Misplaced Pages

2020 United States House of Representatives election in Montana, at-large district

← 2018 November 3, 2020 2022 →

Nominee Matt Rosendale Kathleen Williams Party Republican Democratic Popular vote 339,169 262,340 Percentage 56.39% 43.61%

County results Precinct resultsRosendale:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90% Williams:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90% Tie:      50%      No data

U.S. Representative before election Greg Gianforte Republican Elected U.S. Representative Matt Rosendale Republican

Elections in Montana
Federal government Presidential elections 1892 1896 1900 1904 1908 1912 1916 1920 1924 1928 1932 1936 1940 1944 1948 1952 1956 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024 Presidential primaries Democratic 2000 2004 2008 2016 2020 2024 Republican 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024 U.S. Senate elections 1890 1895 1895 sp 1899 1901 1901 sp 1905 1907 1911 1913 1916 1918 1922 1924 1928 1930 1934 1934 sp 1936 1940 1942 1946 1948 1952 1954 1958 1960 1964 1966 1970 1972 1976 1978 1982 1984 1988 1990 1994 1996 2000 2002 2006 2008 2012 2014 2018 2020 2024 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections 1889 1890 1892 1894 1896 1898 1900 1902 1904 1906 1908 1910 1912 1914 1916 1918 1920 1922 1924 1926 1928 1930 1932 1934 1936 1938 1940 1942 1944 1945 2nd sp 1946 1948 1950 1952 1954 1956 1958 1960 1962 1964 1966 1968 1969 2nd sp 1970 1972 1974 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2017 AL sp 2018 2020 2022 2024
State government General elections 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 Gubernatorial elections 1889 1892 1896 1900 1904 1908 1912 1916 1920 1924 1928 1932 1936 1940 1944 1948 1952 1956 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024 Secretary of State elections 2020 2024 Attorney General elections 2020 2024 State Auditor elections 2020 2024 Senate elections 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 House of Representatives elections 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024
Ballot measures 1894 Capital referendum 2004 Initiative 96 2012 Referendum 121 2016 Initiative 182 2020 Initiative 190 2022 Referendum 131 2024 Initiative 128
Billings Mayoral elections 2001 2005 2009 2013 2017 2021 2025
Missoula Mayoral elections 2003 2007 2011 2015 2019 2023 2027
Great Falls Mayoral elections 2001 2005 2009 2013 2017 2021 2025
Bozeman Mayoral elections 2001 2005 2009 2013 2017 2021 2025
Helena Mayoral elections 2001 2005 2009 2013 2017 2021 2025
v t e

The 2020 United States House of Representatives election in Montana was held on November 3, 2020, to elect the U.S. representative from Montana's at-large congressional district. The election coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections.

The incumbent, Republican Greg Gianforte, who was reelected with 50.9% of the vote in 2018, declined to run for reelection and instead ran successfully for Governor of Montana, after having lost the 2016 election to incumbent Democrat Steve Bullock.

As the Green Party was removed from the ballot, this was the first time since 1988 that there were no non-Republican or Democratic candidates running for either United States House of Representatives or United States Senate in Montana.

In the general election, Republican state auditor Matt Rosendale defeated former state representative Kathleen Williams.

As of a result of the 2020 redistricting cycle, Montana regained its 2nd congressional district that it lost in 1993, therefore making the 2020 election the last election for the at-large district before it was eliminated.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Matt Rosendale, Montana State Auditor, nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2018, candidate for Montana's at-large congressional district in 2014

Eliminated in primary

• Joe Dooling, rancher and chair of the Lewis and Clark County Republican Party
• John Evankovich, electrical contractor
• Debra Lamm, former chair of the Montana Republican Party and former state representative
• Mark McGinley, youth counselor and retired Montana National Guard veteran
• Corey Stapleton, Secretary of State of Montana, former state senator, candidate for Governor of Montana in 2012, candidate for the U.S. House in 2014

Declined

• Greg Gianforte, incumbent U.S. representative (running for governor)
• Albert Olszewski, state senator (running for governor)
• Denny Rehberg, former U.S. representative, nominee for U.S. Senate in 1996 and 2012, and former lieutenant governor of Montana

Endorsements

Executive officials

• Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States

Individuals

• Mark Levin, conservative talk radio host
• Donald Trump Jr., businessman, son of President Donald Trump

Organizations

• Club for Growth
• Crow Tribe of Montana

Polling

Polls with a sample size of <100 have their sample size entries marked in red to indicate a lack of reliability.

