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2024 United States Senate election in Texas

← 2018 November 5, 2024 2030 →

Nominee Ted Cruz Colin Allred Party Republican Democratic Popular vote 5,990,741 5,031,249 Percentage 53.07% 44.57%

County results Cruz:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90% Allred:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%

U.S. senator before election Ted Cruz Republican Elected U.S. senator Ted Cruz Republican

Elections in Texas
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Government
v t e

The 2024 United States Senate election in Texas was held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Texas. Republican incumbent Ted Cruz won re-election to a third term, defeating Democratic challenger and U.S. Representative Colin Allred. The primary election took place on March 5, 2024, during Super Tuesday.

Original polling showed Cruz as a clear favorite, but polls closer to the election showed a closer race. Cruz ultimately outperformed polling and expectations and won re-election by 8.5 points, improving on his 2018 margin by six points and flipping thirteen counties. Allred did outperform Kamala Harris in the concurrent 2024 U.S. presidential election in Texas by 5 points. With slightly over 53% of the vote, Cruz received the lowest vote share for any incumbent Republican senator in the 2024 election cycle. Likewise, Allred received the highest vote share for a Democratic candidate in a seat occupied by a Republican (only Dan Osborn, an Independent running in Nebraska, received a larger vote share for a challenger in a Republican held seat).

Cruz won Hispanic and Latino voters, particularly those living on the border with Mexico who had traditionally supported Democratic candidates; exit polls showed 52% of Latinos supported Cruz, a 17-point increase from 2018. Cruz received the most raw votes for a U.S. Senate candidate in Texas history, a record previously achieved by John Cornyn in 2020.

Background

Texas is generally considered to be a Republican stronghold, having not elected a Democrat to any statewide office since 1994. Republicans control both U.S. Senate seats, all statewide offices, both houses of the Texas Legislature, and a large majority in Texas's U.S. House congressional delegation. Cruz was first elected in 2012, defeating Paul Sadler by 15.84 points and was reelected in 2018 by only 2.56 points, narrowly defeating Beto O'Rourke. The close elections in 2018 prompted many electoral analysts to speculate that Texas could become a swing state, but in the 2020 and 2022 elections, Republicans increased their margins of victory. This race was considered to generally favor Cruz, but some considered the race to have the potential to become competitive.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Ted Cruz, incumbent U.S. senator (2013–present)

Eliminated in primary

• Holland Gibson, retiree
• Rufus Lopez, attorney

Declined

• Dan Crenshaw, U.S. representative from Texas's 2nd congressional district (2019–present) (ran for re-election)
• Adam Kinzinger, former U.S. representative from Illinois's 16th congressional district (2011–2023)

Endorsements

U.S. senators

• Norm Coleman, Minnesota (2003–2009)

Labor unions

• Combined Law Enforcement Associations of Texas

Organizations

• American Israel Public Affairs Committee
• Club for Growth
• National Rifle Association Political Victory Fund
• Republican Jewish Coalition
• Senate Conservatives Fund
• Texas Alliance for Life
• Turning Point Action
• Young Conservatives of Texas

Fundraising

Polling

Results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Colin Allred, U.S. representative from Texas's 32nd congressional district (2019–present)

Eliminated in primary

• Meri Gomez, tax consultant
• Mark Gonzalez, former Nueces County District Attorney (2017–2023)
• Roland Gutierrez, state senator from the 19th district (2021–present)
• Robert Hassan, businessman
• Steven Keough, law professor
• Heli Rodriguez-Prilliman, tech entrepreneur
• Carl Sherman, state representative from the 109th district (2019–present)
• Thierry Tchenko, home repair nonprofit executive and former associate director of the District of Columbia Office of Policy

Disqualified

• Aaron Arguijo, coffee shop owner

Withdrew

• John Love III, former Midland city councilor and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2020 (ran for U.S. House)
• Zachariah Manning, businessman (ran for U.S. House)

Declined

• Julián Castro, former U.S. Secretary of Housing and Urban Development (2014–2017), former mayor of San Antonio (2009–2014), and candidate for President of the United States in 2020
• Veronica Escobar, U.S. representative for Texas's 16th congressional district (2019–present) (ran for re-election, endorsed Allred)
• Scott Kelly, retired NASA astronaut and brother of Arizona Senator Mark Kelly

Endorsements

US executive branch officials

• Kamala Harris, Vice President of the United States (2021–present)

U.S. senators

• Catherine Cortez Masto, Nevada (2017–present)
• Al Franken, Minnesota (2009–2018)
• Jon Tester, Montana (2007–present)
• Tina Smith, Minnesota (2018–present)

