| Revision as of 12:37, 2 November 2020 editPutItOnAMap (talk | contribs)Extended confirmed users16,551 edits →Polling← Previous edit | Latest revision as of 16:22, 21 November 2024 edit undoOst316 (talk | contribs)Extended confirmed users, Pending changes reviewers86,281 edits ELs->refs and improper MOS:PSEUDOHEADs, replaced: ;Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican → '''Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican'''<br />, '''Counties that flipped from Democratic to RepublicTag: AWB | ||
| (220 intermediate revisions by more than 100 users not shown) | |||
| Line 1: | Line 1: | ||
| {{Short description|none}} <!-- "none" is preferred when the title is already sufficiently detailed; see ] --> | |||
| {{for|related races|2020 United States Senate elections}} | |||
| {{Use mdy dates|date=July 2019}} | {{Use mdy dates|date=July 2019}} | ||
| {{use American English|date=November 2020}} | |||
| {{Infobox election | {{Infobox election | ||
| | election_name |
| election_name = 2020 United States Senate election in Alabama | ||
| | country |
| country = Alabama | ||
| | type |
| type = presidential | ||
| | ongoing |
| ongoing = no | ||
| | previous_election |
| previous_election = 2017 United States Senate special election in Alabama | ||
| | previous_year |
| previous_year = 2017 (special) | ||
| | next_election |
| next_election = 2026 United States Senate election in Alabama | ||
| | next_year |
| next_year = 2026 | ||
| | election_date |
| election_date = November 3, 2020 | ||
| | image1 |
| image1 = File:Tommy Tuberville 117th Congress Portrait.jpg | ||
| | image_size = x150px | |||
| | nominee1 = ] | |||
| | nominee1 = ''']''' | |||
| | party1 = Democratic Party (United States) | |||
| | party1 = Republican Party (United States) | |||
| | popular_vote1 = | |||
| | popular_vote1 = '''1,392,076''' | |||
| | percentage1 = | |||
| | percentage1 = '''60.10%''' | |||
| | image2 = ] | |||
| | image2 = File:Senator Doug Jones official photo (cropped) 2.jpg | |||
| | nominee2 = ] | |||
| | nominee2 = ] | |||
| | party2 = Republican Party (United States) | |||
| | party2 = Democratic Party (United States) | |||
| | popular_vote2 = | |||
| | popular_vote2 = 920,478 | |||
| | percentage2 = | |||
| | percentage2 = 39.74% | |||
| | map_image = | |||
| | map_image = {{switcher |] |County results |] |Congressional district results |] |State Senate district results |] |Precinct Results}} | |||
| | map_size = | |||
| | map_size = 250px | |||
| | map_caption = County results | |||
| | map_caption = '''Tuberville:''' {{legend0|#E27F7F|50–60%}} {{legend0|#D75D5D|60–70%}} {{legend0|#D72F30|70–80%}} {{legend0|#C21B18|80-90%}} {{legend0|#A80000|>90%}}<br /> '''Jones:''' {{legend0|#A5B0FF|40–50%}} {{legend0|#7996E2|50–60%}} {{legend0|#6674DE|60–70%}} {{legend0|#584CDE|70–80%}} {{legend0|#3933E5|80–90%}} {{legend0|#0D0596|>90%}}<br />'''Tie:''' {{legend0|#ae8bb1|50%}} {{legend0|#808080|No data}} | |||
| | title = U.S. Senator | |||
| | title = U.S. senator | |||
| | before_election = ] | |||
| | before_election = ] | |||
| | before_party = Democratic Party (United States) | |||
| | before_party = Democratic Party (United States) | |||
| | after_election = | |||
| | after_election = ] | |||
| | after_party = | |||
| | after_party = Republican Party (United States) | |||
| | turnout = 63.1% {{increase}}<ref>{{Cite web|title=US Elections Project – 2020g|url=https://www.electproject.org/2020g|access-date=2022-11-14|website=www.electproject.org|language=en-US}}</ref> | |||
| }} | }} | ||
| {{Elections in Alabama sidebar}} | |||
| The '''2020 United States Senate election in Alabama''' |
The '''2020 United States Senate election in Alabama''' was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the ] to represent the ], concurrently with the ], as well as ] to the United States Senate in other states, ] to the ], and various ] and ]. | ||
| Incumbent senator ], first elected in a ] in what was widely labeled a major upset, ran for a full term, facing ] in the general election. This race was one of two Democratic-held U.S. Senate seats up for election in 2020 in a state President Trump won in 2016.<ref>The other was in Michigan, where Senator Gary Peters was re-elected over Republican John James</ref> Jones was widely considered the most vulnerable senator among those seeking re-election in 2020 due to Alabama's heavy Republican lean, with analysts predicting a Republican pickup; Jones's 2017 win was in part due to sexual misconduct allegations against his Republican opponent ].<ref name="Alabama competitive">{{Cite news |last=Arkin |first=James |title=Democrats leave Doug Jones hanging as Senate map takes shape |publisher=Politico |url=https://www.politico.com/news/2020/05/03/senate-democrats-alabama-doug-jones-229073 |access-date=May 22, 2020}}</ref> | |||
| As was predicted, Tuberville easily defeated Jones,<ref>{{cite news |author=David Wright |title=Vulnerable Democratic senator gets first outside spending support in Alabama |url=https://www.cnn.com/2020/08/20/politics/doug-jones-senate-race-alabama-outside-spending/index.html |access-date=September 19, 2020 |work=CNN |date=August 20, 2020}}</ref><ref>{{cite news |title=Democrats leave Doug Jones hanging as Senate map takes shape |url=https://www.politico.com/news/2020/05/03/senate-democrats-alabama-doug-jones-229073 |access-date=September 19, 2020|last1=Everett|first1=Burgess|last2=Arkin|first2=James|work=Politico|date=May 3, 2020 |language=en}}</ref><ref>{{cite news |last1=Panetta |first1=Grace |title=Democratic Sen. Doug Jones faces a tough reelection fight against Tommy Tuberville in Alabama |url=https://www.businessinsider.com/alabama-senate-race-doug-jones-vs-tommy-tuberville-polls-fundraising-2020-8 |access-date=September 19, 2020 |work=Business Insider |date=September 18, 2020}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web |last=Egan |first=Lauren |date=2020-11-04 |title=Alabama Sen. Doug Jones loses to Tommy Tuberville, NBC News projects |url=https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2020-election/alabama-sen-doug-jones-loses-tommy-tuberville-nbc-news-projects-n1246014 |access-date=2023-08-11 |website=www.nbcnews.com |language=en}}</ref> whose 20.36% margin of defeat was the largest for an incumbent U.S. Senator since Arkansas' ] in ]. Tuberville received the highest percentage of the vote for any challenger since ] in ]. Jones became the first Democratic senator to lose reelection in Alabama, and the only Democratic senator to be defeated in 2020. He outperformed Biden in the state by about 5 points. This was the only Republican flip of the 2020 U.S. Senate elections. | |||
| ==Democratic primary== | ==Democratic primary== | ||
| The candidate filing deadline was November 8, 2019. Jones ran unopposed.<ref>{{cite web |title=United States Senate election in Alabama, 2020 (March 3 Democratic primary) |url=https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_Senate_election_in_Alabama,_2020_(March_3_Democratic_primary) |website=ballotpedia.org | |
The candidate filing deadline was November 8, 2019. Jones ran unopposed.<ref>{{cite web |title=United States Senate election in Alabama, 2020 (March 3 Democratic primary) |url=https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_Senate_election_in_Alabama,_2020_(March_3_Democratic_primary) |website=ballotpedia.org |access-date=January 13, 2020}}</ref><ref>{{cite news |title=Candidates file 2020 papers as Alabama qualifying window closes |url=https://www.wsfa.com/2019/11/08/candidates-file-papers-alabama-qualifying-window-closes/ |access-date=January 13, 2020 |work=WSFA 12 News |date=November 8, 2019}}</ref> | ||
| ===Candidates=== | ===Candidates=== | ||
| ====Nominee==== | ====Nominee==== | ||
| *], incumbent U.S. senator<ref>{{cite tweet|last=Cohen|first=Zach|user=Zachary_Cohen|number=1062472956608212992|date=November 13, 2018|title=#ALsen Doug Jones (D) confirms |
* ], incumbent U.S. senator<ref>{{cite tweet|last=Cohen|first=Zach|user=Zachary_Cohen|number=1062472956608212992|date=November 13, 2018|title=#ALsen Doug Jones (D) confirms he'll seek reelection in 2020. "Already off and running."|access-date=November 14, 2018}}</ref> | ||
| ====Declined==== | ====Declined==== | ||
| *], state representative<ref>{{cite news|last1=Ross|first1=Sean|title=State Rep. John Rogers not running for U.S. Senate, says Jones showing 'conservatism' but not racist|url=https://yellowhammernews.com/state-rep-john-rogers-not-running-for-u-s-senate-says-jones-showing-conservatism-but-not-racist/|publisher=Yellowhammer News|date=August 21, 2019| |
* ], state representative<ref>{{cite news|last1=Ross|first1=Sean|title=State Rep. John Rogers not running for U.S. Senate, says Jones showing 'conservatism' but not racist|url=https://yellowhammernews.com/state-rep-john-rogers-not-running-for-u-s-senate-says-jones-showing-conservatism-but-not-racist/|publisher=Yellowhammer News|date=August 21, 2019|access-date=August 22, 2019}}</ref> | ||
| *], ]<ref name=":0">{{Cite news|url=http://www.al.com/news/index.ssf/2017/12/alabama_senate_race_who_could.html|title=Alabama Senate race: Who could challenge Doug Jones in 2020?|work=AL.com|access-date=December 16, 2017|last1=Gore|first1=Leada|date=December 14, 2017 |
* ], ]<ref name=":0">{{Cite news|url=http://www.al.com/news/index.ssf/2017/12/alabama_senate_race_who_could.html|title=Alabama Senate race: Who could challenge Doug Jones in 2020?|work=AL.com|access-date=December 16, 2017|last1=Gore|first1=Leada|date=December 14, 2017}}</ref> (''endorsed Jones'') | ||
| ===Endorsements=== | ===Endorsements=== | ||
| Line 49: | Line 58: | ||
| |title=Doug Jones | |title=Doug Jones | ||
| |list= | |list= | ||
| '''U.S. senators''' | |||
| * ], U.S. senator (CA) |
* ], U.S. senator (CA) (2017–2021), ] for ] in ], Democratic ] for ] in 2020<ref name="Harris">{{Cite web|url=https://yellowhammernews.com/californias-kamala-harris-raising-money-for-doug-jones-based-on-sessions-opposition/|title=California's Kamala Harris raising money for Doug Jones based on Sessions opposition|date=November 7, 2019}}</ref> | ||
| * ], U.S. senator (MN) and |
* ], U.S. senator (MN) and ] for President of the United States in 2020<ref name="Klobuchar">{{cite web|url=https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/449640-klobuchar-fundraises-for-doug-jones-following-roy-moores-senate-run|title=Klobuchar fundraises for Doug Jones following Roy Moore Senate run|work=The Hill|date=June 20, 2019|access-date=July 3, 2019}}</ref> | ||
| * ], U.S. senator (WV)<ref name="PoliticoVulnerable">{{cite web|url=https://www.politico.com/news/2019/10/23/doug-jones-democrat-alabama-trump-055034|title=Doug Jones is the Senate's most vulnerable incumbent. But he doesn't seem to care.|last=Arkin|first=James|work=Politico|date=October 23, 2019| |
* ], U.S. senator (WV)<ref name="PoliticoVulnerable">{{cite web|url=https://www.politico.com/news/2019/10/23/doug-jones-democrat-alabama-trump-055034|title=Doug Jones is the Senate's most vulnerable incumbent. But he doesn't seem to care.|last=Arkin|first=James|work=Politico|date=October 23, 2019|access-date=November 7, 2019}}</ref> | ||
| ; U.S. representative | |||
| '''U.S. representatives''' | |||
| * ], (AL-7)<ref name="al.com">{{Cite web|url=https://www.al.com/news/2019/09/doug-jones-kicks-off-2020-campaign-in-birmingham.html|title=Doug Jones kicks off 2020 campaign in Birmingham|first=Anna Claire|last=Vollers|date=September 8, 2019|work=AL.com}}</ref> | |||
| * ] (AL-7)<ref name="al.com">{{Cite web|url=https://www.al.com/news/2019/09/doug-jones-kicks-off-2020-campaign-in-birmingham.html|title=Doug Jones kicks off 2020 campaign in Birmingham|first=Anna Claire|last=Vollers|date=September 8, 2019|work=AL.com}}</ref> | |||
| ; Local officials | |||
| * ], ] Democratic nominee for Governor of Georgia, former Minority Leader of the ]<ref name="Varney">{{Cite web|url=https://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2019/sep/2/stacey-abrams-passes-on-2020-run-turns-focus-to-vo/|title=Stacey Abrams passes on 2020 run, turns focus to voter access with Fair Fight|author=James Varney|work=The Washington Times}}</ref> | |||
| '''Local officials''' | |||
| *], ]<ref name=":0" /> | |||
| * ], Democratic nominee for Governor of Georgia in ], former Minority Leader of the ]<ref name="Varney">{{Cite web|url=https://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2019/sep/2/stacey-abrams-passes-on-2020-run-turns-focus-to-vo/|title=Stacey Abrams passes on 2020 run, turns focus to voter access with Fair Fight|author=James Varney|work=The Washington Times}}</ref> | |||
| ; Individuals | |||
| * ], ]<ref name=":0" /> | |||
| '''Individuals''' | |||
| * ], actor<ref name="al.com"/> | * ], actor<ref name="al.com"/> | ||
| ; Organizations | |||
| '''Organizations''' | |||
| * ]<ref name="EndCitizensUnited">{{cite web |last1=Muller |first1=Tiffany |title=End Citizens United Endorses Four U.S. senators for Reelection |url=https://endcitizensunited.org/press-releases/end-citizens-united-endorses-four-u-s-senators-reelection/ |website=End Citizens United |date=August 27, 2019}}</ref> | * ]<ref name="EndCitizensUnited">{{cite web |last1=Muller |first1=Tiffany |title=End Citizens United Endorses Four U.S. senators for Reelection |url=https://endcitizensunited.org/press-releases/end-citizens-united-endorses-four-u-s-senators-reelection/ |website=End Citizens United |date=August 27, 2019}}</ref> | ||
| * ]<ref name="HRC">{{cite web|last1=Acosta|first1=Lucas|title=HRC Announces Senate Endorsements in Effort to Achieve Pro-Equality Majority|url=https://www.hrc.org/ |
* ]<ref name="HRC">{{cite web|last1=Acosta|first1=Lucas|title=HRC Announces Senate Endorsements in Effort to Achieve Pro-Equality Majority|url=https://www.hrc.org/news/hrc-announces-senate-endorsements-in-effort-to-achieve-pro-equality-majorit|publisher=]|date=January 23, 2020}}</ref> | ||
| * ]<ref name="LCV">{{cite web|last=Burke|first=Holly|url=https://www.lcv.org/article/lcv-action-fund-endorses-doug-jones-re-election/|title=LCV Action Fund Endorses Doug Jones for Re-Election|work=]|date=March 13, 2019| |
* ]<ref name="LCV">{{cite web|last=Burke|first=Holly|url=https://www.lcv.org/article/lcv-action-fund-endorses-doug-jones-re-election/|title=LCV Action Fund Endorses Doug Jones for Re-Election|work=]|date=March 13, 2019|access-date=March 16, 2019}}</ref> | ||
| * ]<ref name="NOW">{{cite web|title=2020 Federal Endorsements - NOW PAC|url=https://www.nowpac.org/federal2020|website=nowpac.org}}</ref> | * ]<ref name="NOW">{{cite web|title=2020 Federal Endorsements - NOW PAC|url=https://www.nowpac.org/federal2020|website=nowpac.org}}</ref> | ||
| }} | }} | ||
| Line 70: | Line 83: | ||
| ===Candidates=== | ===Candidates=== | ||
| ====Nominee==== | ====Nominee==== | ||
| *], former ] head coach<ref>{{cite news|last1=Cason|first1=Mike|title=Tommy Tuberville running for U.S. Senate|url=https://www.al.com/news/2019/04/report-tommy-tuberville-to-run-for-us-senate.html|newspaper=The Birmingham News|date=April 6, 2019| |
* ], former ] head coach<ref>{{cite news|last1=Cason|first1=Mike|title=Tommy Tuberville running for U.S. Senate|url=https://www.al.com/news/2019/04/report-tommy-tuberville-to-run-for-us-senate.html|newspaper=The Birmingham News|date=April 6, 2019|access-date=April 6, 2019}}</ref> | ||
| ====Eliminated in runoff==== | ====Eliminated in runoff==== | ||
| *], former ] and former |
* ], former ], former holder of this seat, and former ]<ref>{{Cite news|url=https://www.politico.com/news/2019/11/07/jeff-sessions-senate-alabama-000323|title=Standing between Jeff Sessions and the Senate is a certain Donald Trump|author1=James Arkin|author2=Alex Isenstadt|author3=Marianne Levine|date=November 7, 2019|work=]|access-date=November 7, 2019}}</ref> | ||
| ====Eliminated in primary==== | ====Eliminated in primary==== | ||
| *Stanley Adair, businessman<ref>{{cite web|url=https://www.alreporter.com/2019/11/20/adair-says-that-gop-should-be-extremely-concerned-about-losses-in-gubernatorial-races-in-louisiana-and-kentucky/|title=Adair says that GOP should be extremely concerned about losses in gubernatorial races in Louisiana and Kentucky|last=Moseley|first=Brandon|date=November 20, 2019|website= |
* Stanley Adair, businessman<ref>{{cite web|url=https://www.alreporter.com/2019/11/20/adair-says-that-gop-should-be-extremely-concerned-about-losses-in-gubernatorial-races-in-louisiana-and-kentucky/|title=Adair says that GOP should be extremely concerned about losses in gubernatorial races in Louisiana and Kentucky|last=Moseley|first=Brandon|date=November 20, 2019|website=Alabama Political Reporter|access-date=December 5, 2019}}</ref> | ||
| *], incumbent U.S. representative for ]<ref>{{cite news|title=South Alabama Congressman Bradley Byrne announces run for US Senate in 2020|url=https://mynbc15.com/news/local/bradley-byrne-expected-to-announce-senate-bid-in-mobile-wednesday|publisher=WPMI|date=February 20, 2019| |
* ], incumbent U.S. representative for ]<ref>{{cite news|title=South Alabama Congressman Bradley Byrne announces run for US Senate in 2020|url=https://mynbc15.com/news/local/bradley-byrne-expected-to-announce-senate-bid-in-mobile-wednesday|publisher=WPMI|date=February 20, 2019|access-date=February 20, 2019}}</ref> | ||
| *], state representative | * ], state representative | ||
| *], former |
* ], former chief justice of the ], former candidate for ] in ] and ] and nominee for the U.S. Senate in ]<ref>{{cite news|last1=Clark|first1=Dartunorro|last2=Hillyard|first2=Vaughn|title=Roy Moore, who lost Alabama Senate race after allegations of sexual misconduct, announces another run for the seat|url=https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/politics-news/roy-moore-who-lost-alabama-senate-race-after-allegations-sexual-n1019681|work=NBC News|date=December 9, 2020|access-date=December 11, 2020}}</ref> | ||
| *Ruth Page Nelson, community activist<ref>{{cite web |title=EDITORIAL: Sessions' entry sets up wild GOP Senate race |url=https://www.gadsdentimes.com/news/20191112/editorial-sessions-entry-sets-up-wild-gop-senate-race |website=The Gadsen Times | |
* Ruth Page Nelson, community activist<ref>{{cite web |title=EDITORIAL: Sessions' entry sets up wild GOP Senate race |url=https://www.gadsdentimes.com/news/20191112/editorial-sessions-entry-sets-up-wild-gop-senate-race |website=The Gadsen Times |access-date=December 5, 2019 |date=November 12, 2019}}</ref> | ||
| ====Withdrew==== | ====Withdrew==== | ||
| *Marty Preston Hatley<ref>{{cite web | |
* Marty Preston Hatley<ref>{{cite web |access-date=May 15, 2020 |url=https://www.alreporter.com/2019/07/15/tuberville-discusses-the-issues-with-apr/ |date=July 15, 2019 |title=Tuberville discusses the issues with APR |first=Brandon |last=Moseley |work=Alabama Political Reporter}}</ref><ref name=greenpaperscheck/> | ||
| *], ]<ref>{{cite web |last1=Britt |first1=Bill |title=Merrill suspends Senate campaign |url=https://www.alreporter.com/2019/12/01/merrill-suspends-senate-campaign/ |website=Alabama Political Reporter | |
* ], ]<ref>{{cite web |last1=Britt |first1=Bill |title=Merrill suspends Senate campaign |url=https://www.alreporter.com/2019/12/01/merrill-suspends-senate-campaign/ |website=Alabama Political Reporter |access-date=December 1, 2019 |date=December 1, 2019}}</ref> | ||
| * John Paul Serbin<ref>{{cite web |url=https://wbhm.org/2019/jones-byrne-lead-in-fundraising-among-candidates-in-2020-us-senate-race/ |access-date=May 15, 2020 |date=July 16, 2019 |title=Jones, Byrne Lead in Fundraising Among Candidates in 2020 US Senate Race |first=Glenn |last=Stephens |work=WBHM}}</ref><ref name=greenpaperscheck>{{cite web |url=http://www.thegreenpapers.com/G19/Senate.phtml?v=c |work=The Green Papers |access-date=May 15, 2020 |date=May 14, 2020 |title=The Green Papers: 2019 General Election}}</ref> | |||
| *Chase Anderson Romagnano, Republican candidate for ] and ] in 2020<ref>{{cite web |url=https://docquery.fec.gov/cgi-bin/forms/S0AL00305/1336026/ |work=FEC |title=FILING FEC-1336026 |accessdate=May 15, 2020 |date=May 15, 2020}}</ref><ref>{{cite web |work=FEC |url=https://docquery.fec.gov/pdf/677/201909029163123677/201909029163123677.pdf |accessdate=May 15, 2020 |date=September 2, 2019 |title=MISCELLANEOUS TEXT (FEC FORM 99)}}</ref> | |||
| *John Paul Serbin<ref>{{cite web |url=https://wbhm.org/2019/jones-byrne-lead-in-fundraising-among-candidates-in-2020-us-senate-race/ |accessdate=May 15, 2020 |date=July 16, 2019 |title=Jones, Byrne Lead in Fundraising Among Candidates in 2020 US Senate Race |first=Glenn |last=Stephens |work=WBHM}}</ref><ref name=greenpaperscheck>{{cite web |url=http://www.thegreenpapers.com/G19/Senate.phtml?v=c |work=The Green Papers |accessdate=May 15, 2020 |date=May 14, 2020 |title=The Green Papers: 2019 General Election}}</ref> | |||
| ====Declined==== | ====Declined==== | ||
| *], incumbent U.S. representative for ]<ref>{{Cite news | last1=Howell | first1=Ed | title=GOP sets Oct. 8 as start of qualifying | url=http://mountaineagle.com/stories/gop-sets-oct-8-as-start-of-qualifying,21614 | website=Daily Mountain Eagle | date=August 18, 2019 | |
* ], incumbent U.S. representative for ]<ref>{{Cite news | last1=Howell | first1=Ed | title=GOP sets Oct. 8 as start of qualifying | url=http://mountaineagle.com/stories/gop-sets-oct-8-as-start-of-qualifying,21614 | website=Daily Mountain Eagle | date=August 18, 2019 | access-date=August 18, 2019 | archive-date=August 18, 2019 | archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190818153335/http://www.mountaineagle.com/stories/gop-sets-oct-8-as-start-of-qualifying,21614 | url-status=dead }}</ref> | ||
| *], Alabama lieutenant governor<ref>{{cite news|last1=Ross|first1=Sean|title=Ainsworth will not run for the U.S. Senate in 2020|url=https://yellowhammernews.com/ainsworth-will-not-run-for-the-u-s-senate-in-2020/|publisher=Yellowhammer News|date=April 11, 2019| |