Results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Kathleen Williams, former state representative and nominee for Montana's at-large congressional district in 2018

Eliminated in primary

• Tom Winter, state representative

Withdrew

• Matt Rains, rancher and army veteran (endorsed Williams)

Declined

• Wilmot Collins, mayor of Helena and former 2020 candidate for U.S. Senate
• Rob Quist, musician, member of the Montana Arts Council, nominee for Montana's at-large congressional district in 2017

Endorsements

State politicians

• Dick Barrett, State Representative
• Willis Curdy, State Representative
• Ann Mary Dussault, former state representative and former House Majority Leader
• Jen Gross, State Senator
• Tom Jacobson, State Senator
• Jessica Karjala, State Representative
• Kathy Kelker, State Representative
• Emma Kerr-Carpenter, State Representative
• Jasmine Krotkov, State Representative
• Margaret McDonald, state senator, Senate Minority Whip, and former state representative
• Mary McNally, State Senator
• Diane Sands, state senator and former state representative

Local politicians

• Mike Kadas, former mayor of Missoula (1996–2006)

Individuals

• Matt Rains, rancher and army veteran and former 2020 candidate for U.S. House of Representatives from Montana's at-large district

Local unions

• American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees Montana Council 9
• International Brotherhood of Teamsters Local 190
• Montana Federation of Public Employees

Organizations

• EMILY's List
• End Citizens United
• League of Conservation Voters
• Montana Conservation Voters
• Montana Sportsmen Alliance PAC
• National Committee to Preserve Social Security and Medicare
• National Organization for Women
• New Democrat Coalition Action Fund

Individuals

• Marianne Williamson, former 2020 Democratic presidential candidate

Organizations

• Blue America
• DUH! Demand Universal Healthcare
• Montana Progressive Democrats
• Our Revolution
• Progressive Rising
• Sunrise Movement - Montana chapter

Polling

Polls with a sample size of <100 have their sample size entries marked in red to indicate a lack of reliability.

Results

Other candidates

Green Party

Disqualified

• John Gibney, anti-immigration activist

Results

General election

Predictions

Polling

Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. Updates on reimplementing the Graph extension, which will be known as the Chart extension, can be found on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org.

University of Montana polls did not account for certain presumed withdrawals of major party candidates after their primaries in the following polls.

with Joe Dooling (R), John Evankovich (R), Timothy Johnson (R), Corey Stapleton (R) and Tom Winter (D)

with Joe Dooling (R), Timothy Johnson (R), Matt Rains (D), Corey Stapleton (R) and Tom Winter (D)

Results

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

• Park (largest city: Livingston)
• Hill (largest city: Havre)

Notes

1. ^ Key:
   A – all adults
   RV – registered voters
   LV – likely voters
   V – unclear
2. Undecided with 6%
3. Would not vote with 1%; "Someone else" with 0%; Undecided with 3%
4. Undecided with 9%
5. Standard VI response
6. "Someone else" with 2%; Undecided with 4%
7. Results generated with high Democratic turnout model
8. "Someone else" with 2%; Undecided with 4%
9. Results generated with high Republican turnout model
10. "Someone else" with 2%; Undecided with 4%
11. "Other" with 1%; Undecided with 5%
12. Gibney (G) with 2%; would not vote with 1%; "someone else" with 0%; "Undecided/Refused" with 10%
13. Undecided with 1%
14. Undecided with 4%
15. Undecided with 3%; "Someone else" with 2%
16. Undecided with 13%
17. Undecided with 18.4%
18. Dooling (R) with 2.9%; Winter (D) with 2.7%; Johnson (R) with 1.8%; Evankovich (R) with 1.7%
19. Dooling (R) with 2.5%; Rains (D) with 2.4%; Winter (D) with 2.1%; Johnson (R) with 1.8%

Partisan clients

1. ^ Poll sponsored by Club for Growth Action
2. Poll conducted for The House Majority PAC, which endorsed Williams prior to this poll's sampling period.
3. Poll sponsored by Kathleen Williams' campaign
4. Poll sponsored by End Citizens United, which has exclusively endorsed Democratic candidates

