Misplaced Pages

2024 United States presidential election in Oregon

← 2020 November 5, 2024 2028 →

Nominee Kamala Harris Donald Trump Party Democratic Republican Home state California Florida Running mate Tim Walz JD Vance Projected electoral vote 8 0 Popular vote 1,240,600 919,480 Percentage 55.27% 40.97%

County results Congressional district results Harris   50–60%   60–70%   70–80% Trump   40–50%   50–60%   60–70%   70–80%   80–90%

President before election Joe Biden Democratic Elected President Donald Trump Republican

Elections in Oregon
Federal government Presidential elections 1860 1864 1868 1872 1876 1880 1884 1888 1892 1896 1900 1904 1908 1912 1916 1920 1924 1928 1932 1936 1940 1944 1948 1952 1956 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024 Presidential primaries Democratic 2000 2004 2008 2016 2020 2024 Republican 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024 U.S. Senate elections 1859 1860 sp 1862 sp 1864 1870 1872 1882 1885 1885 sp 1888 1890 1895 1898 1898 sp 1901 1903 1907 1907 sp 1909 1913 1914 1918 1918 sp 1920 1924 1926 1930 1932 1936 1938 1938 sp 1942 1944 1944 sp 1948 1950 1954 1956 1960 1960 sp 1962 1966 1968 1972 1974 1978 1980 1984 1986 1990 1992 1996 1996 sp 1998 2002 2004 2008 2010 2014 2016 2020 2022 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections 1858 1859 1860 1862 1864 1866 1868 1870 1872 1873 AL sp 1874 1875 AL sp 1876 1878 1880 1882 1884 1886 1888 1890 1892 1894 1896 1898 1900 1902 1903 1st sp 1904 1906 1908 1910 1912 1914 1916 1918 1920 1922 1924 1926 1928 2nd sp 1932 1934 1936 1938 1940 1942 1944 1946 1st sp 1948 1950 1952 1954 1956 1958 1960 1962 1964 1st sp 1966 1968 1970 1972 1974 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 3rd sp 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 1st sp 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024
State government General elections 2006 primary 2007 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 Gubernatorial elections 1858 1862 1866 1870 1874 1878 1882 1886 1890 1894 1898 1902 1906 1910 1914 1918 1922 1926 1930 1934 1938 1942 1946 1948 sp 1950 1954 1956 sp 1958 1962 1966 1970 1974 1978 1982 1986 1990 1994 1998 2002 2006 2010 2014 2016 sp 2018 2022 Secretary of State elections 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024 Attorney General elections 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024 State Treasurer elections 2000 2004 2008 2010 sp 2012 2016 2020 2024 Labor Commissioner elections 2002 2006 2008 2012 2014 2018 2022 Legislative Assembly elections 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 House Senate 2022 House Senate 2024 House Senate
Ballot measures List of Oregon ballot measures 1990 1992 1994 1996 1997 1998 2002 2003 2004 2006 2007 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024
Multnomah County District Attorney elections 2020 2024
Portland General elections 2006 2024 Mayoral elections 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024 City Council elections 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 City Auditor elections 2022 2024
v t e

The 2024 United States presidential election in Oregon took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Oregon voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Oregon has eight electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state gained a seat.

Harris carried Oregon by 14.3%. Oregon shifted rightward by 1.77 points in this election, as Biden had won Oregon by 16.1% in 2020. This was in contrast to Harris significantly underperforming Biden in many other blue states, including her home state of California. Trump flipped back Marion County, after losing it in 2020 but winning it in 2016. This is the first time since 1988 that Oregon voted more Democratic than New York.

Democrats have won Oregon in every presidential election starting in 1988, and have consistently done so by double digits starting in 2008. A blue state, although not as strongly as neighboring California and Washington, Oregon is part of the Democratic-leaning West Coast, and was predicted to go comfortably for Democrat Kamala Harris (from neighboring California) in 2024.

Primary elections

Republican primary

The Oregon Republican primary was held on May 21, 2024, the same date as the Kentucky caucuses.

Democratic primary

The Oregon Democratic primary was held on May 21, 2024, the same date as the Kentucky primary.

Minor parties

Minor parties in Oregon nominate by nominating delegates to their national conventions, or for the We the People and Independent parties, holding a nominating convention. They are allowed to self-finance a primary, but no party chose to do so. The following candidates' nominations were accepted by the Oregon Secretary of State:

The Republican Party issued a legal challenge to Libertarian party ballot access that was rejected by the Secretary of State.

General election

Oregon is considered solidly Democratic, and Donald Trump did not pay the $3,500 required for a candidate statement in the ballot handbook, although candidate statements were provided by the Democratic, We the People, Libertarian, and Pacific Green candidates. Notably, Oregon's third-largest party, the Independent Party of Oregon, did not nominate a candidate, although it had cross-nominated Joe Biden in 2020.

In the early hours of October 28, an incendiary device was placed in a ballot drop box in Portland. A total of 3 ballots were damaged, while the rest were unharmed due to the ballot box's fire suppression system.