* ], Alabama lieutenant governor<ref>{{cite news|last1=Ross|first1=Sean|title=Ainsworth will not run for the U.S. Senate in 2020|url=https://yellowhammernews.com/ainsworth-will-not-run-for-the-u-s-senate-in-2020/|publisher=Yellowhammer News|date=April 11, 2019|access-date=April 11, 2019}}</ref> | ||
| *], incumbent U.S. representative for ] and candidate for U.S. Senate in ]<ref>{{cite news|last1=Arkin|first1=James|title=Brooks closes door on Alabama Senate race|url=https://subscriber.politicopro.com/article/2019/05/brooks-closes-door-on-alabama-senate-race-3194955|publisher=Politico Pro|date=May 3, 2019| |
* ], incumbent U.S. representative for ] and candidate for U.S. Senate in ]<ref>{{cite news|last1=Arkin|first1=James|title=Brooks closes door on Alabama Senate race|url=https://subscriber.politicopro.com/article/2019/05/brooks-closes-door-on-alabama-senate-race-3194955|publisher=Politico Pro|date=May 3, 2019|access-date=May 3, 2019|quote=Rep. Mo Brooks (R-Ala.) shut the door on a potential Senate bid Friday morning in a local radio interview. "I will not be running for the U.S. Senate in 2020," Brooks said on WZRR-FM in Birmingham.}}</ref> | ||
| *], state representative<ref name="YH">{{cite news |title=Rumors and Rumblings 2nd Ed. Vol. V |url=https://yellowhammernews.com/rumors-and-rumblings-2nd-ed-vol-v/ | |
* ], state representative<ref name="YH">{{cite news |title=Rumors and Rumblings 2nd Ed. Vol. V |url=https://yellowhammernews.com/rumors-and-rumblings-2nd-ed-vol-v/ |access-date=May 3, 2019 |publisher=Yellowhammer News |author=<!--Staff writer(s); no by-line.-->|date=May 3, 2019}}</ref> | ||
| *], incumbent U.S. representative for ]<ref>{{cite news|last1=Little|first1=Jim|title=Matt Gaetz says he's not running for Alabama Senate seat against Doug Jones|url=https://www.pnj.com/story/news/2019/04/05/matt-gaetz-alabama-senate-doug-jones/3377164002/|newspaper=Pensacola News Journal|date=April 5, 2019| |
* ], incumbent U.S. representative for ]<ref>{{cite news|last1=Little|first1=Jim|title=Matt Gaetz says he's not running for Alabama Senate seat against Doug Jones|url=https://www.pnj.com/story/news/2019/04/05/matt-gaetz-alabama-senate-doug-jones/3377164002/|newspaper=Pensacola News Journal|date=April 5, 2019|access-date=April 5, 2019}}</ref> | ||
| *], president pro tempore of the ]<ref>{{cite news|last1=Ross|first1=Sean|title=Del Marsh not running for U.S. Senate in 2020|url=https://yellowhammernews.com/del-marsh-not-running-for-u-s-senate-in-2020/|publisher=Yellowhammer News|date=April 22, 2019| |
* ], president pro tempore of the ]<ref>{{cite news|last1=Ross|first1=Sean|title=Del Marsh not running for U.S. Senate in 2020|url=https://yellowhammernews.com/del-marsh-not-running-for-u-s-senate-in-2020/|publisher=Yellowhammer News|date=April 22, 2019|access-date=April 22, 2019}}</ref> | ||
| *], state senator<ref name=":0" /> (endorsed |
* ], state senator<ref name=":0" /> (''endorsed Byrne'') | ||
| *], incumbent U.S. representative for ]<ref>{{cite news|last1=Bowman|first1=Bridget|title=Alabama Republicans don't see Roy Moore redux as Senate primary kicks off|url=https://www.rollcall.com/news/campaigns/alabama-republicans-arent-stressing-roy-moore-redux-senate-primary-kicks-off|publisher=Roll Call|date=February 20, 2019| |
* ], incumbent U.S. representative for ]<ref>{{cite news|last1=Bowman|first1=Bridget|title=Alabama Republicans don't see Roy Moore redux as Senate primary kicks off|url=https://www.rollcall.com/news/campaigns/alabama-republicans-arent-stressing-roy-moore-redux-senate-primary-kicks-off|publisher=Roll Call|date=February 20, 2019|access-date=February 21, 2019|archive-date=February 21, 2019|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190221040339/http://www.rollcall.com/news/campaigns/alabama-republicans-arent-stressing-roy-moore-redux-senate-primary-kicks-off|url-status=dead}}</ref> | ||
| *], former ]<ref>{{cite news|last1=Ross|first1=Sean|title=Miss America '95 'praying about' Alabama U.S. Senate bid|url=https://yellowhammernews.com/miss-america-95-praying-about-alabama-u-s-senate-bid/|publisher=Yellowhammer News|date=March 21, 2019| |
* ], former ]<ref>{{cite news|last1=Ross|first1=Sean|title=Miss America '95 'praying about' Alabama U.S. Senate bid|url=https://yellowhammernews.com/miss-america-95-praying-about-alabama-u-s-senate-bid/|publisher=Yellowhammer News|date=March 21, 2019|access-date=March 21, 2019}}</ref><ref>{{cite web |title=Former Miss America Heather Whitestone McCallum rules out Alabama 2020 U.S. Senate bid |url=https://yellowhammernews.com/former-miss-america-heather-whitestone-mccallum-rules-out-alabama-2020-u-s-senate-bid/|last1=Ross|first1=Sean|website=Yellowhammer News |date=June 20, 2019}}</ref> | ||
| ===Endorsements=== | ===Endorsements=== | ||
| Line 102: | Line 115: | ||
| |title=Bradley Byrne (''eliminated'') | |title=Bradley Byrne (''eliminated'') | ||
| |list= | |list= | ||
| '''Federal officials''' | |||
| * ], |
* ], U.S. representative (WY-AL) <ref>{{Cite web|url= https://www.bamapolitics.com/49269/liz-cheney-endorses-bradley-byrne-for-senate/ |title= Liz Cheney Endorses Bradley Byrne For Senate |website=Bama Politics|last1=Wilson|first1=Brent|date=February 26, 2020}}</ref> | ||
| '''State officials''' | |||
| * ], state senator and former state representative (1982–1994)<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://altoday.com/archives/32234-bradley-byrne-receives-multiple-endorsements-this-week-for-us-senate|title=Bradley Byrne receives multiple endorsements this week for US Senate|author=Staff Writer|date=January 25, 2020|website=Alabama Today}}</ref> | |||
| * ], state senator<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://yellowhammernews.com/state-sen-arthur-orr-bradley-byrne-would-do-the-best-job-for-the-state-as-u-s-senator/|title=State Sen. Arthur Orr: Bradley Byrne 'would do the best job' for the state as U.S. Senator|website=Yellowhammer News|last1=Poor|first1=Jeff|date=June 23, 2019}}</ref> | * ], state senator<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://yellowhammernews.com/state-sen-arthur-orr-bradley-byrne-would-do-the-best-job-for-the-state-as-u-s-senator/|title=State Sen. Arthur Orr: Bradley Byrne 'would do the best job' for the state as U.S. Senator|website=Yellowhammer News|last1=Poor|first1=Jeff|date=June 23, 2019}}</ref> | ||
| }} | }} | ||
| Line 109: | Line 124: | ||
| |title=Arnold Mooney (''eliminated'') | |title=Arnold Mooney (''eliminated'') | ||
| |list= | |list= | ||
| '''Federal officials''' | |||
| *], U.S. representative (AL-05) and Republican candidate in the ]<ref name="arnoldmooney.com endorsements">{{Cite web|url=https://www.arnoldmooney.com/endorsements|title=Endorsements|website=Arnold Mooney for U.S. Senate}}</ref> | * ], U.S. representative (AL-05) and Republican candidate in the ]<ref name="arnoldmooney.com endorsements">{{Cite web|url=https://www.arnoldmooney.com/endorsements|title=Endorsements|website=Arnold Mooney for U.S. Senate}}</ref> | ||
| * ], U.S. senator (UT)<ref>{{cite web |title=Utah Sen. Mike Lee endorses Mooney in Alabama's U.S. Senate race |url=https://yellowhammernews.com/utah-sen-mike-lee-endorses-mooney-in-alabamas-u-s-senate-race/ |website=Yellowhammer News |date=May 22, 2019}}</ref> | * ], U.S. senator (UT)<ref>{{cite web |title=Utah Sen. Mike Lee endorses Mooney in Alabama's U.S. Senate race |url=https://yellowhammernews.com/utah-sen-mike-lee-endorses-mooney-in-alabamas-u-s-senate-race/ |website=Yellowhammer News |date=May 22, 2019}}</ref> | ||
| *], former |
* ], former Chief of Staff to U.S. Attorney General ] and U.S. Deputy Assistant Secretary of Education<ref name="arnoldmooney.com endorsements" /> | ||
| * ], U.S. senator (KY)<ref>{{cite web |title=Rand Paul endorses Arnold Mooney for Senate - 'True freedom-loving conservative' |url=https://yellowhammernews.com/rand-paul-endorses-arnold-mooney-for-senate-true-freedom-loving-conservative/ |website=Yellowhammer News |date=31 October 2019}}</ref> | * ], U.S. senator (KY)<ref>{{cite web |title=Rand Paul endorses Arnold Mooney for Senate - 'True freedom-loving conservative' |url=https://yellowhammernews.com/rand-paul-endorses-arnold-mooney-for-senate-true-freedom-loving-conservative/ |website=Yellowhammer News |date=31 October 2019}}</ref> | ||
| '''Organizations''' | |||
| *]<ref name="arnoldmooney.com endorsements" /> | * ]<ref name="arnoldmooney.com endorsements" /> | ||
| '''Individuals''' | |||
| *], blogger<ref name="arnoldmooney.com endorsements" /> | * ], blogger<ref name="arnoldmooney.com endorsements" /> | ||
| }} | }} | ||
| {{Endorsements box | {{Endorsements box | ||
| |title=Jeff Sessions (''eliminated'') | |title=Jeff Sessions (''eliminated'') | ||
| |list= | |list= | ||
| '''Federal officials''' | |||
| *], former U.S. |
* ], former U.S. Attorney General (2001-2005)<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.alreporter.com/2020/07/14/former-attorney-general-john-ashcroft-endorses-jeff-sessions/|title=Former Attorney General John Ashcroft endorses Jeff Sessions|work=Alabama Political Reporter|date=July 14, 2020}}</ref> | ||
| *], U.S. senator (WY)<ref name="11SenTheHill"/><ref name="11SenFox"/> | * ], U.S. senator (WY)<ref name="11SenTheHill"/><ref name="11SenFox"/> | ||
| *], U.S. senator (MO) and former U.S. representative (MO-07) ( |
* ], U.S. senator (MO) and former U.S. representative (MO-07) (1997–2011)<ref name="11SenTheHill"/><ref name="11SenFox"/> | ||
| *], U.S. senator (AR) and former U.S. |
* ], U.S. senator (AR) and former U.S. Representative (AR-03) (2001–2011)<ref name="11SenTheHill"/><ref name="11SenFox"/> | ||
| *], U.S. senator (ID) and former U.S. representative (ID-02) ( |
* ], U.S. senator (ID) and former U.S. representative (ID-02) (1993–1999)<ref name="11SenTheHill"/><ref name="11SenFox"/> | ||
| *], U.S. senator ( |
* ], U.S. senator (WY)<ref name="11SenTheHill"/><ref name="11SenFox"/> | ||
| *], U.S. senator ( |
* ], U.S. senator (NE)<ref name="11SenTheHill"/><ref name="11SenFox"/> | ||
| *], U.S. senator ( |
* ], U.S. senator (OK) and former U.S. representative (R-OK-01) (1987–1994)<ref name="11SenTheHill"/><ref name="11SenFox"/> | ||
| *], former U.S. senator ( |
* ], former U.S. senator (GA) (2005–2019) and U.S. Representative (R-GA-06) (1999–2005)<ref name="11SenTheHill"/><ref name="11SenFox"/> | ||
| *], U.S. senator ( |
* ], U.S. senator (WI)<ref name="11SenTheHill"/><ref name="11SenFox"/> | ||
| *], U.S. senator ( |
* ], U.S. senator (KS) and former U.S. Representative (KS-01) (1981–1997)<ref name="11SenTheHill"/><ref name="11SenFox"/> | ||
| * ], U.S. senator ( |
* ], U.S. senator (AL) and former U.S. Representative (AL-07) (1979–1987)<ref name="auto7">{{Cite web|url=https://www.rollcall.com/news/video/watch-shelby-endorses-sessions-return-senate|title=Watch: Shelby endorses Sessions for return to Senate|first1=Thomas|last1=McKinless|date=November 7, 2019|via=www.rollcall.com}}</ref><ref name="11SenTheHill">{{Cite web|url=https://thehill.com/homenews/senate/469622-nearly-a-dozen-senators-sign-open-letter-backing-sessionss-comeback-bid|title=Eleven GOP senators sign open letter backing Sessions's comeback bid|first=Rachel|last=Frazin|date=November 8, 2019|website=The Hill}}</ref><ref name="11SenFox">{{Cite web|url=https://www.foxnews.com/politics/jeff-sessions-endorsed-by-gop-senators-amid-effort-to-make-peace-with-trump|title=Jeff Sessions endorsed by slew of GOP senators, amid effort to make peace with Trump|first=Alex|last=Pappas|date=November 8, 2019|website=Fox News}}</ref> | ||
| ;Organizations | |||
| '''Organizations''' | |||
| *] Political Victory Fund<ref name="auto9">{{Cite web|url=https://www.al.com/election/2020/03/nra-endorses-jeff-sessions-over-tommy-tuberville-in-alabama-gop-senate-runoff.html|title=NRA endorses Sessions over Tuberville in Senate runoff|agency=The Associated Press|date=March 14, 2020|work=AL.com}}</ref> | |||
| * ]<ref>{{cite web |title=Endorsement: Jeff Sessions for United States Senate |url=https://nyyrc.com/endorsements/endorsement-jeff-sessions-for-senate/ |website=nyyrc.com |publisher=] |access-date=1 June 2022 |date=7 July 2020}}</ref> | |||
| ;Individuals | |||
| *]<ref>{{cite web |title=NRA-PVF Endorses Jeff Sessions for U.S. Senate |url=https://www.nrapvf.org/emails/2020/alabama/jeff-sessions-email/ |website=nrapvf.org |publisher=NRA-PVF |access-date=17 July 2023 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230717113936/https://www.nrapvf.org/emails/2020/alabama/jeff-sessions-email/ |archive-date=17 July 2023 |language=en-US |url-status=live}}</ref><ref name="auto9">{{Cite web|url=https://www.al.com/election/2020/03/nra-endorses-jeff-sessions-over-tommy-tuberville-in-alabama-gop-senate-runoff.html|title=NRA endorses Sessions over Tuberville in Senate runoff|agency=The Associated Press|date=March 14, 2020|work=AL.com|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200315032024/https://www.al.com/election/2020/03/nra-endorses-jeff-sessions-over-tommy-tuberville-in-alabama-gop-senate-runoff.html|archive-date=March 15, 2020|url-status=live}}</ref> | |||
| *], journalist and political commentator<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://news.yahoo.com/jeff-sessions-tight-senate-runoff-011726615.html|title=Jeff Sessions on His Tight Senate Runoff Race Against Tommy Tuberville|website=Yahoo! News|date=July 7, 2020}}</ref> | |||
| '''Individuals''' | |||
| * ], journalist and political commentator<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://news.yahoo.com/jeff-sessions-tight-senate-runoff-011726615.html|title=Jeff Sessions on His Tight Senate Runoff Race Against Tommy Tuberville|website=Yahoo! News|date=July 7, 2020}}</ref> | |||
| }} | }} | ||
| {{Endorsements box | {{Endorsements box | ||
| |title=Tommy Tuberville | |title=Tommy Tuberville | ||
| |list= | |list= | ||
| '''Federal officials''' | |||
| *], ]<ref |
* ], 45th ] (2017–2021)<ref>{{Cite web|url= https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2020/03/10/trump-endorses-tommy-tuberville-over-sessions-alabama-senate-race/5017743002/ |title=Trump endorses Jeff Sessions' opponent, Tommy Tuberville, in Alabama Senate runoff |date=March 10, 2020 |first1=Nicholas |last1=Wu |work=]}}</ref> | ||
| '''State officials''' | |||
| *], state senator<ref name="auto12">{{Cite web|url=http://www.tommyforsenate.com/conservative-alabama-state-senator-tom-whatley-endorses-tommy-tuberville-for-united-states-senate/|title=Conservative Alabama State Senator Tom Whatley Endorses Tommy Tuberville for United States Senate|date=October 2, 2019}}</ref> | |||
| * ], ]<ref name="auto8">{{Cite web|url=https://yellowhammernews.com/ainsworth-endorses-tuberville-for-u-s-senate-the-tough-fighter-that-alabama-needs/|title=Ainsworth endorses Tuberville for U.S. Senate - 'The tough fighter that Alabama needs'|date=July 10, 2020}}</ref> | |||
| ;Organizations | |||
| *]<ref name=" |
* ], state senator<ref name="auto12">{{Cite web|url=http://www.tommyforsenate.com/conservative-alabama-state-senator-tom-whatley-endorses-tommy-tuberville-for-united-states-senate/|title=Conservative Alabama State Senator Tom Whatley Endorses Tommy Tuberville for United States Senate|date=October 2, 2019}}</ref> | ||
| '''Organizations''' | |||
| *]<ref name="auto16">{{Cite web|url=https://www.alreporter.com/2020/07/08/national-association-of-gun-rights-endorses-tuberville/|title=National Association for Gun Rights endorses Tuberville|date=July 8, 2020}}</ref> | |||
| * ]<ref name="auto18">{{Cite web|url=https://www.politico.com/news/2020/03/16/club-for-growth-endorses-tommy-tuberville-131763|title=Club for Growth spurns Sessions, endorses Tuberville in Alabama|first=James|last=Arkin|website=Politico|date=March 16, 2020 }}</ref> | |||
| ; Individuals | |||
| * ]<ref name="auto16">{{Cite web|url=https://www.alreporter.com/2020/07/08/national-association-of-gun-rights-endorses-tuberville/|title=National Association for Gun Rights endorses Tuberville|work=Alabama Political Reporter|date=July 8, 2020}}</ref> | |||
| * ], head coach of the ] team<ref name="auto2">{{cite web|last=Ross|first=Sean|url= https://yellowhammernews.com/pearl-senator-tuberville-said-hes-got-israel-and-the-second-amendment-covered-video/|title=Pearl: 'Senator Tuberville said he's got Israel and the Second Amendment covered' (VIDEO)|work=]}}</ref> | |||
| '''Individuals''' | |||
| * ], former ] (2017)<ref name="auto15">{{cite web|last=Burke|first=Holly|url=https://www.al.com/auburnfootball/2019/04/tommy-tuberville-opens-up-about-running-for-us-senate-sean-spicer-and-the-need-for-patriots.html|title=Tommy Tuberville opens up about running for U.S. Senate, Sean Spicer and the need for 'patriots'|work=Alabama Media Group|date=March 13, 2019|accessdate=April 8, 2019}}</ref> | |||
| * ], country music artist, lead singer of ]<ref name="Ross">{{cite web|last=Ross|first=Sean|url= https://yellowhammernews.com/alabamas-randy-owen-supporting-tuberville-in-senate-race/|title=Alabama's Randy Owen supporting Tuberville in Senate race|work=]|date=December 6, 2019 }}</ref> | |||
| * ], head coach of the ] team<ref name="auto2">{{cite web|last=Ross|first=Sean|url= https://yellowhammernews.com/pearl-senator-tuberville-said-hes-got-israel-and-the-second-amendment-covered-video/|title=Pearl: 'Senator Tuberville said he's got Israel and the Second Amendment covered' (VIDEO)|work=]|date=September 30, 2019 }}</ref> | |||
| * ], former ] (2017)<ref name="auto15">{{cite web|last=Burke|first=Holly|url=https://www.al.com/auburnfootball/2019/04/tommy-tuberville-opens-up-about-running-for-us-senate-sean-spicer-and-the-need-for-patriots.html|title=Tommy Tuberville opens up about running for U.S. Senate, Sean Spicer and the need for 'patriots'|work=Alabama Media Group|date=March 13, 2019|access-date=April 8, 2019}}</ref> | |||
| }} | }} | ||
| Line 159: | Line 180: | ||
| |- valign=bottom | |- valign=bottom | ||
| ! Poll source | ! Poll source | ||
| ! Date(s)<br>administered | ! Date(s)<br />administered | ||
| ! Sample<br>size{{efn|Key:<br>A – all adults<br>RV – registered voters<br>LV – likely voters<br>V – unclear|name=Key}} | ! Sample<br />size{{efn|Key:<br />A – all adults<br />RV – registered voters<br />LV – likely voters<br />V – unclear|name=Key}} | ||
| ! Margin<br>of error | ! Margin<br />of error | ||
| ! style="width:45px;"| Stanley<br>Adair | ! style="width:45px;"| Stanley<br />Adair | ||
| ! style="width:45px;"| Mo<br>Brooks | ! style="width:45px;"| Mo<br />Brooks | ||
| ! style="width:45px;"| Bradley<br>Byrne | ! style="width:45px;"| Bradley<br />Byrne | ||
| ! style="width:45px;"| Del<br>Marsh | ! style="width:45px;"| Del<br />Marsh | ||
| ! style="width:45px;"| John<br>Merrill | ! style="width:45px;"| John<br />Merrill | ||
| ! style="width:45px;"| Arnold<br>Mooney | ! style="width:45px;"| Arnold<br />Mooney | ||
| ! style="width:45px;"| Roy<br>Moore | ! style="width:45px;"| Roy<br />Moore | ||
| ! style="width:45px;"| Ruth<br>Page<br>Nelson | ! style="width:45px;"| Ruth<br />Page<br />Nelson | ||
| ! style="width:45px;"| Gary<br>Palmer | ! style="width:45px;"| Gary<br />Palmer | ||
| ! style="width:45px;"| Jeff<br>Sessions | ! style="width:45px;"| Jeff<br />Sessions | ||
| ! style="width:45px;"| Tommy<br>Tuberville | ! style="width:45px;"| Tommy<br />Tuberville | ||
| ! Other | ! Other | ||
| ! Undecided | ! Undecided | ||
| |- | |- | ||
| | style="text-align:left;"|{{efn-ua|name=CGPACTrump|The ] is a PAC supporting the ] and has also endorsed Tuberville}} | | style="text-align:left;"|]<ref></ref>{{efn-ua|name=CGPACTrump|The ] is a PAC supporting the ] and has also endorsed Tuberville}} | ||
| | February 18–19, 2020 | | February 18–19, 2020 | ||
| | 607 (LV) | | 607 (LV) | ||
| Line 194: | Line 215: | ||
| | 15% | | 15% | ||
| |- | |- | ||
| | style="text-align:left;"|{{efn-ua|name=CGPACTrump}} | | style="text-align:left;"|]<ref> {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200215172559/https://www.aldailynews.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/02/CFG_Alabama_Senate_HybridBrushfire_Poll_Memo_2002132.pdf |date=February 15, 2020 }}</ref>{{efn-ua|name=CGPACTrump}} | ||
| | February 10–12, 2020 | | February 10–12, 2020 | ||
| | 600 (LV) | | 600 (LV) | ||
| Line 212: | Line 233: | ||
| | 15% | | 15% | ||
| |- | |- | ||
| | style="text-align:left;"| {{efn-ua|name="Byrne"|Poll sponsored by the ] campaign}} | | style="text-align:left;"|]<ref> {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200308062354/https://yellowhammernews.com/byrne-internal-poll-shows-tight-race-in-final-three-weeks-of-republican-senate-primary/amp/ |date=March 8, 2020 }}</ref>{{efn-ua|name="Byrne"|Poll sponsored by the ] campaign}} | ||
| | February 8–9, 2020 | | February 8–9, 2020 | ||
| | 609 (LV) | | 609 (LV) | ||
| Line 230: | Line 251: | ||
| | 14% | | 14% | ||
| |- | |- | ||
| | style="text-align:left;"| | | style="text-align:left;"|]<ref name="Mason-Dixon"></ref> | ||
| | February 4–6, 2020 | | February 4–6, 2020 | ||
| | 400 (LV) | | 400 (LV) | ||
| Line 248: | Line 269: | ||
| | 16% | | 16% | ||
| |- | |- | ||
| | style="text-align:left;"| |
| style="text-align:left;"|]<ref></ref>{{efn-ua|name="Sessions"|Poll sponsored by the ] campaign}} | ||
| | January 13–15, 2020 | | January 13–15, 2020 | ||
| | 700 (LV) | | 700 (LV) | ||
| Line 266: | Line 287: | ||
| | – | | – | ||
| |- | |- | ||
| | style="text-align:left;"| |
| style="text-align:left;"|]<ref></ref>{{efn-ua|name="Sessions"}} | ||
| | December 3–5, 2019 | | December 3–5, 2019 | ||
| | 700 (LV) | | 700 (LV) | ||
| Line 281: | Line 302: | ||
| | {{party shading/Republican}}| '''44%''' | | {{party shading/Republican}}| '''44%''' | ||
| | {{party shading/Republican}}|'''21%''' | | {{party shading/Republican}}|'''21%''' | ||
| | – |
| – | ||
| | 12% | | 12% | ||
| |- | |- | ||
