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2020 United States Senate election in Kentucky

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Turnout	59.7%
Nominee Mitch McConnell Amy McGrath Party Republican Democratic Popular vote 1,233,315 816,257 Percentage 57.76% 38.23%
County results Congressional district results Precinct resultsMcConnell:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80-90%      >90% McGrath:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90% Tie:      40-50%      50%      No data
U.S. senator before election Mitch McConnell Republican Elected U.S. Senator Mitch McConnell Republican

Elections in Kentucky
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Government
v t e

The 2020 United States Senate election in Kentucky was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the Commonwealth of Kentucky, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Republican Senator Mitch McConnell, who had been Senate Majority Leader since 2015 and senator from Kentucky since 1985, won reelection to a seventh term in office. He faced off against former U.S. Marine fighter pilot Amy McGrath and Libertarian Brad Barron.

The Democratic and Republican primaries took place on June 23, 2020. As the primaries neared, the president of the National Bar Association accused officials of carrying out voter suppression. Compared to typical numbers of 3,700, the number of polling stations was reduced to 200 with only one in Louisville. Because a large number of voters voted by mail, absentee ballots were not counted until June 30. In the primary, over 937,000 people requested absentee ballots or voted early, a far greater number than usual.

Despite much speculation about this race being potentially competitive and large amounts of money being poured in to try to defeat McConnell, he wound up winning a seventh term with his largest margin of victory since 2002, defeating McGrath by nearly 20 percentage points. He also won Elliott and Wolfe Counties for the first time, solidifying rural Kentucky's hard swing towards the GOP. This was the first election in which McConnell attained more than 1 million votes.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Mitch McConnell, incumbent U.S. senator and Senate Majority Leader

Eliminated in primary

• Nicholas Alsager
• Paul John Frangedakis, chiropractor (switched to independent write-in candidacy after losing primary)
• Louis Grider, truck driver
• Neren James
• Kenneth Lowndes
• Wesley Morgan, former state representative

Withdrawn

• Wendell K. Crow, businessman and entrepreneur (remained on ballot)
• Karl Das

Results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Amy McGrath, former U.S. Marine fighter pilot and Democratic nominee for Kentucky's 6th congressional district in 2018

Eliminated in primary

• Charles Booker, state representative
• Mike Broihier, farmer, educator, and former Marine
• Maggie Joe Hilliard
• Andrew Maynard
• Eric Rothmuller, small business owner
• John R. Sharpensteen
• Bennie J. Smith, local business owner
• Mary Ann Tobin, former Auditor of Kentucky

Withdrawn

• Jimmy Ausbrooks, mental health counselor (endorsed Mike Broihier) (remained on ballot)
• Steven Cox, registered pharmacy technician (endorsed Charles Booker)
• Joshua Paul Edwards
• Kevin Elliott, Assistant Professor of Political Science at Murray State University
• Dr. Loretta Babalmoradi Noble

Declined

• Rocky Adkins, former minority leader of the Kentucky House of Representatives and candidate for Governor of Kentucky in 2019
• Andy Beshear, Governor of Kentucky, former attorney general of Kentucky, and son of former governor Steve Beshear
• Steve Beshear, former governor of Kentucky and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 1996
• Jack Conway, former attorney general of Kentucky, nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2010, nominee for Governor of Kentucky in 2015
• Adam Edelen, former state auditor and candidate for Governor of Kentucky in 2019
• Greg Fischer, Mayor of Louisville
• Jim Gray, Secretary of the Kentucky Transportation Cabinet, former mayor of Lexington and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2016
• Alison Lundergan Grimes, former secretary of state of Kentucky and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2014 (endorsed Booker)
• Matt Jones, attorney, media personality, and restaurateur (had formed an exploratory committee beforehand, endorsed Booker)

Campaign

There were debates on March 5, 2020 and June 1, 2020.

Polling

Endorsements

U.S. senators

• Jesse Jackson Sr., former Shadow U.S. Senator from the District of Columbia (1991–1997), 1988 and 1984 candidate for president, founder of Rainbow/PUSH
• Bernie Sanders, U.S. senator from Vermont, 2016 and 2020 candidate for president

U.S. representatives

• Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, U.S. representative for NY-14

State legislators

• Alison Lundergan Grimes, former secretary of state of Kentucky (2012–2020); Democratic nominee for Kentucky's U.S. Senate election in 2014
• Gerald Neal, Kentucky State Senator
• Reggie Thomas, Kentucky State Senator

Newspapers

• Lexington Herald-Leader
• Louisville Courier-Journal

Unions

• Association of Flight Attendants
• National Nurses United

Organizations and political parties

• Democracy for America
• Friends of the Earth Action
• Indivisible movement
• Kentuckians for the Commonwealth
• MoveOn
• Working Families Party

Individuals

• Nick Offerman, actor

State and local officials from other states

• Richard Ojeda, West Virginia State Senator for the 7th district (2016–2019); 2020 presidential and U.S. Senate candidate

Individuals

• Marianne Williamson, author, peace activist, spiritual leader, 2020 presidential candidate
• Andrew Yang, author, entrepreneur, and 2020 presidential candidate

Organizations

• Indivisible Kentucky, progressive advocacy organization

Organizations

• Council for a Livable World
• DSCC
• Feminist Majority PAC
• Giffords
• J Street PAC
• VoteVets.org

Results

Other candidates

Libertarian primary

The Libertarian Party of Kentucky did not qualify to nominate through the taxpayer-funded primary and held its own privately operated primary on March 8, 2020. Anyone registered Libertarian in the state of Kentucky as of January 1, 2020, could participate. All candidates of the Libertarian Party of Kentucky must defeat None Of The Above (NOTA) to obtain the nomination.