Predictions

Polling

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein

Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Donald Trump

Results

•   Democratic — +2.5-5%
•   Democratic — +0-2.5%
•   Republican — +0-2.5%
•   Republican — +2.5-5%
•   Republican — +5-7.5%

• Democratic   Hold

  Republican   Hold   Gain from Democratic

2024 United States presidential election in Oregon

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Democratic	Kamala Harris Tim Walz	1,240,600	55.27%	1.18%
	Republican	Donald Trump JD Vance	919,480	40.97%	0.60%
	We the People	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (withdrawn) Nicole Shanahan (withdrawn)	33,733	1.50%	N/A
	Pacific Green	Jill Stein Butch Ware	19,099	0.85%	0.35%
	Libertarian	Chase Oliver Mike ter Maat	9,061	0.40%	1.35%
	Progressive	Cornel West Melina Abdullah	5,644	0.25%	0.04%
	Constitution	Randall Terry Stephen Broden	1,850	0.08%	N/A
	Write-in		15,026	0.67%	0.05%
Total votes			2,244,493	100.00%	N/A

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

• Marion (largest city: Salem)

By congressional district

Harris won 5 of 6 congressional districts.

See also

• United States presidential elections in Oregon
• 2024 United States presidential election
• 2024 Democratic Party presidential primaries
• 2024 Republican Party presidential primaries
• 2024 United States elections

Notes

1. ^ Key:
   A – all adults
   RV – registered voters
   LV – likely voters
   V – unclear

Partisan clients

1. This poll was sponsored by the Northwest Progressive Institute
2. ^ Poll sponsored by The Independent Center
3. ^ Poll conducted for Kennedy's campaign

References

1. Wang, Hansi; Jin, Connie; Levitt, Zach (April 26, 2021). "Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats". NPR. Archived from the original on August 19, 2021. Retrieved August 20, 2021.
2. "270toWin - 2024 Presidential Election Interactive Map". 270toWin.com. Retrieved December 18, 2023.
3. "Oregon Presidential Election Results 2024". NBC News. Retrieved June 5, 2024.
4. "Oregon Presidential Primary". The AP. June 4, 2024. Retrieved July 12, 2024.
5. Shumway, Julia (July 29, 2024). "Despite denials, records show Oregon Republican Party trying to keep Libertarians off the ballot". Oregon Capital Chronicle.
6. Shumway, Julia (September 3, 2024). "Trump won't appear in Oregon's voters' pamphlet, will still be on ballot". Oregon Capital Chronicle.
7. "2024 Nominations of the Independent Party of Oregon".
8. Ortiz, Erik (October 28, 2024). "Ballot drop boxes set on fire in Portland, Ore., and Vancouver, Wash". NBC News. Retrieved October 28, 2024.
9. "2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings". cookpolitical.com. Cook Political Report. December 19, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
10. "Presidential Ratings". insideelections.com. Inside Elections. April 26, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
11. "2024 Electoral College ratings". centerforpolitics.org. University of Virginia Center for Politics. June 29, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
12. "2024 presidential predictions". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. December 14, 2023. Retrieved August 26, 2024.
13. "2024 Presidential Forecast". projects.cnalysis.com/. CNalysis. December 30, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
14. "Trump v Biden: The Economist's presidential election prediction model". The Economist. Retrieved September 13, 2024.
15. Morris, G. Elliott (June 11, 2024). "2024 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved October 25, 2024.
16. "Presidential Election Preview 2024". NBC News.
17. "2024 Presidential Election Polls". YouGov.
18. "2024 Presidential Forcast". Split Ticket. June 2, 2023.
19. Villeneuve, Andrew (October 17, 2024). "Kamala Harris has a fifteen point lead over Donald Trump in Washington and a twelve point lead in Oregon, NPI polls find". Northwest Progressive Institute.
20. ^ Jaquiss, Nigel (July 30, 2024). "New Poll Shows Harris With 5–Point Lead Over Trump in Oregon". Willamette Week.
21. ^ "Independent Center 2024 Pacific State Survey Toplines" (PDF). The Independent Center. April 23, 2024. Archived from the original (PDF) on May 10, 2024.
22. ^ "Biden Is the Real Spoiler, Kennedy Only Candidate Who Can Beat Trump". Kennedy24. May 1, 2024.
23. Mumford, Camille (November 4, 2022). "Oregon 2022: Independent Candidates' Support Melts As Democrat Tina Kotek Leads Republican Christine Drazan by Four for Governor". Emerson Polling.
24. Mumford, Camille (October 4, 2022). "Oregon 2022: Republican Christine Drazan with Two-Point Lead Over Democrat Tina Kotek for Governorship; Sen. Wyden Holds 19-Point Lead in Re-election Bid". Emerson Polling.
25. "November 5, 2024, General Election Abstract of Votes" (PDF). Oregon SOS. December 12, 2024. Retrieved December 12, 2024.
26. 2024 Pres by CD. docs.google.com (Report).

v t e State and district results of the 2024 United States presidential election
Alabama Alaska Arizona Arkansas California Colorado Connecticut Delaware District of Columbia Florida Georgia Hawaii Idaho Illinois Indiana Iowa Kansas Kentucky Louisiana Maine Maryland Massachusetts Michigan Minnesota Mississippi Missouri Montana Nebraska Nevada New Hampshire New Jersey New Mexico New York North Carolina North Dakota Ohio Oklahoma Oregon Pennsylvania Rhode Island South Carolina South Dakota Tennessee Texas Utah Vermont Virginia Washington West Virginia Wisconsin Wyoming Straw polls Guam Puerto Rico

• 2024 United States presidential election by state
• United States presidential elections in Oregon
• 2024 Oregon elections