852 1856 1860 1864 1868 1872 1876 1880 1884 1888 1892 1896 1900 1904 1908 1912 1916 1920 1924 1928 1932 1936 1940 1944 1948 1952 1956 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024 Presidential primaries Democratic 1996 2000 2004 2008 2016 2020 Republican 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024 U.S. Senate elections 1816 1818 1821 1821 sp 1824 1827 1830 1832 sp 1832 1836 1838 1842 1844 1848 1850 1853 sp 1856 1857 sp 1860 1862 1863 sp 1867 1868 1873 1879 1879 sp 1885 1887 1891 1893 1897 1899 1903 1905 1905 sp 1909 1911 1914 1916 1916 sp 1920 1922 1926 1926 sp 1928 1932 1934 1938 1940 1944 1944 sp 1946 1950 1952 1956 1958 1962 1964 1968 1970 1974 1976 1980 1982 1986 1988 1990 sp 1992 1994 1998 2000 2004 2006 2010 2012 2016 2018 2022 2024 U.S. House of Representatives elections 1816 1817 1818 1820 1822 AL sp 1824 1st sp 1826 1828 1831 1833 1835 1837 6th sp 1839 1840 7th sp 1841 1843 1845 1847 1849 1851 1852 1854 1856 1857 1st sp 10th sp 1858 1860 1862 1864 1866 1868 1870 1872 1874 1876 2nd sp 3rd sp 1878 1880 1882 1883 9th sp 1884 13th sp 1886 1888 1889 1st sp 1890 1892 1894 1896 1897 4th sp 1898 1900 1902 1904 1905 1st 1906 12th sp 1908 13th sp 1910 1912 1914 1916 1917 6th sp 1918 1920 1922 1924 1926 1928 1930 1932 1934 1935 2nd sp 1936 1938 1940 1942 1944 1946 1947 10th sp 1948 1950 1952 1954 1956 1958 1960 1962 1964 1966 1968 1970 1972 1974 1976 1978 1980 1982 1st sp 1984 1986 1988 1989 4th sp 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 7th sp 2010 3rd sp 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2nd sp 2024
State government State elections 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 Gubernatorial elections 1816 1819 1822 1825 1828 1831 1834 1837 1840 1843 1846 1849 1852 1856 1860 1864 1868 1872 1876 1880 1884 1888 1892 1896 1900 1904 1908 1912 1916 1920 1924 1928 1932 1936 1940 1944 1948 1952 1956 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024 Secretary of State elections 2010 2014 2018 2022 Attorney General elections 2012 2016 2020 2024 State Treasurer elections 2010 2014 2018 2022 Senate elections 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 House of Representatives elections 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024
Indianapolis Mayoral elections 1925 1929 1947 1951 1955 1959 1963 1967 1971 1975 1979 1983 1987 1991 1995 1999 2003 2007 2011 2015 2019 2023 City-County Council elections 2007 2011 2015 2019 2023
Other localities Carmel (mayoral) Evansville (mayoral) Fort Wayne (mayoral) Gary (mayoral) South Bend (mayoral) v t e
v t e

The 2020 United States presidential election in Indiana was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Indiana voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. Indiana has 11 electoral votes in the Electoral College.

Indiana was the home state of Pence, who served as Governor of Indiana from 2013 to 2017. Pence retained a 59% approval among voters in his home state. On the day of the election, most news organizations considered Indiana a state Trump would win, or a likely red state. Trump won Indiana by 57% to Biden's 41%, a slight increase in his vote share from 2016, but a reduction in his margin of victory.

This election marked the first time since 1952 and only the third time since 1888 that Vigo County, home to Terre Haute and a significant bellwether county, voted for the losing candidate in a presidential election. Biden subsequently became the first presidential nominee of either party since Dwight D. Eisenhower in 1952, and the first Democrat since Grover Cleveland in 1884 to win the presidency without carrying Vigo County.

