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2024 United States presidential election in Virginia

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Nominee Kamala Harris Donald Trump Party Democratic Republican Home state California Florida Running mate Tim Walz JD Vance Projected electoral vote 13 0 Popular vote 2,335,395 2,075,085 Percentage 51.83% 46.05%

County and independent city results Congressional district results Precinct results Harris   40–50%   50–60%   60–70%   70–80%   80–90%   90–100% Trump   40–50%   50–60%   60–70%   70–80%   80–90%   90–100% Tie/No data

President before election Joe Biden Democratic Elected President Donald Trump Republican

Elections in Virginia
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v t e

The 2024 United States presidential election in Virginia took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Virginia voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Virginia has 13 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.

Before the election, most news organizations considered Virginia a likely win for Harris. On election day, Harris won Virginia with 51.83% of the vote, carrying the state by a margin of 5.78%, similar to the 2016 results.

Primary elections

Democratic primary

The Virginia Democratic primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024. Incumbent president Joe Biden won the state and all 11 of its congressional districts, securing 99 pledged delegates. Activist Marianne Williamson garnered 8% of the vote total, which was her second-best performance on Super Tuesday after Oklahoma.

Republican primary

The Virginia Republican primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024. Former president Donald Trump defeated former South Carolina governor Nikki Haley, attaining 42 pledged delegates to the Republican National Convention in July. Trump performed best in southwest Virginia, while Haley's strength lay in Charlottesville, Albemarle County, the urban areas of Richmond and the suburbs surrounding Washington, D.C.

General election

Harris won the state by 5.78%, worse than Biden's margin but slightly improved from Hillary Clinton's 5.32% margin. Trump flipped Prince Edward County for the first time since 2000, Surry County since 1972, and won back the city of Lynchburg. Nevertheless, he became the first ever Republican to win the White House without carrying the city of Virginia Beach since it became an independent city in 1952, as well as the first to do so without carrying Chesterfield or Stafford Counties since Calvin Coolidge in 1924, and the first to do so without carrying James City County or the city of Chesapeake since Richard Nixon in 1968. This was the first presidential election in which the Republican candidate received more than 2 million votes in Virginia. Trump is the first Republican to win the popular vote without Virginia since 1924. This is also the first election since 2000 where Virginia voted for the popular vote loser.

Voting law changes

In August 2024, Virginia governor Glenn Youngkin signed an executive order removing 6,303 voters suspected of being non-citizens from Virginia's voter rolls. In October 2024, the Department of Justice sued the Virginia Board of Elections and Virginia commissioner of elections over the voter purge, accusing that it violated the National Voter Registration Act. The suit also found a number of alleged non-citizens purged were actually citizens. District judge Patricia Tolliver Giles ruled that the removal was illegal, ordering the state to stop purging voter rolls and to restore the voter registration of more than 1,600 voters who had been removed. The 4th Circuit Court of Appeals then upheld the order. The administration filed an emergency appeal to the Supreme Court, which sided with Virginia in a 6-3 decision, allowing the state to continue purging voter rolls.

Predictions

Polling

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Aggregate polls

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West

Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Donald Trump

Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley

Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis

Joe Biden vs. Glenn Youngkin

Results

By city and county

•   Democratic — +2.5-5%
•   Democratic — +0-2.5%
•   Republican — +0-2.5%
•   Republican — +2.5-5%
•   Republican — +5-7.5%
•   Republican — +7.5-10%
•   Republican — +10-12.5%
•   Republican — +12.5-15%

• Democratic   Hold

  Republican   Hold   Gain from Democratic

Counties and independent cities that flipped from Democratic to Republican

• Lynchburg (independent city)
• Prince Edward (largest municipality: Farmville)
• Surry (largest municipality: Claremont)

By congressional district

Harris won 6 of 11 congressional districts.

By legislative district

• State Senate district results
• State House of Delegates district results

Analysis

Despite losing, Trump made notable gains across much of the Commonwealth, particularly in the Northern and Southside regions of Virginia. He reclaimed Lynchburg City, flipped Prince Edward County, which hadn't voted Republican in a presidential election since 2000, and also flipped Surry County, which last supported a Republican presidential candidate in 1972. Harris, by contrast, did not flip any counties or independent cities in Virginia. This is the first time since 1924 that the state voted for a Democrat that lost the popular vote.

