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This is an old revision of this page, as edited by JohnAdams1800 (talk | contribs) at 22:48, 27 August 2024 (Cook Political moved it to likely, ratings are lean and likely, polls shows Harris with more than +5 leads.). The present address (URL) is a permanent link to this revision, which may differ significantly from the current revision.

2024 United States presidential election in Minnesota

← 2020 November 5, 2024 2028 →

Nominee Kamala Harris Donald Trump Party Democratic (DFL) Republican Home state California Florida Running mate Tim Walz JD Vance

Incumbent President Joe Biden Democratic (DFL)

Elections in Minnesota
General elections 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026
Federal elections Presidential elections 1860 1864 1868 1872 1876 1880 1884 1888 1892 1896 1900 1904 1908 1912 1916 1920 1924 1928 1932 1936 1940 1944 1948 1952 1956 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 Dem 2004 Dem 2008 Dem Rep 2012 2016 Dem Rep 2020 Dem Rep 2024 Dem Rep LMN Senate elections Class 1 1858 1863 1869 1875 1881 1886 1892 1899 1901 (sp) 1905 1911 1916 1922 1928 1934 1940 1946 1952 1958 1964 1970 1976 1978 (sp) 1982 1988 1994 2000 2006 2012 2018 2024 Class 2 1858 1865 1871 (sp) 1871 1877 1881 (sp) 1883 1888 1895 1901 1907 1913 1918 1923 (sp) 1924 1930 1936 (sp) 1936 1942 (sp) 1942 1948 1954 1960 1966 1972 1978 1984 1990 1996 2002 2008 2014 2018 (sp) 2020 2026 House of Representatives 1849 (Terr) 1850 (Terr) 1852 (Terr) 1854 (Terr) 1856 (Terr) 1857 1859 1860 1862 1864 1866 1868 1870 1872 1874 1876 1878 1880 1882 1884 1886 1888 1890 1892 1894 1896 1898 1900 1902 1904 1906 1908 1910 1912 1914 1916 1918 1920 1922 1924 1926 1928 1929 5th sp 7th sp 1930 1932 1934 1936 1938 1940 1942 1944 1946 1948 1950 1952 1954 1956 1958 1960 1962 1964 1966 1968 1970 1972 1974 1976 1977 7th sp 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 5th 6th 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 1st sp 2024 2026
State executive elections Gubernatorial elections 1857 1859 1861 1863 1865 1867 1869 1871 1873 1875 1877 1879 1881 1883 1886 1888 1890 1892 1894 1896 1898 1900 1902 1904 1906 1908 1910 1912 1914 1916 1918 1920 1922 1924 1926 1928 1930 1932 1934 1936 1938 1940 1942 1944 1946 1948 1950 1952 1954 1956 1958 1960 1962 1966 1970 1974 1978 1982 1986 1990 1994 1998 2002 2006 2010 2014 2018 2022 2026 Lieutenant gubernatorial elections 1857 1859 1861 1863 1865 1867 1869 1871 1873 1875 1877 1879 1881 1883 1886 1888 1890 1892 1894 1896 1898 1900 1902 1904 1906 1908 1910 1912 1914 1916 1918 1920 1922 1924 1926 1928 1930 1932 1934 1936 1938 1940 1942 1944 1946 1948 1950 1952 1954 1956 1958 1960 1962 1966 1970 Secretary of State elections 1857 1859 1861 1863 1865 1867 1869 1871 1873 1875 1877 1879 1881 1883 1886 1888 1890 1892 1894 1896 1898 1900 1902 1904 1906 1908 1910 1912 1914 1916 1918 1920 1922 1924 1926 1928 1930 1932 1934 1936 1938 1940 1942 1944 1946 1948 1950 1952 1954 1956 1958 1960 1962 1966 1970 1974 1978 1982 1986 1990 1994 1998 2002 2006 2010 2014 2018 2022 2026 State Auditor elections 1857 1863 1869 1875 1881 1886 1890 1894 1898 1902 1906 1910 1914 1918 1922 1926 1930 1934 1938 1942 1946 1950 1954 1958 1962 1966 1970 1974 1978 1982 1986 1990 1994 1998 2002 2006 2010 2014 2018 2022 Attorney General elections 1857 1859 1861 1863 1865 1867 1869 1871 1873 1875 1877 1879 1881 1883 1886 1888 1890 1892 1894 1896 1898 1900 1902 1904 1906 1908 1910 1912 1914 1916 1918 1920 1922 1924 1926 1928 1930 1932 1934 1936 1940 1942 1944 1946 1948 1950 1952 1954 1956 1958 1960 1962 1966 1970 1974 1978 1982 1986 1990 1994 1998 2002 2006 2010 2014 2018 2022 2026
State legislative elections Senate elections 1890 1894 1898 1902 1906 1910 1976 1980 1982 1986 1990 1992 1996 2000 2002 2006 2010 2012 2016 2020 2022 2026 House of Representatives elections 1910 1974 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 Special elections Senate House of Representatives
Ballot questions 2012 Amendment 1 Amendment 2
Minneapolis General elections 2005 2009 2013 2017 2021 2025 Mayoral elections 1957 1959 2005 2009 2013 2017 2021 2025 City Council elections 2005 2009 2013 2017 2021 2023 2025 City ballot questions Question 2 (2021)
Saint Paul Mayoral elections 2001 2005 2009 2013 2017 2021 2025
v t e