References

1. Wasserman, David; Flinn, Ally (November 7, 2018). "2018 House Popular Vote Tracker". Cook Political Report. Retrieved February 28, 2019.
2. ^ Michels, Holly K. (June 6, 2019). "Gianforte files to run for governor in 2020". Independent Record. Retrieved June 7, 2019.
3. "No Alternative Candidates on Montana Ballot for Any Congressional Race". Ballot Access News. September 13, 2020. Archived from the original on September 13, 2020. Retrieved September 13, 2020.
4. Pathé, Simone (June 17, 2019). "On heels of Senate loss, Matt Rosendale running for Congress — again". Roll Call. Retrieved June 17, 2019.
5. Alexander, Cassidy (June 25, 2019). "Helena Rancher Joins Race For Montana's House Seat". MTPR. Retrieved June 26, 2019.
6. ^ Dennison, Mike (March 2, 2020). "Dillon veteran a surprise candidate in U.S. House race". KTVH.
7. Drake, Phil. "Lamm enters 2020 race for U.S. House seat". Great Falls Tribune. Retrieved September 9, 2019.
8. Drake, Phil (June 15, 2019). "Stapleton announces run for U.S. House seat". Great Falls Tribune. Retrieved June 15, 2019.
9. Dennison, Mike (March 20, 2019). "Montana 2020: Gianforte gubernatorial run would have 'domino effect' on statewide races". KRTV. Retrieved March 21, 2019.
10. Pogreba, Don (January 9, 2019). "2020 Updates: Daines Tells Tim Fox to Shove Off, He's Supporting Gianforte for Governor. And Denny Rehberg is Eyeing a Comeback!". The Montana Post. Archived from the original on March 1, 2019. Retrieved February 28, 2019.
11. Trump, Donald J. (February 12, 2020). ".@MattForMontana Rosendale is a Strong & Conservative fighter for Montana. Matt stands w/ our Brave Veterans, Loves our Military, and he will continue working to Secure our Border. Matt will NEVER let our #2A go unprotected. Matt has my Total Endorsement!" (Tweet). Retrieved November 23, 2022 – via Twitter.
12. "Mark Levin Audio Rewind - 10/12/20". Apple Podcasts. Retrieved October 12, 2020.
13. Trump, Donald Jr. "Montana's A-Team: Daines, Rosendale, Gianforte". missoulian.com. Retrieved December 22, 2019.
14. "Matt Rosendale (MT-AL)". Club for Growth. Retrieved February 29, 2020.
15. "Crow Tribal Chairman endorses Trump campaign". Ict News. September 15, 2020. Retrieved September 29, 2020.
16. Montana State University Billings Archived October 25, 2019, at the Wayback Machine
17. WPA Intelligence (R) Archived March 1, 2019, at the Wayback Machine
18. ^ "2020 STATEWIDE PRIMARY ELECTION CANVASS" (PDF). Montana Secretary of State. Retrieved June 2, 2020.
19. "Williams launches new bid for Montana US House seat". KECI. Associated Press. April 5, 2019. Retrieved April 5, 2019.
20. Michels, Holly K. (April 2, 2019). "Missoula state Rep. Tom Winter announces bid for U.S. House". Helena Independent Record. Retrieved April 2, 2019.
21. ^ Drake, Phil (January 21, 2020). "Rains drops from U.S. House race, seeks state seat, endorses Kathleen Williams". Great Falls Tribune. Retrieved January 21, 2020.
22. Hanson, Amy Beth (May 13, 2019). "Mayor who was refugee from Liberia announces run for Senate". Associated Press. Retrieved May 13, 2019.
23. "Thank you, @AFSCME Montana Council 9!". Twitter. April 21, 2020. Retrieved April 9, 2020.
24. "Teamsters Local 190 Endorse Kathleen Williams for U.S. Congress". MT People's Voice. April 21, 2020. Retrieved April 8, 2020.
25. "MFPE Endorses Kathleen Williams For Congress". MFPE. April 21, 2020. Retrieved April 7, 2020.
26. Dems, New (July 31, 2020). "ENDORSEMENT ALERT: A year ago, we launched our Frontier program to back bold, pragmatic Democrats who can flip even more seats blue. #NewDems have played a key part in expanding the House battlefield & now we're doubling down & supporting 10 more amazing candidates".
27. Marianne Williamson (May 17, 2020). "If we want a more visionary government we need to support more visionary candidates. And the time to do it is now....https://secure.actblue.com/donate/marianneendorses" (Tweet). Retrieved May 17, 2020 – via Twitter.
28. "Getting Shit Done For the People". Blue America. April 5, 2020. Retrieved April 8, 2020.
29. "2020 Endorsed House Candidates". DUH! Demand Universal Healthcare. Archived from the original on May 2, 2020. Retrieved March 19, 2020.
30. MT Progressive Dems (May 17, 2020). "Montana Progressive Democrats are proud to endorse @WinterForMT for U.S. Representative". Retrieved May 21, 2020 – via Twitter.
31. Our Revolution (April 30, 2020). "We are so proud to endorse #ProgressiveChampion Tom Winter as he will fight for a #GreenNewDeal and better rights for working people. #PoliticalRevolution". Retrieved May 21, 2020 – via Facebook.
32. "Endorsements". Progressive Rising. July 8, 2019. Retrieved April 6, 2020.
33. "We are endorsing Tom Winter for Congress because he is a Green New Deal champion". April 30, 2020. Archived from the original on December 26, 2021. Retrieved May 1, 2020 – via Instagram.
34. Montana State University Billings Archived October 25, 2019, at the Wayback Machine
35. Michels, Holly (March 9, 2020). "Filing deadline for Montana ballot sees last-minute surprises". Helena Independent Record.
36. Michels, Holly (August 7, 2020). "Helena judge again takes Green Party off the ballot". Helena Independent Record. Retrieved August 7, 2020.
37. "2020 Senate Race Ratings for April 19, 2019". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2019.
38. "2020 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 3, 2019.
39. "2020 Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Archived from the original on August 22, 2019. Retrieved August 28, 2019.
40. "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
41. "Daily Kos Elections releases initial Senate race ratings for 2020". Daily Kos Elections. Retrieved February 28, 2020.
42. "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
43. "2020 Negative Partisanship and the 2020 Congressional Elections". Niskanen Center. April 28, 2020. Archived from the original on June 21, 2020. Retrieved May 1, 2020.
44. "Forecasting the US elections". The Economist. October 2, 2020. Retrieved October 2, 2020.
45. Montana State University Billings
46. Siena College/NYT Upshot
47. Strategies 360
48. RMG Research/PoliticalIQ Archived October 26, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
49. Montana State University Bozeman Archived October 19, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
50. Siena College/NYT Upshot
51. Expedition Strategies (D) Archived September 2, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
52. WPA Intelligence (R)
53. Civiqs/Daily Kos
54. Public Policy Polling
55. Global Strategy Group (D)
56. University of Montana
57. Public Policy Polling
58. University of Montana
59. University of Montana
60. "Montana Federal Election Results". Montana Secretary of State. November 3, 2020. Retrieved November 18, 2020.