See also

• 2024 Virginia elections
• United States presidential elections in Virginia
• 2024 United States presidential election
• 2024 Democratic Party presidential primaries
• 2024 Republican Party presidential primaries
• 2024 United States elections

Notes

1. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
2. ^ Key:
   A – all adults
   RV – registered voters
   LV – likely voters
   V – unclear
3. "Other" with 4%
4. ^ "Someone else" with 3%
5. ^ "Someone else" with 1%
6. ^ With voters who lean towards a given candidate
7. "Other candidate" with 3%; "None/Would not vote" with 2%; "Refused" with 1%
8. "Other candidate" with 3%; "Refused" with 1%
9. ^ "Would not vote" with 1%
10. "Someone else" with 8%. "Refused" and "Undecided" with 1% each
11. ^ "Another candidate" with 5%
12. ^ "Another candidate" with 4%
13. "Other" with 1%
14. "Someone else" with 1.6%
15. Claudia De La Cruz (PSL) with 0%
16. "Some other candidate" with 2%
17. "Wouldn't vote" with 4%; "Refused" with 3%; "Someone else" with 1%
18. "Refused" with 3%; "Wouldn't vote" with 2%; "Someone else" with 1%
19. ^ Claudia De la Cruz (PSL) with 1%; "Would not vote" with 1%
20. "Wouldn't vote" with 6%; "Refused" with 2%; "Someone else" with 1%
21. "Wouldn't vote" with 3%; "Refused" with 2%; "Someone else" with 1%
22. "Other candidate" with 2%; "None/Would not vote" with 2%; "Refused" with 1%
23. "Other candidate" with 2%; "Refused" with 1%
24. ^ "Another candidate" with 3%
25. "Another candidate" with 8%
26. "Another candidate" with 6%
27. "Undecided" with 6%; "Wouldn't vote" with 3%; "Someone else" & "Refused" with 2%
28. "Another candidate" with 2%
29. "Another candidate" with 1%
30. Joe Manchin with 7%
31. Listed on the ballot without party affiliation.

1. ^ Poll sponsored by American Thinker
2. ^ Poll sponsored by TrendingPolitics
3. Poll sponsored by The Washington Post & the Schar School of Policy and Government
4. Poll sponsored by WAVY-TV, WRIC-TV, WFXR-TV, & WDCW-TV
5. ^ Poll sponsored by the Center for Leadership and Media Studies at the University of Mary Washington
6. ^ Poll sponsored by On Point Politics
7. ^ Poll sponsored by Trump's campaign
8. Poll sponsored by Virginians Against Neighborhood Slot Machines
9. ^ Poll conducted for Kennedy's campaign

References

1. "Virginia Democratic Primary Election Results". The New York Times. Retrieved March 5, 2024.
2. "Virginia Republican Primary Election Results". The New York Times. Retrieved March 5, 2024.
3. Gamboa, Suzanne (August 23, 2024). "A Virginia voter roll purge sparks renewed rhetoric over 'non-citizens' casting ballots". NBC News. Retrieved October 30, 2024.
4. Mirshahi, Dean (August 8, 2024). "Youngkin's election security order gets Trump's praise and Democratic criticism". WRIC. Retrieved October 30, 2024.
5. Ward, Jasper (October 11, 2024). "Justice Dept sues Virginia for violating federal election law". Reuters. Retrieved October 30, 2024.
6. ^ Lim, Clarissa-Jan (October 25, 2024). "Justice Department sues Virginia for its voter purge over nonexistent 'noncitizen voting'". MSNBC. Retrieved October 30, 2024.
7. ^ Sneed, Tierney (October 27, 2024). "Appeals court keeps Virginia voter purge program blocked, setting up Supreme Court fight". CNN. Retrieved October 30, 2024.
8. Lo Wang, Hansi (October 25, 2024). "A judge orders Virginia to restore registered voters purged too close to Election Day". NPR. Retrieved October 30, 2024.
9. Quinn, Melissa (October 30, 2024). "Supreme Court clears way for Virginia to remove 1,600 alleged noncitizens from voter rolls - CBS News". CBS News. Retrieved October 30, 2024.
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63. "Latest Roanoke College Poll looks at opinions of Virginians on political issues". Roanoke College. August 29, 2023.
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v t e State and district results of the 2024 United States presidential election
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