Biden also became the first Democrat since FDR in 1944 to win without carrying traditionally Democratic Perry County in Southern Indiana. Biden did flip Tippecanoe County, home to Lafayette and Purdue University, from Republican to Democratic, marking the first time since 1936 that the county voted against Indiana's statewide winner. Biden was also the first Democrat to win without LaPorte County since 1976. Trump also became the first Republican since Ronald Reagan in 1984 to carry exurban Madison County with more than 60% of the vote.

Primary elections

The primary elections were held on June 2, 2020.

Republican primary

Donald Trump won the Republican primary, and received all of the state's 58 delegates to the 2020 Republican National Convention.

Democratic primary

Libertarian nominee

The 2020 Libertarian National Convention was held on May 22–24, 2020, selecting Jo Jorgensen, Psychology Senior Lecturer at Clemson University, as their presidential nominee.

Green primary

The Green primary was held on May 1–31, 2020, with mail-in ballots being post marked no later than June 1, 2020, and results being published by June 14, 2020.

General election

Predictions

Polling

Graphical summary

Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. Updates on reimplementing the Graph extension, which will be known as the Chart extension, can be found on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org.

Aggregate polls

Polls

Results

2020 United States presidential election in Indiana

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Republican	Donald Trump (incumbent) Mike Pence (incumbent)	1,729,857	57.03%	0.09%
	Democratic	Joe Biden Kamala Harris	1,242,498	40.96%	3.19%
	Libertarian	Jo Jorgensen Spike Cohen	58,901	1.94%	2.96%
	Green	Howie Hawkins (write-in) Angela Walker (write-in)	989	0.03%	0.26%
	American Solidarity	Brian T. Carroll (write-in) Amar Patel (write-in)	895	0.03%	N/A
	Write-in		70	0.00%	0.03%
Total votes			3,033,210	100.00%	N/A

By county

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

• Tippecanoe (largest city: Lafayette)

•   Democratic — +12.5-15%
•   Democratic — +10-12.5%
•   Democratic — +7.5-10%
•   Democratic — +5-7.5%
•   Democratic — +2.5-5%
•   Democratic — +0-2.5%
•   Republican — +0-2.5%
•   Republican — +2.5-5%
•   Republican — +5-7.5%
•   Republican — +7.5-10%
•   Republican — +10-12.5%

•   Democratic — +12.5-15%
•   Democratic — +10-12.5%
•   Democratic — +7.5-10%
•   Democratic — +5-7.5%
•   Democratic — +2.5-5%
•   Democratic — +0-2.5%
•   Republican — +0-2.5%
•   Republican — +2.5-5%
•   Republican — +5-7.5%
•   Republican — +7.5-10%
•   Republican — +10-12.5%

• Democratic   Hold   Gain from Republican

  Republican   Hold

By congressional district

Trump and Republican candidates won 7 of 9 congressional districts.

Analysis

Biden significantly reduced the Republican margin in Hamilton County, a suburban county in the Indianapolis metropolitan area that is the state's fourth-most populous county. Hamilton County has never supported a candidate of the Democratic Party for president except for 1912, when the split in the Republicans allowed Woodrow Wilson to carry the county with a 34.9% plurality. Hamilton broke 60%-38% for John McCain in 2008, when Barack Obama won Indiana. Mitt Romney won Hamilton County 66%–32% in 2012 and Trump won it 56%-37% in 2016, nearly identical to his statewide margin. In this election, Trump narrowly won Hamilton County, 52%-45%, a margin that is to the left of the statewide result. Biden's 45% vote share in Hamilton County is higher than that of even Lyndon B. Johnson in his nationwide landslide in 1964 and higher than that of Franklin D. Roosevelt in 1936. Biden's vote share in Hamilton is only equaled by Roosevelt's 44.85% share in his 1932 landslide.