External links

• Government Documents Round Table of the American Library Association, "Montana", Voting & Elections Toolkits
• "Montana: Election Tools, Deadlines, Dates, Rules, and Links", Vote.org, Oakland, CA
• "League of Women Voters of Montana". (state affiliate of the U.S. League of Women Voters)
• Montana at Ballotpedia

Official campaign websites

• Matt Rosendale (R) for Congress
• Kathleen Williams (D) for Congress Archived April 6, 2019, at the Wayback Machine

v t e State of Montana
Helena (capital)
Topics	Index Climate change Congressional delegations Geography Government Governors History bibliography People Protected areas Sports State symbols The Last Best Place Transportation Tourist attractions
Society	Abortion Cannabis Crime Culture Demographics Economy Education Gun laws Politics LGBT rights
Regions	Eastern Montana The Flathead Glacier National Park Regional designations of Montana Western Montana Yellowstone
Largest cities	Anaconda Belgrade Billings Bozeman Butte Columbia Falls Dillon Glendive Great Falls Hamilton Havre Helena Kalispell Laurel Lewistown Livingston Miles City Missoula Polson Sidney Whitefish
Counties	Beaverhead Big Horn Blaine Broadwater Carbon Carter Cascade Chouteau Custer Daniels Dawson Deer Lodge Fallon Fergus Flathead Gallatin Garfield Glacier Golden Valley Granite Hill Jefferson Judith Basin Lake Lewis and Clark Liberty Lincoln Madison McCone Meagher Mineral Missoula Musselshell Park Petroleum Phillips Pondera Powder River Powell Prairie Ravalli Richland Roosevelt Rosebud Sanders Sheridan Silver Bow Stillwater Sweet Grass Teton Toole Treasure Valley Wheatland Wibaux Yellowstone
Montana portal

• United States House of Representatives elections in Montana
• 2020 United States House of Representatives elections
• 2020 Montana elections