U.S. representatives

• Veronica Escobar, TX-16 (2019–present)
• Lizzie Fletcher, TX-07 (2019–present)
• Seth Moulton, MA-06 (2015–present)
• Marc Veasey, TX-33 (2013–present)

State legislators

• Cesar Blanco, state senator from the 29th district (2021–present)
• Chris Turner, former Minority Leader of the Texas House of Representatives (2017–2023) from the 101st district (2013–present)

Local officials

• Rodney Ellis, Harris County Commissioner for Precinct 1 (2017–present)
• Clay Jenkins, Dallas County Judge (2011–present)
• John Wiley Price, Dallas County Commissioner for District 3 (1985–present)
• Sylvester Turner, former Mayor of Houston (2016–2024)

Individuals

• Olivia Julianna, activist
• Kelley Robinson, president of Human Rights Campaign

Organizations

• College Democrats of America
• Congressional Black Caucus PAC
• Council for a Livable World
• End Citizens United
• Harvard College Democrats
• Human Rights Campaign
• Joint Action Committee for Political Affairs
• J Street PAC
• League of Conservation Voters
• National Committee to Preserve Social Security and Medicare
• Peace Action

Labor unions

• American Federation of Government Employees
• Association of Flight Attendants
• Texas AFL-CIO
• United Auto Workers

Newspapers and other media

• The Dallas Morning News
• Fort Worth Star-Telegram
• Houston Chronicle
• San Antonio Express-News

U.S. representatives

• Filemon Vela Jr., TX-34 (2013–2022)
• Sylvia Garcia, TX-29 (2019–present)

State legislators

• Art Fierro, former state representative from the 79th district (2019–2023)
• Penny Morales Shaw, state representative from the 148th district (2021–present)
• Claudia Ordaz, state representative from the 79th district (2023–present)
• José Rodríguez, former Texas Senate Minority Leader (2015–2020) from the 29th district (2011–2021)

Individuals

• Ramón Ayala, musician

Organizations

• Austin Young Democrats
• Eastside Democrats of El Paso
• Emgage PAC
• Houston LGBTQ+ Political Caucus
• Latino Victory Fund
• Our Revolution Montgomery County
• Stonewall Democrats of San Antonio, Dallas, and El Paso
• Texas Progressive Caucus
• University of Texas at Austin College Democrats (University Democrats)

Newspapers

• The Austin Chronicle

Organizations

• Congressional Hispanic Caucus BOLD PAC
• Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee
• Stonewall Democrats of Austin

Fundraising

Polling

Results

Libertarian convention

Nominee

• Ted Brown, insurance adjuster and nominee for Texas's 17th congressional district in 2020

Write-in candidates

Declared

• Tracy Andrus, director of the Lee P. Brown Criminal Justice Institute at Wiley University
• Analisa Roche, math tutor

General election

Predictions

Post-primary endorsements

U.S. executive branch officials

• John Bolton, United States National Security Advisor (2018–2019), United States Ambassador to the United Nations (2005–2006)
• Donald Trump, 45th President of the United States (2017–2021)

U.S. senators

• John Thune, Senate Minority Whip (2021–present) from South Dakota (2005–present)

State legislators

• Eddie Lucio Jr., Texas Senator (1991–2023) (Democratic)

Local officials

• Kim Ogg, Harris County District Attorney (2017–present) (Democratic)

Organizations

• U.S. Chamber of Commerce

U.S. executive branch officials

• Kamala Harris, 49th Vice President of the United States (2021–present), 2024 nominee for President of the United States
• Barack Obama, 44th President of the United States (2009–2017)
• Robert Reich, former U.S. Secretary of Labor (1993–1997)

U.S. senators

• Gary Peters, Michigan (2015–present)

U.S. representatives

• Liz Cheney, U.S. representative from Wyoming's at-large congressional district (2017–2023) (Republican)
• Gabby Giffords, U.S. representative from Arizona's 8th congressional district (2007–2012)
• Adam Kinzinger, U.S. representative from Illinois (2011–2023) (Republican)
• Alan Steelman, U.S. representative from Texas's 5th congressional district (1973–1977) (Republican)

Statewide officials

• Tim Walz, Governor of Minnesota (2019–present), 2024 nominee for Vice President of the United States
• Gretchen Whitmer, Governor of Michigan (2019–present)

State legislators

• Adrian Boafo, Maryland state delegate from the 23rd district (2023–present)
• James Talarico, Texas State Representative from the 50th district (2019–present)
• Bennett Ratliff, Texas State Representative (2013–2015) (Republican)
• Todd Smith, Texas State Representative (1997–2013) (Republican)
• Jason Villalba, Texas State Representative (2013–2019) (Republican)