| | style="text-align:left;"| {{efn-ua|Poll sponsored by FarmPAC}} | | style="text-align:left;"|]<ref></ref>{{efn-ua|Poll sponsored by FarmPAC}} | ||
| | December 1–3, 2019 | | December 1–3, 2019 | ||
| | 600 (LV) | | 600 (LV) | ||
| Line 314: | Line 335: | ||
| | colspan="15"| Nelson and Sessions announce their candidacies | | colspan="15"| Nelson and Sessions announce their candidacies | ||
| |- | |- | ||
| | style="text-align:left;"| {{efn-ua|name=CGPACTrump}} | | style="text-align:left;"|]<ref></ref>{{efn-ua|name=CGPACTrump}} | ||
| | October 29–31, 2019 | | October 29–31, 2019 | ||
| | 511 (V) | | 511 (V) | ||
| Line 332: | Line 353: | ||
| | – | | – | ||
| |- | |- | ||
| | style="text-align:left;"| | | style="text-align:left;"|]<ref></ref> | ||
| | October 10–12, 2019 | | October 10–12, 2019 | ||
| | 536 (LV) | | 536 (LV) | ||
| Line 350: | Line 371: | ||
| | {{party shading/Undecided}}| '''28%''' | | {{party shading/Undecided}}| '''28%''' | ||
| |- | |- | ||
| | style="text-align:left;"|{{efn-ua|Internal poll from Tuberville's campaign}} | | style="text-align:left;"|]<ref></ref>{{efn-ua|Internal poll from Tuberville's campaign}} | ||
| | Released on<br>October 5, 2019 | | Released on<br />October 5, 2019 | ||
| | – (LV){{efn|Not yet released}} | | – (LV){{efn|Not yet released|name="NYR"}} | ||
| | – | | – | ||
| |1% | |1% | ||
| Line 368: | Line 389: | ||
| |{{party shading/Undecided}}|'''26%''' | |{{party shading/Undecided}}|'''26%''' | ||
| |- | |- | ||
| | style="text-align:left;"| {{efn-ua|Poll sponsored by the ] campaign.|name="Tuberville"}} | | style="text-align:left;"|]<ref></ref>{{efn-ua|Poll sponsored by the ] campaign.|name="Tuberville"}} | ||
| | August 11–13, 2019 | | August 11–13, 2019 | ||
| | 400 (LV) | | 400 (LV) | ||
| Line 390: | Line 411: | ||
| | colspan="15"| Merrill announces his candidacy | | colspan="15"| Merrill announces his candidacy | ||
| |- | |- | ||
| | rowspan="2" style="text-align:left;"| | | rowspan="2" style="text-align:left;"|]<ref></ref> | ||
| | rowspan="2"| June 22–23, 2019 | | rowspan="2"| June 22–23, 2019 | ||
| | rowspan="2"| 612 (LV) | | rowspan="2"| 612 (LV) | ||
| Line 426: | Line 447: | ||
| | colspan="15"| Moore announces his candidacy | | colspan="15"| Moore announces his candidacy | ||
| |- | |- | ||
| | style="text-align:left;"| {{efn-ua|name="Tuberville"}} | | style="text-align:left;"|]<ref></ref>{{efn-ua|name="Tuberville"}} | ||
| | June 10–11, 2019 | | June 10–11, 2019 | ||
| | 650 (LV) | | 650 (LV) | ||
| Line 452: | Line 473: | ||
| | colspan="15"| Marsh announces he will not run | | colspan="15"| Marsh announces he will not run | ||
| |- | |- | ||
| | style="text-align:left;"| | | style="text-align:left;"|]<ref name="politico.com"></ref> | ||
| | April 9–11, 2019 | | April 9–11, 2019 | ||
| | 400 (RV) | | 400 (RV) | ||
| Line 470: | Line 491: | ||
| | {{party shading/Undecided}}|'''25%''' | | {{party shading/Undecided}}|'''25%''' | ||
| |- | |- | ||
| | style="text-align:left;"| {{efn-ua|Poll produced, according to Mo Brooks, by a group attempting to persuade him to enter this race}} | | style="text-align:left;"|]<ref></ref>{{efn-ua|Poll produced, according to Mo Brooks, by a group attempting to persuade him to enter this race}} | ||
| | Released in<br>February 2019 | | Released in<br />February 2019 | ||
| | 400 (LV) | | 400 (LV) | ||
| | ± 5.0% | | ± 5.0% | ||
| Line 492: | Line 513: | ||
| [[File:2020ALSenGOP.svg|thumb|upright|Initial primary round results by county | [[File:2020ALSenGOP.svg|thumb|upright|Initial primary round results by county | ||
| {{collapsible list | {{collapsible list | ||
| |title=Tuberville | |title={{legend|#e27f7f|Tuberville}} | ||
| |{{legend|# |
|{{legend|#ffc8cd|30–40%}} | ||
| |{{legend|# |
|{{legend|#ffb2b2|40–50%}} | ||
| |{{legend|# |
|{{legend|#e27f7f|50–60%}} | ||
| |{{legend|#f4d7d7|Tuberville—<30%}} | |||
| }} | }} | ||
| {{collapsible list | {{collapsible list | ||
| |title=Sessions | |title={{legend|#ff9a50|Sessions}} | ||
| |{{legend|# |
|{{legend|#ffcca9|30–40%}} | ||
| |{{legend|# |
|{{legend|#ffb580|40–50%}} | ||
| |{{legend|#5fbcde|Sessions—50–60%}} | |||
| }} | }} | ||
| {{collapsible list | {{collapsible list | ||
| |title=Byrne | |title={{legend|#5fd3bc|Byrne}} | ||
| |{{legend|# |
|{{legend|#afe9dd|30–40%}} | ||
| |{{legend|# |
|{{legend|#87decd|40–50%}} | ||
| |{{legend|# |
|{{legend|#5fd3bc|50–60%}} | ||
| |{{legend|# |
|{{legend|#37c8ab|60–70%}} | ||
| }} | }} | ||
| ]] | ]] | ||
| Line 565: | Line 584: | ||
| ===Runoff=== | ===Runoff=== | ||
| The runoff for the Republican Senate nomination was planned for March 31, 2020,<ref>{{Cite |
The runoff for the Republican Senate nomination was planned for March 31, 2020,<ref>{{Cite news|url=https://www.vox.com/2020/3/4/21164973/alabama-election-results-2020-jeff-sessions-primary|title=The Alabama Republican Senate runoff is bad news for Jeff Sessions|last=Zhou|first=Li|date=March 4, 2020|work=]|access-date=March 11, 2020}}</ref> but it was delayed until July 14 as a result of the ].<ref>{{Cite news|url=https://www.politico.com/news/2020/03/18/alabama-senate-runoff-postponed-coronavirus-135557|title=Alabama Senate runoff postponed until July|last=Arkin|first=James|date=March 18, 2020|work=]|access-date=March 18, 2020}}</ref> | ||
| ====Polling==== | ====Polling==== | ||
| Line 571: | Line 590: | ||
| |- valign=bottom | |- valign=bottom | ||
| ! Poll source | ! Poll source | ||
| ! Date(s)<br>administered | ! Date(s)<br />administered | ||
| ! Sample<br>size{{efn|name="Key"}} | ! Sample<br />size{{efn|name="Key"}} | ||
| ! Margin<br>of error | ! Margin<br />of error | ||
| ! style="width:60px;"| Jeff<br>Sessions | ! style="width:60px;"| Jeff<br />Sessions | ||
| ! style="width:60px;"| Tommy<br>Tuberville | ! style="width:60px;"| Tommy<br />Tuberville | ||
| ! style="width:60px;"| Other /<br>Undecided | ! style="width:60px;"| Other /<br />Undecided | ||
| |- | |- | ||
| | style="text-align:left;"| | | style="text-align:left;"|]<ref> {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200710181651/http://aum.edu/new-aum-poll-shows-tuberville-leading-sessions-senate-runoff-election |date=July 10, 2020 }}</ref> | ||
| | July 2–9, 2020 | | July 2–9, 2020 | ||
| | 558 (RV) | | 558 (RV) | ||
| Line 586: | Line 605: | ||
| |22%{{efn|Undecided with 22%}} | |22%{{efn|Undecided with 22%}} | ||
| |- | |- | ||
| | style="text-align:left;"|{{efn-ua|name="Sessions"}} | | style="text-align:left;"|]<ref></ref>{{efn-ua|name="Sessions"}} | ||
| | May 26–27, 2020 | | May 26–27, 2020 | ||
| | 600 (LV) | | 600 (LV) | ||
| Line 592: | Line 611: | ||
| | 43% | | 43% | ||
| | {{party shading/Republican}}|'''49%''' | | {{party shading/Republican}}|'''49%''' | ||
| | 8%{{efn|Undecided with 8%}} | | 8%{{efn|Undecided with 8%|name="U8"}} | ||
| |- | |- | ||
| | style="text-align:left;"|{{efn-ua|name="Jones"}} | | style="text-align:left;"|]<ref name="FM3 Research D"></ref>{{efn-ua|name="Jones"}} | ||
| | May 14–18, 2020 | | May 14–18, 2020 | ||
| | – (LV){{efn| |
| – (LV){{efn|name="NYR"}} | ||
| | – | | – | ||
| | 32% | | 32% | ||
| Line 602: | Line 621: | ||
| | 14%{{efn|Undecided with 14%}} | | 14%{{efn|Undecided with 14%}} | ||
| |- | |- | ||
| | style="text-align:left;"| | | style="text-align:left;"|]<ref></ref> | ||
| | May 7–10, 2020 | | May 7–10, 2020 | ||
| | 607 (LV) | | 607 (LV) | ||
| Line 610: | Line 629: | ||
| | 13% | | 13% | ||
| |- | |- | ||
| | style="text-align:left;"|{{efn-ua|name="Jones"}} | | style="text-align:left;"|]<ref name="FM3 Research D"/>{{efn-ua|name="Jones"}} | ||
| | March, 2020 | | March, 2020 | ||
| | – (LV){{efn| |
| – (LV){{efn|name="NYR"}} | ||
| | – | | – | ||
| | 36% | | 36% | ||
| Line 618: | Line 637: | ||
| | 10%{{efn|Undecided with 10%}} | | 10%{{efn|Undecided with 10%}} | ||
| |- | |- | ||
| | style="text-align:left;"| {{efn-ua|name="Sessions"}} | | style="text-align:left;"|]<ref></ref>{{efn-ua|name="Sessions"}} | ||
| | March 8–9, 2020 | | March 8–9, 2020 | ||
| | 800 (LV) | | 800 (LV) | ||
| Line 626: | Line 645: | ||
| | 10% | | 10% | ||
| |- | |- | ||
| | style="text-align:left;"| | | style="text-align:left;"|]<ref></ref> | ||
| | March 6–8, 2020 | | March 6–8, 2020 | ||
| | 645 (LV) | | 645 (LV) | ||
| Line 634: | Line 653: | ||
| | 8% | | 8% | ||
| |- | |- | ||
| | style="text-align:left;"|{{efn-ua|name="Tuberville"}} | | style="text-align:left;"|]<ref> {{Dead link|date=August 2021 |bot=InternetArchiveBot |fix-attempted=yes }}</ref>{{efn-ua|name="Tuberville"}} | ||
| |March 5–7, 2020 | |March 5–7, 2020 | ||
| |400 (LV) | |400 (LV) | ||
| Line 642: | Line 661: | ||
| |13% | |13% | ||
| |- | |- | ||
| | style="text-align:left;"| | | style="text-align:left;"|]<ref> {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200423065644/https://bamanewsnow.com/new-poll-released-in-us-senate-runoff/ |date=April 23, 2020 }}</ref> | ||
| | March 5, 2020 | | March 5, 2020 | ||
| | 1,234 (LV) | | 1,234 (LV) | ||
| Line 648: | Line 667: | ||
| | 42% | | 42% | ||
| | {{party shading/Republican}}| '''49%''' | | {{party shading/Republican}}| '''49%''' | ||
| | 8%{{efn| |
| 8%{{efn|name="U8"}} | ||
| |- | |- | ||
| | style="text-align:left;"| |
| style="text-align:left;"|]<ref name="Mason-Dixon"/> | ||
| | February 4–6, 2020 | | February 4–6, 2020 | ||
| | 400 (LV) | | 400 (LV) | ||
| Line 660: | Line 679: | ||
| {{collapse top|1=<span style="font-size:88%;">Hypothetical polling</span>|left=yes|bg=#B0CEFF;line-height:135%;|border=none}} | {{collapse top|1=<span style="font-size:88%;">Hypothetical polling</span>|left=yes|bg=#B0CEFF;line-height:135%;|border=none}} | ||
| '''with Bradley Byrne and Gary Palmer'''<br /> | |||
| {| class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;" | {| class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;" | ||
| |- valign=bottom | |- valign=bottom | ||
| ! Poll source | ! Poll source | ||
| ! Date(s)<br>administered | ! Date(s)<br />administered | ||
| ! Sample<br>size{{efn|name="Key"}} | ! Sample<br />size{{efn|name="Key"}} | ||
| ! Margin<br>of error | ! Margin<br />of error | ||
| ! style="width:60px;"| Bradley<br>Byrne | ! style="width:60px;"| Bradley<br />Byrne | ||
| ! style="width:60px;"| Gary<br>Palmer | ! style="width:60px;"| Gary<br />Palmer | ||
| ! Undecided | ! Undecided | ||
| |- | |- | ||
| | style="text-align:left;"| {{efn-ua|Poll sponsored by ]|name="CFG"}} | | style="text-align:left;"|]<ref></ref>{{efn-ua|Poll sponsored by ]|name="CFG"}} | ||
| | February 10–12, 2019 | | February 10–12, 2019 | ||
| | 500 (LV) | | 500 (LV) | ||
| Line 680: | Line 699: | ||
| |} | |} | ||
| '''with Bradley Byrne and Jeff Sessions'''<br /> | |||
| {| class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;" | {| class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;" | ||
| |- valign=bottom | |- valign=bottom | ||
| ! Poll source | ! Poll source | ||
| ! Date(s)<br>administered | ! Date(s)<br />administered | ||
| ! Sample<br>size{{efn|name="Key"}} | ! Sample<br />size{{efn|name="Key"}} | ||
| ! Margin<br>of error | ! Margin<br />of error | ||
| ! style="width:60px;"| Bradley<br>Byrne | ! style="width:60px;"| Bradley<br />Byrne | ||
| ! style="width:60px;"| Jeff<br>Sessions | ! style="width:60px;"| Jeff<br />Sessions | ||
| ! Undecided | ! Undecided | ||
| |- | |- | ||
| | style="text-align:left;"| | | style="text-align:left;"|]/]<ref name="AL Daily News/Mason-Dixon"></ref> | ||
| | February 4–6, 2020 | | February 4–6, 2020 | ||
| | 400 (LV) | | 400 (LV) | ||
| Line 700: | Line 719: | ||
| |} | |} | ||
| '''with Mo Brooks and Bradley Byrne'''<br /> | |||
| {| class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;" | {| class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;" | ||
| |- valign=bottom | |- valign=bottom | ||
| ! Poll source | ! Poll source | ||
| ! Date(s)<br>administered | ! Date(s)<br />administered | ||
| ! Sample<br>size{{efn|name="Key"}} | ! Sample<br />size{{efn|name="Key"}} | ||
| ! Margin<br>of error | ! Margin<br />of error | ||
| ! style="width:60px;"| Mo<br>Brooks | ! style="width:60px;"| Mo<br />Brooks | ||
| ! style="width:60px;"| Bradley<br>Byrne | ! style="width:60px;"| Bradley<br />Byrne | ||
| ! Undecided | ! Undecided | ||
| |- | |- | ||
| | style="text-align:left;"| {{efn-ua|name="CFG"}} | | style="text-align:left;"|]<ref> {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190322030641/https://cdn.clubforgrowth.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/CFG_AL_Senate_Brooks_Memo_V1_190320.pdf |date=March 22, 2019 }}</ref>{{efn-ua|name="CFG"}} | ||
| | March 10–12, 2019 | | March 10–12, 2019 | ||
| | 501 (LV) | | 501 (LV) | ||
| Line 720: | Line 739: | ||
| |} | |} | ||
| '''with Mo Brooks and Roy Moore'''<br /> | |||
| {| class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;" | {| class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;" | ||
| |- valign=bottom | |- valign=bottom | ||
| ! Poll source | ! Poll source | ||
| ! Date(s)<br>administered | ! Date(s)<br />administered | ||
| ! Sample<br>size{{efn|name="Key"}} | ! Sample<br />size{{efn|name="Key"}} | ||
| ! Margin<br>of error | ! Margin<br />of error | ||
| ! style="width:60px;"| Mo<br>Brooks | ! style="width:60px;"| Mo<br />Brooks | ||
| ! style="width:60px;"| Roy<br>Moore | ! style="width:60px;"| Roy<br />Moore | ||
| ! Undecided | ! Undecided | ||
| |- | |- | ||
| |style="text-align:left;"| {{efn-ua|name="CFG"}}{{efn-ua|Standard VI response}} | |style="text-align:left;"|]<ref> {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190808112519/https://cdn.clubforgrowth.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/CFG_AL_Senate_Baseline2_Memo_190313.pdf |date=August 8, 2019 }}</ref>{{efn-ua|name="CFG"}}{{efn-ua|Standard VI response}} | ||
| |March 10–12, 2019 | |March 10–12, 2019 | ||
| |501 (LV) | |501 (LV) | ||
| Line 744: | Line 763: | ||
| [[File:Alabama U.S. Senate Republican primary runoff, 2020.svg|thumb|upright|Runoff results by county | [[File:Alabama U.S. Senate Republican primary runoff, 2020.svg|thumb|upright|Runoff results by county | ||
| {{collapsible list | {{collapsible list | ||
| |title=Tuberville | |title={{legend|#e27f7f|Tuberville}} | ||
| |{{legend|# |
|{{legend|#e27f7f|50–60%}} | ||
| |{{legend|# |
|{{legend|#d75d5d|60–70%}} | ||
| |{{legend|# |
|{{legend|#d72f30|70–80%}} | ||
| }} | }} | ||
| {{collapsible list | {{collapsible list | ||
| |title=Sessions | |title={{legend|#ff9a50|Sessions}} | ||
| |{{legend|# |
|{{legend|#ff9a50|50–60%}} | ||
| }} | }} | ||
| ]] | ]] | ||
| Line 771: | Line 790: | ||
| {{Election box total no change | {{Election box total no change | ||
| | votes = 551,127 | | votes = 551,127 | ||
| | percentage = 100. |
| percentage = 100.00% | ||
| }} | }} | ||
| {{Election box end}} | {{Election box end}} | ||
| Line 778: | Line 797: | ||
| ===Candidates=== | ===Candidates=== | ||
| ====Withdrawn==== | ====Withdrawn==== | ||
| *Mike Parrish<ref name="auto">{{Cite web|url=https://www.thegreenpapers.com/G20/AL|title=Alabama 2020 General Election|website=thegreenpapers.com}}</ref><ref name=fecalabama>{{cite web |url=https://www.fec.gov/data/elections/senate/AL/2020/ |work=FEC | |
* Mike Parrish<ref name="auto">{{Cite web|url=https://www.thegreenpapers.com/G20/AL|title=Alabama 2020 General Election|website=thegreenpapers.com}}</ref><ref name=fecalabama>{{cite web |url=https://www.fec.gov/data/elections/senate/AL/2020/ |work=FEC |access-date=May 22, 2020 |date=Mar 31, 2020 |title=Alabama - Senate}}</ref><ref name=ALcandidates>{{Cite web |date=August 29, 2020 |access-date=August 29, 2020 |title=2020 Election Information |url=https://www.sos.alabama.gov/alabama-votes/voter/election-information/2020 |website=Alabama Secretary of State}}</ref> | ||
| *Jarmal Sanders, reverend<ref name="auto"/><ref name="fecalabama"/><ref name=ALcandidates/> | * Jarmal Sanders, reverend<ref name="auto"/><ref name="fecalabama"/><ref name=ALcandidates/> | ||
| *Marcus Jejaun Williams<ref name="auto"/><ref>{{Cite web|url=https://ballotpedia.org/Marcus_Jejaun_Williams_(Alabama) |work=Ballotpedia | |
* Marcus Jejaun Williams<ref name="auto"/><ref>{{Cite web|url=https://ballotpedia.org/Marcus_Jejaun_Williams_(Alabama) |work=Ballotpedia |access-date=May 17, 2019 |title=Marcus Jejaun Williams (Alabama)}}</ref> | ||
| ==General election== | ==General election== | ||
| Line 789: | Line 808: | ||
| !As of | !As of | ||
| |- | |- | ||
| | align=left | ]<ref name="Cook PR">{{cite web | title=2020 Senate Race Ratings for |
| align=left | ]<ref name="Cook PR">{{cite web | title=2020 Senate Race Ratings for October 29, 2020 | url=https://cookpolitical.com/ratings/senate-race-ratings/230641 |website=The Cook Political Report | access-date=March 11, 2021}}</ref> | ||
| | {{USRaceRating|Lean|R|Flip}} | | {{USRaceRating|Lean|R|Flip}} | ||
| | |
|October 29, 2020 | ||
| |- | |- | ||
| | align=left | ]<ref name="Inside Elections">{{cite web | title=2020 Senate Ratings | url=https://www.insideelections.com/ratings/senate/2020-senate-ratings | work=Senate Ratings | publisher=The Rothenberg Political Report | |
| align=left | ]<ref name="Inside Elections">{{cite web | title=2020 Senate Ratings | url=https://www.insideelections.com/ratings/senate/2020-senate-ratings-october-28-2020 | work=Senate Ratings | publisher=The Rothenberg Political Report | access-date=March 11, 2021}}</ref> | ||
| | {{USRaceRating|Lean|R|Flip}} | | {{USRaceRating|Lean|R|Flip}} | ||
| | |
|October 28, 2020 | ||
| |- | |- | ||
| | align=left | ]<ref name="Sabato's Crystal Ball">{{cite web | title=2020 Senate race ratings | url= |
| align=left | ]<ref name="Sabato's Crystal Ball">{{cite web | title=2020 Senate race ratings | url=https://centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/2020-senate/ | website=Sabato's Crystal Ball | access-date=March 12, 2021}}</ref> | ||
| |{{USRaceRating|Likely|R|Flip}} | |{{USRaceRating|Likely|R|Flip}} | ||
| | |
| November 2, 2020 | ||
| |- | |- | ||
| | align="left" |]<ref name="Daily Kos">{{Cite web |url=https:// |
| align="left" |]<ref name="Daily Kos">{{Cite web |url=https://elections.dailykos.com/app/elections/2020/office/senate | website=Daily Kos Elections|title=2020 Senate Race Ratings | access-date=March 13, 2021}}</ref> | ||
| |{{USRaceRating|Likely|R|Flip}} | |{{USRaceRating|Likely|R|Flip}} | ||
| | October |
| October 30, 2020 | ||
| |- | |- | ||
| | align="left" |]<ref name="Politico">{{Cite web |url= https://www.politico.com/2020-election/race-forecasts-and-predictions/senate/ |title=2020 Election Forecast|date=November 19, 2019 | |
| align="left" |]<ref name="Politico">{{Cite web |url= https://www.politico.com/2020-election/race-forecasts-and-predictions/senate/ |title=2020 Election Forecast|date=November 19, 2019 |work=]}}</ref> | ||
| |{{USRaceRating|Lean|R|Flip}} | |{{USRaceRating|Lean|R|Flip}} | ||
| | |
|November 2, 2020 | ||
| |- | |- | ||
| | align="left" |]<ref name="RCP">{{cite web |url= https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/ |
| align="left" |]<ref name="RCP">{{cite web |url= https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/senate/2020_elections_senate_map.html|title=Battle for the Senate 2020|date=October 23, 2020 |publisher=]}}</ref> | ||
| |{{USRaceRating|Likely|R|Flip}} | |{{USRaceRating|Likely|R|Flip}} | ||
| | |
|October 23, 2020 | ||
| |- | |- | ||
| | align="left" |]<ref name=" |
| align="left" |]<ref name="DDHQ">{{Cite web |date=September 2, 2020 |title=2020 Senate Elections Model|url= https://forecast.decisiondeskhq.com/senate|access-date=September 2, 2020 |publisher=]}}</ref> | ||
| |{{USRaceRating|Safe|R|Flip}} | |{{USRaceRating|Safe|R|Flip}} | ||
| | |
|November 3, 2020 | ||
| |- | |- | ||
| | align="left" |]<ref |
| align="left" |]<ref>{{Cite web | last1=Silver | first1=Nate | title=Forecasting the race for the Senate | url=https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-election-forecast/senate/ | website=] | access-date=September 18, 2020 | date=September 18, 2020}}</ref> | ||
| |{{USRaceRating|Likely|R|Flip}} | |{{USRaceRating|Likely|R|Flip}} | ||
| | |
|November 2, 2020 | ||
| |- | |- | ||
| | align="left" |]<ref>{{Cite web | |
| align="left" |]<ref>{{Cite web |date=November 2, 2020 |title=Forecasting the US elections |url=https://projects.economist.com/us-2020-forecast/senate |access-date=March 13, 2021 |publisher=]}}</ref> | ||
| |{{USRaceRating| |
|{{USRaceRating|Safe|R|Flip}} | ||
| | |
|November 2, 2020 | ||
| |- | |||
| | align="left" |]<ref>{{Cite web |date=September 23, 2020 |title=Why the Democrats are our narrow favourites to win the Senate |url=https://www.economist.com/united-states/2020/09/23/why-the-democrats-are-our-narrow-favourites-to-win-the-senate?utm_campaign=later-linkinbio-theeconomist&utm_content=later-10382741&utm_medium=social&utm_source=instagram |access-date=September 24, 2020 |publisher=]}}</ref> | |||
| |{{USRaceRating|Likely|R|flip}} | |||
| |October 6, 2020 | |||
| |} | |} | ||
| Line 834: | Line 849: | ||
| |title=Doug Jones (D) | |title=Doug Jones (D) | ||
| |list= | |list= | ||
| '''U.S. Senators''' | |||
| * ], U.S. |
* ], U.S. senator (CA) and 2020 vice presidential nominee<ref name="Harris"/> | ||
| * ], U.S. |
* ], U.S. senator (MN) and former 2020 presidential candidate<ref name="Klobuchar"/> | ||
| * ], U.S. |
* ], U.S. senator (WV)<ref name="PoliticoVulnerable"/> | ||
| ; U.S. Representative | |||
| '''U.S. Representatives''' | |||
| * ], (AL-07)<ref name="al.com"/> | |||
| * ] (AL-07)<ref name="al.com"/> | |||
| ; Local officials | |||
| '''Local officials''' | |||
| * ], ] Democratic nominee for Governor of Georgia, former Minority Leader of the ]<ref name="Varney"/> | * ], ] Democratic nominee for Governor of Georgia, former Minority Leader of the ]<ref name="Varney"/> | ||
| *], ]<ref name=":0" /> | * ], ]<ref name=":0" /> | ||
| ; Individuals | |||
| '''Individuals''' | |||