See also

• United States presidential elections in Indiana
• 2020 Indiana elections
• 2020 United States presidential election
• 2020 Democratic Party presidential primaries
• 2020 Republican Party presidential primaries
• 2020 Libertarian Party presidential primaries
• 2020 United States elections

Notes

1. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
2. ^ Key:
   A – all adults
   RV – registered voters
   LV – likely voters
   V – unclear
3. Overlapping sample with the previous SurveyMonkey/Axios poll, but more information available regarding sample size
4. Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight

Partisan clients

1. This poll is sponsored by Karen Tallian's campaign (D)

References

1. "Voter turnout in United States elections". Ballotpedia. Retrieved August 3, 2022.
2. "Indiana Election Results 2020". The New York Times. November 3, 2020. Retrieved November 5, 2020.
3. Kelly, Ben (August 13, 2018). "US elections key dates: When are the 2018 midterms and the 2020 presidential campaign?". The Independent. Archived from the original on August 2, 2018. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
4. "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
5. "Indiana Voter Surveys: How Different Groups Voted". The New York Times. November 3, 2020. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved November 9, 2020.
6. ^ "County winners, 1836-2016". Google Docs. Retrieved November 15, 2020.
7. "Indiana Republican Delegation 2020". The Green Papers. Retrieved June 3, 2020.
8. "Past Election Results". Indiana Secretary of State. Retrieved November 2, 2020.
9. "June 2 contests – Live primary and caucus results, Indiana". Reuters. July 16, 2020. Retrieved April 16, 2022.
10. "2020 Presidential Primary Voting". Indiana Green Party. Retrieved April 28, 2020.
11. "2020 POTUS Race ratings" (PDF). The Cook Political Report. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
12. "POTUS Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
13. "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 President". crystalball.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
14. "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
15. "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
16. 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions Archived April 23, 2020, at the Wayback Machine, Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020.
17. David Chalian; Terence Burlij (June 11, 2020). "Road to 270: CNN's debut Electoral College map for 2020". CNN. Retrieved June 16, 2020.
18. "Forecasting the US elections". The Economist. Retrieved July 7, 2020.
19. "2020 Election Battleground Tracker". CBS News. July 12, 2020. Retrieved July 13, 2020.
20. "2020 Presidential Election Interactive Map". 270 to Win.
21. "ABC News Race Ratings". CBS News. July 24, 2020. Retrieved July 24, 2020.
22. "2020 Electoral Map Ratings: Trump Slides, Biden Advantage Expands Over 270 Votes". NPR. Retrieved August 3, 2020.
23. "Biden dominates the electoral map, but here's how the race could tighten". NBC News. August 6, 2020. Retrieved August 6, 2020.
24. "2020 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. August 12, 2020. Retrieved August 14, 2020.
25. 270 to Win
26. FiveThirtyEight
27. ^ SurveyMonkey/Axios
28. Swayable Archived November 13, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
29. Morning Consult
30. Swayable
31. Ragnar Research (R)
32. SurveyUSA/Election Twitter
33. Change Research/IndyPolitics
34. Morning Consult
35. Victoria Research/Tallian for Attorney General
36. Indy Politics/Change Research
37. Zogby Analytics
38. "Federal Elections 2020" (PDF). Federal Election Commission. October 2022.
39. "Indiana Counties by Population".

Further reading

• Summary: State Laws on Presidential Electors (PDF), Washington DC: National Association of Secretaries of State, August 2020, Indiana
• David Wasserman (October 6, 2020), "The 10 Bellwether Counties That Show How Trump Is in Serious Trouble", The New York Times. (Describes bellwether Vigo County, Indiana)

External links

• Government Documents Round Table of the American Library Association, "Indiana", Voting & Elections Toolkits
• "Indiana: Election Tools, Deadlines, Dates, Rules, and Links", Vote.org, Oakland, CA
• "League of Women Voters of Indiana". (State affiliate of the U.S. League of Women Voters)
• Indiana at Ballotpedia

v t e State and district results of the 2020 United States presidential election
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