Local officials

• Steve Bartlett, Mayor of Dallas (1991–1995) (Republican)
• Ron Nirenberg, Mayor of San Antonio (2017–present) (Independent)
• Glen Whitley, Tarrant County Judge (2007–2022) (Republican)

Individuals

• Mark Cuban, businessperson, television personality and minority owner of Dallas Mavericks (Independent)
• Harry Dunn, former U.S. Capitol Police officer
• Willie Nelson, country singer

Newspapers

• Austin American-Statesman
• The Austin Chronicle
• The Dallas Morning News
• Houston Chronicle
• Fort Worth Star-Telegram
• San Antonio Express-News

Organizations

• Alliance for Retired Americans
• Black Economic Alliance PAC
• Giffords
• People for the American Way

Fundraising

Debates

Polling

Aggregate polls

Ted Cruz vs. Roland Gutierrez

Results

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

• Brewster (largest municipality: Alpine)
• Culberson (largest municipality: Van Horn)
• Frio (largest municipality: Pearsall)
• Jefferson (largest municipality: Beaumont)
• Jim Wells (largest municipality: Alice)
• Kleberg (largest municipality: Kingsville)
• La Salle (largest municipality: Cotulla)
• Maverick (largest municipality: Eagle Pass)
• Nueces (largest municipality: Corpus Christi)
• Reeves (largest municipality: Pecos)
• Starr (largest municipality: Rio Grande City)
• Val Verde (largest municipality: Del Rio)
• Zapata (largest municipality: Zapata)

Analysis

Exit Polls from Fox News Voter Analysis showed Cruz winning Anglos (62%-36%) and other minorities (52%-44%) while Allred won African Americans (79%-18%) and Latinos (51%-46%).

See also

• 2024 Texas elections

Notes

1. ^ Key:
   A – all adults
   RV – registered voters
   LV – likely voters
   V – unclear
2. $3,900 of this total was self-funded by Gonzalez
3. $6,050 of this total was self-funded by Keough
4. Steven Keough with 3%; Heli Rodriguez-Prilliman and Thierry Tchenko with 1%; Robert Hassan with 0%
5. Robert Hassan, Steven Keough, and Heli Rodriguez-Prilliman with 1%; Thierry Tchenko with 0%
6. Steven Keough, Heli Rodriguez-Prilliman, and Thierry Tchenko with 2%; Robert Hassan with 1%; "Someone else" with 8%
7. Sherri Taylor, Victor Dunn, and John Love III with 2%; Tracy Andrus, Aaron Arguijo, and Steven Keough with 1%; Teresa Naranjo, Heli Rodriguez-Prilliman, and Thierry Tchenko with 0%; "Someone else" with 1%
8. Sherri Taylor with 3%; Tracy Andrus, Steven Keough, Teresa Naranjo, and Thierry Tchenko with 2%; Aaron Arguijo, John Love III, and Heli Rodriguez-Prilliman with 1%; Victor Dunn with 0%; "Someone else" with 1%
9. John Love with 4%
10. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
11. ^ Brown (L) with 3%
12. ^ Brown (L) with 4%
13. Brown (L) with 1%
14. Brown (L) with 6%
15. "Wouldn't Vote" and "Someone Else" with 2%
16. "Someone else" with 4%; Brown (L) with 2%
17. Brown (L) with 5%; "Refused" with 1%
18. "Someone else" with 3%
19. ^ Brown (L) with 5%; "Refused" with 2%
20. Brown (L) with 8%
21. Brown (L) with 3%; Mason Cysewski (G) with 2%
22. "Someone else" with 15%
23. "Someone else" with 7%; Refused to answer with 1%
24. Libertarian candidate with 2%; Green Party candidate with 2%
25. "Someone else" with 16%

Partisan clients

1. ^ Poll sponsored by the Texas Politics Project at the University of Texas
2. ^ Poll sponsored by the Hobby School of Public Affairs at the University of Houston
3. ^ Poll sponsored by Nexstar Media Group
4. ^ Poll sponsored by Allred's campaign
5. ^ Poll sponsored by The Hill and Nexstar
6. Poll sponsored by Rose Institute of State and Local Government
7. Poll sponsored by Napolitan Institute
8. ^ Poll sponsored by Clean and Prosperous America PAC, which supports Democratic candidates
9. Poll sponsored by Texas Gun Rights, which supports Republican candidates
10. ^ Poll sponsored by the University of Houston and Texas Southern University
11. Poll sponsored by American Fuel & Petrochemical Manufacturers, which supports Republican candidates

References

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External links

Official campaign websites

• Colin Allred (D) for Senate
• Tracy Andrus (WI) for Senate
• Ted Brown (L) for Senate
• Ted Cruz (R) for Senate

• United States Senate elections in Texas
• 2024 United States Senate elections
• 2024 Texas elections
• Ted Cruz