| * ], Retired Marine Corps Gen./Former Joint Chiefs of Staff member<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.alreporter.com/2020/10/20/retired-u-s-marine-general-endorses-doug-jones/|title=Retired U.S. Marines general endorses Doug Jones|date=October 20, 2020}}</ref> ''(Republican)'' | |||
| * ], retired Marine Corps general and former Joint Chiefs of Staff member<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.alreporter.com/2020/10/20/retired-u-s-marine-general-endorses-doug-jones/|title=Retired U.S. Marines general endorses Doug Jones|date=October 20, 2020}}</ref> ''(Republican)'' | |||
| * ], actor<ref name="al.com"/> | * ], actor<ref name="al.com"/> | ||
| ; Organizations | |||
| '''Organizations''' | |||
| * ]<ref name="EndCitizensUnited"/> | * ]<ref name="EndCitizensUnited"/> | ||
| * ]<ref>{{cite web|url=https://feministmajoritypac.org/endorsements/2020/|title=2020 – Feminist Majority PAC|website=feministmajoritypac.org}}</ref> | * ]<ref>{{cite web|url=https://feministmajoritypac.org/endorsements/2020/|title=2020 – Feminist Majority PAC|website=feministmajoritypac.org}}</ref> | ||
| * ]<ref name="HRC"/> | * ]<ref name="HRC"/> | ||
| * ]<ref>{{cite web |
* ]<ref>{{cite web|title=Meet the 2020 Candidates|url=https://www.jacpac.org/story/18/07/09/meet-2020-candidatesJTA|website=Joint Action Committee for Political Affairs}}{{Dead link|date=January 2022 |bot=InternetArchiveBot |fix-attempted=yes }}</ref> | ||
| * ]<ref name="LCV"/> | * ]<ref name="LCV"/> | ||
| * ]<ref>{{cite web|title=Candidates We Endorse and Support|url=https://www.ncpssm.org/pac/candidates-we-endorse-and-support/|website=NCPSSM}}</ref> | * ]<ref>{{cite web|title=Candidates We Endorse and Support|url=https://www.ncpssm.org/pac/candidates-we-endorse-and-support/|website=NCPSSM}}</ref> | ||
| * ]<ref name="NOW"/> | * ]<ref name="NOW"/> | ||
| * ] Action Fund<ref>{{cite web |title=Six Environmental Champions Win NRDC Action Fund Endorsements|url=https://www.nrdcactionfund.org/six-environmental-champions-win-nrdc-action-fund-endorsements/|website=www.nrdcactionfund.org |date=May 18, 2020}}</ref> | * ] Action Fund<ref>{{cite web |title=Six Environmental Champions Win NRDC Action Fund Endorsements|url=https://www.nrdcactionfund.org/six-environmental-champions-win-nrdc-action-fund-endorsements/|website=www.nrdcactionfund.org |date=May 18, 2020}}</ref> | ||
| ;Unions | |||
| '''Unions''' | |||
| * ]<ref>{{cite web |title=AL AFL-CIO 2020 Special C.O.P.E. Convention|url=https://www.alaflcio.com/news/al-afl-cio-2020-special-cope-convention|website=alaflcio.com|publisher=Alabama AFL-CIO|date=August 7, 2020}}</ref> | * ]<ref>{{cite web |title=AL AFL-CIO 2020 Special C.O.P.E. Convention|url=https://www.alaflcio.com/news/al-afl-cio-2020-special-cope-convention|website=alaflcio.com|publisher=Alabama AFL-CIO|date=August 7, 2020}}</ref> | ||
| * ]<ref>{{cite web |
* ]<ref>{{cite web|title=IFPTE Releases Its 2020 Congressional Endorsements|url=http://www.ifpte.org/news/details/IFPTE-Releases-Its-2020-Congressional-Endorsements|website=ifpte.org|publisher=International Federation of Professional and Technical Engineers|date=July 6, 2020|access-date=October 29, 2020|archive-date=October 26, 2020|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20201026051752/http://www.ifpte.org/news/details/IFPTE-Releases-Its-2020-Congressional-Endorsements|url-status=dead}}</ref> | ||
| * ]<ref>{{cite web |title=Alabama – Official UAW Endorsements |url=http://uawendorsements.org/map/alabama/ |website=uawendorsements.org |publisher=United Automobile Workers}}</ref> | * ]<ref>{{cite web |title=Alabama – Official UAW Endorsements |url=http://uawendorsements.org/map/alabama/ |website=uawendorsements.org |publisher=United Automobile Workers}}</ref> | ||
| }} | }} | ||
| Line 863: | Line 883: | ||
| |title=Tommy Tuberville (R) | |title=Tommy Tuberville (R) | ||
| |list= | |list= | ||
| '''Federal officials''' | |||
| *], |
* ], 45th and incumbent president of the United States<ref name=TrumpEndorsement>{{cite web|url=https://www.cnn.com/2020/03/10/politics/trump-endorses-tommy-tuberville-over-jeff-sessions-alabama-us-senate/index.html|title=Trump endorses Tuberville over Jeff Sessions ahead of Alabama runoff|publisher=]|date=March 11, 2020|access-date=August 30, 2020}}</ref> | ||
| '''Senators''' | |||
| *], U.S Senator from Texas<ref name=SenCruz>{{cite tweet|user=tedcruz|number=1319336701194625025|title=In Alabama, the left is waging an assault against @TTuberville to prop up Doug Jones... Alabama deserves better! Join me in supporting Coach and fighting back against the attacks: https://secure.winred.com/tommytuberville/pg-tw-cruz?utm_source=twitter_PG&utm_campaign=tt&utm_medium=tweet&utm_content=PG_TW_Tuberville_CruzTweet_102220 #ALSen|accessdate=October 24, 2020}}</ref> | |||
| * ], U.S. senator from Texas<ref name=SenCruz>{{cite tweet|user=tedcruz|number=1319336701194625025|title=In Alabama, the left is waging an assault against @TTuberville to prop up Doug Jones... Alabama deserves better! Join me in supporting Coach and fighting back against the attacks: https://secure.winred.com/tommytuberville/pg-tw-cruz|date=October 22, 2020|access-date=October 24, 2020}}</ref> | |||
| '''State officials''' | |||
| *], ]<ref name="auto8"/> | * ], ]<ref name="auto8"/> | ||
| *], state senator<ref name="auto12"/> | * ], state senator<ref name="auto12"/> | ||
| ;Organizations | |||
| '''Organizations''' | |||
| *]<ref name="auto18"/> | |||
| *]<ref name=" |
* ]<ref name="auto18"/> | ||
| * ]<ref name="auto16"/> | |||
| ; Individuals | |||
| * ]<ref>{{cite web |title=NRA-PVF - Grades - Alabama |url=https://www.nrapvf.org/grades/alabama |website=nrapvf.org |publisher=NRA-PVF |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20201103162529/https://www.nrapvf.org/grades/alabama |archive-date=November 3, 2020 |language=en-US |url-status=usurped}}</ref> | |||
| * ], head coach of the ] team<ref name="auto2"/> | |||
| '''Individuals''' | |||
| * ], country music artist, lead singer of ]<ref name="Ross"/> | |||
| * ], head coach of the ] team<ref name="auto2"/> | |||
| * ], former White House press secretary (2017)<ref name="auto15"/> | * ], former White House press secretary (2017)<ref name="auto15"/> | ||
| }} | }} | ||
| Line 894: | Line 919: | ||
| | type=line | | type=line | ||
| |xGrid= | |xGrid= | ||
| | x= 2020/02/06, 2020/05/14, 2020/06/13, 2020/06/18, 2020/07/02, 2020/07/09, 2020/07/24, 2020/09/11, 2020/09/30, 2020/10/11, 2020/10/14, 2020/10/21, 2020/10/26, 2020/10/28, 2020/11/01, | | x= 2020/02/06, 2020/05/14, 2020/06/13, 2020/06/18, 2020/07/02, 2020/07/09, 2020/07/24, 2020/09/11, 2020/09/30, 2020/10/11, 2020/10/14, 2020/10/21, 2020/10/26, 2020/10/28, 2020/10/31, 2020/11/01, | ||
| | y1= 47, 47, 50, 47, 50, 44, 52, 52, 54, |
| y1= 47, 47, 50, 47, 50, 44, 52, 52, 54, 47, 55, 55, 54, 54, 51, 56, | ||
| | y2= 40, 44, 36, 44, 40, 36, 35, 34, 42, |
| y2= 40, 44, 36, 44, 40, 36, 35, 34, 42, 48, 40, 41, 46, 43, 39, 44, | ||
| | y3= 13, 9, 15, 9, , 21, 13, , 4, 5, , 4, , 3, , | | y3= 13, 9, 15, 9, , 21, 13, , 4, 5, , 4, , 3, , 0, | ||
| | colors = #E81B23, #3333FF, #DCDCDC | | colors = #E81B23, #3333FF, #DCDCDC | ||
| | showSymbols = 1 | | showSymbols = 1 | ||
| Line 906: | Line 931: | ||
| |- valign=bottom | |- valign=bottom | ||
| ! Poll source | ! Poll source | ||
| ! Date(s)<br>administered | ! Date(s)<br />administered | ||
| ! Sample<br>size{{efn|name=Key}} | ! Sample<br />size{{efn|name=Key}} | ||
| ! Margin<br>of error | ! Margin<br />of error | ||
| ! style="width:100px;"| Doug<br>Jones (D) | ! style="width:100px;"| Doug<br />Jones (D) | ||
| ! style="width:100px;"| Tommy<br>Tuberville (R) | ! style="width:100px;"| Tommy<br />Tuberville (R) | ||
| ! Other | ! Other | ||
| ! Undecided | ! Undecided | ||
| |- | |- | ||
| |style="text-align:left;"|]<ref> {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20201113073344/https://www.swayable.com/polls/2020-11-02-large.html |date=November 13, 2020 }}</ref> | |||
| |style="text-align:left;"| | |||
| |October 27 – November 1, 2020 | |||
| |294 (LV) | |||
| |± 8.5% | |||
| |42% | |||
| |{{party shading/Republican}}|'''58%''' | |||
| | – | |||
| | – | |||
| |- | |||
| |style="text-align:left;"|]<ref></ref> | |||
| |October 27 – November 1, 2020 | |October 27 – November 1, 2020 | ||
| |1,045 (LV) | |1,045 (LV) | ||
| Line 923: | Line 957: | ||
| | – | | – | ||
| |- | |- | ||
| |style="text-align:left;"| | |style="text-align:left;"|]<ref></ref> | ||
| |October 22–31, 2020 | |October 22–31, 2020 | ||
| |850 (LV) | |850 (LV) | ||
| Line 932: | Line 966: | ||
| | – | | – | ||
| |- | |- | ||
| |style="text-align:left;"| | |style="text-align:left;"|]<ref></ref> | ||
| |October 23–28, 2020 | |October 23–28, 2020 | ||
| |853 (LV) | |853 (LV) | ||
| Line 941: | Line 975: | ||
| | – | | – | ||
| |- | |- | ||
| |style="text-align:left;"| | |style="text-align:left;"|]<ref></ref> | ||
| |October 23–26, 2020 | |October 23–26, 2020 | ||
| | |
|232 (LV) | ||
| |± |
|± 8.7% | ||
| |46% | |46% | ||
| |{{party shading/Republican}}|'''54%''' | |{{party shading/Republican}}|'''54%''' | ||
| Line 950: | Line 984: | ||
| | – | | – | ||
| |- | |- | ||
| |style="text-align:left;"| | |style="text-align:left;"|]<ref name="Cygnal"></ref> | ||
| |October 21–23, 2020 | |October 21–23, 2020 | ||
| |645 (LV) | |645 (LV) | ||
| Line 959: | Line 993: | ||
| |4% | |4% | ||
| |- | |- | ||
| |style="text-align:left;"|{{efn-ua|name="Tuberville"}} | |style="text-align:left;"|]<ref></ref>{{efn-ua|name="Tuberville"}} | ||
| |October 11–14, 2020 | |October 11–14, 2020 | ||
| |504 (LV) | |504 (LV) | ||
| Line 968: | Line 1,002: | ||
| | – | | – | ||
| |- | |- | ||
| |style="text-align:left;"|{{efn-ua|name="Jones"|Poll sponsored by Jones' campaign.}} | |style="text-align:left;"|]<ref> {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20201019172105/https://dougjones.com/sites/default/files/media_uploads/220-6003C%20Alabama%20Senate%20Survey%20Memo-F.pdf |date=October 19, 2020 }}</ref>{{efn-ua|name="Jones"|Poll sponsored by Jones' campaign.}} | ||
| |October 11–14, 2020 | |October 11–14, 2020 | ||
| |801 (LV) | |801 (LV) | ||
| Line 977: | Line 1,011: | ||
| |5%{{efn|Includes "Refused"}} | |5%{{efn|Includes "Refused"}} | ||
| |- | |- | ||
| |style="text-align:left;"| | |style="text-align:left;"|]<ref> {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20201109065422/https://www.aum.edu/aum-poll-tommy-tuberville-leads-doug-jones-by-12-points-in-closing-weeks-of-alabama-senate-race/ |date=November 9, 2020 }}</ref> | ||
| |September 30 – October 3, 2020 | |September 30 – October 3, 2020 | ||
| |1,072 (RV) | |1,072 (RV) | ||
| Line 986: | Line 1,020: | ||
| | – | | – | ||
| |- | |- | ||
| | style="text-align:left;"| | | style="text-align:left;"|]<ref></ref> | ||
| | September 11–20, 2020 | | September 11–20, 2020 | ||
| | 658 (LV) | | 658 (LV) | ||
| Line 995: | Line 1,029: | ||
| | – | | – | ||
| |- | |- | ||
| |style="text-align:left;"| | |style="text-align:left;"|]<ref></ref> | ||
| |July 24 – August 2, 2020 | |July 24 – August 2, 2020 | ||
| |609 (LV) | |609 (LV) | ||
| Line 1,004: | Line 1,038: | ||
| |9% | |9% | ||
| |- | |- | ||
| | style="text-align:left;"| | | style="text-align:left;"|]<ref> {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200713071148/http://www.aum.edu/sites/default/files/AUM_Topline_Results_July2020_Final.pdf |date=July 13, 2020 }}</ref> | ||
| | July 2–9, 2020 | | July 2–9, 2020 | ||
| | 567 (RV) | | 567 (RV) | ||
| Line 1,013: | Line 1,047: | ||
| |14% | |14% | ||
| |- | |- | ||
| | style="text-align:left;"|{{efn-ua|name="CLF"|Poll sponsored by the ], which supports exclusively Republican candidates.}} | | style="text-align:left;"|]<ref></ref>{{efn-ua|name="CLF"|Poll sponsored by the ], which supports exclusively Republican candidates.}} | ||
| | June 29 – July 2, 2020 | | June 29 – July 2, 2020 | ||
| | 509 (LV){{efn|Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight}} | | 509 (LV){{efn|Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight}} | ||
| Line 1,022: | Line 1,056: | ||
| | – | | – | ||
| |- | |- | ||
| | style="text-align:left;"| | | style="text-align:left;"|]<ref name="ALG Research D"></ref> | ||
| | June 18–22, 2020 | | June 18–22, 2020 | ||
| | 600 (LV) | | 600 (LV) | ||
| Line 1,031: | Line 1,065: | ||
| |8% | |8% | ||
| |- | |- | ||
| | style="text-align:left;"| | | style="text-align:left;"|] (R)<ref name="Cygnal R"></ref> | ||
| | June 13–16, 2020 | | June 13–16, 2020 | ||
| | 530 (LV) | | 530 (LV) | ||
| Line 1,040: | Line 1,074: | ||
| |13% | |13% | ||
| |- | |- | ||
| | style="text-align:left;"|{{efn-ua|name="Jones"}} | | style="text-align:left;"|]<ref name="FM3 Research D"/>{{efn-ua|name="Jones"}} | ||
| | May 14–18, 2020 | | May 14–18, 2020 | ||
| | 601 (LV) | | 601 (LV) | ||
| Line 1,049: | Line 1,083: | ||
| | 9% | | 9% | ||
| |- | |- | ||
| | style="text-align:left;"| |
| style="text-align:left;"|]<ref name="Mason-Dixon"/> | ||
| | February 4–6, 2020 | | February 4–6, 2020 | ||
| | 625 (RV) | | 625 (RV) | ||
| Line 1,058: | Line 1,092: | ||
| | 8% | | 8% | ||
| |- | |- | ||
| | style="text-align:left;"| | | style="text-align:left;"|]<ref name="JMC Analytics"></ref> | ||
| | December 16–18, 2019 | | December 16–18, 2019 | ||
| | 525 (LV) | | 525 (LV) | ||
| Line 1,068: | Line 1,102: | ||
| |} | |} | ||
| <!-- = = = don't edit the line below = = = --> | |||
| {{collapse top|1=<span style="font-size:88%;">Hypothetical polling</span>|left=yes|bg=#B0CEFF;line-height:135%;|border=none}} | |||
| {{hidden begin|titlestyle=background:#cff|title=Hypothetical polling|contentstyle=border:solid 1px silver; padding:8px; background:white;}} | |||
| ;With Jeff Sessions | |||
| <!-- = = = don't edit the line above = = = --> | |||
| '''With Jeff Sessions'''<br /> | |||
| {| class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;" | {| class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;" | ||
| |- valign=bottom | |- valign=bottom | ||
| ! Poll source | ! Poll source | ||
| ! Date(s)<br>administered | ! Date(s)<br />administered | ||
| ! Sample<br>size{{efn|name=Key}} | ! Sample<br />size{{efn|name=Key}} | ||
| ! Margin<br>of error | ! Margin<br />of error | ||
| ! style="width:100px;"| Doug<br>Jones (D) | ! style="width:100px;"| Doug<br />Jones (D) | ||
| ! style="width:100px;"| Jeff<br>Sessions (R) | ! style="width:100px;"| Jeff<br />Sessions (R) | ||
| ! Other | ! Other | ||
| ! Undecided | ! Undecided | ||
| |- | |- | ||
| | style="text-align:left;"| | | style="text-align:left;"|]<ref> {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200713071148/http://www.aum.edu/sites/default/files/AUM_Topline_Results_July2020_Final.pdf |date=July 13, 2020 }}</ref> | ||
| | July 2–9, 2020 | | July 2–9, 2020 | ||
| | 567 (RV) | | 567 (RV) | ||
| Line 1,090: | Line 1,126: | ||
| |1% | |1% | ||
| |- | |- | ||
| | style="text-align:left;"| | | style="text-align:left;"|]<ref name="ALG Research D"/> | ||
| | June 18–22, 2020 | | June 18–22, 2020 | ||
| | 600 (LV) | | 600 (LV) | ||
| Line 1,099: | Line 1,135: | ||
| |9% | |9% | ||
| |- | |- | ||
| | style="text-align:left;"| | | style="text-align:left;"|] (R)<ref name="Cygnal R"/> | ||
| | June 13–16, 2020 | | June 13–16, 2020 | ||
| | 530 (LV) | | 530 (LV) | ||
| Line 1,108: | Line 1,144: | ||
| |18% | |18% | ||
| |- | |- | ||
| | style="text-align:left;"| |
| style="text-align:left;"|]<ref name="Mason-Dixon"/> | ||
| | February 4–6, 2020 | | February 4–6, 2020 | ||
| | 625 (RV) | | 625 (RV) | ||
| Line 1,117: | Line 1,153: | ||
| | 5% | | 5% | ||
| |- | |- | ||
| | style="text-align:left;"| |
| style="text-align:left;"|]<ref name="JMC Analytics"/> | ||
| | December 16–18, 2019 | | December 16–18, 2019 | ||
| | 525 (LV) | | 525 (LV) | ||
| Line 1,127: | Line 1,163: | ||
| |} | |} | ||
| '''With Bradley Byrne'''<br /> | |||
| {| class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;" | {| class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;" | ||
| |- valign=bottom | |- valign=bottom | ||
| ! Poll source | ! Poll source | ||
| ! Date(s)<br>administered | ! Date(s)<br />administered | ||
| ! Sample<br>size{{efn|name=Key}} | ! Sample<br />size{{efn|name=Key}} | ||
| ! Margin<br>of error | ! Margin<br />of error | ||
| ! style="width:100px;"| Doug<br>Jones (D) | ! style="width:100px;"| Doug<br />Jones (D) | ||
| ! style="width:100px;"| Bradley<br>Byrne (R) | ! style="width:100px;"| Bradley<br />Byrne (R) | ||
| ! Undecided | ! Undecided | ||
| |- | |- | ||
| | style="text-align:left;"| |
| style="text-align:left;"|]/]<ref name="AL Daily News/Mason-Dixon"/> | ||
| | February 4–6, 2020 | | February 4–6, 2020 | ||
| | 625 (RV) | | 625 (RV) | ||
| Line 1,146: | Line 1,182: | ||
| | 7% | | 7% | ||
| |- | |- | ||
| | style="text-align:left;"| |
| style="text-align:left;"|]<ref name="JMC Analytics"/> | ||
| | December 16–18, 2019 | | December 16–18, 2019 | ||
| | 525 (LV) | | 525 (LV) | ||
| Line 1,155: | Line 1,191: | ||
| |} | |} | ||
| '''With Arnold Mooney'''<br /> | |||
| {| class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;" | {| class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;" | ||
| |- valign=bottom | |- valign=bottom | ||
| ! Poll source | ! Poll source | ||
| ! Date(s)<br>administered | ! Date(s)<br />administered | ||
| ! Sample<br>size{{efn|name=Key}} | ! Sample<br />size{{efn|name=Key}} | ||
| ! Margin<br>of error | ! Margin<br />of error | ||
| ! style="width:100px;"| Doug<br>Jones (D) | ! style="width:100px;"| Doug<br />Jones (D) | ||
| ! style="width:100px;"| Arnold<br>Mooney (R) | ! style="width:100px;"| Arnold<br />Mooney (R) | ||
| ! Undecided | ! Undecided | ||
| |- | |- | ||
| | style="text-align:left;"| |
| style="text-align:left;"|]<ref name="JMC Analytics"/> | ||
| | December 16–18, 2019 | | December 16–18, 2019 | ||
| | 525 (LV) | | 525 (LV) | ||
| Line 1,175: | Line 1,211: | ||
| |} | |} | ||
| '''With Roy Moore'''<br /> | |||
| {| class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;" | {| class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;" | ||
| |- valign=bottom | |- valign=bottom | ||
| ! Poll source | ! Poll source | ||
| ! Date(s)<br>administered | ! Date(s)<br />administered | ||
| ! Sample<br>size{{efn|name=Key}} | ! Sample<br />size{{efn|name=Key}} | ||
| ! Margin<br>of error | ! Margin<br />of error | ||
| ! style="width:100px;"| Doug<br>Jones (D) | ! style="width:100px;"| Doug<br />Jones (D) | ||
| ! style="width:100px;"| Roy<br>Moore (R) | ! style="width:100px;"| Roy<br />Moore (R) | ||
| ! Undecided | ! Undecided | ||
| |- | |- | ||
| | style="text-align:left;"| |
| style="text-align:left;"|]<ref name="JMC Analytics"/> | ||
| | December 16–18, 2019 | | December 16–18, 2019 | ||
| | 525 (LV) | | 525 (LV) | ||
| Line 1,195: | Line 1,231: | ||
| |} | |} | ||
| '''With Generic Republican'''<br /> | |||
| {| class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;" | {| class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;" | ||
| |- valign=bottom | |- valign=bottom | ||
| ! Poll source | ! Poll source | ||
| ! Date(s)<br>administered | ! Date(s)<br />administered | ||
| ! Sample<br>size{{efn|name=Key}} | ! Sample<br />size{{efn|name=Key}} | ||
| ! Margin<br>of error | ! Margin<br />of error | ||
| ! style="width:100px;"| Doug<br>Jones (D) | ! style="width:100px;"| Doug<br />Jones (D) | ||
| ! style="width:100px;"| Generic<br>Republican | ! style="width:100px;"| Generic<br />Republican | ||
| ! Undecided | ! Undecided | ||
| |- | |- | ||
| | style="text-align:left;"| |
| style="text-align:left;"|]<ref name="politico.com"/> | ||
| | Apr 9–11, 2019 | | Apr 9–11, 2019 | ||
| | 625 (RV) | | 625 (RV) | ||
| Line 1,215: | Line 1,251: | ||
| |} | |} | ||
| '''With Generic Opponent'''<br /> | |||
| {| class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;" | {| class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;" | ||
| |- valign=bottom | |- valign=bottom | ||
| ! Poll source | ! Poll source | ||
| ! Date(s)<br>administered | ! Date(s)<br />administered | ||
| ! Sample<br>size{{efn|name=Key}} | ! Sample<br />size{{efn|name=Key}} | ||
| ! Margin<br>of error | ! Margin<br />of error | ||
| ! style="width:100px;"| Doug<br>Jones (D) | ! style="width:100px;"| Doug<br />Jones (D) | ||
| ! style="width:100px;"| Generic<br>Opponent | ! style="width:100px;"| Generic<br />Opponent | ||
| ! Undecided | ! Undecided | ||
| |- | |- | ||
| | style="text-align:left;"| |
| style="text-align:left;"|]<ref name="JMC Analytics"/> | ||
| | December 16–18, 2019 | | December 16–18, 2019 | ||
| | 525 (LV) | | 525 (LV) | ||
| Line 1,235: | Line 1,271: | ||
| |} | |} | ||
| '''with Generic Democrat and Generic Republican'''<br /> | |||
| {| class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;" | {| class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;" | ||
| |- valign=bottom | |- valign=bottom | ||
| ! Poll source | ! Poll source | ||
| ! Date(s)<br>administered | ! Date(s)<br />administered | ||
| ! Sample<br>size{{efn|name=Key}} | ! Sample<br />size{{efn|name=Key}} | ||
| ! Margin<br>of error | ! Margin<br />of error | ||
| ! style="width:100px;"| Generic<br>Democrat | ! style="width:100px;"| Generic<br />Democrat | ||
| ! style="width:100px;"| Generic<br>Republican | ! style="width:100px;"| Generic<br />Republican | ||
| ! Undecided | ! Undecided | ||
| |- | |- | ||
| |style="text-align:left;"| | |style="text-align:left;"|]<ref name="Cygnal"/> | ||
| |October 21–23, 2020 | |October 21–23, 2020 | ||
| |645 (LV) | |645 (LV) | ||
| Line 1,254: | Line 1,290: | ||
| |6% | |6% | ||
| |} | |} | ||
| {{ |
{{hidden end}} | ||
| ===Results=== | ===Results=== | ||
| {{Election box begin |
{{Election box begin | ||
| | title = United States Senate election in Alabama, 2020<ref>{{cite web |title=State of Alabama - Canvass of Results - |url=https://www.sos.alabama.gov/sites/default/files/election-2020/Final%20Canvass%20of%20Results-Merged.pdf |website=Alabama Secretary of State |access-date=November 23, 2020}}</ref> | |||