The 2024 United States presidential election in Minnesota is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Minnesota voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Minnesota has 10 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.

An upper Midwestern state at the western end of the Great Lakes, Minnesota has the longest active streak of voting for Democratic presidential nominees of any U.S. state; the last Republican to win Minnesota was Richard Nixon in his 1972 49-state landslide. However, presidential elections in Minnesota have consistently been competitive in the 21st century, with no Democrat carrying the state by double digits with the exception of Barack Obama in 2008, who barely did so by 10.2 percentage points (297,945 votes). Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton won the state in 2016 by just 1.5 points (44,593 votes), although incumbent President Joe Biden expanded the Democratic margin of victory to 7.1 points in 2020 (233,012 votes). Minnesota is considered to be a Democratic-leaning state in this election.

Incumbent Democratic president Joe Biden was running for reelection to a second term, and became the Democratic party's presumptive nominee, but withdrew from the race on July 21. He then endorsed Vice President Kamala Harris, who launched her presidential campaign the same day. The Republican nominee is former president Donald Trump. Independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. has qualified for the ballot.

On August 6, Vice President Kamala Harris selected Minnesota Governor Tim Walz as her running mate. This decision has been seen as a strategic effort to bolster support in the Midwest as well as among Progressives. Walz's local popularity, progressive stances, and his record of addressing state-level issues are expected to positively influence voter turnout in Minnesota, potentially securing the state for the Democratic ticket. Following Hubert Humphrey and Walter Mondale, Walz would become the third vice president from Minnesota if elected.

Primary elections

Republican primary

The Minnesota Republican primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024.

Democratic primary

The Minnesota Democratic primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024.

Legal Marijuana Now primary

The Minnesota Legal Marijuana Now primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024.

General election

Predictions

Polling

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Gretchen Whitmer vs. Donald Trump

Josh Shapiro vs. Donald Trump

Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis

See also

• United States presidential elections in Minnesota
• 2024 United States presidential election
• 2024 Democratic Party presidential primaries
• 2024 Republican Party presidential primaries
• 2024 United States elections

Notes

1. ^ Key:
   A – all adults
   RV – registered voters
   LV – likely voters
   V – unclear
2. "Other" with 4%
3. With voters who lean towards a given candidate
4. "Other" with 6%
5. "Other" with 9%
6. "Other" with 11%

Partisan clients

1. ^ Poll sponsored by KSTP-TV, WDIO-TV, & KAAL-TV
2. ^ Poll sponsored by Trump's campaign
3. Poll sponsored by KARE11, Minnesota Public Radio & the Star Tribune