Nominee

• Brad Barron, farmer and entrepreneur

Reform Party

Withdrawn

• Derek Leonard Petteys

Independents

Declared

• Daniel Cobble (as a write-in candidate)
• Harold H. Fitzpatrick (as a write-in candidate)
• Paul John Frangedakis (as a write-in candidate) (switched from Republican candidacy after losing primary)
• Randall Lee Teegarden (as a write-in candidate)
• Demetra Wysinger (as a write-in candidate)

Withdrawn

• Alyssa Dara McDowell, independent candidate for president in 2016, 2018 Independent nominee for Kentucky House of Representatives District 65

General election

Despite record breaking fundraising from McGrath and speculation that the race could be competitive, McConnell was handily re-elected. Throughout the general election, McConnell portrayed McGrath as an overly liberal "rioter apologist" and made use of a comment from 2018 where McGrath compared her reaction to Trump being elected in 2016 to how she felt during the September 11 attacks.

Debates

• Complete video of debate, October 12, 2020 - C-SPAN

Predictions

Endorsements

U.S. Senators

• Kirsten Gillibrand, U.S. senator from New York (2009–present); former 2020 presidential candidate
• Kamala Harris, U.S. senator from California (2017–2021)

U.S. Representatives

• Seth Moulton, U.S. representative from Massachusetts's 6th congressional district

State officials

• Andy Beshear, Governor of Kentucky

Individuals

• Ann Coulter, media pundit (Republican)
• Alex Kurtzman, producer, writer and director

Organizations

• Council for a Livable World
• DSCC
• Feminist Majority PAC
• Giffords
• J Street PAC
• Joint Action Committee for Political Affairs
• VoteVets.org

Unions

• International Federation of Professional and Technical Engineers
• Kentucky AFL-CIO
• National Education Association
• Service Employees International Union 1199 WV/KY/OH
• United Auto Workers

Polling

Graphical summary

Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. Updates on reimplementing the Graph extension, which will be known as the Chart extension, can be found on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org.

Polls

with Charles Booker

with Jim Gray

with Generic Democrat

on whether Mitch McConnell deserves to be re-elected

with Generic Republican and Generic Democrat

Results

McConnell was announced as the winner on November 3. When pressed for a potential recount of the election amid legal disputes regarding the general, McConnell dismissed the idea, since, "at the risk of bragging, it wasn't very close."

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

• Bath (largest municipality: Owingsville)
• Elliott (largest municipality: Sandy Hook)
• Marion (largest municipality: Lebanon)
• Menifee (largest municipality: Frenchburg)
• Nicholas (largest municipality: Carlisle)
• Rowan (largest municipality: Morehead)
• Wolfe (largest municipality: Campton)

By congressional district

McConnell won 5 of 6 congressional districts.

See also

• 2020 Kentucky elections

Notes

Partisan clients

1. Poll released after the primary in July
2. ^ Poll sponsored by McGrath's campaign
3. ^ Poll sponsored by Booker's campaign
4. ^ This poll's sponsor, Ditch Mitch Fund, supported the electoral defeat of Mitch McConnell prior to the sampling period
5. This poll's sponsor is the American Principles Project, a 501 that supports the Republican Party.
6. Poll sponsored by U.S. Term Limits, a PAC supporting candidates who support term limits in Congress.
7. Poll sponsored by AARP.
8. ^ Poll sponsored by The Ditch Mitch Fund
9. Poll sponsored by Our Lives on the Line

Voter samples

1. ^ Key:
   A – all adults
   RV – registered voters
   LV – likely voters
   V – unclear
2. Broihier and "someone else" with 4%; Tobin with 1%
3. Broihier with 5%; other with 1%
4. ^ Not yet released
5. Undecided with 10%
6. Undecided with 5%
7. Undecided with 3%
8. Standard VI response
9. ^ Undecided with 12%
10. If only McConnell and McGrath were candidates
11. Undecided with 11%
12. "Someone else" with 1%; Undecided with 4%
13. "Someone else" and would not vote with 1%; Undecided with 5%
14. "Someone else" and Undecided with 6%
15. Undecided with 7%
16. "someone else" with 8%; undecided with 3%
17. Undecided with 10%; "Some other candidate" with 9%
18. Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
19. Barron (L) with 4%; "someone else" with 2%; undecided with 3%
20. Undecided with 7%; "refused" with 1%
21. Undecided with 6%
22. Undecided with 8%
23. Undecided with 10%; "don't know/refused" with 3%

References

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103. Spry Strategies (R)
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105. RMG Research
106. Bluegrass Data (D) Archived August 9, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
107. Change Research (D)
108. Garin-Hart-Yang Research (D)
109. Fabrizio Ward
110. Change Research (D)
111. Gravis Marketing
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External links

• Government Documents Round Table of the American Library Association, "Kentucky", Voting & Elections Toolkits
• "Kentucky: Election Tools, Deadlines, Dates, Rules, and Links", Vote.org, Oakland, CA
• "League of Women Voters of Kentucky". (state affiliate of the U.S. League of Women Voters)
• Kentucky at Ballotpedia

campaign websites

• Brad Barron (L) for Senate Archived January 27, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
• Mitch McConnell (R) for Senate
• Amy McGrath (D) for Senate

• United States Senate elections in Kentucky
• 2020 United States Senate elections
• 2020 Kentucky elections
• Mitch McConnell