| | title = United States Senate election in Alabama, 2020 | |||
| }} | |||
| {{Election box winning candidate with party link | |||
| | party = Republican Party (United States) | |||
| | candidate = ] | |||
| | votes = 1,392,076 | |||
| | percentage = 60.10% | |||
| | change = +11.76% | |||
| }} | }} | ||
| {{Election box candidate with party link |
{{Election box candidate with party link | ||
| | party = Democratic Party (United States) | | party = Democratic Party (United States) | ||
| | candidate = ] (incumbent) | | candidate = ] (incumbent) | ||
| | votes = | | votes = 920,478 | ||
| | percentage = | | percentage = 39.74% | ||
| | change = -10.23% | |||
| }} | }} | ||
| {{Election box |
{{Election box write-in with party link | ||
| | votes = 3,891 | |||
| | party = Republican Party (United States) | |||
| | percentage = 0.17% | |||
| | candidate = ] | |||
| | |
| change = −1.06% | ||
| | percentage = | |||
| }} | }} | ||
| {{Election box total | {{Election box total | ||
| | votes = | | votes = 2,316,445 | ||
| | percentage = 100.00% | | percentage = 100.00% | ||
| | change = N/A | |||
| }} | }} | ||
| {{Election box gain with party link no swing | |||
| |winner = Republican Party (United States) | |||
| |loser = Democratic Party (United States) | |||
| }} | |||
| ====By county==== | |||
| {{Election box end}} | {{Election box end}} | ||
| {{collapse top|1=<span style="font-size:88%;">By county</span>|left=yes|bg=#B0CEFF;line-height:135%;|border=none}} | |||
| {| class="wikitable sortable" style="text-align:right" | |||
| ! colspan="1" rowspan="2" |County<ref>{{Cite web|last=|first=|date=November 3, 2020|title=State of Alabama Canvass of Results General Election November 3, 2020|url=https://www.sos.alabama.gov/sites/default/files/election-2020/Final%20Canvass%20of%20Results-Merged.pdf|url-status=live|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210107025939/https://www.sos.alabama.gov/sites/default/files/election-2020/Final%20Canvass%20of%20Results-Merged.pdf|archive-date=January 7, 2021|access-date=January 18, 2021|website=]}}</ref> | |||
| ! colspan="2" style="text-align:center;" |]<br />] | |||
| ! colspan="2" style="text-align:center;" |]<br />] | |||
| ! colspan="2" style="text-align:center;" |]<br />Various parties | |||
| ! colspan="2" |Margin | |||
| ! style="text-align:center;" |Total votes | |||
| |- | |||
| ! style="text-align:center;" data-sort-type="number" |Votes | |||
| ! style="text-align:center;" data-sort-type="number" |% | |||
| ! style="text-align:center;" data-sort-type="number" |Votes | |||
| ! style="text-align:center;" data-sort-type="number" |% | |||
| ! style="text-align:center;" data-sort-type="number" |Votes | |||
| ! style="text-align:center;" data-sort-type="number" |% | |||
| !Votes | |||
| !% | |||
| ! style="text-align:center;" data-sort-type="number" |Votes | |||
| |- | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |] | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |'''19,387''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |'''69.97%''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |8,277 | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |29.87% | |||
| |43 | |||
| |0.16% | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |11,110 | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |40.10% | |||
| |27,707 | |||
| |- | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |] | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |'''80,200''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |'''73.34%''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |28,925 | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |26.45% | |||
| |225 | |||
| |0.21% | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |51,275 | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |46.89% | |||
| |109,350 | |||
| |- | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |] | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |'''5,449''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |'''52.00%''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |5,021 | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |47.91% | |||
| |9 | |||
| |0.09% | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |428 | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |4.09% | |||
| |10,479 | |||
| |- | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |] | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |'''7,320''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |'''76.40%''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |2,244 | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |23.42% | |||
| |17 | |||
| |0.18% | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |5,076 | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |52.98% | |||
| |9,581 | |||
| |- | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |] | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |'''24,163''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |'''87.85%''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |3,290 | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |11.96% | |||
| |53 | |||
| |0.19% | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |20,873 | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |75.89% | |||
| |27,506 | |||
| |- | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |] | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |1,108 | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |24.09% | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |'''3,490''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |'''75.87%''' | |||
| |2 | |||
| |0.04% | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} | -2,382 | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} | -51.78% | |||
| |4,600 | |||
| |- | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |] | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |'''5,232''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |'''55.45%''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |4,193 | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |44.44% | |||
| |11 | |||
| |0.12% | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |1,039 | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |11.01% | |||
| |9,436 | |||
| |- | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |] | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |'''33,936''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |'''66.78%''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |16,808 | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |33.07% | |||
| |77 | |||
| |0.15% | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |17,128 | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |33.71% | |||
| |50,821 | |||
| |- | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |] | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |'''8,312''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |'''54.56%''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |6,908 | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |45.35% | |||
| |14 | |||
| |0.09% | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |1,404 | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |9.21% | |||
| |15,234 | |||
| |- | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |] | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |'''10,122''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |'''82.62%''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |2,112 | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |17.24% | |||
| |17 | |||
| |0.14% | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |8,010 | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |65.38% | |||
| |12,251 | |||
| |- | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |] | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |'''15,708''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |'''81.69%''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |3,499 | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |18.20% | |||
| |22 | |||
| |0.11% | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |12,209 | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |63.49% | |||
| |19,229 | |||
| |- | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |] | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |'''4,188''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |'''56.47%''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |3,225 | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |43.49% | |||
| |3 | |||
| |0.04% | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |963 | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |12.98% | |||
| |7,416 | |||
| |- | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |] | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |'''7,061''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |'''53.95%''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |6,017 | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |45.98% | |||
| |9 | |||
| |0.07% | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |1,044 | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |7.97% | |||
| |13,087 | |||
| |- | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |] | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |'''5,454''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |'''79.01%''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |1,441 | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |20.87% | |||
| |8 | |||
| |0.12% | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |4,013 | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |58.14% | |||
| |6,903 | |||
| |- | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |] | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |'''6,321''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |'''88.17%''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |843 | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |11.76% | |||
| |5 | |||
| |0.07% | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |5,478 | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |76.41% | |||
| |7,169 | |||
| |- | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |] | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |'''16,400''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |'''73.95%''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |5,753 | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |25.94% | |||
| |25 | |||
| |0.11% | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |10,647 | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |48.01% | |||
| |22,178 | |||
| |- | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |] | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |'''18,320''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |'''65.94%''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |9,408 | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |33.86% | |||
| |53 | |||
| |0.19% | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |8,912 | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |32.08% | |||
| |27,781 | |||
| |- | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |] | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |'''3,294''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |'''51.50%''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |3,098 | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |43.44% | |||
| |4 | |||
| |0.06% | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |196 | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |8.06% | |||
| |6,396 | |||
| |- | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |] | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |'''3,559''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |'''65.10%''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |1,899 | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |34.74% | |||
| |9 | |||
| |0.16% | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |1,660 | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |30.36% | |||
| |5,467 | |||
| |- | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |] | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |'''14,120''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |'''81.37%''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |3,214 | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |18.52% | |||
| |19 | |||
| |0.11% | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |10,906 | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |62.85% | |||
| |17,353 | |||
| |- | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |] | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |'''4,671''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |'''70.89%''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |1,910 | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |28.99% | |||
| |8 | |||
| |0.12% | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |2,761 | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |41.90% | |||
| |6,589 | |||
| |- | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |] | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |'''35,949''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |'''86.14%''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |5,693 | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |13.64% | |||
| |93 | |||
| |0.22% | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |30,256 | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |72.50% | |||
| |41,735 | |||
| |- | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |] | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |'''13,653''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |'''69.51%''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |5,955 | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |30.32% | |||
| |33 | |||
| |0.17% | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |7,698 | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |39.19% | |||
| |19,641 | |||
| |- | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |] | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |5,298 | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |29.74% | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |'''12,503''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |'''70.18%''' | |||
| |15 | |||
| |0.08% | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} | -7,205 | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} | -40.44% | |||
| |17,816 | |||
| |- | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |] | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |'''23,940''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |'''81.86%''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |5,253 | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |17.96% | |||
| |53 | |||
| |0.18% | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |18,687 | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |63.90% | |||
| |29,246 | |||
| |- | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |] | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |'''29,459''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |'''72.00%''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |11,399 | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |27.86% | |||
| |60 | |||
| |0.15% | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |18,060 | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |44.14% | |||
| |40,918 | |||
| |- | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |] | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |'''10,417''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |'''65.80%''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |5,400 | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |34.11% | |||
| |14 | |||
| |0.09% | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |5,017 | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |31.69% | |||
| |15,831 | |||
| |- | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |] | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |'''34,351''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |'''72.18%''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |13,145 | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |27.62% | |||
| |93 | |||
| |0.20% | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |21,206 | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |44.56% | |||
| |47,589 | |||
| |- | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |] | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |'''7,088''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |'''81.00%''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |1,651 | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |18.87% | |||
| |12 | |||
| |0.14% | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |5,437 | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |62.13% | |||
| |8,751 | |||
| |- | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |] | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |'''9,856''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |'''78.97%''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |2,605 | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |20.87% | |||
| |20 | |||
| |0.16% | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |7,251 | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |58.10% | |||
| |12,481 | |||
| |- | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |] | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |'''10,382''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |'''82.91%''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |2,122 | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |16.95% | |||
| |18 | |||
| |0.14% | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |8,260 | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |65.96% | |||
| |12,522 | |||
| |- | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |] | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |816 | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |17.07% | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |'''3,962''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |'''82.90%''' | |||
| |1 | |||
| |0.02% | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} | -3,146 | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} | -65.83% | |||
| |4,779 | |||
| |- | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |] | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |3,090 | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |39.21% | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |'''4,786''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |'''60.74%''' | |||
| |4 | |||
| |0.05% | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} | -1,696 | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} | -21.53% | |||
| |7,880 | |||
| |- | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |] | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |'''6,399''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |'''68.95%''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |2,872 | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |30.95% | |||
| |9 | |||
| |0.10% | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |3,527 | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |38.00% | |||
| |9,280 | |||
| |- | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |] | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |'''31,462''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |'''68.35%''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |14,494 | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |31.49% | |||
| |77 | |||
| |0.17% | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |16,968 | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |36.86% | |||
| |46,033 | |||
| |- | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |] | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |'''18,888''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |'''80.36%''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |4,587 | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |19.52% | |||
| |29 | |||
| |0.12% | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |14,301 | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |60.84% | |||
| |23,504 | |||
| |- | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |] | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |134,314 | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |41.26% | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |'''190,644''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |'''58.57%''' | |||
| |552 | |||
| |0.17% | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} | -56,330 | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} | -17.31% | |||
| |325,510 | |||
| |- | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |] | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |'''6,088''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |'''85.00%''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |1,071 | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |14.95% | |||
| |3 | |||
| |0.04% | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |5,017 | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |70.05% | |||
| |7,162 | |||
| |- | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |] | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |'''30,071''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |'''68.29%''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |13,874 | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |31.51% | |||
| |88 | |||
| |0.20% | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |16,197 | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |36.78% | |||
| |44,033 | |||