References

1. Wang, Hansi; Jin, Connie; Levitt, Zach (April 26, 2021). "Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats". NPR. Archived from the original on August 19, 2021. Retrieved February 7, 2023.
2. Kinery, Emma (April 25, 2023). "Biden launches 2024 reelection campaign, promising to fulfill economic policy vision". CNBC.
3. Levine, Sam; Gambino, Lauren (July 22, 2024). "Joe Biden withdraws from presidential race after weeks of pressure to quit". The Guardian. ISSN 0261-3077. Retrieved July 22, 2024.
4. "Harris says she'll 'earn' nomination as Biden steps aside". The Washington Post. Retrieved July 22, 2024.
5. Gold, Michael; Nehamas, Nicholas (March 13, 2024). "Donald Trump and Joe Biden Clinch Their Party Nominations". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Archived from the original on March 13, 2024. Retrieved July 22, 2024.
6. McFadden, Alyce; Robinson, Taylor; Abraham, Leanne; O'Brien, Rebecca Davis (April 29, 2024). "Where R.F.K. Jr. and Independent Presidential Candidates Are On the Ballot". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved June 25, 2024.
7. "Harris picks Walz for VP". The Hill. Retrieved August 6, 2024.
8. Yilek, Caitlin; Cordes, Nancy; Navarro, Aaron; Cavazos, Nidia; Woodall, Hunter; Jiang, Weijia; O'Keefe, Ed (August 6, 2024). "Kamala Harris picks Minnesota Governor Tim Walz as her VP running mate". CBS News. Archived from the original on August 6, 2024. Retrieved August 6, 2024.
9. "Minnesota Republican Primary Election Results". The New York Times. Retrieved April 5, 2024.
10. "2024 Presidential Primary Results". Office of the Minnesota Secretary of State. Retrieved June 12, 2024.
11. "2024 PRESIDENTIAL PRIMARY RESULTS". OFFICE OF THE MINNESOTA SECRETARY OF STATE STEVE SIMON. Retrieved March 28, 2024.
12. "Certification of Results of 2024 Presidential Nomination Primary". Minnesota Secretary of State. March 12, 2024.
13. "2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings". cookpolitical.com. Cook Political Report. December 19, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
14. "Presidential Ratings". insideelections.com. Inside Elections. April 26, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
15. "2024 Electoral College ratings". centerforpolitics.org. University of Virginia Center for Politics. June 29, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
16. "Kamala Harris has put the Democrats back in the race". The Economist. August 23, 2024. Retrieved August 23, 2024.
17. "2024 Presidential Forecast". projects.cnalysis.com/. CNalysis. December 30, 2023. Retrieved August 6, 2024.
18. "Electoral College map 2024: Road to 270". CNN. Retrieved January 14, 2024.
19. Morris, G. Elliott (June 11, 2024). "2024 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved August 23, 2024.
20. "2024 RCP Electoral College Map". RealClearPolitics. July 27, 2024. Retrieved August 18, 2024.
21. "SurveyUSA" (PDF).
22. ^ Balara, Victoria (July 26, 2024). "Fox News Poll: Harris bests Trump by 6 points in Minnesota". Fox News.
23. "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (12 – 15 August 2024)". August 19, 2024.
24. "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (31 July – 3 August 2024)". August 6, 2024.
25. "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (22-24 July 2024)". July 25, 2024.
26. ^ Mumford, Camille (June 20, 2024). "June 2024 State Polls: Trump Maintains Edge over Biden". Emerson Polling.
27. "SurveyUSA" (PDF).
28. ^ "McLaughlin & Associates (R)" (PDF).
29. "SurveyUSA" (PDF).
30. ^ "x.com".
31. "SurveyUSA" (PDF).
32. "SurveyUSA" (PDF).
33. "Wayback Machine". February 9, 2024. Archived from the original on February 9, 2024.
34. Radelat, Ana (November 29, 2023). "Poll: Biden, Trump running virtually neck-and-neck in Minnesota". MinnPost.
35. Mumford, Camille (October 16, 2023). "Minnesota 2024 Poll: Biden Holds Narrow Lead over Trump". Emerson Polling.
36. ^ "x.com".
37. "MPR News | Star Tribune | KARE 11 Minnesota Poll: June 2024". APM Research Lab.

v t e State and district results of the 2024 United States presidential election
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• 2024 United States presidential election by state
• United States presidential elections in Minnesota
• 2024 Minnesota elections