| |- | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |] | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |'''11,710''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |'''73.40%''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |4,211 | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |26.39% | |||
| |33 | |||
| |0.21% | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |7,499 | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |47.01% | |||
| |15,954 | |||
| |- | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |] | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |'''41,154''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |'''57.76%''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |29,986 | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |42.08% | |||
| |114 | |||
| |0.16% | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |11,168 | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |15.68% | |||
| |71,254 | |||
| |- | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |] | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |'''33,364''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |'''68.04%''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |15,584 | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |31.78% | |||
| |90 | |||
| |0.18% | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |17,780 | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |36.26% | |||
| |49,038 | |||
| |- | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |] | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |1,766 | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |25.90% | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |'''5,051''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |'''74.07%''' | |||
| |2 | |||
| |0.03% | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} | -3,285 | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} | -48.17% | |||
| |6,819 | |||
| |- | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |] | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |1,481 | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |16.99% | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |'''7,224''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |'''82.87%''' | |||
| |12 | |||
| |0.14% | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} | -5,743 | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} | -65.88% | |||
| |8,717 | |||
| |- | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |] | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |'''99,181''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |'''51.10%''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |94,458 | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |48.67% | |||
| |443 | |||
| |0.23% | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |4,723 | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |2.43% | |||
| |194,082 | |||
| |- | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |] | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |5,166 | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |47.56% | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |'''5,687''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |'''52.36%''' | |||
| |9 | |||
| |0.08% | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} | -521 | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} | -4.80% | |||
| |10,862 | |||
| |- | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |] | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |'''11,897''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |'''86.46%''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |1,847 | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |13.42% | |||
| |16 | |||
| |0.12% | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |10,050 | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |73.04% | |||
| |13,760 | |||
| |- | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |] | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |'''32,086''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |'''81.22%''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |7,336 | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |18.57% | |||
| |83 | |||
| |0.21% | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |24,750 | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |62.65% | |||
| |39,505 | |||
| |- | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |] | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |'''96,320''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |'''52.73%''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |86,034 | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |47.10% | |||
| |315 | |||
| |0.17% | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |10,286 | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |5.63% | |||
| |182,669 | |||
| |- | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |] | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |'''5,906''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |'''55.50%''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |4,719 | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |44.35% | |||
| |16 | |||
| |0.15% | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |1,187 | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |11.15% | |||
| |10,641 | |||
| |- | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |] | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |32,221 | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |32.57% | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |'''66,592''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |'''67.31%''' | |||
| |125 | |||
| |0.13% | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} | -34,371 | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} | -34.74% | |||
| |98,938 | |||
| |- | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |] | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |'''38,280''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |'''71.55%''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |15,108 | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |28.24% | |||
| |111 | |||
| |0.21% | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |23,172 | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |43.31% | |||
| |53,499 | |||
| |- | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |] | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |1,274 | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |24.42% | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |'''3,943''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |'''75.58%''' | |||
| |0 | |||
| |0.00% | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} | -2,669 | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} | -51.16% | |||
| |5,217 | |||
| |- | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |] | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |'''5,439''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |'''56.40%''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |4,193 | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |43.48% | |||
| |11 | |||
| |0.11% | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |1,246 | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |12.92% | |||
| |9,643 | |||
| |- | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |] | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |'''7,777''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |'''56.31%''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |6,020 | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |43.59% | |||
| |14 | |||
| |0.10% | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |1,757 | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |12.72% | |||
| |13,811 | |||
| |- | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |] | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |'''8,400''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |'''77.98%''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |2,362 | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |21.93% | |||
| |10 | |||
| |0.09% | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |6,038 | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |56.05% | |||
| |10,772 | |||
| |- | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |] | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |9,383 | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |44.14% | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |'''11,853''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |'''55.77%''' | |||
| |19 | |||
| |0.09% | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} | -2,470 | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} | -11.63% | |||
| |21,255 | |||
| |- | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |] | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |'''77,836''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |'''67.87%''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |36,606 | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |31.92% | |||
| |236 | |||
| |0.21% | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |41,230 | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |35.95% | |||
| |114,678 | |||
| |- | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |] | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |'''35,426''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |'''79.89%''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |8,844 | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |19.94% | |||
| |76 | |||
| |0.17% | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |26,582 | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |59.95% | |||
| |44,346 | |||
| |- | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |] | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |1,550 | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |24.77% | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |'''4,705''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |'''75.18%''' | |||
| |3 | |||
| |0.05% | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} | -3,155 | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} | -50.41% | |||
| |6,258 | |||
| |- | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |] | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |'''21,726''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |'''60.99%''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |13,855 | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |38.89% | |||
| |44 | |||
| |0.12% | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |7,871 | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |22.10% | |||
| |35,625 | |||
| |- | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |] | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |'''14,668''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |'''70.04%''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |6,255 | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |29.87% | |||
| |20 | |||
| |0.10% | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |8,413 | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |40.17% | |||
| |20,943 | |||
| |- | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |] | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |'''49,347''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |'''54.87%''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |40,404 | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |44.92% | |||
| |190 | |||
| |0.21% | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |8,943 | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |9.95% | |||
| |89,941 | |||
| |- | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |] | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |'''25,016''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |'''80.54%''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |5,978 | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |19.25% | |||
| |65 | |||
| |0.21% | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |19,038 | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |61.29% | |||
| |31,059 | |||
| |- | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |] | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |'''6,162''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |'''69.98%''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |2,635 | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |29.92% | |||
| |9 | |||
| |0.10% | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |3,527 | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |40.06% | |||
| |8,806 | |||
| |- | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |] | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |1,779 | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |30.26% | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |'''4,095''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |'''69.65%''' | |||
| |5 | |||
| |0.09% | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} | -2,316 | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} | -39.39% | |||
| |5,879 | |||
| |- | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |] | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |'''9,915''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |'''88.29%''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |1,302 | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}} |11.59% | |||
| |13 | |||
| |0.12% | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |8,613 | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} |76.70% | |||
| |11,230 | |||
| |- | |||
| ! colspan="1" |Total | |||
| !1,392,076 | |||
| !60.10% | |||
| !920,478 | |||
| !39.74% | |||
| !3,891 | |||
| !0.17% | |||
| !471,598 | |||
| !20.36% | |||
| !2,316,445 | |||
| |} | |||
| '''Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican''' | |||
| * ] (largest city: ]) | |||
| * ] (largest city: ]) | |||
| * ] (largest city: ]) | |||
| * ] (largest town: ]) | |||
| * ] (largest city: ]) | |||
| * ] (largest city: ]) | |||
| * ] (largest city: ]) | |||
| * ] (largest city: ]) | |||
| * ] (largest city: ]) | |||
| * ] (largest city: ]) | |||
| * ] (largest city: ]) | |||
| * ] (largest city: ]) | |||
| {{collapse bottom}} | |||
| ====By congressional district==== | |||
| Tuberville won 6 of 7 congressional districts.<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://davesredistricting.org/maps#viewmap::f025ff76-e268-4033-971d-d7d755ea01bb|title=DRA 2020|website=Daves Redistricting|accessdate=August 18, 2024}}</ref> | |||
| {|class=wikitable | |||
| ! District | |||
| ! Jones | |||
| ! Tuberville | |||
| ! Elected<br />representative | |||
| |- align=center | |||
| ! {{party shading/Republican}}|{{ushr|Alabama|1|1st}} | |||
| | 39% | |||
| | '''61%''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}}|] | |||
| |- align=center | |||
| ! {{party shading/Republican}}|{{ushr|Alabama|2|2nd}} | |||
| | 38% | |||
| | '''62%''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}}|] | |||
| |- align=center | |||
| ! {{party shading/Republican}}|{{ushr|Alabama|3|3rd}} | |||
| | 36% | |||
| | '''64%''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}}|] | |||
| |- align=center | |||
| ! {{party shading/Republican}}|{{ushr|Alabama|4|4th}} | |||
| | 21% | |||
| | '''79%''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}}|] | |||
| |- align=center | |||
| ! {{party shading/Republican}}|{{ushr|Alabama|5|5th}} | |||
| | 39% | |||
| | '''60%''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}}|] | |||
| |- align=center | |||
| ! {{party shading/Republican}}|{{ushr|Alabama|6|6th}} | |||
| | 35% | |||
| | '''65%''' | |||
| | {{party shading/Republican}}|] | |||
| |- align=center | |||
| ! {{party shading/Democratic}}|{{ushr|Alabama|7|7th}} | |||
| | '''73%''' | |||
| | 27% | |||
| | {{party shading/Democratic}}|] | |||
| |- align=center | |||
| |} | |||
| ==Analysis== | |||
| The result was a landslide victory for Tuberville. Tuberville's 20-point margin of victory is largely attributed to the presence of ] on the ballot, and Jones' votes against ], ], as well as his vote to convict Donald Trump in his ]. Jones was widely considered the most vulnerable senator in 2020, and his victory in ] was ] While Jones was able to receive more raw votes than he did in 2017, Tuberville received nearly double the number of votes Roy Moore did in 2017, largely due to the high Republican turnout. Jones did perform well in ] and ], but still vastly underperformed his margins in 2017, while Tuberville easily won the rural areas, and successfully flipped many counties that went to Jones by significant margins. | |||
| In the 2017 election, Jones won several traditionally Republican counties while also driving up margins and turnout in traditionally Democratic counties: he added onto massive margins in ] and ] with narrow wins in the state's other, previously more conservative metropolitan areas, such as ], ], ] and ]-], alongside several other small counties encircling the ].<ref>{{Cite news|last1=Bloch|first1=Matthew|last2=Cohn|first2=Nate|last3=Katz|first3=Josh|last4=Lee|first4=Jasmine|date=December 12, 2017|title=Alabama Election Results: Doug Jones Defeats Roy Moore in U.S. Senate Race|language=en-US|work=]|url=https://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/alabama-senate-special-election-roy-moore-doug-jones|access-date=January 19, 2021|issn=0362-4331}}</ref> Jones' win, though attributable to a spike in Democratic turnout and a decline in Republican turnout, was primarily reliant on sexual misconduct ], resulting in several prominent Republicans rescinding their endorsements.<ref>{{Cite magazine|last=Ball|first=Molly|date=December 13, 2017|title=How Doug Jones Beat Roy Moore and Shocked the World|url=https://time.com/5062625/doug-jones-alabama-senate-results-upset/|url-status=live|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20171214091830/http://time.com/5062625/doug-jones-alabama-senate-results-upset/ |archive-date=December 14, 2017 |access-date=January 19, 2021|magazine=]}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web|last=|first=|date=November 14, 2017|title=Roy Moore losing GOP endorsements after new accusations|url=https://www.wthr.com/article/news/politics/roy-moore-losing-gop-endorsements-after-new-accusations/531-8d9677eb-cdc3-4045-9198-e98acf84c0e5|url-status=live|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20211125123831/https://www.wthr.com/article/news/politics/roy-moore-losing-gop-endorsements-after-new-accusations/531-8d9677eb-cdc3-4045-9198-e98acf84c0e5 |archive-date=November 25, 2021 |access-date=January 19, 2021|website=]|language=en-US}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web|date=November 13, 2017|agency=]|title=McConnell: Moore must quit. Senate GOP campaign chief: Expel him.|url=https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/congress/mcconnell-says-he-believes-roy-moore-accusers-calls-him-quit-n820266|url-status=live|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20171113181814/https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/congress/mcconnell-says-he-believes-roy-moore-accusers-calls-him-quit-n820266 |archive-date=November 13, 2017 |access-date=January 19, 2021|website=]|language=en}}</ref> With Tuberville lacking such controversies, the state swung hard into the Republican column in 2020,<ref>{{Cite web|last=Foran|first=Clare|date=November 3, 2020|title=Democrat Doug Jones loses Alabama Senate seat to Republican Tommy Tuberville|url=https://www.cnn.com/2020/11/03/politics/tommy-tuberville-wins-alabama-senate/index.html|url-status=live|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20201104033754/https://www.cnn.com/2020/11/03/politics/tommy-tuberville-wins-alabama-senate/index.html |archive-date=November 4, 2020 |access-date=January 19, 2021|website=]}}</ref> and he flipped 12 counties Jones won in 2017. Jones only won the 13 counties won by ] in the concurrent ], and his victories in ] (Birmingham) and ] (Montgomery) were insufficient to overcome Tuberville's performance in the rest of the state. | |||
| ==Notes== | ==Notes== | ||
| '''Partisan clients and other notes'''<br /> | |||
| {{notelist-ua}} | {{notelist-ua}} | ||
| '''Voter samples'''<br /> | |||
| {{notelist}} | {{notelist}} | ||
| Line 1,293: | Line 2,175: | ||
| * {{cite web |author= ] of the American Library Association |work=Voting & Elections Toolkits |url=https://godort.libguides.com/votingtoolkit/alabama |title=Alabama}} | * {{cite web |author= ] of the American Library Association |work=Voting & Elections Toolkits |url=https://godort.libguides.com/votingtoolkit/alabama |title=Alabama}} | ||
| * {{cite web |work=] |location=Oakland, CA |url=https://www.vote.org/state/alabama/ |title= Alabama: Election Tools, Deadlines, Dates, Rules, and Links}} | * {{cite web |work=] |location=Oakland, CA |url=https://www.vote.org/state/alabama/ |title= Alabama: Election Tools, Deadlines, Dates, Rules, and Links}} | ||
| * {{cite web |title= League of Women Voters of Alabama |url=https://www.lwv.org/local-leagues/find-local-league}} ( |
* {{cite web |title= League of Women Voters of Alabama |url=https://www.lwv.org/local-leagues/find-local-league}} (state affiliate of the U.S. ]) | ||
| * {{Ballotpedia|Alabama|Alabama}} | * {{Ballotpedia|Alabama|Alabama}} | ||
| '''Official campaign websites''' | |||
| * | * | ||
| * | * | ||
| Line 1,302: | Line 2,184: | ||
| {{2020 United States elections}} | {{2020 United States elections}} | ||
| <!-- Per ], please DO NOT ADD template "State of XXXXX" here --> | <!-- Per ], please DO NOT ADD template "State of XXXXX" here --> | ||
| ] | ] | ||
| ] | ] | ||
| ] | ] | ||
| ] | |||
Latest revision as of 16:22, 21 November 2024
For related races, see 2020 United States Senate elections.
 | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
| Turnout | 63.1%  | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| |||||||||||||||||
 County results Congressional district results State Senate district results Precinct ResultsTuberville: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80-90% >90%Jones: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 50% No data | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
_2.jpg)
The 2020 United States Senate election in Alabama was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Alabama, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections.
Incumbent senator Doug Jones, first elected in a 2017 special election in what was widely labeled a major upset, ran for a full term, facing Tommy Tuberville in the general election. This race was one of two Democratic-held U.S. Senate seats up for election in 2020 in a state President Trump won in 2016. Jones was widely considered the most vulnerable senator among those seeking re-election in 2020 due to Alabama's heavy Republican lean, with analysts predicting a Republican pickup; Jones's 2017 win was in part due to sexual misconduct allegations against his Republican opponent Roy Moore.
As was predicted, Tuberville easily defeated Jones, whose 20.36% margin of defeat was the largest for an incumbent U.S. Senator since Arkansas' Blanche Lincoln in 2010. Tuberville received the highest percentage of the vote for any challenger since Joseph D. Tydings in 1964. Jones became the first Democratic senator to lose reelection in Alabama, and the only Democratic senator to be defeated in 2020. He outperformed Biden in the state by about 5 points. This was the only Republican flip of the 2020 U.S. Senate elections.
Democratic primary
The candidate filing deadline was November 8, 2019. Jones ran unopposed.
Candidates
Nominee
- Doug Jones, incumbent U.S. senator
Declined
- John Rogers, state representative
- Randall Woodfin, mayor of Birmingham (endorsed Jones)
Endorsements
Doug JonesU.S. senators
- Kamala Harris, U.S. senator (CA) (2017–2021), candidate for President of the United States in 2020, Democratic nominee for Vice President of the United States in 2020
- Amy Klobuchar, U.S. senator (MN) and candidate for President of the United States in 2020
- Joe Manchin, U.S. senator (WV)
U.S. representatives
- Terri Sewell (AL-7)
Local officials
- Stacey Abrams, Democratic nominee for Governor of Georgia in 2018, former Minority Leader of the Georgia House of Representatives
- Randall Woodfin, Mayor of Birmingham
Individuals
- Michael O'Neill, actor
Organizations
- End Citizens United
- Human Rights Campaign
- League of Conservation Voters
- National Organization for Women
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Tommy Tuberville, former Auburn Tigers football head coach
Eliminated in runoff
- Jeff Sessions, former United States attorney general, former holder of this seat, and former attorney general of Alabama
Eliminated in primary
- Stanley Adair, businessman
- Bradley Byrne, incumbent U.S. representative for Alabama's 1st congressional district
- Arnold Mooney, state representative
- Roy Moore, former chief justice of the Alabama Supreme Court, former candidate for Governor of Alabama in 2006 and 2010 and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2017
- Ruth Page Nelson, community activist
Withdrew
- Marty Preston Hatley
- John Merrill, Secretary of State of Alabama
- John Paul Serbin
Declined
- Robert Aderholt, incumbent U.S. representative for Alabama's 4th congressional district
- Will Ainsworth, Alabama lieutenant governor
- Mo Brooks, incumbent U.S. representative for Alabama's 5th congressional district and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2017
- Will Dismukes, state representative
- Matt Gaetz, incumbent U.S. representative for Florida's 1st congressional district
- Del Marsh, president pro tempore of the Alabama Senate
- Arthur Orr, state senator (endorsed Byrne)
- Martha Roby, incumbent U.S. representative for Alabama's 2nd congressional district
- Heather Whitestone, former Miss America
Endorsements
Bradley Byrne (eliminated)Federal officials
- Liz Cheney, U.S. representative (WY-AL)
State officials
- Tom Butler, state senator and former state representative (1982–1994)
- Arthur Orr, state senator
Federal officials
- Mo Brooks, U.S. representative (AL-05) and Republican candidate in the 2017 United States Senate special election in Alabama
- Mike Lee, U.S. senator (UT)
- Mark Levin, former Chief of Staff to U.S. Attorney General Edwin Meese and U.S. Deputy Assistant Secretary of Education
- Rand Paul, U.S. senator (KY)
Organizations
Individuals
- Erick Erickson, blogger
Federal officials
- John Ashcroft, former U.S. Attorney General (2001-2005)
- John Barrasso, U.S. senator (WY)
- Roy Blunt, U.S. senator (MO) and former U.S. representative (MO-07) (1997–2011)
- John Boozman, U.S. senator (AR) and former U.S. Representative (AR-03) (2001–2011)
- Mike Crapo, U.S. senator (ID) and former U.S. representative (ID-02) (1993–1999)
- Mike Enzi, U.S. senator (WY)
- Deb Fischer, U.S. senator (NE)
- Jim Inhofe, U.S. senator (OK) and former U.S. representative (R-OK-01) (1987–1994)
- Johnny Isakson, former U.S. senator (GA) (2005–2019) and U.S. Representative (R-GA-06) (1999–2005)
- Ron Johnson, U.S. senator (WI)
- Pat Roberts, U.S. senator (KS) and former U.S. Representative (KS-01) (1981–1997)
- Richard Shelby, U.S. senator (AL) and former U.S. Representative (AL-07) (1979–1987)
Organizations
Individuals
- Tucker Carlson, journalist and political commentator
Federal officials
- Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States (2017–2021)
State officials
- Will Ainsworth, lieutenant governor
- Tom Whatley, state senator
Organizations
Individuals
- Randy Owen, country music artist, lead singer of Alabama
- Bruce Pearl, head coach of the Auburn Tigers men's basketball team
- Sean Spicer, former White House Press Secretary (2017)
First round
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Stanley Adair |
Mo Brooks |
Bradley Byrne |
Del Marsh |
John Merrill |
Arnold Mooney |
Roy Moore |
Ruth Page Nelson |
Gary Palmer |
Jeff Sessions |
Tommy Tuberville |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WPA Intelligence | February 18–19, 2020 | 607 (LV) | ± 4% | <1% | – | 17% | – | – | <1% | 5% | – | – | 29% | 32% | <1% | 15% |
| WPA Intelligence | February 10–12, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | <1% | – | 17% | – | – | 1% | 6% | <1% | – | 34% | 29% | – | 15% |
| Harper Polling | February 8–9, 2020 | 609 (LV) | ± 3.97% | – | – | 26% | – | – | – | 5% | – | – | 31% | 24% | – | 14% |
| Mason-Dixon | February 4–6, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 5.0% | – | – | 17% | – | – | – | 5% | – | – | 31% | 29% | 2% | 16% |
| OnMessage | January 13–15, 2020 | 700 (LV) | ± 2.5% | – | – | 22% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 43% | 21% | – | – |
| OnMessage | December 3–5, 2019 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | – | – | 14% | – | – | 1% | 7% | 1% | – | 44% | 21% | – | 12% |
| Cherry Communications | December 1–3, 2019 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 1% | – | 12% | – | – | 1% | 8% | – | – | 35% | 31% | – | – |
| December 1, 2019 | Merrill withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||||
| November 8, 2019 | Filing deadline, by which Palmer had not declared his candidacy | |||||||||||||||
| November 7, 2019 | Nelson and Sessions announce their candidacies | |||||||||||||||
| WPA Intelligence | October 29–31, 2019 | 511 (V) | ± 4.4% | – | – | 11% | – | 6% | 2% | 11% | – | – | 36% | 23% | – | – |
| Cygnal | October 10–12, 2019 | 536 (LV) | – | 1% | – | 18% | – | 9% | 2% | 11% | – | – | – | 32% | – | 28% |
| Tommy for Senate | Released on October 5, 2019 |
– (LV) | – | 1% | – | 13% | – | 9% | 1% | 15% | – | – | – | 36% | – | 26% |
| Moore Information | August 11–13, 2019 | 400 (LV) | ± 5.0% | – | – | 17% | – | 13% | 1% | 15% | – | – | – | 33% | 3% | 17% |
| June 25, 2019 | Merrill announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||||
| Cygnal | June 22–23, 2019 | 612 (LV) | 4.0% | – | – | 21% | – | 12% | 2% | 13% | – | – | – | 29% | – | 22% |
| – | – | 13% | – | 8% | – | 9% | – | – | 29% | 21% | – | – | ||||
| June 20, 2019 | Moore announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||||
| Moore Information | June 10–11, 2019 | 650 (LV) | ± 4.0% | – | – | 16% | – | 7% | 2% | 18% | – | – | – | 23% | 6% | 28% |
| May 3, 2019 | Brooks announces he will not run | |||||||||||||||
| April 22, 2019 | Marsh announces he will not run | |||||||||||||||
| Mason-Dixon | April 9–11, 2019 | 400 (RV) | ± 5.0% | – | 18% | 13% | 4% | – | – | 27% | – | 11% | – | – | 2% | 25% |
| Victory Phones | Released in February 2019 |
400 (LV) | ± 5.0% | – | 30% | 17% | 7% | – | – | – | – | 12% | – | – | 6% | 27% |
Primary results
- 30–40%
- 40–50%
- 50–60%
- 30–40%
- 40–50%
- 30–40%
- 40–50%
- 50–60%
- 60–70%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Tommy Tuberville | 239,616 | 33.39% | |
| Republican | Jeff Sessions | 227,088 | 31.64% | |
| Republican | Bradley Byrne | 178,627 | 24.89% | |
| Republican | Roy Moore | 51,377 | 7.16% | |
| Republican | Ruth Page Nelson | 7,200 | 1.00% | |
| Republican | Arnold Mooney | 7,149 | 1.00% | |
| Republican | Stanley Adair | 6,608 | 0.92% | |
| Total votes | 717,665 | 100.00% | ||
Runoff
The runoff for the Republican Senate nomination was planned for March 31, 2020, but it was delayed until July 14 as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic.
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Jeff Sessions |
Tommy Tuberville |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Auburn University at Montgomery | July 2–9, 2020 | 558 (RV) | ± 6% | 31% | 47% | 22% |
| OnMessage (R) | May 26–27, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 3.46% | 43% | 49% | 8% |
| FM3 Research (D) | May 14–18, 2020 | – (LV) | – | 32% | 54% | 14% |
| Cygnal | May 7–10, 2020 | 607 (LV) | ± 3.98% | 32% | 55% | 13% |
| FM3 Research (D) | March, 2020 | – (LV) | – | 36% | 54% | 10% |
| OnMessage (R) | March 8–9, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.46% | 45% | 45% | 10% |
| Cygnal | March 6–8, 2020 | 645 (LV) | + 3.86% | 40% | 52% | 8% |
| Moore Information Group | March 5–7, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 5% | 38% | 49% | 13% |
| WT&S Consulting | March 5, 2020 | 1,234 (LV) | + 3.29% | 42% | 49% | 8% |
| Mason-Dixon | February 4–6, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 49% | 42% | 9% |
| Hypothetical polling | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
with Bradley Byrne and Gary Palmer
with Bradley Byrne and Jeff Sessions
with Mo Brooks and Bradley Byrne
with Mo Brooks and Roy Moore
|
Results
- 50–60%
- 60–70%
- 70–80%
- 50–60%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Tommy Tuberville | 334,675 | 60.73% | |
| Republican | Jeff Sessions | 216,452 | 39.27% | |
| Total votes | 551,127 | 100.00% | ||
Independents
Candidates
Withdrawn
- Mike Parrish
- Jarmal Sanders, reverend
- Marcus Jejaun Williams
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Lean R (flip) | October 29, 2020 |
| Inside Elections | Lean R (flip) | October 28, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | Likely R (flip) | November 2, 2020 |
| Daily Kos | Likely R (flip) | October 30, 2020 |
| Politico | Lean R (flip) | November 2, 2020 |
| RCP | Likely R (flip) | October 23, 2020 |
| DDHQ | Safe R (flip) | November 3, 2020 |
| 538 | Likely R (flip) | November 2, 2020 |
| Economist | Safe R (flip) | November 2, 2020 |
Endorsements
Doug Jones (D)U.S. Senators
- Kamala Harris, U.S. senator (CA) and 2020 vice presidential nominee
- Amy Klobuchar, U.S. senator (MN) and former 2020 presidential candidate
- Joe Manchin, U.S. senator (WV)
U.S. Representatives
- Terri Sewell (AL-07)
Local officials
- Stacey Abrams, 2018 Democratic nominee for Governor of Georgia, former Minority Leader of the Georgia House of Representatives
- Randall Woodfin, Mayor of Birmingham
Individuals
- Charles C. Krulak, retired Marine Corps general and former Joint Chiefs of Staff member (Republican)
- Michael O'Neill, actor
Organizations
- End Citizens United
- Feminist Majority PAC
- Human Rights Campaign
- Joint Action Committee for Political Affairs
- League of Conservation Voters
- National Committee to Preserve Social Security and Medicare
- National Organization for Women
- Natural Resources Defense Council Action Fund
Unions
- Alabama AFL-CIO
- International Federation of Professional and Technical Engineers
- United Auto Workers
Federal officials
- Donald Trump, 45th and incumbent president of the United States
Senators
- Ted Cruz, U.S. senator from Texas
State officials
- Will Ainsworth, lieutenant governor
- Tom Whatley, state senator
Organizations
Individuals
- Randy Owen, country music artist, lead singer of Alabama
- Bruce Pearl, head coach of the Auburn Tigers men's basketball team
- Sean Spicer, former White House press secretary (2017)
Polling
 | Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. Updates on reimplementing the Graph extension, which will be known as the Chart extension, can be found on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Doug Jones (D) |
Tommy Tuberville (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swayable | October 27 – November 1, 2020 | 294 (LV) | ± 8.5% | 42% | 58% | – | – |
| Data for Progress | October 27 – November 1, 2020 | 1,045 (LV) | ± 3% | 44% | 56% | 0% | – |
| Morning Consult | October 22–31, 2020 | 850 (LV) | ± 3% | 39% | 51% | – | – |
| Auburn University At Montgomery | October 23–28, 2020 | 853 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 43% | 54% | 3% | – |
| Swayable | October 23–26, 2020 | 232 (LV) | ± 8.7% | 46% | 54% | – | – |
| Cygnal | October 21–23, 2020 | 645 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 41% | 55% | – | 4% |
| Moore Information (R) | October 11–14, 2020 | 504 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 40% | 55% | – | – |
| FM3 Research (D) | October 11–14, 2020 | 801 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 47% | – | 5% |
| Auburn University at Montgomery | September 30 – October 3, 2020 | 1,072 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 54% | 4% | – |
| Morning Consult | September 11–20, 2020 | 658 (LV) | ± (2% – 7%) | 34% | 52% | – | – |
| Morning Consult | July 24 – August 2, 2020 | 609 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 35% | 52% | 4% | 9% |
| Auburn University at Montgomery | July 2–9, 2020 | 567 (RV) | ± 5.1% | 36% | 44% | 7% | 14% |
| WPA Intelligence (R) | June 29 – July 2, 2020 | 509 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 40% | 50% | – | – |
| ALG Research (D) | June 18–22, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 47% | 1% | 8% |
| Cygnal (R) | June 13–16, 2020 | 530 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 36% | 50% | 2% | 13% |
| FM3 Research (D) | May 14–18, 2020 | 601 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 47% | – | 9% |
| Mason-Dixon | February 4–6, 2020 | 625 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 50% | – | 8% |
| JMC Analytics | December 16–18, 2019 | 525 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 40% | 47% | – | 13% |
With Jeff Sessions
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Doug Jones (D) |
Jeff Sessions (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Auburn University at Montgomery | July 2–9, 2020 | 567 (RV) | ± 5.1% | 43% | 49% | 7% | 1% |
| ALG Research (D) | June 18–22, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 45% | 3% | 9% |
| Cygnal (R) | June 13–16, 2020 | 530 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 35% | 45% | 3% | 18% |
| Mason-Dixon | February 4–6, 2020 | 625 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 54% | – | 5% |
| JMC Analytics | December 16–18, 2019 | 525 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 41% | 46% | – | 13% |
With Bradley Byrne
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Doug Jones (D) |
Bradley Byrne (R) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AL Daily News/Mason-Dixon | February 4–6, 2020 | 625 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 51% | 7% |
| JMC Analytics | December 16–18, 2019 | 525 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 40% | 44% | 16% |
With Arnold Mooney
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Doug Jones (D) |
Arnold Mooney (R) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JMC Analytics | December 16–18, 2019 | 525 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 40% | 34% | 25% |
With Roy Moore
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Doug Jones (D) |
Roy Moore (R) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JMC Analytics | December 16–18, 2019 | 525 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 47% | 33% | 20% |
With Generic Republican
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Doug Jones (D) |
Generic Republican |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason-Dixon | Apr 9–11, 2019 | 625 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 40% | 50% | 10% |
With Generic Opponent
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Doug Jones (D) |
Generic Opponent |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JMC Analytics | December 16–18, 2019 | 525 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 34% | 48% | 18% |
with Generic Democrat and Generic Republican
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Generic Democrat |
Generic Republican |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cygnal | October 21–23, 2020 | 645 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 38% | 55% | 6% |
Results
By county
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Tommy Tuberville | 1,392,076 | 60.10% | +11.76% | |
| Democratic | Doug Jones (incumbent) | 920,478 | 39.74% | −10.23% | |
| Write-in | 3,891 | 0.17% | −1.06% | ||
| Total votes | 2,316,445 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
| Republican gain from Democratic | |||||
| By county | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
By congressional district
Tuberville won 6 of 7 congressional districts.
| District | Jones | Tuberville | Elected representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 39% | 61% | Jerry Carl |
| 2nd | 38% | 62% | Barry Moore |
| 3rd | 36% | 64% | Mike Rogers |
| 4th | 21% | 79% | Robert Aderholt |
| 5th | 39% | 60% | Mo Brooks |
| 6th | 35% | 65% | Gary Palmer |
| 7th | 73% | 27% | Terri Sewell |
Analysis
The result was a landslide victory for Tuberville. Tuberville's 20-point margin of victory is largely attributed to the presence of Donald Trump on the ballot, and Jones' votes against Brett Kavanaugh, Amy Coney Barrett, as well as his vote to convict Donald Trump in his first impeachment trial. Jones was widely considered the most vulnerable senator in 2020, and his victory in 2017 was largely attributed to allegations of child molestation against his opponent. While Jones was able to receive more raw votes than he did in 2017, Tuberville received nearly double the number of votes Roy Moore did in 2017, largely due to the high Republican turnout. Jones did perform well in Jefferson County and Montgomery County, but still vastly underperformed his margins in 2017, while Tuberville easily won the rural areas, and successfully flipped many counties that went to Jones by significant margins.
In the 2017 election, Jones won several traditionally Republican counties while also driving up margins and turnout in traditionally Democratic counties: he added onto massive margins in Birmingham and Montgomery with narrow wins in the state's other, previously more conservative metropolitan areas, such as Huntsville, Mobile, Tuscaloosa and Auburn-Opelika, alongside several other small counties encircling the Black Belt. Jones' win, though attributable to a spike in Democratic turnout and a decline in Republican turnout, was primarily reliant on sexual misconduct allegations against Moore, resulting in several prominent Republicans rescinding their endorsements. With Tuberville lacking such controversies, the state swung hard into the Republican column in 2020, and he flipped 12 counties Jones won in 2017. Jones only won the 13 counties won by Joe Biden in the concurrent 2020 presidential election, and his victories in Jefferson County (Birmingham) and Montgomery County (Montgomery) were insufficient to overcome Tuberville's performance in the rest of the state.
Notes
Partisan clients and other notes
- ^ The Club for Growth is a PAC supporting the Donald Trump 2020 presidential campaign and has also endorsed Tuberville
- Poll sponsored by the Bradley Byrne campaign
- ^ Poll sponsored by the Jeff Sessions campaign
- Poll sponsored by FarmPAC
- Internal poll from Tuberville's campaign
- ^ Poll sponsored by the Tommy Tuberville campaign.
- Poll produced, according to Mo Brooks, by a group attempting to persuade him to enter this race
- ^ Poll sponsored by Jones' campaign.
- ^ Poll sponsored by Club for Growth Action
- Standard VI response
- Poll sponsored by the Club for Growth, which supports exclusively Republican candidates.
- "Jones does not deserve to be re-elected" with 48% as opposed to "Jones deserves to be re-elected"
Voter samples
- ^ Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - ^ Not yet released
- Tim James with 2%
- Undecided with 22%
- ^ Undecided with 8%
- Undecided with 14%
- Undecided with 10%
- "Other candidate or write-in" with 0%
- Includes "Refused"
- "Someone else" with 4%
- "Write-in candidate" with 7%
- Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
- Parrish (I) with 2%
- "Write-in candidate" with 7%
- Parrish (I) with 3%
References
- "US Elections Project – 2020g". www.electproject.org. Retrieved November 14, 2022.
- The other was in Michigan, where Senator Gary Peters was re-elected over Republican John James
- Arkin, James. "Democrats leave Doug Jones hanging as Senate map takes shape". Politico. Retrieved May 22, 2020.
- David Wright (August 20, 2020). "Vulnerable Democratic senator gets first outside spending support in Alabama". CNN. Retrieved September 19, 2020.
- Everett, Burgess; Arkin, James (May 3, 2020). "Democrats leave Doug Jones hanging as Senate map takes shape". Politico. Retrieved September 19, 2020.
- Panetta, Grace (September 18, 2020). "Democratic Sen. Doug Jones faces a tough reelection fight against Tommy Tuberville in Alabama". Business Insider. Retrieved September 19, 2020.
- Egan, Lauren (November 4, 2020). "Alabama Sen. Doug Jones loses to Tommy Tuberville, NBC News projects". www.nbcnews.com. Retrieved August 11, 2023.
- "United States Senate election in Alabama, 2020 (March 3 Democratic primary)". ballotpedia.org. Retrieved January 13, 2020.
- "Candidates file 2020 papers as Alabama qualifying window closes". WSFA 12 News. November 8, 2019. Retrieved January 13, 2020.
- Cohen, Zach (November 13, 2018). "#ALsen Doug Jones (D) confirms he'll seek reelection in 2020. "Already off and running."" (Tweet). Retrieved November 14, 2018 – via Twitter.
- Ross, Sean (August 21, 2019). "State Rep. John Rogers not running for U.S. Senate, says Jones showing 'conservatism' but not racist". Yellowhammer News. Retrieved August 22, 2019.
- ^ Gore, Leada (December 14, 2017). "Alabama Senate race: Who could challenge Doug Jones in 2020?". AL.com. Retrieved December 16, 2017.
- ^ "California's Kamala Harris raising money for Doug Jones based on Sessions opposition". November 7, 2019.
- ^ "Klobuchar fundraises for Doug Jones following Roy Moore Senate run". The Hill. June 20, 2019. Retrieved July 3, 2019.
- ^ Arkin, James (October 23, 2019). "Doug Jones is the Senate's most vulnerable incumbent. But he doesn't seem to care". Politico. Retrieved November 7, 2019.
- ^ Vollers, Anna Claire (September 8, 2019). "Doug Jones kicks off 2020 campaign in Birmingham". AL.com.
- ^ James Varney. "Stacey Abrams passes on 2020 run, turns focus to voter access with Fair Fight". The Washington Times.
- ^ Muller, Tiffany (August 27, 2019). "End Citizens United Endorses Four U.S. senators for Reelection". End Citizens United.
- ^ Acosta, Lucas (January 23, 2020). "HRC Announces Senate Endorsements in Effort to Achieve Pro-Equality Majority". Human Rights Campaign.
- ^ Burke, Holly (March 13, 2019). "LCV Action Fund Endorses Doug Jones for Re-Election". League of Conservation Voters. Retrieved March 16, 2019.
- ^ "2020 Federal Endorsements - NOW PAC". nowpac.org.
- Cason, Mike (April 6, 2019). "Tommy Tuberville running for U.S. Senate". The Birmingham News. Retrieved April 6, 2019.
- James Arkin; Alex Isenstadt; Marianne Levine (November 7, 2019). "Standing between Jeff Sessions and the Senate is a certain Donald Trump". Politico. Retrieved November 7, 2019.
- Moseley, Brandon (November 20, 2019). "Adair says that GOP should be extremely concerned about losses in gubernatorial races in Louisiana and Kentucky". Alabama Political Reporter. Retrieved December 5, 2019.
- "South Alabama Congressman Bradley Byrne announces run for US Senate in 2020". WPMI. February 20, 2019. Retrieved February 20, 2019.
- Clark, Dartunorro; Hillyard, Vaughn (December 9, 2020). "Roy Moore, who lost Alabama Senate race after allegations of sexual misconduct, announces another run for the seat". NBC News. Retrieved December 11, 2020.
- "EDITORIAL: Sessions' entry sets up wild GOP Senate race". The Gadsen Times. November 12, 2019. Retrieved December 5, 2019.
- Moseley, Brandon (July 15, 2019). "Tuberville discusses the issues with APR". Alabama Political Reporter. Retrieved May 15, 2020.
- ^ "The Green Papers: 2019 General Election". The Green Papers. May 14, 2020. Retrieved May 15, 2020.
- Britt, Bill (December 1, 2019). "Merrill suspends Senate campaign". Alabama Political Reporter. Retrieved December 1, 2019.
- Stephens, Glenn (July 16, 2019). "Jones, Byrne Lead in Fundraising Among Candidates in 2020 US Senate Race". WBHM. Retrieved May 15, 2020.
- Howell, Ed (August 18, 2019). "GOP sets Oct. 8 as start of qualifying". Daily Mountain Eagle. Archived from the original on August 18, 2019. Retrieved August 18, 2019.
- Ross, Sean (April 11, 2019). "Ainsworth will not run for the U.S. Senate in 2020". Yellowhammer News. Retrieved April 11, 2019.
- Arkin, James (May 3, 2019). "Brooks closes door on Alabama Senate race". Politico Pro. Retrieved May 3, 2019.
Rep. Mo Brooks (R-Ala.) shut the door on a potential Senate bid Friday morning in a local radio interview. "I will not be running for the U.S. Senate in 2020," Brooks said on WZRR-FM in Birmingham.
- "Rumors and Rumblings 2nd Ed. Vol. V". Yellowhammer News. May 3, 2019. Retrieved May 3, 2019.
- Little, Jim (April 5, 2019). "Matt Gaetz says he's not running for Alabama Senate seat against Doug Jones". Pensacola News Journal. Retrieved April 5, 2019.
- Ross, Sean (April 22, 2019). "Del Marsh not running for U.S. Senate in 2020". Yellowhammer News. Retrieved April 22, 2019.
- Bowman, Bridget (February 20, 2019). "Alabama Republicans don't see Roy Moore redux as Senate primary kicks off". Roll Call. Archived from the original on February 21, 2019. Retrieved February 21, 2019.
- Ross, Sean (March 21, 2019). "Miss America '95 'praying about' Alabama U.S. Senate bid". Yellowhammer News. Retrieved March 21, 2019.
- Ross, Sean (June 20, 2019). "Former Miss America Heather Whitestone McCallum rules out Alabama 2020 U.S. Senate bid". Yellowhammer News.
- Wilson, Brent (February 26, 2020). "Liz Cheney Endorses Bradley Byrne For Senate". Bama Politics.
- Staff Writer (January 25, 2020). "Bradley Byrne receives multiple endorsements this week for US Senate". Alabama Today.
- Poor, Jeff (June 23, 2019). "State Sen. Arthur Orr: Bradley Byrne 'would do the best job' for the state as U.S. Senator". Yellowhammer News.
- ^ "Endorsements". Arnold Mooney for U.S. Senate.
- "Utah Sen. Mike Lee endorses Mooney in Alabama's U.S. Senate race". Yellowhammer News. May 22, 2019.
- "Rand Paul endorses Arnold Mooney for Senate - 'True freedom-loving conservative'". Yellowhammer News. October 31, 2019.
- "Former Attorney General John Ashcroft endorses Jeff Sessions". Alabama Political Reporter. July 14, 2020.
- ^ Frazin, Rachel (November 8, 2019). "Eleven GOP senators sign open letter backing Sessions's comeback bid". The Hill.
- ^ Pappas, Alex (November 8, 2019). "Jeff Sessions endorsed by slew of GOP senators, amid effort to make peace with Trump". Fox News.
- McKinless, Thomas (November 7, 2019). "Watch: Shelby endorses Sessions for return to Senate" – via www.rollcall.com.
- "Endorsement: Jeff Sessions for United States Senate". nyyrc.com. New York Young Republican Club. July 7, 2020. Retrieved June 1, 2022.
- "NRA-PVF Endorses Jeff Sessions for U.S. Senate". nrapvf.org. NRA-PVF. Archived from the original on July 17, 2023. Retrieved July 17, 2023.
- "NRA endorses Sessions over Tuberville in Senate runoff". AL.com. The Associated Press. March 14, 2020. Archived from the original on March 15, 2020.
- "Jeff Sessions on His Tight Senate Runoff Race Against Tommy Tuberville". Yahoo! News. July 7, 2020.
- Wu, Nicholas (March 10, 2020). "Trump endorses Jeff Sessions' opponent, Tommy Tuberville, in Alabama Senate runoff". USA Today.
- ^ "Ainsworth endorses Tuberville for U.S. Senate - 'The tough fighter that Alabama needs'". July 10, 2020.
- ^ "Conservative Alabama State Senator Tom Whatley Endorses Tommy Tuberville for United States Senate". October 2, 2019.
- ^ Arkin, James (March 16, 2020). "Club for Growth spurns Sessions, endorses Tuberville in Alabama". Politico.
- ^ "National Association for Gun Rights endorses Tuberville". Alabama Political Reporter. July 8, 2020.
- ^ Ross, Sean (December 6, 2019). "Alabama's Randy Owen supporting Tuberville in Senate race". Yellowhammer News.
- ^ Ross, Sean (September 30, 2019). "Pearl: 'Senator Tuberville said he's got Israel and the Second Amendment covered' (VIDEO)". Yellowhammer News.
- ^ Burke, Holly (March 13, 2019). "Tommy Tuberville opens up about running for U.S. Senate, Sean Spicer and the need for 'patriots'". Alabama Media Group. Retrieved April 8, 2019.
- WPA Intelligence
- WPA Intelligence Archived February 15, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
- Harper Polling Archived March 8, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
- ^ Mason-Dixon
- OnMessage
- OnMessage
- Cherry Communications
- WPA Intelligence
- Cygnal
- Tommy for Senate
- Moore Information
- Cygnal
- Moore Information
- ^ Mason-Dixon
- Victory Phones
- ^ "Primary Election - March 3, 2020". Alabama Secretary of State. Retrieved March 19, 2020.
- Zhou, Li (March 4, 2020). "The Alabama Republican Senate runoff is bad news for Jeff Sessions". Vox. Retrieved March 11, 2020.
- Arkin, James (March 18, 2020). "Alabama Senate runoff postponed until July". Politico. Retrieved March 18, 2020.
- Auburn University at Montgomery Archived July 10, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
- OnMessage (R)
- ^ FM3 Research (D)
- Cygnal
- OnMessage (R)
- Cygnal
- Moore Information Group
- WT&S Consulting Archived April 23, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
- WPA Intelligence (R)
- ^ AL Daily News/Mason-Dixon
- WPA Intelligence (R) Archived March 22, 2019, at the Wayback Machine
- WPA Intelligence (R) Archived August 8, 2019, at the Wayback Machine
- ^ "Alabama 2020 General Election". thegreenpapers.com.
- ^ "Alabama - Senate". FEC. March 31, 2020. Retrieved May 22, 2020.
- ^ "2020 Election Information". Alabama Secretary of State. August 29, 2020. Retrieved August 29, 2020.
- "Marcus Jejaun Williams (Alabama)". Ballotpedia. Retrieved May 17, 2019.
- "2020 Senate Race Ratings for October 29, 2020". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved March 11, 2021.
- "2020 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved March 11, 2021.
- "2020 Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved March 12, 2021.
- "2020 Senate Race Ratings". Daily Kos Elections. Retrieved March 13, 2021.
- "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
- "Battle for the Senate 2020". RCP. October 23, 2020.
- "2020 Senate Elections Model". Decision Desk HQ. September 2, 2020. Retrieved September 2, 2020.
- Silver, Nate (September 18, 2020). "Forecasting the race for the Senate". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved September 18, 2020.
- "Forecasting the US elections". The Economist. November 2, 2020. Retrieved March 13, 2021.
- "Retired U.S. Marines general endorses Doug Jones". October 20, 2020.
- "2020 – Feminist Majority PAC". feministmajoritypac.org.
- "Meet the 2020 Candidates". Joint Action Committee for Political Affairs.
- "Candidates We Endorse and Support". NCPSSM.
- "Six Environmental Champions Win NRDC Action Fund Endorsements". www.nrdcactionfund.org. May 18, 2020.
- "AL AFL-CIO 2020 Special C.O.P.E. Convention". alaflcio.com. Alabama AFL-CIO. August 7, 2020.
- "IFPTE Releases Its 2020 Congressional Endorsements". ifpte.org. International Federation of Professional and Technical Engineers. July 6, 2020. Archived from the original on October 26, 2020. Retrieved October 29, 2020.
- "Alabama – Official UAW Endorsements". uawendorsements.org. United Automobile Workers.
- "Trump endorses Tuberville over Jeff Sessions ahead of Alabama runoff". CNN. March 11, 2020. Retrieved August 30, 2020.
- @tedcruz (October 22, 2020). "In Alabama, the left is waging an assault against @TTuberville to prop up Doug Jones... Alabama deserves better! Join me in supporting Coach and fighting back against the attacks: https://secure.winred.com/tommytuberville/pg-tw-cruz" (Tweet). Retrieved October 24, 2020 – via Twitter.
- "NRA-PVF - Grades - Alabama". nrapvf.org. NRA-PVF. Archived from the original on November 3, 2020.
{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: unfit URL (link) - Swayable Archived November 13, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
- Data for Progress
- Morning Consult
- Auburn University At Montgomery
- Swayable
- ^ Cygnal
- Moore Information (R)
- FM3 Research (D) Archived October 19, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
- Auburn University at Montgomery Archived November 9, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
- Morning Consult
- Morning Consult
- Auburn University at Montgomery Archived July 13, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
- WPA Intelligence (R)
- ^ ALG Research (D)
- ^ Cygnal (R)
- ^ JMC Analytics
- Auburn University at Montgomery Archived July 13, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
- "State of Alabama - Canvass of Results -" (PDF). Alabama Secretary of State. Retrieved November 23, 2020.
- "State of Alabama Canvass of Results General Election November 3, 2020" (PDF). Alabama Secretary of State. November 3, 2020. Archived (PDF) from the original on January 7, 2021. Retrieved January 18, 2021.
- "DRA 2020". Daves Redistricting. Retrieved August 18, 2024.
- Bloch, Matthew; Cohn, Nate; Katz, Josh; Lee, Jasmine (December 12, 2017). "Alabama Election Results: Doug Jones Defeats Roy Moore in U.S. Senate Race". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved January 19, 2021.
- Ball, Molly (December 13, 2017). "How Doug Jones Beat Roy Moore and Shocked the World". Time. Archived from the original on December 14, 2017. Retrieved January 19, 2021.
- "Roy Moore losing GOP endorsements after new accusations". WTHR. November 14, 2017. Archived from the original on November 25, 2021. Retrieved January 19, 2021.
- "McConnell: Moore must quit. Senate GOP campaign chief: Expel him". NBC News. Associated Press. November 13, 2017. Archived from the original on November 13, 2017. Retrieved January 19, 2021.
- Foran, Clare (November 3, 2020). "Democrat Doug Jones loses Alabama Senate seat to Republican Tommy Tuberville". CNN. Archived from the original on November 4, 2020. Retrieved January 19, 2021.
Further reading
- Amber Phillips (October 9, 2020). "The Senate seats most likely to flip parties in November". Washingtonpost.com.
External links
- Government Documents Round Table of the American Library Association. "Alabama". Voting & Elections Toolkits.
- "Alabama: Election Tools, Deadlines, Dates, Rules, and Links". Vote.org. Oakland, CA.
- "League of Women Voters of Alabama". (state affiliate of the U.S. League of Women Voters)
- Alabama at Ballotpedia
Official campaign websites
| (2019 ←) 2020 United States elections (→ 2021) | |
|---|---|
| U.S. President |
|
| U.S. Senate |
|
| U.S. House (election ratings) |
|
| Governors | |
| Attorneys general | |
| Secretaries of state | |
| State treasurers | |
| State legislatures |
|
| Mayors |
|
| Local | |
| Statewide |
|
| Related | |